Temporal Graph Convolutional Networks for Land Environmental Forecasting

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Solution Overview

Problem

Existing methods for modeling ecological systems in agriculture face challenges due to the unstructured nature of catchments, which are difficult to analyze using classic deep learning approaches, and fail to naturally incorporate spatial information critical for hydrological and land-surface processes.

Innovation Solution

A computer-implemented method using similarity analysis and temporal graph convolutional neural networks to group sub-regions with similar environmental descriptors, encoding these into group-based graphs to improve model training and forecasting accuracy by incorporating domain knowledge and handling unstructured data effectively.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Ease of manufacture

If classic deep learning approaches such as convolutional neural networks are used to analyze catchments, then the analysis can be performed on structured pixel-based datasets, but the unstructured nature of catchments (interconnected irregular polygons) makes them difficult to analyze

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveease of analysisVSAvoiddata structure complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Ease of manufactureVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent creates a graph-based representation (copy) of the catchment data that transforms the unstructured polygonal relationships into a structured format suitable for deep learning. The graph copies the spatial relationships and environmental descriptors into nodes and edges, making the data amenable to convolutional neural network analysis while preserving the original unstructured nature of the catchments.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #26Copying

2Adaptability or versatility

If alternative deep neural networks are used to analyze time series datasets, then time series analysis capability is improved, but spatial information which is critical for hydrological and land-surface processes is not naturally incorporated

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvetime series analysis capabilityVSAvoidspatial information loss
Core Design Contradiction:
Adaptability or versatilityVSLoss of information

Solution Approach 1:

The patent merges time series analysis capabilities with spatial information processing by integrating temporal convolutional networks with graph convolutional networks. This combination allows the model to simultaneously process time-series environmental data and spatial relationships between catchments, preserving both temporal dynamics and spatial dependencies in the hydrological forecasting.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #5Merging (Combining)

3Reliability

If connectivity between neighboring catchments is determined by geographical relationships, then spatial proximity is considered, but catchments with similar environmental descriptors may be missed despite their geographical distance

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveconnectivity assessment accuracyVSAvoidenvironmental descriptor similarity information
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSLoss of information

Solution Approach 1:

The patent applies local quality by creating graph-based neighborhoods around each catchment that are defined by environmental descriptor similarity rather than purely geographical proximity. This allows each catchment to have a customized neighborhood structure that reflects its specific environmental characteristics, improving the accuracy of connectivity assessment by considering local environmental conditions rather than applying a uniform geographical criterion.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #3Local quality

Data Source

PatentUS20240112442A1Forecasting land-based environmental variables using similarity analysis and temporal graph convoluational neural networks
Publication Date: 2024.04.04 INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINE CORPORATION
  • US20240112442A1 patent drawing
  • US20240112442A1 patent drawing
  • US20240112442A1 patent drawing

AI summary

Embodiments are directed to a computer-implemented method of analyzing a land region that has been decomposed into a plurality of regular or irregular sub-regions. The computer-implemented method includes applying, using a processor system, a feature extraction process that extracts a set of sub-region environmental descriptors for each of the plurality of sub-regions. The processor system applies a similarity analysis to the set of sub-region environmental descriptors to generate groups of the plurality of sub-regions. The processor system creates a plurality of group-based graphs by encoding each of the groups into a corresponding group-based graph. A spatio-temporal neural network is used to train a model based at least in part on the plurality of group-based graphs.