Method and device for distributing carbon quota

Abstract

The invention provides a carbon quota distribution method and device, and relates to the technical field of carbon quota distribution and environmental protection. The method comprises the following steps: determining a target area to be subjected to carbon quota allocation, and determining a corresponding carbon quota total amount of the target area in a target time period; dividing the target area into a plurality of target sub-areas according to an area division strategy corresponding to the target area; collecting model matching related parameters corresponding to the target sub-region, and matching from a preset model library according to the model matching related parameters to obtain a carbon quota calculation model corresponding to the target sub-region; for any target sub-region, obtaining carbon quota calculation related parameters corresponding to the target sub-region, and calculating the carbon quota calculation related parameters based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain an initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-region in the target time period; and based on the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-region in the target time period, dividing the total carbon quota to obtain a target carbon quota corresponding to each target sub-region in the target time period.

Description

Technical Field

[0001] The present application relates to the fields of carbon quota allocation and environmental protection technology, and in particular to a carbon quota allocation method and device. Background Art

[0002] As global attention to climate change continues to deepen, carbon emission control has become a key task for countries to achieve sustainable development. As the core link of the carbon emission trading system, the initial allocation method of carbon quotas plays a vital role in the operating efficiency and emission reduction effect of the carbon market. However, most of the existing carbon quota allocation methods rely on unified standards or models, and fail to fully consider the differences in economic structure, industrial characteristics, energy consumption structure and carbon emission history in different regions. This allocation method may lead to a mismatch between the allocation results and the actual situation of each region, making it difficult to effectively motivate each region to achieve carbon emission reduction targets. Summary of the invention

[0003] The present application aims to solve one of the technical problems in the related art at least to some extent.

[0004] To this end, one purpose of the present application is to propose a method for allocating carbon quotas, by determining a target area to be allocated carbon quotas, and determining the total amount of carbon quotas corresponding to the target area in a target period; dividing the target area into multiple target sub-areas according to the area division strategy corresponding to the target area; collecting model matching related parameters corresponding to the target sub-areas, and matching the carbon quota calculation model corresponding to the target sub-areas from a preset model library according to the model matching related parameters; for any target sub-area, obtaining the carbon quota calculation related parameters corresponding to the target sub-area, and calculating the carbon quota calculation related parameters based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period; dividing the total amount of carbon quota based on the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period to obtain the target carbon quota corresponding to each target sub-area in the target period.

[0005] The second purpose of this application is to propose a carbon quota allocation device.

[0006] The third objective of the present application is to provide an electronic device.

[0007] A fourth object of the present application is to provide a non-transitory computer-readable storage medium.

[0008] A fifth object of the present application is to provide a computer program product.

[0009] To achieve the above-mentioned purpose, the first embodiment of the present application proposes a method for allocating carbon quotas, which includes determining a target area to be allocated carbon quotas, and determining the total amount of carbon quotas corresponding to the target area in a target period; dividing the target area into multiple target sub-areas according to the area division strategy corresponding to the target area; collecting model matching related parameters corresponding to the target sub-areas, and obtaining a carbon quota calculation model corresponding to the target sub-areas from a preset model library according to the model matching related parameters; for any target sub-area, obtaining carbon quota calculation related parameters corresponding to the target sub-area, and calculating the carbon quota calculation related parameters based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain an initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period; dividing the total amount of carbon quota based on the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period to obtain the target carbon quota corresponding to each target sub-area in the target period.

[0010] According to one embodiment of the present application, the total carbon quota is divided based on the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period to obtain the target carbon quota corresponding to each target sub-region in the target period, including: obtaining the sum of the initial carbon quotas corresponding to the various target sub-regions in the target period; in response to the sum of the initial carbon quotas being greater than the total carbon quota, determining the first quota ratio of each target sub-region based on the initial carbon quota of each target sub-region; dividing the total carbon quota based on the first quota ratio to obtain the target carbon quota corresponding to each target sub-region in the target period.

[0011] According to one embodiment of the present application, the total carbon quota is divided based on the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period to obtain the target carbon quota corresponding to each target sub-area in the target period, including: obtaining the carbon quota adjustment factors corresponding to each target sub-area in the target period; adjusting the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period based on the carbon quota adjustment factor to obtain the intermediate carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period; obtaining the sum of the intermediate carbon quotas corresponding to each target sub-area in the target period; in response to the sum of the intermediate carbon quotas being greater than the total carbon quota, determining the second quota ratio of each target sub-area based on the intermediate carbon quota of each target sub-area; dividing the total carbon quota based on the second quota ratio to obtain the target carbon quota corresponding to each target sub-area in the target period.

[0012] According to one embodiment of the present application, the method for allocating carbon quotas also includes: for any target sub-area, formulating an initial emission reduction strategy corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period based on the target carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period; in the process of executing the initial emission reduction strategy for the target sub-area, dividing the target period into a completed period and an unfinished period according to the execution progress of the initial emission reduction strategy; continuously collecting the carbon emission time series of the target sub-area in the completed period, and inputting the carbon emission time series into the trained emission reduction strategy optimization model to obtain the strategy optimization parameters corresponding to the unfinished period; and optimizing the initial emission reduction strategy corresponding to the unfinished period based on the strategy optimization parameters.

[0013] According to an embodiment of the present application, the model matching related parameters include at least one or more of historical economic data, historical energy data, historical carbon emission data, and geographical environment data.

[0014] According to an embodiment of the present application, the regional division strategy includes at least one of a division strategy based on administrative regions, a division strategy based on economic levels, and a division strategy based on industrial distribution.

[0015] According to one embodiment of the present application, in response to the carbon quota calculation model corresponding to the target sub-area being a grandfather model based on historical emissions, carbon quota calculation-related parameters corresponding to the target sub-area are obtained, and the carbon quota calculation-related parameters are calculated based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period, including: obtaining the average carbon emissions of the target sub-area in the previous N historical periods, and obtaining a preset emission reduction ratio corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period; calculating the average carbon emissions and the preset emission reduction ratio based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period.

