Vehicle Emissions Prediction Using Latent Driving Cycle Models

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Solution Overview

Problem

Current methods for diagnosing internal combustion engine emissions are limited by requiring specific load states on a test bench and long diagnostic times, making it cumbersome to predict emissions during practical driving operations, especially with varying driving cycles.

Innovation Solution

A method using a machine learning system to generate realistic time curves of operating variables by transforming measured data into latent variables, allowing for the prediction of emissions across different driving cycles, including the use of autoencoders and Gaussian process models to extract essential features and reduce dimensionality.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Measurement precision

If emissions are measured during practical driving operations with multiple driving cycles, then measurement precision and reliability are improved, but loss of time and productivity deteriorate

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveemissions measurement accuracyVSAvoiddiagnostic time
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The patent applies preliminary action by training a machine learning model in advance using emission measurements from multiple different driving cycles. Once trained, the model can rapidly predict emissions for new driving cycles without requiring actual measurement campaigns, thus saving time while maintaining measurement precision through the model's ability to generalize across different driving conditions.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

2Adaptability or versatility

If a machine learning system is trained to generate time curves of operating variables, then adaptability to different driving cycles is improved, but device complexity increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvedriving cycle adaptabilityVSAvoidsystem complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Adaptability or versatilityVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent uses copying by training a machine learning model to learn and replicate the complex relationships between operating variables and emissions across multiple driving cycles. The model creates a virtual copy of the emission measurement process that can generate realistic time curves for any driving cycle, providing adaptability without requiring physical measurement equipment for each cycle.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #26Copying

Solution Approach 2:

The patent applies parameter changes by using the machine learning model to transform input parameters (operating variables from different driving cycles) into output predictions (emissions). The model learns the underlying patterns and adjusts its internal parameters during training to accurately map diverse driving cycle characteristics to corresponding emission profiles, enabling versatile prediction across varying conditions.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

3Device complexity

If only test bench measurements are used for emissions prediction, then device complexity is reduced, but measurement precision and reliability deteriorate

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvemeasurement system complexityVSAvoidemissions prediction accuracy
Core Design Contradiction:
Device complexityVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The patent introduces an intermediary approach by using a machine learning model as a bridge between test bench measurements and real-world driving emissions prediction. The model is trained on controlled test bench data but learns to generalize to uncontrolled real-world conditions, acting as an intermediary that translates simplified measurements into accurate real-driving emission predictions without requiring complex measurement systems.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

Data Source

PatentUS11078857B2Calculation of exhaust emissions of a motor vehicle
Publication Date: 2021.08.03 ROBERT BOSCH GMBH
  • US11078857B2 patent drawing
  • US11078857B2 patent drawing
  • US11078857B2 patent drawing

AI summary

A method for ascertaining emissions of a motor vehicle driven with the aid of an internal combustion engine in a practical driving operation. A machine learning system is trained to generate time curves of the operating variables with the aid of measured time curves of operating variables of the motor vehicle and/or of the internal combustion engine, and to then ascertain the emissions as a function of these generated time curves.