Predictive Maintenance System for Work Vehicle Alert Sequences

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Solution Overview

Problem

Current maintenance schedules for work vehicles often lack predictive capabilities, leading to unexpected machine failures and increased downtime, as they rely solely on routine maintenance rather than data-driven predictive analysis.

Innovation Solution

A method and system that access and compare alert sequences from work vehicles to a predictive model, identifying substantial similarities between observed diagnostic codes, sensor data, and vehicle status data to predict machine failures and determine the probable parts required for repair, using a centralized data processing center that updates in real-time with historical data from a large population of vehicles.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Reliability

If routine maintenance schedules are used based on fixed intervals, then maintenance can be performed regularly, but unexpected machine failures still occur and downtime increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvemachine reliabilityVSAvoiddowntime
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The system performs preliminary actions by analyzing alert sequences and diagnostic data to predict machine failures before they occur. The predictive maintenance system identifies patterns in sensor data and diagnostic codes that precede failures, allowing maintenance to be scheduled in advance rather than reacting to actual failures, thus reducing unexpected downtime and improving reliability.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

2Reliability

If predictive maintenance is implemented using data analysis, then machine failures can be predicted and downtime reduced, but system complexity increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvefailure prediction accuracyVSAvoidsystem complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The predictive maintenance system is designed to be universal and multi-functional, handling multiple vehicle types, sensor data formats, and diagnostic code standards through a single platform. The system can process various alert sequences and diagnostic data from different sources using common analysis algorithms, reducing the need for separate specialized systems for each vehicle type or data format, thereby managing complexity while maintaining high prediction accuracy.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #6Universality (Multi-functionality)

3Measurement precision

If real-time data monitoring is implemented across a vehicle fleet, then predictive accuracy improves, but data processing requirements and computational load increase

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvepredictive accuracyVSAvoidcomputational energy
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSUse of energy by moving object

Solution Approach 1:

The system segments the fleet into groups based on vehicle type, usage patterns, and failure modes, processing data for each segment separately. This segmentation allows the system to focus computational resources on relevant data patterns for each group rather than processing all fleet data uniformly, reducing overall computational energy requirements while maintaining high predictive accuracy through targeted analysis of segment-specific alert sequences and diagnostic data.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

Data Source

PatentUS10657454B2Methods and apparatus to predict machine failures
Publication Date: 2020.05.19 DEERE & CO
  • US10657454B2 patent drawing
  • US10657454B2 patent drawing
  • US10657454B2 patent drawing

AI summary

Methods and apparatus of modeling work vehicle data and predicting machine failures based on the same are disclosed. An example apparatus includes a text miner to text mine first alert data to identify a first machine failure within the first alert data; a failure alert sequence identifier to identify a first alert sequence associated with the first machine failure; a conditional probability determiner to determine a conditional probability of the first alert sequence leading to failure based on i) a number of work machines in which the first alert sequence ended in failure and ii) a number of work machines in which the first alert sequence did not end in failure; and a collator to update a model by correlating the first alert sequence with the first machine failure and first probable parts used to repair the first machine failure.