[0016] According to one embodiment of the present application, in response to the carbon quota calculation model corresponding to the target sub-area being a baseline method model based on an industry baseline, carbon quota calculation related parameters corresponding to the target sub-area are obtained, and the carbon quota calculation related parameters are calculated based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain an initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period, including: obtaining multiple types of products corresponding to the target sub-area, the multiple types of products including at least industrial products and agricultural products; obtaining the production forecast corresponding to each type of product in the target period; obtaining the carbon quota benchmark value per unit product corresponding to each type of product in the target period; calculating the production forecast and the carbon quota benchmark value per unit product based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period.

[0017] According to one embodiment of the present application, in response to the carbon quota calculation model corresponding to the target sub-region being an output method model based on economic output, carbon quota calculation related parameters corresponding to the target sub-region are obtained, and the carbon quota calculation related parameters are calculated based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period, including: obtaining the predicted gross domestic product value corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period; obtaining the correlation factor between the carbon quota allocation amount corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period and the predicted gross domestic product value; calculating the predicted gross domestic product value and the correlation factor based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period.

[0018] To achieve the above-mentioned purpose, the second embodiment of the present application proposes a carbon quota allocation device, including: a data determination module, used to determine the target area to be allocated carbon quota, and to determine the total carbon quota corresponding to the target area in the target time period; an area division module, used to divide the target area into multiple target sub-areas according to the area division strategy corresponding to the target area; a model matching module, used to collect model matching related parameters corresponding to the target sub-areas, and match the carbon quota calculation model corresponding to the target sub-area from a preset model library according to the model matching related parameters; a carbon quota calculation module, used to obtain the carbon quota calculation related parameters corresponding to any target sub-area, and calculate the carbon quota calculation related parameters based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target time period; a carbon quota correction module, used to divide the total carbon quota based on the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target time period, and obtain the target carbon quota corresponding to each target sub-area in the target time period. According to one embodiment of the present application, the carbon quota correction module is also used to: obtain the sum of the initial carbon quotas corresponding to each target sub-area in the target period; in response to the sum of the initial carbon quotas being greater than the total carbon quota, determine the first quota ratio of each target sub-area based on the initial carbon quota of each target sub-area; divide the total carbon quota based on the first quota ratio to obtain the target carbon quota corresponding to each target sub-area in the target period.

[0019] According to one embodiment of the present application, the carbon quota correction module is also used to: obtain the carbon quota adjustment factors corresponding to each target sub-area in the target period; adjust the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period based on the carbon quota adjustment factor to obtain the intermediate carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period; obtain the sum of the intermediate carbon quotas corresponding to each target sub-area in the target period; in response to the sum of the intermediate carbon quotas being greater than the total carbon quota, determine the second quota ratio of each target sub-area based on the intermediate carbon quota of each target sub-area; divide the total carbon quota based on the second quota ratio to obtain the target carbon quota corresponding to each target sub-area in the target period.

[0020] According to one embodiment of the present application, the carbon quota allocation device also includes a strategy optimization module, which is used to: for any target sub-area, formulate an initial emission reduction strategy corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period based on the target carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period; in the process of executing the initial emission reduction strategy on the target sub-area, divide the target period into a completed period and an unfinished period according to the execution progress of the initial emission reduction strategy; continuously collect the carbon emission time series of the target sub-area in the completed period, and input the carbon emission time series into the trained emission reduction strategy optimization model to obtain the strategy optimization parameters corresponding to the unfinished period; optimize the initial emission reduction strategy corresponding to the unfinished period based on the strategy optimization parameters.

[0021] According to an embodiment of the present application, the model matching related parameters include at least one or more of historical economic data, historical energy data, historical carbon emission data, and geographical environment data.

[0022] According to an embodiment of the present application, the regional division strategy includes at least one of a division strategy based on administrative regions, a division strategy based on economic levels, and a division strategy based on industrial distribution.

[0023] According to one embodiment of the present application, in response to the carbon quota calculation model corresponding to the target sub-area being a grandfather model based on historical emissions, the carbon quota calculation module is also used to: obtain the average carbon emissions of the target sub-area in the previous N historical time periods, and obtain the preset emission reduction ratio corresponding to the target sub-area in the target time period; calculate the average carbon emissions and the preset emission reduction ratio based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target time period.

[0024] According to one embodiment of the present application, in response to the carbon quota calculation model corresponding to the target sub-area being a baseline method model based on an industry baseline, the carbon quota calculation module is further used to: obtain multiple types of products corresponding to the target sub-area, the multiple types of products including at least industrial products and agricultural products; obtain the production forecast quantity corresponding to each type of product in the target time period; obtain the carbon quota benchmark value per unit product corresponding to each type of product in the target time period; calculate the production forecast quantity and the carbon quota benchmark value per unit product based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target time period.

[0025] According to one embodiment of the present application, in response to the carbon quota calculation model corresponding to the target sub-area being an output method model based on economic output, the carbon quota calculation module is also used to: obtain the predicted gross domestic product value corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period; obtain the correlation factor between the carbon quota allocation amount corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period and the predicted gross domestic product value; calculate the predicted gross domestic product value and the correlation factor based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period.

[0026] To achieve the above-mentioned purpose, the third aspect embodiment of the present application proposes an electronic device, comprising: at least one processor; and a memory communicatively connected to the at least one processor; wherein the memory stores instructions executable by the at least one processor, and the instructions are executed by the at least one processor to implement the carbon quota allocation method as described in the first aspect embodiment of the present application.

[0027] To achieve the above-mentioned purpose, the fourth aspect embodiment of the present application proposes a non-transitory computer-readable storage medium storing computer instructions, wherein the computer instructions are used to implement the carbon quota allocation method as described in the first aspect embodiment of the present application.

[0028] To achieve the above-mentioned purpose, the fifth embodiment of the present application proposes a computer program product, including a computer program, which, when executed by a processor, implements the carbon quota allocation method as described in the first embodiment of the present application.

