Vehicle Collision Risk Control Using Position Probability Distributions

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Solution Overview

Problem

Existing automatic emergency braking (AEB) systems in intelligent driving rely on inaccurate trajectory predictions due to noise in sensor data, leading to false triggers or failures in collision risk assessment.

Innovation Solution

Implementing a method that determines position probability distribution information for both the ego vehicle and obstacles at future time points, using a collision indication vector distribution to assess collision risk, rather than relying on Boolean variables, thereby improving the accuracy of collision risk evaluation.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Device complexity

If constant velocity or constant acceleration motion models are used to calculate interference conditions between ego vehicle and obstacles, then the calculation process is simple, but the accuracy of collision risk assessment deteriorates due to sensor noise

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvecalculation process complexityVSAvoidcollision risk assessment accuracy
Core Design Contradiction:
Device complexityVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The patent transforms the collision risk assessment from using simple Boolean variables to using probability distribution parameters. Specifically, it models the positions of ego vehicle and obstacles as probability distributions (e.g., Gaussian distributions) and calculates collision risk based on the overlap or distance between these distributions. This parameter transformation allows the system to account for sensor noise and trajectory uncertainties while maintaining computational efficiency through closed-form probability calculations.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

2Productivity

If Boolean variables are used to represent interference conditions, then the computational load is low, but the accuracy of collision risk assessment deteriorates

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvecomputational speedVSAvoidcollision risk assessment accuracy
Core Design Contradiction:
ProductivityVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The patent elevates the collision risk assessment from a one-dimensional Boolean decision (collision/no collision) to a multi-dimensional probabilistic framework. It introduces probability distributions over position, velocity, and acceleration, and computes collision risk as a continuous value based on the statistical relationship between these distributions. This dimensional expansion enables the system to capture uncertainty and partial overlap scenarios that Boolean logic cannot represent, while maintaining real-time performance through efficient probability computation.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #17Another dimension (Dimensionality change)

3Measurement precision

If trajectory prediction is performed with high precision to improve collision risk assessment, then the accuracy improves, but the computational time increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvetrajectory prediction accuracyVSAvoidcomputational time
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The patent replaces complex mechanical trajectory simulation with statistical probability distribution methods. Instead of performing detailed physics-based simulations that would require significant computational resources, it models trajectories as probability distributions and uses statistical measures (such as mean, variance, and distribution overlap) to assess collision risk. This substitution maintains high prediction accuracy by capturing the essential uncertainty characteristics while dramatically reducing computational time through closed-form mathematical solutions.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #28Mechanics substitution (Replace mechanical system)

Data Source

PatentUS20250319866A1Method and apparatus for controlling vehicle, medium, and device
Publication Date: 2025.10.16 BEIJING HORIZON ROBOTICS TECH RES & DEV CO LTD
  • US20250319866A1 patent drawing
  • US20250319866A1 patent drawing
  • US20250319866A1 patent drawing

AI summary

A method for controlling a vehicle, comprising: determining first ego vehicle state information of the vehicle at a current time point and first obstacle state information of an obstacle around the vehicle at the current time point; determining, based on the first ego vehicle state information, first position probability distribution information of the vehicle at a future time point; determining, based on the first obstacle state information, second position probability distribution information of the obstacle at the future time point; determining, based on the first position probability distribution information and the second position probability distribution information, collision indication vector distribution information between the obstacle and the vehicle at the future time point; determining, based on the collision indication vector distribution information, a collision risk state between the vehicle and the obstacle; and controlling a driving state of the vehicle based on the collision risk state.