Wildfire Risk Assessment Using Machine Learning Feature Detection

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Solution Overview

Problem

Current methods for assessing and mitigating wildfire damage risk to building structures lack precision and actionable data, often relying on generic guidelines or requiring expert on-site evaluations, which are not scalable or quantitative.

Innovation Solution

A system and method utilizing machine learning algorithms to analyze images of properties, identifying structural features and fuel sources, calculating fuel loads, and determining risk through a Property Ignition Model, which assesses the likelihood of ignition from various threat vectors and provides a quantitative risk assessment and mitigation strategies.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Ease of operation

If generic guidelines are used for wildfire risk assessment, then ease of operation is improved, but measurement precision deteriorates

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveease of operationVSAvoidmeasurement precision
Core Design Contradiction:
Ease of operationVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The patent replaces manual expert assessment with automated machine learning algorithms that analyze satellite imagery and calculate quantitative risk scores. This substitution maintains ease of operation while dramatically improving measurement precision through systematic, data-driven analysis of structural features, fuel sources, and ignition risk factors.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #28Mechanics substitution (Replace mechanical system)

Solution Approach 2:

The system enables properties to self-assess their wildfire risk through automated analysis of publicly available satellite imagery. The machine learning models independently identify structural features, detect fuel sources, and calculate risk scores without requiring external expert intervention, thereby maintaining operational simplicity while achieving precise measurements.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #25Self-service

2Measurement precision

If expert on-site evaluations are used for wildfire risk assessment, then measurement precision is improved, but device complexity and loss of time worsen

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvemeasurement precisionVSAvoidloss of time
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The patent replaces time-consuming on-site expert evaluations with automated remote sensing analysis. Machine learning algorithms process satellite imagery to identify structural features and fuel sources, calculating risk scores remotely and instantaneously, thereby maintaining measurement precision while eliminating the time loss associated with physical site visits.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #28Mechanics substitution (Replace mechanical system)

Solution Approach 2:

The system creates digital copies of physical properties through satellite imagery analysis. By working with high-resolution aerial images and generating detailed digital inventories of structural features and surrounding fuels, the system achieves expert-level assessment precision without requiring physical presence, thus eliminating time loss while maintaining measurement accuracy.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #26Copying

3Measurement precision

If expert on-site evaluations are used for wildfire risk assessment, then measurement precision is improved, but productivity deteriorates

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvemeasurement precisionVSAvoidproductivity
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSProductivity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent replaces manual expert assessment processes with automated machine learning systems that can evaluate multiple properties simultaneously. This substitution maintains the measurement precision of expert evaluations while dramatically improving productivity by processing numerous properties in parallel through automated image analysis and risk calculation algorithms.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #28Mechanics substitution (Replace mechanical system)

Solution Approach 2:

The system creates a universal assessment platform that can evaluate diverse property types using the same automated methodology. The machine learning models are designed to identify various structural features and fuel sources across different property configurations, enabling consistent precision measurement while scaling productivity to handle large numbers of properties through a single multi-functional system.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #6Universality (Multi-functionality)

4Measurement precision

If quantitative analysis is implemented for wildfire risk assessment, then measurement precision is improved, but device complexity worsens

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvemeasurement precisionVSAvoiddevice complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent implements quantitative analysis by substituting manual assessment with automated machine learning algorithms that perform complex calculations. The system automatically extracts structural features from satellite imagery, identifies fuel sources, calculates fuel loads, and generates quantitative risk scores, achieving high measurement precision while managing complexity through automation rather than manual quantitative methods.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #28Mechanics substitution (Replace mechanical system)

Data Source

PatentUS20230023808A1System and method for wildfire risk assessment, mitigation and monitoring for building structures
Publication Date: 2023.01.26 FORTRESS WILDFIRE INSURANCE GROUP LLC
  • US20230023808A1 patent drawing
  • US20230023808A1 patent drawing
  • US20230023808A1 patent drawing

AI summary

There is a system and method for wildfire loss assessment for a building structure, or a set of building structures, comprising obtaining a building structure dataset; receiving, by a computer system, computer-readable input data regarding one or more fuel sources, in the proximity of the building structure location, that may cause the building structure to ignite; correlating and combining the building structure dataset with the fuel source dataset; determining, by the computer system, an ignition potential for the building structure based on the one or more fuel sources; and outputting a report of the ignition potential for the building structure.