Interactive What-If Analysis System Using Imprecision Scoring
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Solution Overview
Problem
Existing 'what-if analysis' models fail to effectively predict how changes in multiple input conditions affect the overall outcome of a process, leading to poor risk management and inefficiencies, as they often do not provide clear insights into the impact of individual input changes on the process's success.
Innovation Solution
A computer-based system and method that generates both initial and parallel estimation outcomes from different input conditions, allowing for interactive analysis and selection of outcomes based on a target goal, enabling users to understand and optimize the impact of input changes on process outcomes.
Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles
Engineering Contradiction Analysis
1Measurement precision
If traditional what-if analysis models are used to predict process outcomes, then the analysis process is simple, but the prediction accuracy and insight into individual input changes are insufficient
Solution Approach 1:
The patent segments the analysis by generating multiple parallel estimations, each focusing on specific input conditions. This allows the system to break down the complex analysis into manageable parallel components, improving prediction accuracy without overwhelming complexity
Solution Approach 2:
The system creates parallel copies of the estimation process with different input conditions. By generating multiple parallel estimations simultaneously, the system can compare outcomes and identify the impact of individual input changes, enhancing prediction accuracy while maintaining systematic complexity
2Loss of information
If multiple parallel estimations are generated to analyze input condition impacts, then the insight into process outcomes improves, but the computational complexity increases
Solution Approach 1:
The system performs preliminary actions by generating multiple parallel estimations simultaneously rather than sequentially. This approach completes all necessary computational work in parallel, reducing the overall time and computational burden while providing comprehensive information about input condition impacts
Solution Approach 2:
The patent merges multiple parallel estimation results into a comprehensive analysis. By combining the outcomes of different parallel estimations, the system achieves complete information about input condition impacts while managing computational complexity through efficient result integration
3Reliability
If comprehensive parallel analysis is performed to understand input condition impacts, then the risk management capability improves, but the processing time increases
Solution Approach 1:
The system performs all necessary parallel estimations simultaneously as a preliminary action, rather than sequentially analyzing each input condition. This parallel approach completes the comprehensive analysis in one processing cycle, improving risk management capability without proportionally increasing processing time
Solution Approach 2:
The patent maintains continuous useful action by running multiple parallel estimations simultaneously throughout the analysis process. This continuous parallel processing ensures that all input condition impacts are evaluated without idle time, improving reliability while minimizing processing time
Data Source
AI summary
A method, computer system, and a computer program product for performing an interactive outcome analysis is provided. The present invention may include generating, by a computer, a first estimation outcome from a first plurality of input conditions. The present invention may include generating, by the computer, a parallel estimation outcome from a second plurality of input conditions, wherein at least one of said input conditions in said first plurality of input conditions is different from any of said second plurality of input conditions. The present invention may include selecting, by the computer, either said first or said parallel estimation outcome by analyzing said outcomes with one another and with a target goal outcome.