Economic planning system, economic operation system, and economic planning method

Abstract

This economic planning system includes a processor that executes a program, and a storage device that stores the program. The storage device stores, in association with each other, purpose information for formulating an economic plan and an environmental value threshold related to the purpose information. The processor executes: an input process for receiving environmental information, economic information, the purpose information, and the threshold; an estimation process for estimating an environmental value and an economic value on the basis of a relationship between the environmental information and the economic information, and generating a plurality of options on the basis of a combination of the environmental value and the economic value; and an extraction process for setting the threshold on the purpose information to extract a specific option having the environmental value and the economic value that satisfy the threshold from among the plurality of options, and outputting the specific option as an economic plan.

Description

Economic planning system, economic operation system, and economic planning method

[0001] The present invention relates to an economic planning system, an economic operation system, and an economic planning method.

[0002] In order to solve the social issue of regional revitalization, attention is being paid to regional cooperation that connects cities (urban areas, shopping districts, market economies) and rural areas (mountainous areas, agriculture, natural environment). For the central city of a regional area, the people of the surrounding rural areas who use the shopping districts are the related population, and for rural areas, the city people are the related population as consumers of agricultural products and agricultural workers.

[0003] From the perspective of local communities, it is necessary to connect bridging social capital in cities with bonding social capital in rural areas, and to foster a mutually symbiotic community consisting of both. Also, from the perspective of local economic circulation, cooperation between regional areas is desirable in promoting local production and consumption and the development of sixth-sector industries.

[0004] In order to revitalize the economy and society of a region, it is important to balance the market economy, which seeks short-term profitability, with the natural environment, which seeks long-term sustainability, and to protect environmental value while obtaining economic value. Protecting environmental value contributes to the well-being and social value of people living in urban and rural areas, and makes the economy and society of the region sustainable through the continuous production of agricultural products.

[0005] Therefore, when planning and implementing economic activities, it is necessary to formulate an economic plan that returns part of economic value to the conservation and restoration of environmental value, and to operate economic activities in accordance with that plan.For the sake of simplicity, we have listed rural areas and agriculture in contrast to cities and markets, but production also includes livestock farming, forestry, and fisheries.

[0006] Here, economic value is generally measured from the quantity and amount of production, distribution, and consumption, business profits and losses, income, and savings. Environmental value is measured from greenhouse gas emissions, river water nitrogen concentration, green space and forest area, biodiversity, and natural landscapes. Social value is measured from well-being, life satisfaction, QoL, health, fulfillment of child-rearing and education, social capital, and regional vitality.

[0007] Economic and environmental value are often evaluated using objective indicators, while social value is often evaluated using relatively subjective indicators. Various indicators are used for economic, environmental, and social value, but the stakeholders in the region, such as residents, local governments, and businesses, must decide which of these to prioritize and formulate economic plans based on that.

[0008] The power supply operation plan formulation device of Patent Document 1 listed below has a power supply operation planning unit that creates operation plans for the power sources of the power generation company and the grid company so that the benefits from reduced greenhouse gas emissions associated with the supply and demand of electricity between the grid company, power generation company, and consumers are greater than the benefits from reduced greenhouse gas emissions associated with the supply and demand of electricity between the grid company and consumers, a business economic effect calculation unit that calculates the economic effects of the power generation company, power company, and consumers based on the operation plans, and an economic effect allocation adjustment unit that adjusts the allocation of the calculated economic effects to the power generation company, power company, and consumers.

[0009] JP 2015-158750 A

[0010] Patent Document 1 describes calculating the economic effect based on a planned operation plan for a power source, but does not describe calculating the environmental effect of the operation plan, and does not consider extracting measures based on the environmental effect and the economic effect.

[0011] The purpose of this invention is to recursively support the formation of institutions and interpersonal interactions in social systems.

[0012] The economic planning system that is the first disclosed technology of the present application is an economic planning system having a processor that executes a program and a storage device that stores the program, wherein the storage device stores objective information for formulating an economic plan and a threshold value of an environmental value related to the objective information in association with each other, and the processor executes an input process that accepts environmental information, economic information, the objective information, and the threshold value, an estimation process that estimates environmental value and economic value based on the relationship between the environmental information and the economic information, and generates multiple options based on combinations of the environmental value and the economic value, and an extraction process that sets the threshold value for the objective information, thereby extracting from the multiple options a specific option that has the environmental value and economic value that satisfy the threshold value, and outputting the specific option as an economic plan.

[0013] The economic management system, which is the second disclosed technology of the present application, is an economic management system having a processor that executes a program and a storage device that stores the program, wherein the processor executes an input process that accepts an economic plan consisting of environmental value and economic value, an observation process that observes economic activity indicated from environmental information and economic information, a diagnostic process that compares the economic plan with the observation results of the observation process and diagnoses the economic activity, and an intervention process that intervenes in the economic activity based on the diagnostic results of the diagnostic process.

