Sheaf Neural Networks for Financial Risk Contagion Propagation

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Solution Overview

Problem

Traditional risk models in financial institutions fail to accurately capture and model the propagation of network effects due to their reliance on simplified graph representations that do not account for multi-dimensional and asymmetrical relationships, leading to inaccurate risk contagion predictions.

Innovation Solution

A sheaf neural network system is employed to construct a cellular sheaf representation of the financial institution's network, encoding multi-dimensional relationships through stalks, restriction maps, and coboundary operators, using sheaf convolutional neural networks to propagate risk signals along these pathways, incorporating directional dependencies and hierarchical structures.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Ease of manufacture

If traditional simplified graph representations are used to model network relationships, then the model is easier to implement and compute, but the accuracy of risk contagion prediction deteriorates due to inability to capture multi-dimensional and asymmetrical relationships

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveease of implementationVSAvoidprediction accuracy
Core Design Contradiction:
Ease of manufactureVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The patent transitions from traditional 2D graph representations to sheaf theory, which introduces additional dimensional layers for encoding multi-dimensional relationships. The sheaf structure adds stalks, restriction maps, and coboundary operators that capture asymmetrical and hierarchical relationships beyond simple pairwise connections, thereby improving prediction accuracy while maintaining computational feasibility through structured mathematical frameworks.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #17Another dimension (Dimensionality change)

2Measurement precision

If complex sheaf neural network architectures are used to capture multi-dimensional relationships, then the prediction accuracy improves, but the device complexity and computational requirements increase

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveprediction accuracyVSAvoidsystem complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The sheaf neural network architecture is segmented into distinct functional components: sheaf convolutional layers for local relationship extraction, pooling layers for aggregation, and fully connected layers for final prediction. This modular segmentation allows the complex model to be implemented and managed in manageable parts, reducing the perceived system complexity while maintaining high prediction accuracy through coordinated operation of specialized sub-components.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

3Speed

If traditional risk models are used, then the computational speed is faster, but the reliability of risk assessment deteriorates due to oversimplified relationship representations

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvecomputational speedVSAvoidrisk assessment reliability
Core Design Contradiction:
SpeedVSReliability

Solution Approach 1:

The patent changes key parameters of the relationship representation by introducing sheaf-theoretic constructs (stalks, restriction maps, coboundary operators) that fundamentally alter how relationships are encoded. This parameter transformation enables the model to capture complex financial relationships more reliably while maintaining computational efficiency through optimized neural network operations on the sheaf-structured data.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

Data Source

PatentUS20250348706A1System and method using sheaf neural networks for monitoring network effect propagation
Publication Date: 2025.11.13 HSBC GRP MANAGEMENT SERVICES LTD
  • US20250348706A1 patent drawing
  • US20250348706A1 patent drawing
  • US20250348706A1 patent drawing

AI summary

Systems and methods are proposed herein that instantiate and populate a graph network data structure with cross dependencies and connections that utilizes sheaf neural networks to analyze and predict the propagation of a network effect. Sheaf neural network architectures are used to simulate the propagation of signals across relational pathways encoded in the cellular sheaf representation data structure. A sheaf convolutional neural network (ShCNN) architecture is proposed that uses a constructed sheaf Laplacian operator for use in modelling diffusion dynamics in a sheaf diffusion layer that is used in concert with a sheaf convolutional layer that operates on a diffused vector, propagating and updating signals based on diffusion dynamics encoded in the sheaf Laplacian.