Traffic Conflict Risk Quantification via Trajectory Analysis

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Solution Overview

Problem

Current methods for classifying and quantifying traffic conflicts are inadequate, as they rely on assumptions about driver behavior and fail to accurately assess the risk of imminent collisions, particularly due to variations in human perception and the reliance on assumed braking actions.

Innovation Solution

The system analyzes live or streaming traffic video to detect and quantify traffic conflicts by tracking vehicle trajectories within a spatial-temporal domain, calculating collision risk based on minimum separation and relative velocities, without assuming driver behavior, and transmits this risk to computing devices for real-time alerts or control adjustments.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Ease of operation

If human assessment is used to evaluate traffic conflict, then the process is simple and intuitive, but the accuracy is poor due to variations in human perception

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvesimplicity of assessment processVSAvoidaccuracy of collision risk assessment
Core Design Contradiction:
Ease of operationVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The patent replaces human visual assessment with an automated image processing system that captures traffic scenes, extracts vehicle positions and trajectories, and calculates collision risk parameters objectively. This substitution eliminates human perception variations while maintaining operational simplicity through automated analysis.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #28Mechanics substitution (Replace mechanical system)

Solution Approach 2:

The patent introduces an intermediate computational system that processes image data and calculates collision risk parameters (such as time-to-collision and impact speed) based on extracted vehicle trajectories. This intermediary transforms raw visual information into quantifiable risk metrics, bridging the gap between simple observation and precise measurement.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

2Device complexity

If assumed driver behaviors are used to determine conflict severity, then the computation is simplified, but the accuracy deteriorates due to unrealistic assumptions

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvecomplexity of computation modelVSAvoidaccuracy of conflict severity determination
Core Design Contradiction:
Device complexityVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The patent extracts actual driver behavior data directly from image sequences by tracking vehicle positions and velocities over time. Instead of assuming braking actions, the system measures real deceleration patterns from the extracted trajectories, eliminating unrealistic assumptions while keeping the computational model manageable.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #2Taking out (Extraction)

Solution Approach 2:

The system uses the image data itself to provide information about driver behavior. By analyzing vehicle trajectories directly from captured images, the system self-determines actual braking actions and speed changes without requiring external assumptions or additional sensors, thereby improving accuracy without proportionally increasing complexity.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #25Self-service

Data Source

PatentUS11062607B2Systems and methods for quantitatively assessing collision risk and severity
Publication Date: 2021.07.13 UNIVERSITY OF GEORGIA RESEARCH FOUNDATION INC
  • US11062607B2 patent drawing
  • US11062607B2 patent drawing
  • US11062607B2 patent drawing

AI summary

Systems and methods for quantitatively assessing collision risk of bodies, such as vehicles, and severity of a conflict between the bodies are disclosed. A method may comprise receiving image data associated with bodies. Based on the image data, an affinity (proneness) to collision of the bodies may be determined. Based on the determined affinity (proneness) to collision, a proximity (closeness) of collision of the bodies may be determined. Based on the determined proximity (closeness) of collision of the bodies, a collision risk of the bodies may be determined. The determined collision risk may be transmitted to a computing device, such as via a user interface. The determined collision risk may be used to control operations of a traffic control device or an autonomous vehicle.