[0029] The present application achieves at least the following beneficial effects: the present application divides the target area into multiple target sub-areas, and selects a matching carbon quota calculation model according to the specific conditions of each sub-area to carry out personalized quota allocation, so as to adapt to regional differences more accurately; a reasonable allocation plan encourages each target sub-area to take emission reduction measures according to its own characteristics, optimizes resource allocation between regions, reduces unnecessary waste of resources, and improves emission reduction effects; at the same time, by adjusting the initial carbon quota of each target sub-area based on the total amount of carbon quota, the fairness of carbon quota is ensured and the total quota limit is met. BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS

[0030] The above and / or additional aspects and advantages of the present application will become apparent and easily understood from the following description of the embodiments in conjunction with the accompanying drawings, in which: Figure 1 It is an exemplary schematic diagram of a method for allocating carbon quotas shown in an embodiment of the present application.

[0031] Figure 2 It is an exemplary schematic diagram of a method for allocating carbon quotas shown in an embodiment of the present application.

[0032] Figure 3 It is an exemplary schematic diagram of a method for allocating carbon quotas shown in an embodiment of the present application.

[0033] Figure 4 It is an exemplary schematic diagram of a method for allocating carbon quotas shown in an embodiment of the present application.

[0034] Figure 5 It is a schematic diagram of a carbon quota allocation device shown in an embodiment of the present application.

[0035] Figure 6 It is a schematic diagram of an electronic device shown in one embodiment of the present application. DETAILED DESCRIPTION

[0036] The embodiments of the present application are described in detail below, and examples of the embodiments are shown in the accompanying drawings, wherein the same or similar reference numerals throughout represent the same or similar elements or elements having the same or similar functions. The embodiments described below with reference to the accompanying drawings are exemplary and are intended to be used to explain the present application, and should not be construed as limiting the present application.

[0037] Figure 1 is an exemplary schematic diagram of a carbon quota allocation method shown in this application, such as Figure 1 As shown, the method for allocating carbon quotas includes the following steps: S101, determining a target area to be allocated carbon quota, and determining the total amount of carbon quota corresponding to the target area in the target period.

[0038] Among them, the target period refers to the period for carbon quota allocation, which can be a time unit such as month or year.

[0039] For example, taking Province A as the target area for carbon quota allocation and 2025 as the target period, it can be determined that the total carbon quota of Province A in 2025 is 90 million tons.

[0040] S102: Divide the target area into a plurality of target sub-areas according to an area division strategy corresponding to the target area.

[0041] In some embodiments, the overall target area is divided into multiple target sub-areas based on factors such as geographical regions, economic development levels, and similarity of industrial structures, for example, the sub-areas may be divided according to administrative regions, economic regions, or industrial cluster characteristics.

[0042] For example, taking Province A as the target area for carbon quota allocation, it is assumed that based on the province's economic development characteristics and industrial distribution, the province can be divided into three target sub-areas: the northern region dominated by traditional heavy industry, including 3 prefecture-level cities; the central region dominated by high-tech industries and service industries, including 4 prefecture-level cities; the southern region dominated by agriculture and light industry, including 2 prefecture-level cities.

[0043] For example, take Province B as the target area for carbon quota allocation. Assuming that the province contains 10 prefecture-level cities, the province can be divided into 10 target sub-areas based on the administrative regions of the province, and each target sub-area is a prefecture-level city.

[0044] S103, collecting model matching related parameters corresponding to the target sub-region, and matching and obtaining the carbon quota calculation model corresponding to the target sub-region from a preset model library according to the model matching related parameters.

[0045] Among them, model matching related parameters refer to the parameters used to match the carbon quota calculation model, which may include historical carbon emission information, industry structure information, geographical environment information and other information of the target sub-area.

[0046] Among them, the model library may include: grandfather method model based on historical emissions, baseline method model based on industry baseline, output method model based on economic output and other models.

[0047] Among them, each model in the model library has its applicable scenarios and characteristics. The grandfather model is suitable for regions with relatively complete historical carbon emission data and relatively stable industrial structure; the baseline model is suitable for regions with large differences in carbon emission levels among enterprises in the same industry; the output model is suitable for regions with a high correlation between economic development and carbon emissions.

[0048] Continuing to take the above-mentioned province A as the target area for carbon quota allocation, it is assumed that according to the economic development characteristics and industrial distribution of the province, the province can be divided into three target sub-regions: the northern region dominated by traditional heavy industry, including 3 prefecture-level cities; the central region dominated by high-tech industries and service industries, including 4 prefecture-level cities; the southern region dominated by agriculture and light industry, including 2 prefecture-level cities. The model matching related parameters of each target sub-region are analyzed: for the northern region, due to its large proportion of traditional heavy industry, relatively stable industrial structure and complete historical carbon emission data, the grandfather method model is selected for carbon quota allocation; for the central region, the high-tech industry is developing rapidly, and economic growth is closely related to carbon emissions, so the output method model is selected; for the southern region, considering the characteristics of agriculture and light industry, as well as the differences in carbon emission levels among enterprises in the same industry, the baseline method model is selected.

[0049] S104: For any target sub-region, obtain the carbon quota calculation related parameters corresponding to the target sub-region, and calculate the carbon quota calculation related parameters based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period.

[0050] For any target sub-area, after the carbon quota calculation model corresponding to the target sub-area is determined as above, the parameters required by the carbon quota calculation model are obtained as the carbon quota calculation related parameters corresponding to the target sub-area, and the carbon quota calculation related parameters are calculated based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period.

[0051] S105, dividing the total carbon quota based on the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period, to obtain the target carbon quota corresponding to each target sub-region in the target period.

[0052] For example, assume that Province A contains three target sub-regions, and the initial carbon quotas of these three sub-regions are 50 million tons, 40 million tons and 30 million tons respectively, while the total carbon quota of Province A in 2025 is 90 million tons. Obviously, the total initial carbon quota of the three target sub-regions is 120 million tons, which exceeds the total carbon quota of Province A in 2025. Therefore, it is necessary to redistribute the total carbon quota according to the initial carbon quota ratio of each target sub-region, and obtain the target carbon quota of each sub-region, which is 37.5 million tons, 30 million tons and 22.5 million tons respectively.

[0053] In some embodiments, if the sum of the initial carbon quotas corresponding to each target sub-area in the target period is less than the total carbon quota of the target area, the initial carbon quota of each target sub-area can be used as its target carbon quota, and the remaining carbon quota after the target carbon quota is allocated can be transferred to the carbon trading market for trading.

