Allocation support system and allocation support program

Abstract

To provide an allocation support system and an allocation support program that can support the allocation of resources to those eligible for allocation. [Solution] The allocation support system 1 is a system for supporting the allocation of resources to allocation targets when an anomaly occurs, and comprises: a first estimation unit 12a for estimating the number of allocation targets; a second estimation unit 12b for estimating the type and / or amount of resources required in response to the occurrence of the anomaly; a determination unit 12c for determining the allocation of resources based on the number of allocation targets estimated by the first estimation unit 12a and the type and / or amount of resources estimated by the second estimation unit 12b; and a provision unit 12d for providing determination result information.

Description

[Technical Field]

[0001] This invention relates to an allocation support system and an allocation support program. [Background technology]

[0002] Conventionally, as one of the technologies to support the evacuation of disaster victims in the event of a disaster, a technology has been proposed that, upon receiving instructions to set up an evacuation center, determines whether or not to set up the evacuation center based on the location information of the evacuation center included in the instructions and a hazard map corresponding to the type of disaster, and outputs information indicating the determination result and information on evacuation centers corresponding to the type of disaster (see, for example, Patent Document 1). [Prior art documents] [Patent Documents]

[0003] [Patent Document 1] Japanese Patent Publication No. 2022-119645 [Overview of the project] [Problems that the invention aims to solve]

[0004] Incidentally, in recent years, there has been a growing need to appropriately distribute disaster relief supplies and evacuation space to evacuees who have taken refuge in shelters. However, as mentioned above, the conventional technology only determines whether or not an evacuation shelter can be set up and outputs information indicating the result of that determination, as well as information on evacuation shelters according to the type of disaster. Therefore, there was a problem in that the conventional technology was difficult to use for the distribution of disaster relief supplies and evacuation space. Thus, from the perspective of supporting the distribution of resources such as disaster relief supplies to recipients such as evacuees, there was room for improvement.

[0005] The present invention has been made in view of the above, and aims to provide an allocation support system and an allocation support program that can support the allocation of resources to the allocation target. [Means for solving the problem]

[0006] To solve the above-mentioned problems and achieve the objective, the allocation support system described in claim 1 is an allocation support system for assisting in the allocation of resources to allocation targets when an abnormality occurs, comprising: a first estimation means for estimating the number of allocation targets; a second estimation means for estimating the type and / or amount of resources required in connection with the occurrence of the abnormality; a determination means for determining the allocation of resources based on the number of allocation targets estimated by the first estimation means and the type and / or amount of resources estimated by the second estimation means; and a provision means for providing determination result information indicating the result of the determination by the determination means.

[0007] The allocation support system according to claim 2 is the allocation support system according to claim 1, wherein the first estimation means acquires anomaly details indicating the details of the anomaly, and estimates the number of allocation targets based at least on the acquired anomaly details.

[0008] The allocation support system according to claim 3 is an allocation support system according to claim 1 or 2, wherein the second estimation means is a prediction model created using past anomaly information relating to anomalies that have occurred in the past, which includes past anomaly details showing the details of the anomaly and past shelter usage information showing the usage status of shelters at the time the anomaly occurred, and the system acquires a prediction model used to estimate the type and / or amount of the resource, acquires anomaly details showing the details of the anomaly, acquires allocation target-related information relating to the allocation target, and uses the acquired prediction model to estimate the type and / or amount of the resource based on the acquired anomaly details and the acquired allocation target-related information.

[0009] The allocation support system according to claim 4 is an allocation support system according to claim 1 or 2, in which, when the timing for re-providing the decision result information is to be re-provided, the first estimation means re-estimates the number of allocation targets, the second estimation means re-estimates the type and / or quantity of the resources, the determination means re-determines the allocation of the resources based on the number of allocation targets re-estimated by the first estimation means and the type and / or quantity of the resources re-estimated by the second estimation means, and the providing means provides the decision result information indicating the result of the re-determination by the determination means.

[0010] The allocation support program described in claim 5 is an allocation support program for assisting in allocating resources to allocation targets when an anomaly occurs, wherein the computer functions as: a first estimation means for estimating the number of allocation targets; a second estimation means for estimating the type and / or amount of resources required in connection with the occurrence of the anomaly; a determination means for determining the allocation of resources based on the number of allocation targets estimated by the first estimation means and the type and / or amount of resources estimated by the second estimation means; and a providing means for providing determination result information indicating the result of the determination by the determination means. [Effects of the Invention]

[0011] According to the allocation support system described in claim 1, or the allocation support program described in claim 5, the system includes a determination means for determining the allocation of resources based on the number of allocation targets estimated by a first estimation means and the type and / or quantity of resources estimated by a second estimation means, and a providing means for providing determination result information. Therefore, resources can be effectively allocated to the allocation targets based on the determination result information provided by the providing means, and it is possible to support the allocation of resources to the allocation targets.

[0012] According to the distribution support system described in claim 2, the first estimation means acquires abnormal detail information and estimates the number of distribution targets based at least on the acquired abnormal detail information. Therefore, the number of distribution targets can be estimated relatively accurately, and the accuracy of the estimation can be improved.

[0013] According to the distribution support system described in claim 3, the second estimation means uses the acquired prediction model and estimates the type or / and quantity of resources based on the acquired abnormal detail information and the acquired distribution target related information. Therefore, the type or / and quantity of resources can be estimated relatively accurately, and the accuracy of the estimation can be improved.

[0014] According to the distribution support system described in claim 4, when the re - provision timing arrives, the determination means re - determines the distribution of resources based on the number of distribution targets re - estimated by the first estimation means and the type or / and quantity of resources re - estimated by the second estimation means, and the provision means provides determination result information indicating the result of the re - determination by the determination means. Therefore, the determination result information indicating the result of the re - determination by the determination means can be provided, and it becomes possible to perform resource distribution according to the elapsed situation after an abnormality has occurred.

Brief Description of the Drawings

[0015] [Figure 1] It is a diagram conceptually showing the distribution support system according to an embodiment of the present invention. [Figure 2] It is a diagram showing a configuration example of the past abnormality DB. [Figure 3] It is a diagram showing a configuration example of the distribution target related DB. [Figure 4] It is a diagram showing a configuration example of the shelter DB. [Figure 5] It is a flowchart of the distribution support process according to the embodiment.

Modes for Carrying Out the Invention

[0016] Referring to the accompanying drawings below, embodiments of the distribution support system and the distribution support program according to this invention will be described in detail. First, [I] the basic concept of the embodiment will be explained, then [II] the specific content of the embodiment will be described, and finally, [III] modifications to the embodiment will be described. However, the present invention is not limited by the embodiments.

[0017] [I] Basic Concept of the Embodiment First, the basic concept of the embodiment will be explained. The embodiment generally relates to a distribution support system and a distribution support program for assisting in distributing resources to distribution targets when an abnormality occurs.

[0018] Here, "abnormality" means something that is not normal. This abnormality includes, for example, a state where resources are insufficient due to a disaster (such as an earthquake, flood, fire, etc.), political or economic influence, etc.

[0019] Also, "distribution target" means the target to which resources are distributed. This distribution target includes, for example, people or / and animals in a predetermined area (such as a prefecture, municipality, or area like a block or house number, a shelter, etc.), employees or / and facilities of a company's branch or factory, etc. In the embodiment, it will be described as people (refugees) taking shelter in a shelter (such as a disaster shelter like a school, community center, etc.).

[0020] Also, "resources" means things that become necessary for the distribution target when an abnormality occurs. This resource includes, for example, relief supplies (such as food, medical supplies, hygiene products, etc.), shelter space, rescue personnel, rescue materials, etc. In the embodiment, it will be described as relief supplies and shelter space.

[0021] Also, "shelter space" means the space (living space) provided per refugee in a shelter, and for example, a space of a predetermined standard size (such as a standard size determined by a country, public organization, international organization, etc. (such as a sphere, etc.) (specifically, 3.5m2 It is described as a space having (etc.).

