A landslide displacement intelligent prediction method and system fusing spatial neighborhood features and time sequence displacement decomposition

By combining SBAS-InSAR technology and wavelet decomposition, adapting linear autoregressive and gated recurrent neural network models respectively, and introducing a spatial neighborhood optimization algorithm, the problem of unutilized spatial correlation and temporal decomposition features in existing landslide displacement prediction is solved, achieving higher accuracy and interpretability in landslide displacement prediction.

CN122410522APending Publication Date: 2026-07-17XIANGTAN UNIV
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Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Applications(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
XIANGTAN UNIV
Filing Date
2026-04-16
Publication Date
2026-07-17

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

Existing landslide displacement prediction methods neglect spatial correlation characteristics and temporal decomposition characteristics, resulting in prediction models failing to fully utilize neighborhood information and failing to accurately reflect the spatial propagation mechanism and complex characteristics of landslide deformation.

Method used

High-precision time-series deformation data were extracted using SBAS-InSAR technology. The displacement was decomposed into trend displacement and periodic displacement by wavelet decomposition. Linear autoregressive model and gated recurrent neural network model were used for prediction, respectively. A spatial correlation optimization algorithm based on Euclidean distance and orientation similarity was introduced for weighted optimization.

Benefits of technology

It significantly improves the accuracy and interpretability of landslide displacement prediction, overcomes the limitations of a single model in taking into account both trend and periodic predictions, achieves higher prediction accuracy and computational efficiency, and has clear physical meaning.

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Abstract

本发明公开了一种融合空间邻域特征与时序位移分解的滑坡位移智能预测方法及系统,属于地质灾害监测预警技术领域。该方法包括:基于小基线集干涉合成孔径雷达(SBAS‑InSAR)技术提取滑坡区域的高精度时序形变数据;通过信号分解方法将所述时序形变数据分解为趋势位移和周期位移;分别采用线性自回归类模型对所述趋势位移进行预测,采用门控循环类神经网络模型对所述周期位移进行预测;引入空间关联性优化算法,基于监测点之间的空间距离与方向相似度构建邻域影响权重,利用邻域点的预测误差对目标点预测结果进行加权优化;将优化后的趋势位移和周期位移叠加,得到最终预测结果。本发明还相应提供一种滑坡位移智能预测系统及存储介质,通过时序位移分解与空间邻域误差修正机制的融合,在不依赖图像化转换的前提下,显著提升滑坡位移预测的精度与可解释性,适用于大范围、低成本的滑坡灾害监测预警。
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