[0054] In some embodiments, if the sum of the initial carbon quotas corresponding to the target sub-regions in the target period is equal to the total carbon quota of the target region, the initial carbon quota of each target sub-region may be used as its target carbon quota.

[0055] An embodiment of the present application proposes a method for allocating carbon quotas, including: determining a target area to be allocated carbon quotas, and determining the total carbon quota amount corresponding to the target area in a target period; dividing the target area into multiple target sub-areas according to the area division strategy corresponding to the target area; collecting model matching related parameters corresponding to the target sub-areas, and matching the carbon quota calculation model corresponding to the target sub-areas from a preset model library according to the model matching related parameters; for any target sub-area, obtaining the carbon quota calculation related parameters corresponding to the target sub-area, and calculating the carbon quota calculation related parameters based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period; dividing the total carbon quota amount based on the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period to obtain the target carbon quota corresponding to each target sub-area in the target period. This application divides the target area into multiple target sub-areas, and selects a matching carbon quota calculation model according to the specific conditions of each sub-area to carry out personalized quota allocation, so as to adapt to regional differences more accurately; a reasonable allocation plan encourages each target sub-area to take emission reduction measures according to its own characteristics, optimizes resource allocation between regions, reduces unnecessary waste of resources, and improves emission reduction effects; at the same time, by adjusting the initial carbon quota of each target sub-area based on the total carbon quota, the fairness of the carbon quota is ensured and the total quota limit is met.

[0056] Figure 2 is an exemplary schematic diagram of a carbon quota allocation method shown in this application, such as Figure 2 As shown, the method for allocating carbon quotas includes the following steps: S201, determining a target area to be allocated carbon quotas, and determining a total amount of carbon quotas corresponding to the target area in a target period.

[0057] S202: Divide the target area into a plurality of target sub-areas according to an area division strategy corresponding to the target area.

[0058] The regional division strategy includes at least one of a division strategy based on administrative regions, a division strategy based on economic levels, and a division strategy based on industrial distribution.

[0059] In some embodiments, the target area is divided into a plurality of target sub-areas according to administrative regions.

[0060] In some embodiments, the target area is divided into a plurality of target sub-areas according to economic data.

[0061] In some embodiments, the target area is divided into multiple target sub-areas according to industry cluster data.

[0062] In some embodiments, the target area is divided into multiple target sub-areas by comprehensively considering administrative regions, economic data, and industrial cluster data.

[0063] S203: Collect model matching related parameters corresponding to the target sub-region, and obtain a carbon quota calculation model corresponding to the target sub-region from a preset model library according to the model matching related parameters.

[0064] The model matching related parameters corresponding to the target sub-region include at least one or more of historical economic data, historical energy data, historical carbon emission data, and geographical environment data.

[0065] The historical economic data of the target sub-region at least includes the historical gross domestic product (GDP) corresponding to the target sub-region, the industrial output value of each industry in the target sub-region and other data.

[0066] The historical energy data of the target sub-region at least includes the historical total energy consumption, the consumption proportion of various energy types such as coal, oil, and natural gas corresponding to the target sub-region, and other data.

[0067] Among them, the historical carbon emission data of the target sub-area at least includes data such as the total historical carbon emissions corresponding to the target sub-area, and the industry carbon emissions of various industries such as steel, electricity, and chemicals.

[0068] The geographical environment data of the target sub-region at least include data such as the climate conditions corresponding to the target sub-region and whether there are abundant renewable energy resources (such as the distribution of wind energy and solar energy resources).

[0069] In this application, the model library may include: grandfather method model based on historical emissions, baseline method model based on industry baseline, output method model based on economic output and other models. Each model in the model library has its applicable scenarios and characteristics. The grandfather method model is suitable for areas with relatively complete historical carbon emission data and relatively stable industrial structure; the baseline method model is suitable for areas where the carbon emission levels of enterprises in the same industry vary greatly; the output method model is suitable for areas where economic development and carbon emissions are highly correlated. After determining the model matching related parameters corresponding to the target sub-area as mentioned above, the carbon quota calculation model corresponding to the target sub-area is matched from the preset model library according to the model matching related parameters.

[0070] S204: For any target sub-region, obtain the carbon quota calculation related parameters corresponding to the target sub-region, and calculate the carbon quota calculation related parameters based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period.

[0071] In some embodiments, if the carbon quota calculation model corresponding to the target sub-area is a grandfather model based on historical emissions, the average carbon emissions of the target sub-area in the previous N historical periods are obtained, and the preset emission reduction ratio corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period is obtained (that is, the average carbon emissions of the target sub-area in the previous N historical periods and the preset emission reduction ratio corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period are used as parameters related to carbon quota calculation), and then the average carbon emissions and the preset emission reduction ratio are calculated based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period.

[0072] For example, for a certain target sub-area, assuming that its average carbon emissions in the past five years before 2025 are 10 million tons, and the preset emission reduction ratio is set at 10%, then according to the grandfather model, the initial carbon quota of the target sub-area in 2025 is calculated to be 1000×(1-10%)=9 million tons.

[0073] In some embodiments, if the carbon quota calculation model corresponding to the target sub-area is a baseline method model based on an industry baseline, multiple types of products corresponding to the target sub-area are obtained, and the multiple types of products include at least industrial products and agricultural products; the production forecast quantity corresponding to each type of product in the target period is obtained; the carbon quota baseline value per unit product corresponding to each type of product in the target period is obtained (that is, the production forecast quantity corresponding to each type of product in the target period and the carbon quota baseline value per unit product corresponding to each type of product in the target period are used as parameters related to carbon quota calculation); then the production forecast quantity and the carbon quota baseline value per unit product are calculated based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period.

[0074] For example, for a certain target sub-area, assuming that it mainly produces light industrial products and agricultural products, if the production forecast of light industrial products in 2025 is 500,000 tons, the carbon quota benchmark value per unit of light industrial products is 0.5 tons of carbon dioxide per ton of product; if the production forecast of agricultural products in 2025 is 100,000 tons, the carbon quota benchmark value per unit of agricultural products is 0.01 tons of carbon dioxide per ton of product. Then, based on the baseline method model, the initial carbon quota of the target sub-area in 2025 is 50×0.5+10×0.01=251,000 tons.