[0022] Furthermore, "to allocate" means to assign and distribute resources in predetermined quantities.

[0023] [II] Specific details of the embodiment Next, the specific details of the embodiment will be described.

[0024] (composition) First, the configuration of the allocation support system according to the embodiment will be described.

[0025] The allocation support system 1 is a system for assisting in the allocation of resources (not shown) to the allocation target (not shown) when an abnormality occurs, and as shown in Figure 1, it comprises a processing unit 10 and a terminal device 20.

[0026] Here, Figure 1 shows only one terminal device 20, but in reality, the distribution support system is configured to include terminal devices 20 owned by each of multiple users (in this embodiment, the managers of each evacuation center, etc.; not shown) and a common processing unit 10 capable of communicating with these multiple terminal devices 20. In the following, we will describe the terminal device 20 owned by one user, and will omit the description of terminal devices 20 owned by other users.

[0027] Furthermore, regarding the connection configuration of each component constituting this distribution support system 1, in this embodiment, the processing unit 10 and the terminal device 20 are connected to each other via the network 2 so that they can communicate with one another.

[0028] (Configuration - Processing Unit) First, let's describe the configuration of the processing unit 10.

[0029] The processing unit 10 is a device for allocating resources to the allocation target when an abnormality occurs, and as shown in Figure 1, it comprises a processing-side communication unit 11, a processing-side control unit 12, and a processing-side storage unit 13.

[0030] Since this processing unit 10 can be configured using, for example, a well-known cloud server, a detailed explanation thereof will be omitted.

[0031] (Configuration - Processing Unit - Processing-side Communication Unit) The processing-side communication unit 11 is a processing-side communication means for communicating between the terminal device 20 and / or an external device (not shown, such as a management device for managing the processing unit 10) and the processing unit 10, and is configured using known communication means that communicate using a wireless communication network and / or a wired communication network.

[0032] (Configuration - Processing Unit - Processing-side Control Unit) The processing-side control unit 12 is a control means that controls each part of the processing unit 10. Specifically, this processing-side control unit 12 is a computer that comprises a CPU, various programs interpreted and executed on the CPU (including basic control programs such as the OS and application programs launched on the OS to realize specific functions), and internal memory such as RAM for storing programs and various data (the same applies to the terminal-side control unit 25 of the terminal device 20, which will be described later).

[0033] Here, the allocation support program according to this embodiment is installed in the processing unit 10 via any recording medium or network 2, and substantially constitutes each part of the processing-side control unit 12.

[0034] Furthermore, as shown in Figure 1, the processing-side control unit 12 functionally comprises a first estimation unit 12a, a second estimation unit 12b, a determination unit 12c, and a providing unit 12d.

[0035] The first estimation unit 12a is a first estimation means for estimating the number of items to be allocated.

[0036] The second estimation unit 12b is a second estimation means for estimating the type and / or quantity of resources required in response to the occurrence of an anomaly.

[0037] In this embodiment, "resources required in response to the occurrence of an anomaly" refers to the resources that are indispensable from the occurrence of an anomaly until the system returns to normal.

[0038] The determination unit 12c is a determination means for determining the allocation of resources based on the number of allocation targets estimated by the first estimation unit 12a and the type and / or quantity of resources estimated by the second estimation unit 12b.

[0039] The providing unit 12d is a means for providing information indicating the result of the decision made by the decision unit 12c (hereinafter referred to as "decision result information").

[0040] Details of the processing performed by this processing control unit 12 will be described later.

[0041] (Configuration - Processing Unit - Processing-side Storage Unit) The processing-side storage unit 13 is a processing-side storage means that records programs and various data necessary for the operation of the processing unit 10. This processing-side storage unit 13 is configured, for example, using a hard disk (not shown) as an external recording device (the same applies to the terminal-side storage unit 26 of the terminal device 20, which will be described later).

[0042] However, any other recording medium may be used in place of or in conjunction with a hard disk, including magnetic recording media such as magnetic disks, optical recording media such as DVDs and Blu-ray discs, or electrical recording media such as Flash ROMs, USB memory sticks, and SD cards.

[0043] Furthermore, as shown in Figure 1, this processing-side storage unit 13 includes a past anomaly database (hereinafter referred to as "DB") 13a, a distribution target related DB 13b, and a shelter DB 13c.

[0044] (Configuration - Processing Unit - Processing-Side Storage Unit - Past Anomaly Database) Past Anomaly DB13a is a means for storing past anomaly information.

[0045] Here, "past anomaly information" refers to information about past anomalies, and in this embodiment, it is explained as including past anomaly details showing the details of past anomalies, and past shelter usage information showing the usage status of shelters at the time of past anomalies.

[0046] Furthermore, "details of the anomaly" include, for example, the date and time the anomaly occurred, the location where the anomaly occurred, the type of anomaly, or / or the magnitude of the anomaly.

[0047] Furthermore, "the usage status of evacuation shelters" includes, for example, the number of evacuees in a shelter, the number of days of evacuation in a shelter, the types of resources allocated to the shelter, and / or the amount of resources allocated to the shelter.

[0048] Furthermore, as shown in Figure 2, this past anomaly DB13a is structured by linking the items "shelter identification information," "past anomaly details," and "past shelter usage information" with the information corresponding to each item.

[0049] Furthermore, the item "Past Anomaly Details" includes the following items related to past anomaly details: "Past Anomaly Occurrence Date and Time Information," "Past Anomaly Occurrence Location Information," "Past Anomaly Type Information," and "Past Anomaly Size Information."

[0050] Furthermore, the item "Past Shelter Usage Information" includes the following items related to past shelter usage information: "Past Number of Evacuees Information," "Past Evacuation Days Information," "Past Resource Allocation Type Information," and "Past Resource Allocation Amount Information."

[0051] Of these, the information corresponding to the item "Shelter Identification Information" is information that uniquely identifies a shelter, and for example, as shown in Figure 2, this includes the shelter ID "1001".

[0052] Furthermore, the information corresponding to the item "Past Anomaly Details" is past anomaly details. In addition, the information corresponding to the item "Past Anomaly Occurrence Date and Time Information" is past anomaly occurrence date and time information, which indicates the date and time of a past anomaly. For example, as shown in Figure 2, this would be "March 20, 2002, 8:10 AM," which is the date and time of a past anomaly. Furthermore, the information corresponding to the item "Past Anomaly Occurrence Location Information" is past anomaly occurrence location information, which indicates the location of a past anomaly. For example, as shown in Figure 2, this would be "(X1, Y1)," which is the location (coordinates) of a past anomaly. Furthermore, the information corresponding to the item "Past Anomaly Type Information" is past anomaly type information, which indicates the type of a past anomaly. For example, as shown in Figure 2, this would be "Earthquake," which is the type of a past anomaly. Furthermore, the information corresponding to the item "Past Anomaly Magnitude Information" is past anomaly magnitude information, which indicates the magnitude of a past anomaly. For example, as shown in Figure 2, this would be "Seismic Intensity 7," which is the magnitude of a past anomaly (earthquake).

[0053] Furthermore, the information corresponding to the item "Past Shelter Usage Information" is information on past shelter usage. In addition, the information corresponding to the item "Past Number of Evacuees Information" is information on the number of evacuees who have evacuated to shelters in the past (e.g., total number), for example, as shown in Figure 2, this would be "100 people," which is the number of evacuees in the past. Furthermore, the information corresponding to the item "Past Evacuation Days Information" is information on the number of days evacuees have evacuated to shelters in the past, for example, as shown in Figure 2, this would be "10 days," which is the number of days evacuees have evacuated in the past. Furthermore, the information corresponding to the item "Past Resource Allocation Type Information" is information on the types of resources that have been allocated to evacuees who have evacuated to shelters in the past, for example, as shown in Figure 2, this would be "evacuation space," which is the type of resource allocated to evacuees in the past. Furthermore, the information corresponding to the item "Past Resource Allocation Information" is past resource allocation information that shows the amount of resources allocated to evacuees who have taken refuge in shelters in the past. For example, as shown in Figure 2, this includes "100 units," which is the amount of resources (evacuation space) allocated to evacuees in the past (e.g., total amount).

