Method for predicting flood peak flow of earth-rock dam overtopping breach

By improving the earth-rock dam failure model, detailed calculations of the breach flow and erosion at the dam crest are performed. Combined with dam stability, the problems of insufficient calculation accuracy and applicability of existing models are solved, achieving higher accuracy in predicting dam failure peak flow. This model is suitable for emergency assessment and flood control planning of earth-rock dam failures.

CN115391717BActive Publication Date: 2026-08-11YELLOW RIVER ENG CONSULTING CO LTD
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Patent Information

Application Number
CN202211060296.7
Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Patents(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
Filing Date
2022-08-31
Publication Date
2026-08-11
Estimated Expiration
2042-08-31

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

Existing earth-rock dam failure prediction models suffer from poor applicability, low calculation accuracy, or excessive time consumption when calculating dam break peak flow. In particular, the mathematical models are too simplistic in calculating the breach flow, resulting in large errors in the calculation results.

Method used

An improved model for predicting peak flow of overtopping breach floods in earth-rock dams was developed. By calculating the flow and erosion at the breach crest in detail, and considering the stability of the dam body within the breach area, a new algorithm and iterative calculation method were adopted. Combining the dam material properties and hydrodynamic principles, the model calculates the flow rate, water depth, flow velocity, and erosion rate at the breach crest. The terrain was adjusted to improve the calculation accuracy.

Benefits of technology

It improves the accuracy and applicability of predicting peak flow rates during earth-rock dam breaches, reduces sensitivity to initial breach size, provides more reliable support for emergency response plans, and the calculation results have smaller errors compared to measured results.

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Abstract

This invention discloses a method for predicting the peak flow of a breach in an earth-rock dam, comprising the following steps: Step 1: Collect basic data; Step 2: Determine the initial breach parameters and calculation time step; Step 3: Calculate the breach flow at the dam crest; Step 4: Calculate the normal water depth at the breach; Step 5: Calculate the water depth in the velocity-increased zone at the breach; Step 6: Calculate the average flow velocity at the breach; Step 7: Calculate the average shear force of the flow at the bottom and sides of the breach; Step 8: Calculate the erosion velocity at the bottom and sides of the breach; Step 9: Calculate the average shear force of the flow at the downstream toe of the dam; Step 10: Calculate the erosion velocity at the downstream toe of the dam; Step 11: Calculate the dam stability coefficient within the breach area; Step 12: Adjust the terrain and perform corresponding calculations; Step 13: Output the peak flow of the breach. This invention overcomes the shortcomings of previous methods, as the calculation results are not sensitive to the initial breach size, thus improving the accuracy of the calculation results.
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