[0075] In some embodiments, if the carbon quota calculation model corresponding to the target sub-region is an output method model based on economic output, the GDP forecast value corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period is obtained; the correlation factor between the carbon quota allocation amount corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period and the GDP forecast value is obtained (that is, the GDP forecast value corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period and the correlation factor are used as relevant parameters for carbon quota calculation); then the GDP forecast value and the correlation factor are calculated based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period.

[0076] For example, for a certain target sub-region, assuming that the GDP forecast value of the target sub-region is 500 billion yuan, the correlation factor between the corresponding carbon quota allocation of the target sub-region in 2025 and the GDP forecast value is 0.5 (derived from statistical analysis of historical data), then based on the output method model, the initial carbon quota of the target sub-region in 2025 is calculated to be 5000×0.5=25 million tons.

[0077] S205, obtaining the sum of initial carbon quotas corresponding to each target sub-region in the target period, and in response to the sum of the initial carbon quotas being greater than the total carbon quota, determining a first quota ratio for each target sub-region based on the initial carbon quotas of each target sub-region.

[0078] In some embodiments, the sum of the initial carbon quotas corresponding to each target sub-area in the target period is obtained. If the sum of the initial carbon quotas corresponding to each target sub-area in the target period is greater than the total carbon quota of the target area, that is, assuming that the initial carbon quota corresponding to each target sub-area is taken as its final target carbon quota, then the target carbon quotas of all target sub-areas added together will exceed the standard. In order to avoid this situation, in this application, it is necessary to determine the first quota ratio of each target sub-area based on the initial carbon quota of each target sub-area.

[0079] S206: Divide the total carbon quota based on the first quota ratio to obtain a target carbon quota corresponding to each target sub-region in the target period.

[0080] For example, assume that Province A contains three target sub-regions, and the initial carbon quotas of these three sub-regions are 50 million tons, 40 million tons and 30 million tons respectively, while the total carbon quota of Province A in 2025 is 90 million tons. Obviously, the sum of the initial carbon quotas of the three target sub-regions is 120 million tons, which exceeds the total carbon quota of Province A in 2025. Therefore, based on the initial carbon quotas of each target sub-region, the first quota ratio of each target sub-region is determined to be 50 million tons: 40 million tons: 30 million tons = 5:4:3. The total carbon quota is redistributed according to the ratio of 5:4:3, and the target carbon quotas of each sub-region are obtained, which are 37.5 million tons, 30 million tons and 22.5 million tons respectively.

[0081] Furthermore, in some embodiments, if the sum of the initial carbon quotas corresponding to each target sub-region in the target period is less than the total carbon quota of the target region, the initial carbon quota of each target sub-region can be used as its target carbon quota, and the remaining carbon quota after the target carbon quota is allocated can be transferred to the carbon trading market for trading.

[0082] Furthermore, in some embodiments, if the sum of the initial carbon quotas corresponding to the target sub-regions in the target period is equal to the total carbon quota of the target region, the initial carbon quota of each target sub-region may be used as its target carbon quota.

[0083] The embodiment of the present application divides the target area into multiple target sub-areas, and selects a matching carbon quota calculation model according to the specific conditions of each sub-area to perform personalized quota allocation, thereby more accurately adapting to regional differences; a reasonable allocation plan encourages each target sub-area to take emission reduction measures according to its own characteristics, optimizes resource allocation between regions, reduces unnecessary resource waste, and improves emission reduction effects; at the same time, by adjusting the initial carbon quota of each target sub-area based on the total carbon quota, the fairness of the carbon quota is ensured and the total quota limit is met.

[0084] Figure 3 is an exemplary schematic diagram of a carbon quota allocation method shown in this application, such as Figure 3 As shown, the method for allocating carbon quotas includes the following steps: S301, determining a target area to be allocated carbon quota, and determining the total amount of carbon quota corresponding to the target area in the target period.

[0085] S302: Divide the target area into a plurality of target sub-areas according to the area division strategy corresponding to the target area.

[0086] S303: Collect model matching related parameters corresponding to the target sub-region, and obtain a carbon quota calculation model corresponding to the target sub-region from a preset model library according to the model matching related parameters.

[0087] S304: For any target sub-region, obtain the carbon quota calculation related parameters corresponding to the target sub-region, and calculate the carbon quota calculation related parameters based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period.

[0088] Regarding the specific implementation of steps S301 to S304, reference may be made to the specific introduction of the relevant parts in the above embodiments, which will not be described in detail here.

[0089] S305: Obtain the carbon quota adjustment factors corresponding to each target sub-area in the target period.

[0090] Among them, the carbon quota adjustment factor refers to the factor used to adjust the initial carbon quota after determining the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period, which can be determined based on economic reasons or policies.

[0091] S306: Adjust the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period based on the carbon quota adjustment factor to obtain an intermediate carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period.

[0092] For example, it is assumed that Province A contains three target sub-regions, and the initial carbon quotas of these three sub-regions are 50 million tons, 40 million tons and 30 million tons, respectively.

[0093] Assuming that the carbon quota adjustment factor corresponding to the first target sub-area is 1.1, the intermediate carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period is 5000×1.1=55 million tons.

[0094] Assuming that the carbon quota adjustment factor corresponding to the second target sub-area is 0.9, the intermediate carbon quota corresponding to this target sub-area during the target period is 4000×0.9=36 million tons.

[0095] Assuming that the carbon quota adjustment factor corresponding to the third target sub-area is 0.8, the intermediate carbon quota corresponding to this target sub-area during the target period is 3000×0.8=24 million tons.

[0096] S307, obtaining the sum of the intermediate carbon quotas corresponding to each target sub-region in the target period, and in response to the sum of the intermediate carbon quotas being greater than the total carbon quota, determining the second quota ratio of each target sub-region based on the intermediate carbon quota of each target sub-region.

[0097] In some embodiments, the sum of the intermediate carbon quotas corresponding to each target sub-region in the target period is obtained. If the sum of the intermediate carbon quotas corresponding to each target sub-region in the target period is greater than the total carbon quota of the target region, that is, assuming that the intermediate carbon quota corresponding to each target sub-region is taken as its final target carbon quota, then the target carbon quotas of all target sub-regions will be exceeded. In order to avoid this situation, in this application, it is necessary to determine the second quota ratio of each target sub-region based on the intermediate carbon quota of each target sub-region.