[0054] In this embodiment, the past evacuation information refers to the total number of evacuees who have evacuated to shelters in the past. However, it is not limited to this, and may also include information showing the number of evacuees by category (for example, by gender and / or by age (e.g., by children, adults, elderly, etc.)).

[0055] (Configuration - Processing Unit - Processing-Side Storage Unit - Distribution Target Related DB) The allocation target related DB13b is an allocation target related information storage means that stores allocation target related information.

[0056] Here, "allocated property-related information" refers to information related to the allocated property, and in this embodiment, it is explained as including allocated property identification information that uniquely identifies the allocated property, allocated property address information indicating the address of the allocated property, neighborhood association affiliation information indicating the neighborhood association to which the allocated property belongs, allocated property age information indicating the age of the allocated property, allocated property gender information indicating the gender of the allocated property, allocated property occupation information indicating the occupation of the allocated property, and allocated property construction year information indicating the year the dwelling unit in which the allocated property resides was built.

[0057] Furthermore, as shown in Figure 3, this allocation target-related DB13b is structured by linking the following items with the corresponding information: "allocation target identification information," "allocation target address information," "neighborhood association affiliation information," "allocation target age information," "allocation target gender information," "allocation target occupation information," and "allocation target housing unit construction year information."

[0058] Of these, the information corresponding to the item "Identification Information for Allocation" is the identification information for allocation, and for example, as shown in Figure 3, this includes the name of the allocation recipient, such as "xxxx".

[0059] Furthermore, the information corresponding to the item "Address information to be allocated" is the address information to be allocated, and for example, as shown in Figure 3, this includes the address to be allocated, such as "1-1-1, ◇◇ Town, XX City, XX Prefecture".

[0060] Furthermore, the information corresponding to the item "Neighborhood Association Affiliation Information" is neighborhood association affiliation information, and as shown in Figure 3, this includes, for example, the neighborhood association to which the recipient belongs, such as "□□ Neighborhood Association".

[0061] Furthermore, the information corresponding to the item "Information on age eligible for allocation" is information on age eligible for allocation, and for example, as shown in Figure 3, it corresponds to the age of eligibility for allocation, such as "50 years old".

[0062] Furthermore, the information corresponding to the item "Gender information for allocation" is the gender information for allocation, and as shown in Figure 3, for example, it corresponds to "male," which is the gender for which allocation is possible.

[0063] Furthermore, the information corresponding to the item "Occupational Information Eligible for Allocation" is occupational information eligible for allocation, and as shown in Figure 3, for example, it includes occupations eligible for allocation such as "company employee".

[0064] Furthermore, the information corresponding to the item "Information on the construction year of the dwelling unit to be allocated" is the construction year of the dwelling unit to be allocated, and for example, as shown in Figure 3, this would include "1985," which is the construction year of the dwelling unit in which the allocated unit will live.

[0065] (Configuration - Processing Unit - Processing-Side Storage Unit - Shelter Database) The evacuation shelter DB13c is an evacuation shelter information storage means for storing evacuation shelter information.

[0066] Here, "shelter information" refers to information related to shelters, and in this embodiment, it is explained as including shelter identification information, shelter location information indicating the location of the shelter, neighborhood association information indicating the neighborhood association associated with the shelter, shelter capacity information indicating the number of people the shelter can accommodate, shelter resource type information indicating the types of resources available at the shelter, shelter resource quantity information indicating the amount of resources available at the shelter, shelter space size information indicating the size of the evacuation space (for example, the total size of all evacuation spaces), and shelter space floor type information indicating the type of flooring in the evacuation space.

[0067] Furthermore, as shown in Figure 4, this evacuation shelter DB13c is structured by linking together the following items: "Evacuation Shelter Identification Information," "Evacuation Shelter Location Information," "Community Association Information," "Evacuation Shelter Capacity Information," "Evacuation Shelter Resource Type Information," "Evacuation Shelter Resource Quantity Information," "Evacuation Space Size Information," and "Evacuation Space Floor Type Information," along with the information corresponding to each item.

[0068] Of these, the information corresponding to the item "shelter identification information" is the shelter identification information, which, for example, is the shelter ID "1001" as shown in Figure 4.

[0069] Furthermore, the information corresponding to the item "Evacuation Shelter Location Information" is the location information of the evacuation shelter, and for example, as shown in Figure 4, this includes the location (coordinates) of the evacuation shelter, such as "(X11, Y11)".

[0070] Furthermore, the information corresponding to the item "Neighborhood Association Information" is neighborhood association information, and as shown in Figure 4, this includes neighborhood associations related to evacuation shelters, such as "□□ Neighborhood Association, 〇〇 Neighborhood Association," etc.

[0071] Furthermore, the information corresponding to the item "Shelter Capacity Information" is the capacity information of the shelter, and for example, as shown in Figure 4, this includes the capacity of the shelter, such as "200 people".

[0072] Furthermore, the information corresponding to the item "Evacuation Shelter Resource Type Information" is evacuation shelter resource type information, and as shown in Figure 4, for example, it includes the types of resources available in the evacuation shelter, such as "evacuation space."

[0073] Furthermore, the information corresponding to the item "Evacuation Shelter Resource Quantity Information" is evacuation shelter resource quantity information, and for example, as shown in Figure 4, it corresponds to the amount of resources available in the evacuation shelter, such as "200 units".

[0074] Furthermore, the information corresponding to the item "Evacuation Space Size Information" is the size of the evacuation space, and for example, as shown in Figure 4, it is the size of the evacuation space, "100m 2 Examples include the following.

[0075] Furthermore, the information corresponding to the item "Evacuation Space Floor Type Information" is the evacuation space floor type information, which, for example, as shown in Figure 4, includes the type of floor in the evacuation space, such as "flooring."

[0076] (Configuration - Terminal device) Returning to Figure 1, next we will describe the configuration of the terminal device 20.

[0077] The terminal device 20 is a device owned by the user and is used to communicate various types of information with the processing device 10. This terminal device 20 is connected to the processing device 10 via the network 2 and, as shown in Figure 1, comprises a terminal-side communication unit 21, a terminal-side operation unit 22, a terminal-side output unit 23, a terminal-side power supply unit 24, a terminal-side control unit 25, and a terminal-side storage unit 26.

[0078] Note that this terminal device 20 can be configured using, for example, a well-known terminal device (such as a smartphone, tablet, or laptop computer), so a detailed explanation will be omitted.

[0079] (Configuration - Terminal device - Terminal-side communication unit) The terminal-side communication unit 21 is a terminal-side communication means for communicating with at least the processing unit 10. This terminal-side communication unit 21 is configured using, for example, a known communication means that performs wireless communication using a wireless communication network (for example, a communication means that uses a long-range wireless communication standard such as 4G, 5G, or LTE®).

[0080] However, this is not limited to this; for example, the terminal-side communication unit 21 may be configured using communication means that perform wired communication using a wired communication network.

[0081] (Configuration - Terminal device - Terminal-side control unit) The terminal-side operation unit 22 is a terminal-side operation means that receives operation input to the terminal device 20, and is configured using various known operation means such as switches and touchpads.

[0082] (Configuration - Terminal device - Terminal-side output unit) The terminal-side output unit 23 is an output means that outputs various types of information based on the control of the terminal-side control unit 25, and is configured using, for example, known display means (one example, a display) and / or audio output means (one example, a speaker).

[0083] (Configuration - Terminal device - Terminal-side power supply unit) The terminal-side power supply unit 24 is a terminal-side power supply means that supplies power to each part of the terminal device 20.

[0084] (Configuration - Terminal device - Terminal-side control unit) The terminal-side control unit 25 is a terminal-side control means that controls the terminal device 20.

[0085] Details of the processing performed by this terminal-side control unit 25 will be described later.

