A typhoon disaster loss dynamic assessment method and system based on multi-source data

By combining tower monitoring data and meteorological data to build a dynamic prediction model, the problems of real-time updates and accuracy in typhoon disaster loss prediction have been solved, enabling timely and accurate assessment of typhoon disasters and improving the scientific nature of emergency management and the efficiency of resource allocation.

CN122414554APending Publication Date: 2026-07-17应急管理部大数据中心

Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Applications(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
应急管理部大数据中心
Filing Date
2026-04-24
Publication Date
2026-07-17

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

Existing methods for predicting typhoon disaster losses are difficult to update in real time during the disaster process, have limited prediction accuracy, and are difficult to perceive the actual impact of the disaster, resulting in delayed emergency decision-making and inaccurate resource allocation.

Method used

By acquiring real-time tower monitoring data (offline rate, power outage rate, and flooding rate), along with dynamic meteorological data and regional static data, input features are constructed. A dynamic prediction model is built using causal hollow convolutional networks and graph attention networks. The model outputs the cumulative disaster losses after the typhoon event ends and generates an interpretable emergency briefing by combining it with a large language model.

Benefits of technology

It enables real-time and accurate assessment of typhoon disaster losses, improves the accuracy of predicting casualties and economic losses, assists in the scientific and forward-looking nature of emergency management, and reduces decision-making delays and resource waste.

✦ Generated by Eureka AI based on patent content.

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Abstract

本申请公开了一种基于多源数据的台风灾害损失动态评估方法及系统,该方法包括:实时获取目标区域的铁塔监测数据;其中,铁塔监测数据至少包括铁塔离线率、停电率与水浸率;响应于检测到台风事件,将铁塔监测数据与气象动态数据、区域静态数据共同构造为输入特征;区域静态数据包括:人口、GDP、面积、历史受灾频次、铁塔总数中的至少一种;将输入特征输入至预先训练好的动态预测模型,输出预测信息,其中,所述预测信息至少包括以下一项:用于指示台风时间到达所述目标区域的时间预测值;用于指示台风事件结束后所述目标区域的累计灾害损失的损失预测值;其中,所述累计灾害损失至少包括累计受伤人数、累计死亡人数与直接经济损失。
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