[0098] Still taking the above three target sub-areas with intermediate carbon quotas of 55 million tons, 36 million tons and 24 million tons respectively as an example, the second quota ratio is 55 million tons: 36 million tons: 24 million tons = 55:36:24.

[0099] S308: Divide the total carbon quota based on the second quota ratio to obtain a target carbon quota corresponding to each target sub-region in the target period.

[0100] Assuming that the second quota ratio of each target sub-area is 55 million tons: 36 million tons: 24 million tons = 55:36:24, and the total carbon quota of the target area in 2025 is 90 million tons, the total carbon quota will be redistributed according to the ratio of 55:36:24, and the target carbon quotas of each sub-area will be 43.04 million tons, 28.17 million tons and 18.79 million tons respectively.

[0101] Furthermore, in some embodiments, if the sum of the intermediate carbon quotas corresponding to each target sub-region in the target period is less than the total carbon quota of the target region, the intermediate carbon quota of each target sub-region can be used as its target carbon quota, and the remaining carbon quota after the target carbon quota is allocated can be transferred to the carbon trading market for trading.

[0102] Furthermore, in some embodiments, if the sum of the intermediate carbon quotas corresponding to the target sub-regions in the target period is equal to the total carbon quota of the target region, the intermediate carbon quota of each target sub-region may be used as its target carbon quota.

[0103] The embodiment of the present application divides the target area into multiple target sub-areas, and selects a matching carbon quota calculation model according to the specific conditions of each sub-area to perform personalized quota allocation, thereby more accurately adapting to regional differences; a reasonable allocation plan encourages each target sub-area to take emission reduction measures according to its own characteristics, optimizes resource allocation between regions, reduces unnecessary resource waste, and improves emission reduction effects; at the same time, by adjusting the initial carbon quota of each target sub-area based on the total carbon quota, the fairness of the carbon quota is ensured and the total quota limit is met.

[0104] Figure 4is an exemplary schematic diagram of a carbon quota allocation method shown in this application, such as Figure 4 As shown, the method for allocating carbon quotas includes the following steps: S401, determining a target area to be allocated carbon quota, and determining the total amount of carbon quota corresponding to the target area in the target period.

[0105] S402: Divide the target area into a plurality of target sub-areas according to the area division strategy corresponding to the target area.

[0106] S403: Collect model matching related parameters corresponding to the target sub-region, and obtain a carbon quota calculation model corresponding to the target sub-region from a preset model library according to the model matching related parameters.

[0107] S404: For any target sub-region, obtain the carbon quota calculation related parameters corresponding to the target sub-region, and calculate the carbon quota calculation related parameters based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period.

[0108] S405 , dividing the total carbon quota based on the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period, to obtain the target carbon quota corresponding to each target sub-region in the target period.

[0109] Regarding the specific implementation of steps S401 to S405, reference may be made to the specific introduction of the relevant parts in the above embodiments, which will not be described in detail here.

[0110] S406: For any target sub-region, an initial emission reduction strategy corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period is formulated based on the target carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period.

[0111] For example, for regions with relatively tight carbon quotas, enterprises are encouraged to increase investment in technological innovation and adopt low-carbon production technologies; for regions with relatively loose carbon quotas, enterprises are guided to optimize their industrial structure and gradually reduce carbon emission intensity. At the same time, a carbon compensation mechanism can be formulated between regions to promote coordinated emission reduction between regions.

[0112] Among them, assuming that the target period is 2025, after determining the target carbon quota of the target sub-area in 2025, the initial emission reduction strategies for the 12 months from January to December can be formulated based on the target carbon quota.

[0113] S407 , in the process of executing the initial emission reduction strategy on the target sub-region, dividing the target period into a completed period and an uncompleted period according to the execution progress of the initial emission reduction strategy.

[0114] Assuming that the target period is 2025, if it is now April 2025, then January to March 2025 is the completed period, and April to December 2025 is the unfinished period.

[0115] S408, continuously collecting the carbon emission time series of the target sub-region in the completed time period, and inputting the carbon emission time series into the trained emission reduction strategy optimization model to obtain the strategy optimization parameters corresponding to the unfinished time period.

[0116] For any target sub-area, taking the above target period as 2025, now is April 2025, January to March 2025 as the completed period, and April to December 2025 as the unfinished period as an example, the carbon emissions time series of the target sub-area from January to March 2025 is input into the trained emission reduction strategy optimization model, and the strategy optimization parameters corresponding to the target sub-area from April to December 2025 output by the emission reduction strategy optimization model are obtained.

[0117] Among them, the strategy optimization parameters can be the tuning parameters for the entire unfinished period, or they can be the tuning parameters for each month from April to December 2025.

[0118] S409: Optimize the initial emission reduction strategy corresponding to the unfinished time period based on the strategy optimization parameters.

[0119] The initial emission reduction strategy corresponding to the unfinished period is optimized based on the strategy optimization parameters, and the updated emission reduction strategy corresponding to the unfinished period is obtained and executed to avoid the total carbon emissions of the target sub-area in the target period exceeding its corresponding target carbon quota.

[0120] By repeating the above-mentioned process of S407 to S409, continuous optimization and adjustment of the emission reduction strategy can be achieved.

[0121] The embodiments of the present application dynamically adjust the emission reduction strategy based on actual carbon emission data to ensure that the strategy can respond promptly to the specific conditions and real-time changes in different regions, so that the emission reduction strategy has the ability to continuously improve, avoids the use of unchanging emission reduction measures, can improve the completion rate of emission reduction targets, and achieve more efficient carbon emission reduction effects.