[0086] (Configuration - Terminal device - Terminal-side storage unit) The terminal-side storage unit 26 is a terminal-side storage means that stores programs and various data necessary for the operation of the terminal device 20.

[0087] (Allocation support processing) Next, we will describe the allocation support process performed by the allocation support system 1. In the following description, each process shown in Figure 5 will be abbreviated as "S".

[0088] The allocation support process is a process designed to assist in allocating resources to the target when an anomaly occurs.

[0089] The timing of executing this allocation support process is arbitrary, but in this embodiment, it is described as being started after the power to the processing unit 10 and the terminal device 20 is turned on, and after the terminal application is started and the user logs in on the terminal device 20.

[0090] (Allocation support processing - prerequisites) Next, the prerequisites for the allocation support process in this embodiment are as follows.

[0091] In other words, when the allocation support process is activated, it is assumed that an anomaly (specifically, an earthquake) has occurred in the area where the user of terminal device 20 is located.

[0092] Furthermore, it is assumed that the processing unit 10 has a distribution support program pre-installed. Also, it is assumed that the terminal device 20 has a terminal application pre-installed.

[0093] (Allocation support processing - Details of allocation support processing) Next, we will explain the details of the allocation support process.

[0094] After the allocation support process is started, as shown in Figure 5, the processing-side control unit 12 of the processing unit 10 in SA1 determines whether or not the timing for providing the decision result information (hereinafter referred to as the "provision timing") has arrived.

[0095] The method for determining whether or not this provision timing has arrived is arbitrary, but in this embodiment, the determination is made based on whether or not provision instruction information indicating a request to provide the decision result information has been received from the terminal device 20, or whether or not a predetermined time (for example, 10 minutes) has elapsed since the above abnormality occurred.

[0096] Here, if the above provision instruction information is received from the terminal device 20, or if the above predetermined time has elapsed, it is determined that the timing for provision has arrived. If the above provision instruction information is not received from the terminal device 20, or if the above predetermined time has not elapsed, it is determined that the timing for provision has not arrived.

[0097] Then, the processing control unit 12 of the processing unit 10 waits until it is determined that the timing for providing the product has arrived (SA1, No), and if it is determined that the timing for providing the product has arrived (SA1, Yes), it proceeds to SA2.

[0098] In SA2, the first estimation unit 12a of the processing unit 10 estimates the number of items to be allocated.

[0099] The method for estimating the number of items to be allocated is arbitrary, but in this embodiment, the first estimation unit 12a of the processing unit 10 acquires detailed abnormal information (specifically, the most recent detailed abnormal information at the time of processing of SA2) and estimates the number of items to be allocated based on at least the acquired detailed abnormal information.

[0100] Here, "anomaly details" refers to information that shows the details of an anomaly, and in this embodiment, it is described as including anomaly occurrence date and time information indicating the date and time the anomaly occurred, anomaly occurrence location information indicating the location where the anomaly occurred, anomaly type information indicating the type of anomaly, and anomaly size information indicating the size of the anomaly.

[0101] However, this is not limited to these; for example, it may include only one of the following: information on the date and time of the anomaly, information on the location of the anomaly, information on the type of anomaly, or information on the size of the anomaly.

[0102] Furthermore, the details of the method for estimating the number of items to be allocated are as follows.

[0103] First, the first estimation unit 12a of the processing unit 10 refers to the terminal location information included in the above-mentioned instruction information, which indicates the location of the terminal device 20 (or information indicating the location of an evacuation center managed by the user of the terminal device 20), and obtains detailed abnormal information corresponding to the terminal location information from a specific site on the internet (for example, the official website of the Japan Meteorological Agency).

[0104] However, the method is not limited to this. For example, the first estimation unit 12a of the processing unit 10 may obtain anomaly details (or anomaly details input by the user of the terminal device 20 via the terminal-side operation unit 22) received from measuring instruments (e.g., seismometers, etc.) installed in evacuation shelters managed by the user of the terminal device 20, by transmitting these details to the processing unit 10 via the terminal device 20.

[0105] Alternatively, in order to obtain detailed abnormal information specific to the region, the first estimation unit 12a of the processing unit 10 may adjust the obtained detailed abnormal information by referring to hazard map information stored in the processing-side storage unit 13 of the processing unit 10, which includes hazard map information for each region, and terminal location information included in the above-mentioned instruction information.

[0106] For example, if the location of the terminal or its surrounding area is an area where the damage caused by an anomaly would be severe according to the hazard map information, the size of the past anomaly magnitude information included in the acquired anomaly details may be increased.

[0107] Next, the first estimation unit 12a of the processing unit 10 refers to various information stored in the distribution target related DB 13b and the evacuation shelter DB 13c of the processing unit 10 (in particular, evacuation shelter identification information, neighborhood association information, neighborhood association affiliation information, and distribution target identification information), and the managed evacuation shelter information included in the above provision instruction information, which indicates the evacuation shelters managed by the user of the terminal device 20 (specifically, evacuation shelter ID), to determine the total number of distribution targets belonging to neighborhood associations related to the evacuation shelters managed by the user of the terminal device 20.

[0108] Next, the first estimation unit 12a of the processing unit 10 refers to various information stored in the distribution target related DB 13b and evacuation shelter DB 13c of the processing unit 10 (in particular, evacuation shelter identification information, neighborhood association information, neighborhood association affiliation information, and distribution target identification information) and the managed evacuation shelter information included in the above-mentioned provision instruction information, and obtains the distribution target dwelling unit construction year information corresponding to each distribution target dwelling unit belonging to a neighborhood association related to an evacuation shelter managed by the user of the terminal device 20 from the distribution target related DB 13b of the processing unit 10.

[0109] Next, the first estimation unit 12a of the processing unit 10 refers to the correlation information stored in the processing-side storage unit 13 of the processing unit 10 (for example, correlation information created by referring to a predetermined paper (for example, Saburo Midorikawa, Kazuo Fujimoto: Relationship between measured seismic intensity and housing damage rate - Examination using disaster damage survey results -, Transactions of the Japan Association for Earthquake Engineering, Vol. 2, No. 2, 2002), which shows the correlation between the construction year of the dwelling unit, the damage level, the magnitude of the anomaly, and the probability of damage to the dwelling unit), and identifies the probability of damage to each dwelling unit according to the construction year information of the dwelling units to be allocated and the magnitude of the anomaly information included in the detailed anomaly information obtained.

[0110] However, this is not limited to the above. For example, the first estimation unit 12a of the processing unit 10 may identify the damage probability of each dwelling unit based on the dwelling unit damage probability information received from the terminal device 20, which indicates the damage probability of the dwelling unit.

[0111] Then, the first estimation unit 12a of the processing unit 10 estimates the number of allocation targets (specifically, the sum of the number of allocation targets for each of the dwelling units) based on the total number of allocation targets identified above and the damage probability of the dwelling units identified above, using the following formula (1).

[0112]

number

[0113] By estimating the number of items to be allocated in this way, it becomes possible to estimate the number of items to be allocated relatively accurately and to improve the accuracy of the estimation.

[0114] However, this is not limited to this, and for example, when the number of items to be allocated is estimated based on the above formula 1, the first estimation unit 12a of the processing unit 10 considers "α", "f", and "y" from the above formula 1. j "p j If predetermined values ​​(so-called default values) are used for "d", estimation may be made based solely on the anomaly details obtained above.

[0115] Alternatively, the first estimation unit 12a of the processing unit 10 may estimate the number of allocation targets based on allocation target number information obtained from an external device or terminal device 20, which indicates the number of allocation targets.

[0116] As an example, the first estimation unit 12a of the processing unit 10 may estimate the number of allocation targets in the acquired allocation target number information as the number of allocation targets to be estimated. Alternatively, the number of allocation targets in the allocation target number information may be adjusted using an adjustment coefficient (for example, a predetermined adjustment coefficient) and then estimated as the number of allocation targets to be estimated.

[0117] In SA3, the second estimation unit 12b of the processing unit 10 estimates the type and / or quantity of the resource.

