Wireless Network Traffic Forecasting via Iterative Residual Decomposition
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Solution Overview
Problem
Current predictive techniques for cellular network traffic trends are inefficient in distinguishing and separating intrinsic and random components, leading to suboptimal forecasting, especially in urbanized areas with varying traffic patterns.
Innovation Solution
A method involving the creation of a k-dimensional residual matrix from traffic data samples, subdividing time scales into partitions, approximating data using scalar functions, and iteratively removing characterized trends to isolate residual information, allowing for efficient forecasting of future traffic trends by extending, transposing, or transforming functionals.
Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles
Engineering Contradiction Analysis
1Measurement precision
If conventional predictive techniques (spline extrapolation, neural networks, regressive techniques) are used to forecast cellular network traffic, then forecasting can be performed with basic assumptions, but the distinction and separation between intrinsic and random traffic components is insufficient, leading to suboptimal forecasting accuracy
Solution Approach 1:
The patent applies segmentation by decomposing the traffic time series into distinct components: intrinsic component (systematic patterns including seasonality and trends) and random component (residual variations). This is achieved through iterative approximation where functionals are applied to extract intrinsic patterns, and residuals are calculated to isolate random components. The segmentation enables separate modeling and forecasting of each component, improving overall forecasting accuracy.
Solution Approach 2:
The patent introduces functionals as intermediary mathematical tools that bridge the raw traffic data and the separated components. These functionals act as mediators that systematically extract intrinsic patterns from the mixed traffic signal, enabling the separation process. The functionals include operations such as averaging, differencing, and seasonal adjustment that transform the original data into component-separated form.
2Measurement precision
If traffic data is processed with high time resolution to capture detailed traffic patterns, then more granular traffic evolution is observed, but the data becomes increasingly irregular and harder to predict
Solution Approach 1:
The patent applies periodic action by explicitly modeling and extracting seasonal patterns from the traffic data. Functionals are designed to identify and separate periodic components (such as daily, weekly, or monthly cycles) from the irregular high-resolution data. By extracting these periodic patterns, the method transforms irregular data into a form where systematic variations are isolated, improving predictability of the remaining components.
Solution Approach 2:
The patent segments the high-resolution traffic data into intrinsic components (including periodic seasonal patterns) and random components. This segmentation allows the systematic periodic patterns to be separately analyzed and forecasted, while the random components are handled differently, thereby improving overall predictability despite the high time resolution of the input data.
3Adaptability or versatility
If conventional predictive techniques are applied without pre-classification of phenomena characteristics, then the methods can be generally applied, but they require sampling and filtering processes that may not fully meet Nyquist theorem requirements and lose information
Solution Approach 1:
The patent applies preliminary action by performing component separation and functional approximation before the forecasting step. Instead of directly sampling and filtering the raw traffic data, the method first applies functionals to extract intrinsic components and separate random components. This preliminary processing preserves more information in the original data structure, allowing subsequent forecasting to work with richer, less degraded data.
Solution Approach 2:
The patent substitutes the conventional mechanical sampling and filtering system with a functional-based mathematical transformation approach. Instead of physically sampling data at discrete intervals and applying filters, the method uses functionals to systematically decompose and analyze the continuous traffic signal, preserving information that would be lost in traditional sampling processes.
Data Source
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AI summary
A method (100) for managing a wireless network, comprising: - collecting (105) a sequence of traffic data samples ordered in time, and arranging said collected data samples in at least one level-0 residual matrix having at least one dimension, said dimension of said level-0 residual matrix corresponding to a respective time scale comprising an ordered sequence of time units, said ordered sequences of time units defining a first time window; - performing at least once a cycle, each n-th iteration of the cycle, starting from n = 0, comprising a sequence of phases A), B), C), D), E): A) for at least one dimension of a level-(n) residual matrix, subdividing (110) the corresponding time scale in such a way to group the time units thereof in a respective level-(n+1) partition of time units so as to subdivide the traffic data samples in corresponding level-(n+1) traffic data sample sets; B) for each level-(n+1) traffic data sample set, calculating (115) a corresponding functional which fits said level-(n+1) traffic data sample set; C) for each level-(n+1) traffic data sample set, calculating (115) a corresponding approximation of the level-(n+1) traffic data sample set by applying the corresponding functional to the corresponding level-(n+1) partition of time units; D) joining together (115) the approximations of the level-(n+1) traffic data sample sets to calculate a level-(n+1) approximated matrix, said level-(n+1) approximated matrix being an approximated version of the level-(n) residual matrix; E) calculating (120) the difference between the level-(n) residual matrix and the calculated level-(n+1) approximated matrix so as to obtain a level-(n+1) residual matrix; - forecasting (130) traffic data trend in a second time window different from the first time window by generating predicted data samples by applying the calculated functional to a partition of time units comprising an ordered sequence of time units corresponding to at least one among said second time window and said first time window; - using (140) said forecasted traffic data trend to manage the wireless network.