[0122] Figure 5 is a schematic diagram of a carbon quota allocation device shown in this application, such as Figure 5 As shown, the carbon quota allocation device 500 includes a data determination module 501, a region division module 502, a model matching module 503, a carbon quota calculation module 504 and a carbon quota correction module 505, wherein: The data determination module 501 is used to determine the target area to be allocated carbon quotas, and to determine the total amount of carbon quotas corresponding to the target area in the target period; A region division module 502, configured to divide the target region into a plurality of target sub-regions according to a region division strategy corresponding to the target region; The model matching module 503 is used to collect model matching related parameters corresponding to the target sub-region, and match the carbon quota calculation model corresponding to the target sub-region from a preset model library according to the model matching related parameters; The carbon quota calculation module 504 is used to obtain the carbon quota calculation related parameters corresponding to any target sub-region, and calculate the carbon quota calculation related parameters based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period; The carbon quota correction module 505 is used to divide the total carbon quota based on the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period to obtain the target carbon quota corresponding to each target sub-region in the target period.

[0123] This device divides the target area into multiple target sub-areas, and selects a matching carbon quota calculation model according to the specific conditions of each sub-area to perform personalized quota allocation, so as to adapt to regional differences more accurately; a reasonable allocation plan encourages each target sub-area to take emission reduction measures according to its own characteristics, optimizes resource allocation between regions, reduces unnecessary resource waste, and improves emission reduction effects; at the same time, by adjusting the initial carbon quota of each target sub-area based on the total carbon quota, the fairness of the carbon quota is ensured and the total quota limit is met.

[0124] Furthermore, the carbon quota correction module 505 is also used to: obtain the sum of the initial carbon quotas corresponding to each target sub-area in the target period; in response to the sum of the initial carbon quotas being greater than the total carbon quota, determine the first quota ratio of each target sub-area based on the initial carbon quota of each target sub-area; divide the total carbon quota based on the first quota ratio to obtain the target carbon quota corresponding to each target sub-area in the target period.

[0125] Furthermore, the carbon quota correction module 505 is also used to: obtain the carbon quota adjustment factors corresponding to each target sub-area in the target period; adjust the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period based on the carbon quota adjustment factor to obtain the intermediate carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period; obtain the sum of the intermediate carbon quotas corresponding to each target sub-area in the target period; in response to the sum of the intermediate carbon quotas being greater than the total carbon quota, determine the second quota ratio of each target sub-area based on the intermediate carbon quota of each target sub-area; divide the total carbon quota based on the second quota ratio to obtain the target carbon quota corresponding to each target sub-area in the target period.

[0126] Furthermore, the carbon quota allocation device also includes a strategy optimization module, which is used to: for any target sub-area, formulate an initial emission reduction strategy corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period based on the target carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period; in the process of executing the initial emission reduction strategy for the target sub-area, divide the target period into a completed period and an unfinished period according to the execution progress of the initial emission reduction strategy; continuously collect the carbon emission time series of the target sub-area in the completed period, and input the carbon emission time series into the trained emission reduction strategy optimization model to obtain the strategy optimization parameters corresponding to the unfinished period; optimize the initial emission reduction strategy corresponding to the unfinished period based on the strategy optimization parameters.

[0127] Furthermore, the model matching related parameters include at least one or more of historical economic data, historical energy data, historical carbon emission data, and geographical environment data.

[0128] Furthermore, the regional division strategy includes at least one of a division strategy based on administrative regions, a division strategy based on economic levels, and a division strategy based on industrial distribution.

[0129] Furthermore, in response to the fact that the carbon quota calculation model corresponding to the target sub-region is a grandfather model based on historical emissions, the carbon quota calculation module 504 is also used to: obtain the average carbon emissions of the target sub-region in the previous N historical time periods, and obtain the preset emission reduction ratio corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period; calculate the average carbon emissions and the preset emission reduction ratio based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period.

[0130] Furthermore, in response to the carbon quota calculation model corresponding to the target sub-area being a baseline method model based on an industry baseline, the carbon quota calculation module 504 is further used to: obtain multiple types of products corresponding to the target sub-area, the multiple types of products including at least industrial products and agricultural products; obtain the production forecast corresponding to each type of product in the target time period; obtain the carbon quota benchmark value per unit product corresponding to each type of product in the target time period; calculate the production forecast and the carbon quota benchmark value per unit product based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target time period.

[0131] Furthermore, in response to the fact that the carbon quota calculation model corresponding to the target sub-region is an output method model based on economic output, the carbon quota calculation module 504 is also used to: obtain the GDP forecast value corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period; obtain the correlation factor between the carbon quota allocation amount corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period and the GDP forecast value; calculate the GDP forecast value and the correlation factor based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period.

[0132] In order to implement the above embodiment, the present application embodiment further proposes an electronic device 600, such as Figure 6 As shown, the electronic device 600 includes: a processor 601 and a memory 602 communicatively connected to the processor, the memory 602 stores instructions executable by at least one processor, and the instructions are executed by at least one processor 601 to implement the carbon quota allocation method shown in the above embodiment.

[0133] In order to implement the above embodiment, the embodiment of the present application also proposes a non-transitory computer-readable storage medium storing computer instructions, wherein the computer instructions are used to enable a computer to implement the carbon quota allocation method shown in the above embodiment.

[0134] In order to implement the above embodiment, the embodiment of the present application also proposes a computer program product, including a computer program, which implements the carbon quota allocation method shown in the above embodiment when executed by a processor.

[0135] In the description of the present application, it should be understood that the terms "center", "longitudinal", "lateral", "length", "width", "thickness", "up", "down", "front", "back", "left", "right", "vertical", "horizontal", "top", "bottom", "inside", "outside", "clockwise", "counterclockwise", "axial", "radial", "circumferential" and the like indicate orientations or positional relationships based on the orientations or positional relationships shown in the accompanying drawings, and are only for the convenience of describing the present application and simplifying the description, and do not indicate or imply that the referred device or element must have a specific orientation, be constructed and operated in a specific orientation, and therefore should not be understood as a limitation on the present application.

[0136] In addition, the terms "first" and "second" are used for descriptive purposes only and should not be understood as indicating or implying relative importance or implicitly indicating the number of the indicated technical features. Thus, a feature defined as "first" or "second" may explicitly or implicitly include one or more of the features. In the description of this application, the meaning of "plurality" is two or more, unless otherwise clearly and specifically defined.

