Wind power interval prediction method based on bidirectional time convolution and gating circulation unit

Through the combination of bidirectional time convolution and gated cycle units, a wind power prediction model is constructed, which solves the problem of large differences between the wind power prediction value and the actual value, and realizes the accurate interval prediction of wind power and scientific estimation of the change range.

CN120336743APending Publication Date: 2025-07-18SANXIA HENGJI NENGMAI (JIUQUAN) NEW ENERGY POWER GENERATION CO LTD +1
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Patent Information

Application Number
CN202510291835.5
Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Applications(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
Filing Date
2025-03-12
Publication Date
2025-07-18

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

In the existing wind power prediction methods, the wind power prediction value is quite different from the actual value, and the existing models are difficult to effectively capture the interdependence between time series data and consider the influence of prior knowledge.

Method used

The wind power interval prediction method based on bidirectional time convolution and gated cycle unit is adopted. By constructing a network structure of bidirectional time convolution combined with gated cycle unit, using historical data such as wind speed, temperature, and season for training, point prediction and error analysis of wind power are carried out to achieve wind power interval prediction.

Benefits of technology

It improves the accuracy of wind power prediction, enhances the understanding of the characteristics of wind power time series, and realizes scientific estimation and accurate interval prediction of wind power variation range.

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Abstract

The invention provides a wind power interval prediction method based on bidirectional time convolution and a gating cycle unit, and belongs to the field of artificial intelligence application of new energy power prediction.The method comprises the steps that a historical data set containing wind speed, temperature, season and wind power is obtained; on the basis of a network structure of a bidirectional time convolution combined gating cycle unit network, constructing a wind turbine generation power processing network and training the wind turbine generation power processing network; performing clustering segmentation on the historical data set, taking the wind speed data set, the temperature data set and the season data set as input quantities, and inputting the input quantities into the trained fan power generation power processing network to obtain a point prediction result of wind power; calculating errors between the point prediction results of the wind power and the actual wind power to obtain error values, and sorting the point prediction results by adopting a self-service method to obtain wind power interval prediction results under different confidence intervals; the wind power prediction method solves the problem that the difference between the wind power prediction value and the actual value of an existing wind power prediction method is large.
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