[0014] According to a representative embodiment of the present invention, it is possible to recursively support the formation of institutions and interpersonal interactions in a social system. The problems, configurations, and effects other than those described above will become clear from the following description of the examples.

[0015] FIG. 1 is a conceptual configuration diagram of a society-economy collaboration system according to a first embodiment. FIG. 2 is a block diagram illustrating an example of the configuration of an economic planning system. FIG. 3 is an explanatory diagram illustrating an example of tables related to environmental information, economic information, and social information. FIG. 4 is a flowchart illustrating an example of a calculation processing procedure of the economic planning system. FIG. 5 is an explanatory diagram illustrating an example of a user interface display of the economic planning system. FIG. 6 is an explanatory diagram illustrating an example of a calculation processing method for natural environment simulation processing. FIG. 7 is an explanatory diagram illustrating an example of calculation results for natural environment simulation processing. FIG. 8 is an explanatory diagram illustrating an example of calculation results for market price simulation processing. FIG. 9 is an explanatory diagram illustrating an example of a calculation processing method for economic circulation simulation processing. FIG. 10 is an explanatory diagram illustrating an example of calculation results for economic circulation simulation processing. FIG. 11 is an explanatory diagram illustrating an example of a calculation processing method for multi-value impact assessment processing. FIG. 12 is an explanatory diagram illustrating an example of calculation results for multi-value impact assessment processing. FIG. 13 is an explanatory diagram illustrating an example of a method for extracting options for the calculation results for multi-value impact assessment processing. FIG. 14 is a flowchart illustrating an example of a calculation processing procedure of the economic planning system. Fig. 15 is a block diagram showing an example of the configuration of an economic management system. Fig. 16 is a flowchart showing an example of a calculation processing procedure of the economic management system. Fig. 17 is an explanatory diagram showing an example of a display of a user interface of the economic management system. Fig. 18 is an explanatory diagram showing an example of a diagnosis result of the economic management system.

[0016] <Society-Economy Collaborative System> Fig. 1 is a conceptual configuration diagram of a society-economy collaborative system according to Example 1. The society-economy collaborative system 100 is composed of a social system 120, an economic planning and operation system 130, and a natural environment, economic environment, and social environment 140.

[0017] A social system 120 is composed of individual behavior 121, interpersonal interactions 122, and institutional formation 123. The social system 120 is created by humans.

[0018] The economic planning and operation system 130 comprises a slow loop 1111 consisting of an economic plan estimation 131 and an economic plan formulation 132, and a fast loop 112 consisting of an economic activity observation 137, an economic activity diagnosis 138, and an economic activity intervention 139. The economic planning and operation system 130 is realized by a computer.

[0019] In the natural environment, economic environment, and social environment 140, the natural environment is an environment formed by natural, non-artificial components. In the natural environment, economic environment, and social environment 140, the economic environment is an environment that can change due to economic factors. In the natural environment, economic environment, and social environment 140, the social environment is an environment specified by social conditions that have a direct or indirect impact on human behavior and production, as well as on consumption.

[0020] According to the knowledge of sociology and economics, in a social system 120, on the natural environment, economic environment, and social environment 140, individual behavior 121 creates a group state through interpersonal interactions 122, from which institution formation 123 takes place as a sign (symbol), and the institution recursively influences individual behavior 121 and interpersonal interactions 122.

[0021] Based on knowledge from behavioral economics and public administration, the economic planning and operation system 130 is divided into a slow loop 111 that handles deliberations (politics) and a fast loop 112 that handles operations (administration). The slow loop 111 is an economic planning system that recursively supports institution formation 123 via individual behavior 121, economic activity observation 137, economic plan estimation 131, and economic plan formulation 132. The fast loop 112 is an economic operation system that recursively supports interpersonal interaction 122 via individual behavior 121, economic activity observation 137, economic activity diagnosis 138, and economic activity intervention 139.

[0022] The slow loop 111 acquires environmental information, economic information, social information, and information on the relationships between them from the natural environment, economic environment, and social environment 140 and economic activity observation 137 based on individual behavior 121 .

[0023] The economic planning and estimation 131 estimates future environmental value, economic value, and social value, and generates multiple options based on a combination of these values. The economic planning and estimation 131 typically includes a natural environment simulation 133 (physics), a market price simulation 134 (macroeconomics), an economic circulation simulation 135 (microeconomics), and a multi-value impact assessment 136 (subjective and objective). These will be described in detail later.

[0024] The economic plan formulation 132 extracts options corresponding to the environmental value, economic value, and social value that have been set in advance, formulates them as an economic plan, and contributes to the system formation 123 .

