Surrogate Model Drift Detection via Quality Control Ranges

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Solution Overview

Problem

Evaluating the accuracy of surrogate machine learning models is challenging, especially as they drift over time, leading to systematic errors and random errors, which can affect the performance of original machine learning models.

Innovation Solution

A method involving a first machine learning model generating results, calculating a quality control range, and a second model determining the mean accuracy of its results, with notifications and potential recalibration of the surrogate model to maintain accuracy within predetermined limits.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Productivity

If a surrogate machine learning model is used to predict accuracy of the original model, then evaluation efficiency is improved, but measurement precision deteriorates due to drift and systematic errors

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveevaluation efficiencyVSAvoidaccuracy prediction precision
Core Design Contradiction:
ProductivityVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The patent implements a feedback mechanism where the surrogate model's predictions are continuously monitored and compared against actual performance metrics. When drift or systematic errors are detected in the surrogate model's accuracy predictions, the system triggers recalibration using the original model's performance data, thereby maintaining measurement precision while preserving evaluation efficiency.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #23Feedback

Solution Approach 2:

The patent dynamically adjusts parameters of the surrogate model based on detected drift and systematic errors. By changing model parameters through recalibration processes triggered by quality control range violations, the system maintains prediction precision without sacrificing the efficiency benefits of using a surrogate model.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

2Device complexity

If the surrogate model operates without continuous monitoring, then device complexity is reduced, but reliability deteriorates due to undetected drift and errors

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvemonitoring system complexityVSAvoidmodel prediction reliability
Core Design Contradiction:
Device complexityVSReliability

Solution Approach 1:

A feedback-based monitoring system is implemented that tracks the surrogate model's predictions over time and compares them against established quality control ranges. This feedback mechanism detects drift and systematic errors, triggering alerts or recalibration processes to maintain reliability without requiring complex continuous monitoring infrastructure.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #23Feedback

Solution Approach 2:

The patent establishes quality control ranges and monitoring thresholds in advance before the surrogate model begins operation. By preparing these reference parameters beforehand, the system can reliably detect deviations without requiring complex real-time analysis, thus maintaining reliability while minimizing ongoing complexity.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

3Measurement precision

If recalibration is performed frequently to maintain accuracy, then measurement precision is improved, but loss of time increases due to recalibration operations

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveaccuracy prediction precisionVSAvoidrecalibration time
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The system uses feedback from continuous monitoring to trigger recalibration only when drift or systematic errors are detected beyond quality control ranges. This conditional recalibration approach maintains measurement precision by recalibrating only when necessary, thereby minimizing time loss compared to frequent scheduled recalibrations.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #23Feedback

Solution Approach 2:

The patent implements partial recalibration by recalibrating only the surrogate model when drift is detected, rather than performing full system recalibration. This partial action approach maintains necessary precision while reducing the time cost of recalibration operations.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #16Partial or excessive action

Data Source

PatentUS11699071B2Evaluating surrogate machine learning models
Publication Date: 2023.07.11 INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINE CORPORATION
  • US11699071B2 patent drawing
  • US11699071B2 patent drawing
  • US11699071B2 patent drawing

AI summary

A first machine learning model processes a set of inputs to generate a first set of results. Based on that first set of results, a quality control range is calculated. A second machine learning model calculates a mean accuracy of a second set of results, based on the set of inputs. A determination of whether the mean accuracy of the second set of results is within the quality control range is made, and a user is notified of that determination.