[0118] The method for estimating the type and / or quantity of resources is arbitrary, but in this embodiment, the second estimation unit 12b of the processing unit 10 acquires a prediction model, acquires detailed anomaly information, acquires allocation target-related information, and uses the acquired prediction model to estimate the type and / or quantity of resources based on the acquired detailed anomaly information and the acquired allocation target-related information.

[0119] Here, a "predictive model" refers to a model created using past anomaly information (a trained model) that is used to estimate the type and / or quantity of resources.

[0120] The method for creating this predictive model is arbitrary, but in this embodiment, the second estimation unit 12b of the processing unit 10 creates it by performing machine learning (or regression analysis, etc.) using a known method, with the shelter identification information, detailed past anomaly information, and past shelter usage information stored in the past anomaly DB 13a of the processing unit 10 as training data.

[0121] However, this is not the only way to do so. For example, an external device may create the data by performing machine learning using shelter identification information, detailed information on past anomalies, and information on past shelter usage as training data, all of which are stored in a past anomaly database provided on the external device.

[0122] Furthermore, details of the method for estimating the types and / or quantities of the above-mentioned resources are as follows.

[0123] First, the second estimation unit 12b of the processing unit 10 acquires the data by creating a prediction model using the method described above.

[0124] However, this is not limited to the above. For example, if the second estimation unit 12b of the processing unit 10 has created a prediction model in advance before processing SA3 and stored it in the processing-side storage unit 13 of the processing unit 10, it may acquire the model from the processing-side storage unit 13 of the processing unit 10. Alternatively, if an external device creates the prediction model, the second estimation unit 12b of the processing unit 10 may acquire the model by receiving it from the external device.

[0125] Next, the second estimation unit 12b of the processing unit 10 refers to various information stored in the distribution target related DB 13b and evacuation center DB 13c of the processing unit 10 (in particular, evacuation center identification information, neighborhood association information, neighborhood association affiliation information) and the managed evacuation center information included in the above-mentioned provision instruction information, and obtains the distribution target age information, distribution target gender information, and / or distribution target occupation information corresponding to the neighborhood association related to the evacuation center managed by the user of the terminal device 20 from the distribution target related DB 13b of the processing unit 10.

[0126] However, this is not limited to the above. For example, the second estimation unit 12b of the processing unit 10 may refer to the managed evacuation shelter information included in the above-mentioned instruction information and obtain from an external device the age information, gender information, and / or occupation information of those eligible for allocation that corresponds to the neighborhood associations related to the evacuation shelters managed by the user of the terminal device 20.

[0127] Then, the second estimation unit 12b of the processing unit 10 inputs the anomaly details obtained by SA2 and the obtained target age information, target gender information, and / or target occupation information to the prediction model obtained above, and then estimates the type and / or amount of resources output from the prediction model as the type and / or amount of resources to be estimated (specifically, the amount of resources for each type of resource).

[0128] By estimating the type and / or quantity of resources in this way, it becomes possible to estimate the type and / or quantity of resources with relative accuracy, thereby improving the precision of the estimation.

[0129] However, this is not limited to the above; for example, the second estimation unit 12b of the processing unit 10 may use a predictive model to estimate the type and / or quantity of resources based only on the allocation target-related information.

[0130] In this case, if the acquired prediction model is a prediction model that assumes a specific type and magnitude of anomaly, the second estimation unit 12b of the processing unit 10 may input the acquired target age information, target gender information, and / or target occupation information into the prediction model, and then estimate the type and / or amount of resources output from the prediction model as the type and / or amount of resources to be estimated.

[0131] Alternatively, the second estimation unit 12b of the processing unit 10 may estimate the type of resource and / or the amount of resource based on resource type information and / or resource quantity information obtained from an external device, which indicates the type of resource and / or the amount of resource.

[0132] As an example, the second estimation unit 12b of the processing unit 10 may estimate the type of resource from the acquired resource type information as the type of resource to be estimated, and / or the amount of resource from the acquired resource quantity information as the amount of resource to be estimated. Alternatively, the amount of resource from the resource quantity information may be adjusted with an adjustment coefficient (for example, a predetermined adjustment coefficient) and then estimated as the amount of resource to be estimated.

[0133] In SA4, the determination unit 12c of the processing unit 10 determines the allocation of resources based on the number of allocation targets estimated in SA2 and the type and / or quantity of resources estimated in SA3.

[0134] The method for determining the allocation of these resources is arbitrary, but in this embodiment, the allocation of resources is determined by referring to various information stored in the shelter DB13c of the processing unit 10.

[0135] Specifically, first, the determination unit 12c of the processing unit 10 refers to various information stored in the evacuation center DB 13c of the processing unit 10 (in particular, evacuation center identification information and evacuation center resource type information) and the managed evacuation center information included in the provision instruction information, and identifies from the estimated resource types the types of resources that are available in the evacuation center managed by the user of the terminal device 20 and the types of resources that are not available in that evacuation center.

[0136] If a type of resource that is not available at the above-mentioned evacuation center is identified, the determination unit 12c of the processing unit 10 transmits support request information to an external device indicating that support for that type of resource is being requested.

[0137] On the other hand, if the type of resource in the above-mentioned evacuation shelter is identified, the determination unit 12c of the processing unit 10 refers to various information stored in the evacuation shelter DB 13c of the processing unit 10 (in particular, evacuation shelter identification information, evacuation shelter resource type information, evacuation shelter resource quantity information) and the managed evacuation shelter information included in the provision instruction information to determine whether the estimated amount of the identified resource type is in the evacuation shelter managed by the user of the terminal device 20.

[0138] If it is determined that the estimated amount of resources is available at the shelter, the determination unit 12c of the processing unit 10 determines the allocation of resources based on the estimated number of allocation targets, so as to allocate a standard amount of resources to each allocation target.

[0139] For example, if the shelter identification information corresponding to the shelter in the above-mentioned managed shelter information is 1001, the number of people to be allocated estimated in SA2 is 100, the type of resource estimated in SA3 is evacuation space, and the amount of resource estimated in SA3 is 100 units, then it may be decided to allocate 100 evacuation spaces, which is the size of a predetermined standard, to the number of people to be allocated estimated in SA2 (the same applies when the type of resource is relief supplies such as food).

[0140] On the other hand, if it is determined that the estimated amount of resources is not available at the shelter, the determination unit 12c of the processing unit 10 determines the allocation of resources based on the estimated number of allocation targets, so as to allocate an amount of resources below the standard amount to each allocation target.

[0141] For example, when the shelter identification information corresponding to the shelter in the above management evacuation shelter information is 1001, the number of distribution targets estimated at SA2 is 220 people, the type of resources estimated at SA3 is evacuation space, and the amount of resources estimated at SA3 is 220 units, in order to be able to distribute 220 evacuation spaces to the number of distribution targets estimated at SA2, the area per evacuation space is adjusted to be narrower than the predetermined standard area (for example, adjusted to be about 90% of the predetermined standard area per unit), and it may be determined to distribute 220 units having the adjusted area (note that the same applies when the type of resources is relief supplies such as food).

[0142] Note that when calculating the distribution of resources, for example, if the determination unit 12c of the processing device 10 can estimate the number of distribution targets at SA2 in terms of neighborhood units, the distribution of resources may be calculated in terms of such neighborhood units.

[0143] In this case, for example, if the number of distribution targets (evacuees) belonging to a specific neighborhood is 100 and an evacuation space of a predetermined standard area can be distributed to each distribution target, the determination unit 12c of the processing device 10 uses a known calculation method to determine the number of rooms in the shelter that can secure 100 evacuation spaces (for example, if the size of one room is 70m 2 then 5 rooms, etc.) or the area of a specific room location (for example, the area of the northeast corner of the location of the gymnasium in the shelter = 350m 2 ) may be calculated.

