A water resource bearing condition evaluation method and system, and a storage medium

By constructing a nested framework and Monte Carlo simulation, dynamically adjusting the threshold range, and combining the interaction model and decision tree algorithm, the spatial hierarchy and temporal variation of water resource carrying capacity assessment are solved, enabling refined water resource management and sustainable development recommendations.

CN122414922APending Publication Date: 2026-07-17河南省水文水资源测报中心
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Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Applications(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
河南省水文水资源测报中心
Filing Date
2026-04-29
Publication Date
2026-07-17

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

Existing water resource carrying capacity assessment methods are insufficient to reflect the water resource transfer relationships between different spatial levels, cannot accurately identify the overload status and risk evolution trends in local areas, and lack dynamic feedback mechanisms, which affects the scientific nature of water resource allocation and ecological protection decisions.

Method used

A nested framework is constructed to analyze the mutual influencing factors. The Monte Carlo simulation algorithm is used to simulate the resource change sequence and dynamically adjust the threshold range. Resource allocation suggestions are generated through the decision tree algorithm. Multi-level carrying capacity classification is performed by combining the mutual influence model and the decision tree algorithm.

Benefits of technology

It enables dynamic and detailed assessment of water resource carrying capacity, improves the accuracy of assessment results and the practicality of regulation recommendations, and can adapt to climate change and supply and demand changes, providing differentiated resource allocation recommendations.

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Abstract

本发明涉及水资源承载评价技术领域,尤其涉及一种水资源承载状况评价方法、系统及存储介质。包括:构建时空嵌套框架;基于该框架分析相互影响因素,确定不同时空尺度下的资源变化序列,并据此动态调整承载阈值区间;利用决策树算法结合动态阈值判断当前承载状况;若判断为超载,则通过嵌套框架回溯上游空间关系,获取影响源数据以构建相互影响模型;基于该模型更新模拟结果,重新计算资源分布特征与承载能力指标,划分多级承载状况分类;最终提取时空嵌套信息,生成资源分配建议,确定可持续发展等级划分。本发明解决了水资源承载评估方法静态孤立、难以反映时空耦合关系与动态反馈的问题,并实现了从状态诊断、成因回溯到优化调控的智能评价。
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