High-Speed Train Control Risk Analysis Using Manifold State Models

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Solution Overview

Problem

Current dynamic analysis methods for high-speed train control systems are inefficient in real-time monitoring and predicting safety risks due to the complexity of the systems, leading to high computational resource requirements and inadequate real-time safety information for decision-makers.

Innovation Solution

A dynamic analysis method using a cusp manifold surface to determine the system running state and an elliptical umbilical manifold surface for safety risk calculation, allowing for real-time evaluation of safety indicators and risk indicators through the integration of DE, DB, and DS variables, enabling effective identification of safety or danger states.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Reliability

If state transit models (Markov chain, Petri net, dynamic fault tree) are used to dynamically describe safety state changes, then the system can output changes in safety risks, but the model size becomes extremely large and consumes very large online computing resources

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvesafety risk analysis capabilityVSAvoidmodel size and computational resource requirements
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent segments the complex state transit model into two separate manifold surfaces: a cusp manifold surface for system state discrimination and an elliptical umbilical manifold surface for safety risk calculation. This segmentation divides the originally monolithic complex model into modular components, each handling a specific aspect of safety analysis, thereby reducing overall model complexity and computational burden while maintaining comprehensive safety monitoring capability

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

Solution Approach 2:

The patent transitions from traditional state-based modeling to a geometric manifold-based approach, introducing new dimensional representations. The cusp manifold surface uses control variables (DE, DB) and state variable (DS) to create a three-dimensional safety state space, while the elliptical umbilical manifold adds another layer for risk calculation. This dimensional transformation enables more efficient representation of safety states compared to exhaustive state transit modeling

Inventive Principle:
Principle #17Another dimension (Dimensionality change)

2Measurement precision

If comprehensive safety analysis is performed in real-time during high-speed running, then accurate safety state information is provided for decision-making, but computational resources are excessively consumed

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvesafety state information accuracyVSAvoidcomputational resource consumption
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSUse of energy by moving object

Solution Approach 1:

The patent extracts only the essential features needed for safety assessment from the complex system state, representing them through controlled variables (DE - degree of risk of accumulated error, DB - degree of barrier of accumulated grid) and state variable (DS - degree of systematic safety). This extraction focuses computational effort on critical safety parameters rather than processing all possible system states, reducing computational resource consumption while maintaining measurement precision

Inventive Principle:
Principle #2Taking out (Extraction)

Solution Approach 2:

The patent changes the parameters used for safety analysis from traditional state-based parameters to geometric manifold parameters. By representing safety states as positions on manifold surfaces rather than discrete states in a state transition model, the system achieves continuous real-time monitoring with reduced computational complexity, enabling efficient real-time parameter updates without exhaustive state enumeration

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

Data Source

PatentEP3511224B1Dynamic analysis method of operating safety risks for a high-speed train operating control system
Publication Date: 2021.07.28 CASCO SIGNAL LTD
  • EP3511224B1 patent drawingFigure 1
  • EP3511224B1 patent drawingFigure 2~3
  • EP3511224B1 patent drawingFigure 4~6

AI summary

A dynamic analysis method of the running safety risks of a high-speed train running control system is disclosed by the present invention, comprising: Step 1: constructing a system running state discriminating model based on a cusp manifold surface; Step 2: determining the system running state; Step 3: constructing a safety risk calculating model based on an elliptical umbilical manifold surface; Step 4: outputting changes in running safety indicators and running risk indicators. Compared with the prior art, the present invention can support the on-board computer to realize an accurate calculation of the train running safety risk.