[0144] Also, for example, if the number of distribution targets (evacuees) belonging to a specific neighborhood is 100, but an evacuation space of a predetermined standard area cannot be distributed to each distribution target, the determination unit 12c of the processing device 10 adjusts the area per evacuation space from 3.5m 2 to 2.8m 2 , and based on the adjustment result, calculates the number of rooms in the shelter that can secure 100 evacuation spaces (for example, if the size of one room is 70m 2 then 4 rooms, etc.).

[0145] By making decisions regarding resource allocation in this manner, it becomes possible to determine resource allocation relatively accurately and improve the precision of those decisions.

[0146] However, this is not limited to this. For example, if SA3 estimates only one of either the type of resource or the quantity of the resource, the determination unit 12c of the processing unit 10 may determine the allocation of resources based on only that one.

[0147] Here, as an example of determining resource allocation based solely on the amount of resources estimated by SA3, if there is only one type of resource in the evacuation center (in this case, only the amount of resources is estimated by SA3), the determination unit 12c of the processing unit 10 refers to various information stored in the evacuation center DB 13c of the processing unit 10 (in particular, evacuation center identification information and evacuation center resource quantity information) and the managed evacuation center information included in the provision instruction information to determine whether the estimated amount of resources of that type is available in the evacuation center managed by the user of the terminal device 20.

[0148] If it is determined that the estimated amount of resources is present in the shelter, the determination unit 12c of the processing unit 10 may decide to allocate resources based on the estimated number of allocation targets, such as allocating a standard amount of resources to each allocation target. On the other hand, if it is determined that the estimated amount of resources is not present in the shelter, the determination unit 12c of the processing unit 10 may decide to allocate resources based on the estimated number of allocation targets, such as allocating an amount of resources less than the standard amount to each allocation target.

[0149] Furthermore, in an example of determining resource allocation based solely on the types of resources estimated by SA3, the determination unit 12c of the processing unit 10 identifies, as described above, the types of resources present in the shelters included in the management shelter information of the provision instruction information, and the types of resources not present in those shelters, from among the estimated types of resources.

[0150] Next, when the type of resource in the shelter is identified, the determination unit 12c of the processing unit 10 uses a known method to calculate the amount of resources needed to return from an anomaly to normal based on the estimated number of allocation targets. The determination unit then refers to various information stored in the shelter DB 13c of the processing unit 10 (in particular, shelter identification information, shelter resource type information, and shelter resource quantity information) and the managed shelter information included in the provision instruction information to determine whether the calculated amount of resources for the identified resource type is available in the shelter managed by the user of the terminal device 20.

[0151] If it is determined that the amount of resources calculated above is available at the shelter, the determination unit 12c of the processing unit 10 may determine the allocation of resources based on the number of allocation targets calculated above, so as to allocate a standard amount of resources to each allocation target.

[0152] On the other hand, if it is determined that the amount of resources calculated above is not available at the shelter, the determination unit 12c of the processing unit 10 may determine the allocation of resources based on the number of allocation targets calculated above, so as to allocate an amount of resources below the standard amount to each allocation target.

[0153] In SA5, the supply unit 12d of the processing unit 10 provides decision result information indicating the result of the resource allocation decision determined in SA4.

[0154] The method for providing this decision result information is optional, but in this embodiment, the providing unit 12d of the processing unit 10 provides the decision result information by transmitting it to the terminal device 20 and outputting (displaying and / or outputting audio) the transmitted decision result information to the terminal-side output unit 23 of the terminal device 20.

[0155] Through these processes from SA1 to SA5, resources can be effectively allocated to the allocation targets based on the decision result information provided by the supply unit 12d of the processing device 10, thereby supporting the allocation of resources to the allocation targets.

[0156] In SA6, the processing-side control unit 12 of the processing device 10 determines whether or not the timing for re-providing the decision result information (hereinafter referred to as the "re-providing timing") has arrived.

[0157] The method for determining whether or not the timing for re-provision has arrived is arbitrary, but in this embodiment, the determination is made based on whether or not re-provision instruction information indicating a request to re-provide the decision result information has been received from the terminal device 20, or whether or not a predetermined time (for example, 1 hour) has elapsed since the processing of SA5 (or the processing of SA10 described later).

[0158] Here, if the above re-provision instruction information is received from the terminal device 20, or if the above predetermined time has elapsed, it is determined that the re-provision timing has arrived. If the above re-provision instruction information is not received from the terminal device 20, or if the above predetermined time has not elapsed, it is determined that the re-provision timing has not arrived.

[0159] Then, the processing-side control unit 12 of the processing device 10 proceeds to SA7 if it determines that the timing for re-provision has arrived (SA6, Yes), and proceeds to SA11 if it determines that the timing for re-provision has not arrived (SA6, No).

[0160] In SA7, the first estimation unit 12a of the processing unit 10 re-estimates the number of items to be allocated.

[0161] The method for reestimating the number of items to be allocated is arbitrary, but in this embodiment, the first estimation unit 12a of the processing unit 10 acquires detailed abnormal information (specifically, the most recent detailed abnormal information from the processing of SA7) in substantially the same manner as the processing of SA2, and reestimates the number of items to be allocated based at least on the acquired detailed abnormal information.

[0162] In SA8, the second estimation unit 12b of the processing unit 10 re-estimates the type and / or quantity of the resource.

[0163] The method for reestimating the type and / or quantity of the resource is arbitrary, but in this embodiment, the second estimation unit 12b of the processing unit 10 acquires a prediction model, acquires anomaly details (specifically, using the anomaly details acquired in the processing of SA7), acquires allocation target related information, and uses the acquired prediction model to reestimate the type and / or quantity of the resource based on the acquired anomaly details and the acquired allocation target related information.

[0164] In SA9, the determination unit 12c of the processing unit 10, in substantially the same manner as in the processing of SA4, re-determines the allocation of resources based on the number of allocation targets re-estimated in SA7 and the type and / or quantity of resources re-estimated in SA8.

[0165] In SA10, the supply unit 12d of the processing unit 10 provides decision result information indicating the result of the re-determination of resource allocation in the processing of SA9, in substantially the same manner as in the processing of SA5.

[0166] Through the processing from SA6 to SA10, the determination result information indicating the result of the re-determination by the determination unit 12c of the processing unit 10 can be provided, making it possible to allocate resources according to the progress since the abnormality occurred.

[0167] In SA11, the processing-side control unit 12 of the processing unit 10 determines whether or not the timing for terminating the allocation support processing (hereinafter referred to as the "termination timing") has arrived.

[0168] The method for determining whether or not this termination timing has arrived is arbitrary, but in this embodiment, the determination is made based on whether or not termination instruction information indicating that the allocation support process should be terminated has been received from the terminal device 20, whether or not recovery information indicating that the system has returned to normal after an abnormality has occurred has been received from the terminal device 20 or an external device, or whether or not the number of times the SA10 process has been executed has reached a predetermined number of times (for example, 10 times).

[0169] Here, if the termination instruction information is received from the terminal device 20, if the recovery information is received from the terminal device 20 or an external device, or if the predetermined number of times is reached, it is determined that the termination timing has arrived. If the termination instruction information is not received from the terminal device 20, if the recovery information is not received from the terminal device 20 or an external device, or if the predetermined number of times has not been reached, it is determined that the termination timing has not arrived.

[0170] Then, the processing control unit 12 of the processing unit 10 terminates the allocation support process if it determines that the termination timing has arrived (SA11, Yes). On the other hand, if it determines that the termination timing has not arrived (SA11, No), it proceeds to SA6 and repeats the process from SA6 to SA11 in the same manner thereafter.

[0171] This type of allocation support process enables the appropriate allocation of resources to those being allocated, and effectively supports the allocation of those resources.

[0172] (Effects of the embodiment) As described above, according to this embodiment, the system includes a determination unit 12c for determining resource allocation based on the number of allocation targets estimated by the first estimation unit 12a and the type and / or quantity of resources estimated by the second estimation unit 12b, and a provision unit 12d for providing determination result information. Therefore, resources can be effectively allocated to allocation targets based on the determination result information provided by the provision unit 12d, and it is possible to support the allocation of resources to allocation targets.