[0137] In the description of this specification, the description with reference to the terms "one embodiment", "some embodiments", "example", "specific example", or "some examples" etc. means that the specific features, structures, materials or characteristics described in conjunction with the embodiment or example are included in at least one embodiment or example of the present application. In this specification, the schematic representations of the above terms do not necessarily refer to the same embodiment or example. Moreover, the specific features, structures, materials or characteristics described may be combined in any one or more embodiments or examples in a suitable manner. In addition, those skilled in the art may combine and combine the different embodiments or examples described in this specification and the features of the different embodiments or examples, without contradiction.

[0138] Although the embodiments of the present application have been shown and described above, it can be understood that the above embodiments are exemplary and cannot be understood as limitations on the present application. Ordinary technicians in this field can change, modify, replace and modify the above embodiments within the scope of the present application.

Claims

1. A method for allocating carbon quotas, characterized in that: include: Determine the target area to which carbon quotas are to be allocated, and determine the total amount of carbon quotas corresponding to the target area during the target period; Dividing the target area into a plurality of target sub-areas according to an area division strategy corresponding to the target area; Collecting model matching related parameters corresponding to the target sub-region, and matching and obtaining a carbon quota calculation model corresponding to the target sub-region from a preset model library according to the model matching related parameters; For any of the target sub-areas, obtaining carbon quota calculation related parameters corresponding to the target sub-area, and calculating the carbon quota calculation related parameters based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain an initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period; The total carbon quota is divided based on the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period to obtain the target carbon quota corresponding to each target sub-region in the target period.

2. The method according to claim 1, characterized in that The dividing the total carbon quota based on the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period to obtain the target carbon quota corresponding to each target sub-region in the target period includes: Obtaining the sum of the initial carbon quotas corresponding to each of the target sub-areas in the target period; In response to the sum of the initial carbon quotas being greater than the total carbon quota, determining a first quota ratio for each of the target sub-regions based on the initial carbon quotas of each of the target sub-regions; The total carbon quota is divided based on the first quota ratio to obtain a target carbon quota corresponding to each target sub-area in a target period.

3. The method according to claim 1, characterized in that: The dividing the total carbon quota based on the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period to obtain the target carbon quota corresponding to each target sub-region in the target period includes: Obtaining the carbon quota adjustment factors corresponding to each of the target sub-areas in the target period; Adjusting the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-region during the target period based on the carbon quota adjustment factor to obtain an intermediate carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-region during the target period; Obtaining the sum of the intermediate carbon quotas corresponding to each of the target sub-areas in the target period; In response to the sum of the intermediate carbon quotas being greater than the total carbon quota, determining a second quota ratio for each of the target sub-regions based on the intermediate carbon quotas of each of the target sub-regions; The total carbon quota is divided based on the second quota ratio to obtain a target carbon quota corresponding to each target sub-area in the target time period.

4. The method according to any one of claims 1 to 3, characterized in that The method further comprises: For any of the target sub-regions, formulating an initial emission reduction strategy corresponding to the target sub-region during the target period based on the target carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-region during the target period; In the process of executing the initial emission reduction strategy for the target sub-area, dividing the target period into a completed period and an uncompleted period according to the execution progress of the initial emission reduction strategy; Continuously collecting the carbon emission time series of the target sub-area in the completed period, and inputting the carbon emission time series into the trained emission reduction strategy optimization model to obtain the strategy optimization parameters corresponding to the unfinished period; The initial emission reduction strategy corresponding to the unfinished time period is optimized based on the strategy optimization parameters.

5. The method according to claim 4, characterized in that The model matching related parameters include at least one or more of historical economic data, historical energy data, historical carbon emission data, and geographical environment data.

6. The method according to claim 4, characterized in that The regional division strategy includes at least one of a division strategy based on administrative regions, a division strategy based on economic levels, and a division strategy based on industrial distribution.

7. The method according to claim 4, characterized in that In response to the carbon quota calculation model corresponding to the target sub-region being a grandfather model based on historical emissions, obtaining carbon quota calculation related parameters corresponding to the target sub-region, and calculating the carbon quota calculation related parameters based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain an initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period, including: Obtain the average carbon emissions of the target sub-region in the previous N historical periods, and obtain the preset emission reduction ratio corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period; The average carbon emissions and the preset emission reduction ratio are calculated based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain an initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period.

8. The method according to claim 4, characterized in that In response to the carbon quota calculation model corresponding to the target sub-region being a baseline method model based on an industry baseline, obtaining carbon quota calculation related parameters corresponding to the target sub-region, and calculating the carbon quota calculation related parameters based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain an initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period, including: Acquire multiple types of products corresponding to the target sub-area, where the multiple types of products include at least industrial products and agricultural products; Obtain the production forecast for each type of product during the target period; Obtain the carbon quota benchmark value per unit of each type of product corresponding to the target period; The production forecast amount and the carbon quota reference value per unit of product are calculated based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain an initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-area in the target period.

9. The method according to claim 4, characterized in that In response to the carbon quota calculation model corresponding to the target sub-region being an output method model based on economic output, obtaining carbon quota calculation related parameters corresponding to the target sub-region, and calculating the carbon quota calculation related parameters based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain an initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period, including: Obtaining a forecast value of the gross domestic product corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period; Obtaining a correlation factor between the carbon quota allocation amount corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period and the predicted value of gross domestic product; The GDP forecast value and the correlation factor are calculated based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain an initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period.

10. A carbon quota allocation device, characterized in that: include: A data determination module is used to determine a target area to be allocated carbon quotas, and to determine a total amount of carbon quotas corresponding to the target area in a target period; A region division module, used for dividing the target region into a plurality of target sub-regions according to a region division strategy corresponding to the target region; A model matching module, used to collect model matching related parameters corresponding to the target sub-region, and match the carbon quota calculation model corresponding to the target sub-region from a preset model library according to the model matching related parameters; A carbon quota calculation module, for obtaining, for any of the target sub-regions, carbon quota calculation related parameters corresponding to the target sub-region, and calculating the carbon quota calculation related parameters based on the carbon quota calculation model to obtain an initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period; The carbon quota correction module is used to divide the total carbon quota based on the initial carbon quota corresponding to the target sub-region in the target period to obtain the target carbon quota corresponding to each target sub-region in the target period.

Images