Vehicle Path Prediction Using Road and Trajectory Data

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Solution Overview

Problem

Current advanced driver assist systems (ADAS) for vehicles face challenges in accurately predicting the near future path of a vehicle, particularly due to unpredictable behavior of other road users, and there is a need for improved prediction accuracy.

Innovation Solution

A method and system that collect and preprocess vehicle driving data and sensor data to create a representation of object data, including previous positions, headings, and velocities, which is then processed in a deep neural network to predict the near future path, utilizing a combination of convolutional and recurrent neural networks for enhanced accuracy.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Measurement precision

If traditional ADAS path prediction methods are used, then the system can provide basic path prediction, but the prediction accuracy is insufficient due to unpredictable behavior of road users

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveprediction accuracyVSAvoidrobustness to unpredictable behavior
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSReliability

Solution Approach 1:

The system segments the path prediction task into multiple components: current state estimation, historical trajectory analysis, and future path prediction. By dividing the complex prediction problem into manageable segments, the system can apply specialized processing to each component, improving overall accuracy while maintaining robustness against unpredictable behaviors.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

Solution Approach 2:

The system performs preliminary actions by collecting and analyzing historical trajectory data of road users before making path predictions. This advance preparation allows the system to establish baseline behaviors and detect anomalies, improving prediction accuracy while accounting for unpredictable deviations from normal patterns.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

2Measurement precision

If more sensor data and processing are used to improve prediction accuracy, then the system can better predict paths, but the computational complexity and processing requirements increase

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveprediction accuracyVSAvoidsystem complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The system employs a unified deep neural network architecture that handles multiple functions: feature extraction from sensor data, historical trajectory analysis, and path prediction. This multi-functional approach improves prediction accuracy while avoiding the complexity of multiple separate processing systems by consolidating functions into a single versatile framework.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #6Universality (Multi-functionality)

Solution Approach 2:

The system introduces an intermediary processing layer that transforms raw sensor data and historical trajectories into meaningful features before feeding them to the prediction model. This intermediary representation layer simplifies the computational burden on the neural network while preserving critical information for accurate path prediction.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

3Measurement precision

If real-time processing of multiple data sources is performed, then the system can provide accurate path predictions, but the processing time and computational load increase

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveprediction accuracyVSAvoidprocessing time
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The system performs preliminary processing of sensor data and historical trajectories to extract essential features before the actual prediction step. This advance feature extraction reduces the computational load during real-time operation, maintaining high prediction accuracy while minimizing processing time and meeting real-time requirements.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Data Source

PatentUS11919512B2Path prediction for a vehicle
Publication Date: 2024.03.05 POLESTAR PERFORMANCE
  • US11919512B2 patent drawing
  • US11919512B2 patent drawing
  • US11919512B2 patent drawing

AI summary

A method and system for predicting a near future path for a vehicle. For predicting the near future path sensor data and vehicle driving data is collected. Road data is collected indicative of a roadway on the presently occupied road for the vehicle. The sensor data and the vehicle driving data is pre-processed to provide object data comprising a time series of previous positions, headings, and velocities of each of the objects relative the vehicle. The object data, the vehicle driving data, and the road data is processed in a deep neural network to predict the near future path for the vehicle. The invention also relates to a vehicle comprising the system.