[0173] Furthermore, the first estimation unit 12a acquires detailed anomaly information and estimates the number of items to be allocated based at least on the acquired detailed anomaly information, so it is possible to estimate the number of items to be allocated with relatively high accuracy and to improve the accuracy of the estimation.

[0174] Furthermore, the second estimation unit 12b uses the acquired prediction model to estimate the type and / or quantity of resources based on the acquired anomaly details and the acquired allocation target-related information. This allows for a relatively accurate estimation of the type and / or quantity of resources, thereby improving the accuracy of the estimation.

[0175] Furthermore, when the timing for re-provision arrives, the decision unit 12c re-determines the allocation of resources based on the number of allocation targets re-estimated by the first estimation unit 12a and the type and / or quantity of resources re-estimated by the second estimation unit 12b. The provision unit 12d then provides decision result information indicating the result of the re-determination by the decision unit 12c, thus enabling the provision of decision result information indicating the result of the re-determination by the decision unit 12c and making it possible to allocate resources according to the progress since the occurrence of the anomaly.

[0176] [III] Modifications of the Embodiment While embodiments of the present invention have been described above, the specific configurations and means of the present invention can be arbitrarily modified and improved within the scope of the technical idea of ​​each invention described in the claims. Such modifications will be described below.

[0177] (Regarding the problems to be solved and the effects of the invention) First, the problems that the invention aims to solve and the effects of the invention are not limited to those described above. The present invention may solve problems not described above, produce effects not described above, solve only some of the problems described above, or produce only some of the effects described above.

[0178] (Regarding decentralization and integration) Furthermore, the electrical components described above are functional concepts and do not necessarily need to be physically configured as shown in the illustrations. In other words, the specific forms of distribution and integration of each part are not limited to those shown in the illustrations, and all or part of them can be functionally or physically distributed or integrated in any unit according to various loads and usage conditions. Also, the term "device" in this application is not limited to a single device, but includes devices composed of multiple devices. For example, the processing device 10 according to the embodiment may be distributed among multiple devices configured to communicate with each other, with a processing-side control unit 12 provided in some of these multiple devices and a processing-side storage unit 13 provided in other parts of these multiple devices.

[0179] (Regarding shape, numerical values, structure, and time series) With regard to the components illustrated in the embodiments and drawings, their shapes, numerical values, or the interrelationships of the structure or time series of multiple components can be arbitrarily modified and improved within the scope of the technical concept of the present invention.

[0180] (Regarding the allocation recipients) In the above embodiment, the recipients of the distribution were described as people who have evacuated to a shelter, but the distribution is not limited to this. For example, it could also include people who live in the vicinity of the shelter but have not evacuated to the shelter.

[0181] (Regarding the allocation support system) In the above embodiment, the allocation support system 1 was described as comprising a processing unit 10 and a terminal device 20, but it is not limited to this configuration, and for example, it may comprise only the processing unit 10.

[0182] In this case, for example, the processing unit 10 may be configured using a known stationary personal computer equipped with an operation unit and an output unit.

[0183] Furthermore, in the processing of SA1 of the distribution support process, the processing-side control unit 12 of the processing device 10 may determine whether the timing for provision has arrived based on whether the input of provision instruction information was received via the operation unit of the processing device 10, or whether a predetermined time has elapsed since the occurrence of an abnormality (the same applies to the processing of SA6).

[0184] Furthermore, in the processing of SA5 of the allocation support processing, the providing unit 12d of the processing unit 10 may provide the decision result information by outputting (displaying and / or outputting audio) it to the output unit of the processing unit 10 (the same applies to the processing of SA10).

[0185] (Regarding the processing-side storage unit) In the above embodiment, it was explained that the processing-side storage unit 13 of the processing device 10 includes a past anomaly DB 13a, an allocation target related DB 13b, and a shelter DB 13c, but this is not limited to this. For example, if past anomaly information, allocation target related information, and / or shelter information can be obtained from an external device, the past anomaly DB 13a, allocation target related DB 13b, and / or shelter DB 13c may be omitted.

[0186] Furthermore, although the above embodiment described that the allocation target-related DB13b stores allocation target age information, allocation target gender information, and allocation target occupation information, it is not limited to this, and for example, one or two of the allocation target age information, allocation target gender information, or allocation target occupation information may be omitted.

[0187] (Regarding the evacuation shelter database) In the above embodiment, it was explained that the evacuation space DB13c stores information on the size of the evacuation space and information on the type of floor in the evacuation space. However, the embodiment is not limited to this, and for example, the information on the size of the evacuation space, or / or the information on the type of floor in the evacuation space, may be omitted.

[0188] (Regarding allocation support processing) In the above embodiment, it was explained that the processes from SA6 to SA11 are executed, but this is not limited to this, and for example, the processes from SA6 to SA11 may be omitted.

[0189] Furthermore, in the above embodiment, it was explained that an abnormality occurs in the region where the user of terminal device 20 is located when the allocation support process is activated. However, this is not limited to this, and for example, an abnormality may not occur in the region where the user of terminal device 20 is located (that is, from the standpoint of performing a simulation regarding resource allocation, the allocation support process may be executed even if no abnormality occurs in that region).

[0190] Furthermore, although the above embodiment described that in the processing of SA4, the decision unit 12c of the processing unit 10 determines the allocation of resources by referring to various information stored in the shelter DB 13c of the processing unit 10, the embodiment is not limited to this.

[0191] For example, if a shelter managed by a user of terminal device 20 lacks resources, but resources are supplied by a supplier such as a government office, the decision unit 12c of the processing unit 10 may decide on resource allocation based only on the number of allocation targets estimated by SA2 and the type and / or quantity of resources estimated by SA3, without referring to various information stored in the shelter DB 13c of the processing unit 10 (the same applies to the processing of SA9).

[0192] For example, if the shelter identification information corresponding to the shelter in the above-mentioned managed shelter information is 1001, the number of people to be allocated estimated in SA2 is 100, the type of resource estimated in SA3 is food, and the amount of resource estimated in SA3 is 3000 meals, then it may be decided to allocate the standard amount of 3000 meals of food to the number of people to be allocated estimated in SA2.

[0193] Furthermore, in the above embodiment, it was explained that in the processing of SA4, if it is determined that the amount of resources estimated in SA3 is not available in the evacuation shelter managed by the user of the terminal device 20, the determination unit 12c of the processing unit 10 determines the allocation of resources based on the number of allocation targets estimated in SA2, so as to allocate an amount of resources below the standard amount to each allocation target, but the embodiment is not limited to this.

[0194] For example, in the processing of SA4, if it is determined that the amount of resources estimated in SA3 is not available in the evacuation shelter managed by the user of terminal device 20, the determination unit 12c of the processing unit 10 may decide on the allocation of resources based on the number of allocation targets estimated in SA2, such as allocating a standard amount of resources to some allocation targets and allocating an amount of resources below the standard amount to other allocation targets (the same applies to the processing of SA9).

[0195] Alternatively, in the processing of SA4, if it is determined that the amount of resources estimated in SA3 is not available in the evacuation shelter managed by the user of terminal device 20, the determination unit 12c of the processing unit 10 may, without determining the allocation of resources, transmit information indicating that resource allocation is not possible to the terminal device 20, and output (display and / or audio output) the transmitted information to the terminal-side output unit 23 of the terminal device 20 (the processing of SA9 is substantially the same).

[0196] Furthermore, although the above embodiment describes that the processes from SA1 to SA5 are executed, it is not limited to this. For example, in addition to these processes, the determination unit 12c of the processing unit 10 may refer to various information stored in the shelter DB 13c of the processing unit 10 (in particular, shelter identification information, shelter resource type information, shelter resource quantity information) and the managed shelter information included in the provision instruction information to determine whether the allocation of resources determined in SA4 can be continuously allocated for a predetermined period (e.g., 10 days). If the allocation cannot be continuously allocated for the predetermined period, support request information requesting support for the resources may be output to the terminal device 20 and / or external devices.

