Weighted Causal Knowledge Graph Embeddings for Link Prediction

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Solution Overview

Problem

Traditional causal discovery techniques are time-consuming and rely solely on observation data, leading to incomplete causal networks and large search spaces, and existing knowledge graph embedding algorithms do not incorporate causal weights, resulting in biased model performance.

Innovation Solution

Formulate causal discovery as a knowledge graph completion problem, using weighted causal relations to predict new links, and employ FocusE to assimilate causal weights into knowledge graph embedding models, with a Markov-based data split to minimize model bias.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Reliability

If traditional causal discovery techniques are used, then causal networks can be constructed from observation data, but the process is time-consuming and results in incomplete causal networks with large search spaces

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvecausal network completenessVSAvoidcausal discovery time
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The patent merges knowledge graph embedding algorithms with causal discovery by formulating causal discovery as a knowledge graph completion problem. This combines the strengths of both approaches: knowledge graphs provide structured semantic relationships while embedding algorithms enable efficient link prediction, reducing both time and improving completeness simultaneously

Inventive Principle:
Principle #5Merging (Combining)

Solution Approach 2:

The patent introduces knowledge graph embeddings as an intermediary between causal networks and embedding models. By converting causal networks into knowledge graphs with embeddings, it creates a bridge that enables efficient causal link prediction while maintaining causal relationships, thus reducing computational time and improving completeness

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

2Measurement precision

If existing knowledge graph embedding algorithms are used, then embeddings can be generated, but causal weights are not incorporated leading to biased model performance

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvecausal weight representation accuracyVSAvoidmodel performance bias
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSReliability

Solution Approach 1:

The patent applies local quality by incorporating causal weights specifically into the edge representations of the knowledge graph. Instead of treating all relationships equally, the causal weights are embedded locally at each edge, allowing the model to capture the specific causal strength of each relationship while maintaining the overall graph structure

Inventive Principle:
Principle #3Local quality

Solution Approach 2:

The patent changes the parameters of knowledge graph embedding algorithms to incorporate causal weights. By modifying the embedding process to include causal weight as a parameter, the model can accurately represent the strength of causal relationships, eliminating bias and improving measurement precision of causal effects

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

3Productivity

If causal discovery is formulated as knowledge graph completion, then additional causal links can be predicted, but the search space remains large

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvecausal link prediction efficiencyVSAvoidsearch space size
Core Design Contradiction:
ProductivityVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent applies dimensionality change by transforming the causal network into a knowledge graph with embedded representations. This moves the problem from a high-dimensional search space of all possible causal links to a lower-dimensional embedding space where link prediction can be performed efficiently using vector operations, thus reducing search space complexity while maintaining prediction accuracy

Inventive Principle:
Principle #17Another dimension (Dimensionality change)

Data Source

PatentUS20250371393A1Causal discovery using knowledge graph link prediction
Publication Date: 2025.12.04 ROBERT BOSCH GMBH
  • US20250371393A1 patent drawing
  • US20250371393A1 patent drawing
  • US20250371393A1 patent drawing

AI summary

Causal discovery is performed using knowledge graph link prediction. Information from a causal network is transformed into a causal knowledge graph according to a mapping, the causal knowledge graph including a plurality of causal links, wherein each causal link includes a cause entity, a causal relation, an effect entity, and a causal weight indicating a relative strength of causal influence of the cause entity on the effect entity. The causal knowledge graph is converted into embeddings, where the embeddings include a latent vector space representation of the causal knowledge graph. The embeddings are trained using a subset of the causal links of the causal knowledge graph. The embeddings are used for causal discovery to predict additional causal links of the causal knowledge graph.