[0197] This type of processing allows for timely resource support and facilitates long-term resource allocation.

[0198] Furthermore, while the above embodiment explains that the allocation support process can be applied to determining the allocation of resources to a single shelter (for example, a shelter managed by a user of terminal device 20), it is not limited to this and may be applied to determining the allocation of resources to multiple shelters, for example.

[0199] In this case, for example, the decision unit 12c of the processing unit 10 may, by referring to the acquired detailed information on abnormalities in each evacuation center or various information in the allocation target-related DB 13b, prioritize and decide on the allocation of resources according to the magnitude of the abnormality in each evacuation center, the age of the recipients, and / or the gender of the recipients.

[0200] For example, if the magnitude of an anomaly occurring around the first evacuation center is greater than the magnitude of an anomaly occurring around the second evacuation center, the determination unit 12c of the processing unit 10 may determine the allocation of resources to the first and second evacuation centers such that the amount of resources allocated to the first evacuation center is greater than the amount of resources allocated to the second evacuation center.

[0201] Alternatively, if the proportion of those under 12 years old among those evacuated to the first shelter is greater than the proportion of those under 12 years old among those evacuated to the second shelter, the determination unit 12c of the processing unit 10 may determine the allocation of resources to the first and second shelters such that the amount of food allocated to the first shelter is greater than the amount of food allocated to the second shelter.

[0202] This process allows for the allocation of resources to each evacuation center according to their specific circumstances, effectively supporting resource distribution.

[0203] (Note) The allocation support system described in Appendix 1 is an allocation support system for assisting in the allocation of resources to allocation targets when an anomaly occurs, and comprises: a first estimation means for estimating the number of allocation targets; a second estimation means for estimating the type and / or amount of resources required in connection with the occurrence of the anomaly; a determination means for determining the allocation of resources based on the number of allocation targets estimated by the first estimation means and the type and / or amount of resources estimated by the second estimation means; and a provision means for providing determination result information indicating the result of the determination by the determination means.

[0204] The allocation support system described in Appendix 2 is the allocation support system described in Appendix 1, wherein the first estimation means acquires detailed abnormality information indicating the details of the abnormality, and estimates the number of allocation targets based at least on the acquired detailed abnormality information.

[0205] The allocation support system in Appendix 3 is an allocation support system described in Appendix 1 or 2, wherein the second estimation means is a prediction model created using past anomaly information relating to anomalies that have occurred in the past, which includes past anomaly details showing the details of the anomaly and past shelter usage information showing the usage status of shelters at the time the anomaly occurred, and the system acquires a prediction model used to estimate the type and / or quantity of the resource, acquires anomaly details showing the details of the anomaly, acquires allocation target-related information relating to the allocation target, and uses the acquired prediction model to estimate the type and / or quantity of the resource based on the acquired anomaly details and the acquired allocation target-related information.

[0206] In the allocation support system described in Appendix 4, when the timing for re-providing the decision result information arrives in the allocation support system described in Appendix 1 or 2, the first estimation means re-estimates the number of allocation targets, the second estimation means re-estimates the type and / or quantity of the resources, the decision means re-determines the allocation of the resources based on the number of allocation targets re-estimated by the first estimation means and the type and / or quantity of the resources re-estimated by the second estimation means, and the providing means provides the decision result information indicating the result of the re-determination by the decision means.

[0207] The allocation support program described in Appendix 5 is an allocation support program for assisting in the allocation of resources to allocation targets when an anomaly occurs, and causes a computer to function as: a first estimation means for estimating the number of allocation targets; a second estimation means for estimating the type and / or amount of resources required in connection with the occurrence of the anomaly; a determination means for determining the allocation of resources based on the number of allocation targets estimated by the first estimation means and the type and / or amount of resources estimated by the second estimation means; and a providing means for providing determination result information indicating the result of the determination by the determination means.

[0208] (Effect of the note) According to the allocation support system described in Appendix 1, or the allocation support program described in Appendix 5, a decision means for determining the allocation of resources based on the number of allocation targets estimated by the first estimation means and the type and / or quantity of resources estimated by the second estimation means, and a provision means for providing decision result information, resources can be effectively allocated to allocation targets based on the decision result information provided by the provision means, and it becomes possible to support the allocation of resources to allocation targets.

[0209] According to the allocation support system described in Appendix 2, the first estimation means acquires detailed anomaly information and estimates the number of allocation targets based at least on the acquired detailed anomaly information. This makes it possible to estimate the number of allocation targets with relatively high accuracy and to improve the accuracy of the estimation.

[0210] According to the allocation support system described in Appendix 3, the second estimation means uses the acquired prediction model to estimate the type and / or quantity of resources based on the acquired anomaly details and the acquired allocation target-related information. This makes it possible to estimate the type and / or quantity of resources with relatively high accuracy and to improve the accuracy of the estimation.

[0211] According to the allocation support system described in Appendix 4, when the timing for re-provision arrives, the decision means re-determines the allocation of resources based on the number of allocation targets re-estimated by the first estimation means and the type and / or quantity of resources re-estimated by the second estimation means, and the provision means provides decision result information indicating the result of the re-determination by the decision means, making it possible to provide decision result information indicating the result of the re-determination by the decision means and to allocate resources according to the progress since the occurrence of the anomaly. [Explanation of Symbols]

[0212] 1. Allocation support system 2 Network 10 Processing Unit 11 Processing side communication unit 12 Processing-side control unit 12a 1st estimation part 12b Second estimation part 12c Decision section 12d supply department 13 Processing-side storage unit 13a Past abnormality DB 13b Distribution Target Related DB 13c Shelter DB 20 Terminal devices 21 Terminal-side communication unit 22 Terminal-side operating section 23 Terminal-side output section 24 Terminal-side power supply unit 25 Terminal-side control unit 26 Terminal-side storage unit

Claims

1. A resource allocation support system for assisting in the allocation of resources to targets when an anomaly occurs, A first estimation means for estimating the number of items to be allocated, A second estimation means for estimating the type and / or quantity of the resource required in response to the occurrence of the aforementioned abnormality, A determination means for determining the allocation of the resources based on the number of allocation targets estimated by the first estimation means and the type and / or quantity of the resources estimated by the second estimation means, A means for providing decision result information showing the result of the decision made by the aforementioned decision means, A distribution support system equipped with the following features.

2. The first estimation means is, Obtain detailed information about the abnormality that shows the aforementioned abnormality details. At least based on the obtained anomaly details, estimate the number of items to be allocated. The allocation support system according to claim 1.

3. The second estimation means is, A predictive model created using past anomaly information relating to the anomaly that occurred in the past, which includes past anomaly details showing the details of the anomaly and past shelter usage information showing the usage status of shelters at the time the anomaly occurred, is obtained and used to estimate the type and / or quantity of the resource, Obtain detailed information about the abnormality that shows the aforementioned abnormality details. Obtain allocation target-related information related to the aforementioned allocation target, Using the acquired prediction model, the type and / or quantity of the resource is estimated based on the acquired anomaly details and the acquired allocation target-related information. The allocation support system according to claim 1 or 2.

4. When the timing for providing the aforementioned decision result information again arrives, The first estimation means re-estimates the number of items to be allocated, The second estimation means re-estimates the type and / or quantity of the resource, The determination means re-determines the allocation of the resources based on the number of allocation targets re-estimated by the first estimation means and the type and / or quantity of the resources re-estimated by the second estimation means. The providing means provides the decision result information indicating the result of the re-determination by the decision means. The allocation support system according to claim 1 or 2.

5. A resource allocation support program that assists in allocating resources to target recipients when an anomaly occurs, Computers, A first estimation means for estimating the number of items to be allocated, A second estimation means for estimating the type and / or quantity of the resource required in response to the occurrence of the aforementioned abnormality, A determination means for determining the allocation of the resources based on the number of allocation targets estimated by the first estimation means and the type and / or quantity of the resources estimated by the second estimation means, A means for providing decision result information showing the result of the decision made by the aforementioned decision means, A distribution support program designed to function as such.

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