[0025] The fast loop 112 acquires the economic plan formulated by the slow loop 111, and in the economic activity observation 137, economic activity is observed from the natural environment, economic environment, and social environment 140 and individual behavior 121, and in the economic activity diagnosis 138, economic activity is diagnosed by comparing the economic plan with the observation results.

[0026] Economic activity intervention 139 intervenes in economic activity, i.e., interpersonal interaction 122, based on the diagnosis results.

[0027] According to the collaborative system 100 between society and economy, it is possible to formulate an economic plan that balances environmental or social value with economic value through the slow loop 111, and to operate economic activities based on the economic plan through the fast loop 112. Furthermore, by recursively coordinating the social system 120 created by humans and the economic planning and operation system 130, it is possible to flexibly adapt to changes in the natural, economic, and social environments 140.

[0028] Note that the arrows shown in Fig. 1 indicate typical relationships in the system configuration, and the collaborative system between society and economy 100 is not necessarily limited to the configuration shown in Fig. 1. For example, the economic plan estimation 131 is not necessarily performed in the order of natural environment simulation 133, market price simulation 134, economic circulation simulation 135, and multi-value impact assessment 136, but may be performed in any combination, and in some cases it may be possible to return from economic plan formulation 132 to economic plan estimation 131.

[0029] For simplicity, arrows from the natural environment, economic environment, and social environment 140 to the individual behavior 121, economic activity observation 137, and economic plan estimation 131 (representatively, natural environment simulation 133) are shown only to indicate the flow of information, but it goes without saying that there is an influence from the natural environment, economic environment, and social environment 140 to interpersonal interactions 122 and institutional formation 123, and an influence from economic activities including the individual behavior 121 and interpersonal interactions 122 to the natural environment, economic environment, and social environment 140.

[0030] <Economic Planning System (Slow Loop 111)> Figure 2 is a block diagram showing an example of the configuration of an economic planning system. The economic planning system 200 corresponds to the slow loop 111. The economic planning system 200 is made up of a computer 210, a data source 230, a database 240, and a network 250 that interconnects these components.

[0031] The computer 210 comprises a processor 211 , a memory 220 , a storage 212 , a user interface 213 , and a network interface 214 , and communicates with a data source 230 and a database 240 via the network interface 214 and a network 250 .

[0032] The processor 211 executes calculations in the computer 210 based on the programs and data read from the storage 212 to the memory 220 .

[0033] The storage 212 stores programs such as an economic plan estimation program (natural environment simulation program 221 to multi-value impact assessment program 224), an economic plan formulation program 225, objective information 226 for formulating a predetermined economic plan, and thresholds 227 for environmental value and social value.

[0034] The storage 212 also stores data, for example in table format, including current or past environmental information, economic information, and social information acquired from the data source 230 or the database 240 via the network 250 .

[0035] Environmental information is the information used to calculate environmental value, and specific examples include current or past temperature, humidity, precipitation, greenhouse gas emissions, nitrogen concentration in river water, green space and forest area, biodiversity (number of species and habitat area), and natural landscape (results of a survey of local residents (for example, a five-point scale)).

[0036] Economic information is information that is the basis for calculating economic value, and specific examples include quantities and amounts of current or past production, distribution, and consumption, business profits and losses, income, and savings.

[0037] Social information is information that is the basis for calculating social value, and specifically includes, for example, current or past well-being, life satisfaction, QoL (Quality of Life), health, fulfillment in child-rearing and education, social capital, and regional vitality.

[0038] The environmental information, economic information, and social information may be values ​​for an individual or a corporation, or may be statistical values ​​such as averages within a certain region.

[0039] 3 is an explanatory diagram showing an example of a table relating to environmental information, economic information, and social information. Table 300 is stored in storage 212 or database 240. In table 300, environmental data a1 to a5, ... (hereinafter referred to as environmental data a) relating to environment 1, environment 2, ... (hereinafter referred to as economic data b) relating to economy 1, economy 2, ... (hereinafter referred to as economic data b) relating to economy 1, economy 2, ... (hereinafter referred to as social data c) relating to society 1, society 2, ... (hereinafter referred to as social data c) are recorded as sets together with time information such as date / time 1 and date / time 2, and, in some cases, location information.

[0040] In addition, when the detection position can be identified in the environmental data a, economic data b, and social data c, the location information is recorded in addition to the time information. In the case of the environmental data a, the observation point of the environmental data a is recorded as the location information. For example, if the environmental data a is temperature, the observation point of the temperature is recorded as the location information.

[0041] In the case of economic data b, the point where economic data b was generated is recorded as location information. For example, if economic data b is the production volume of a crop (e.g., rice), the place where the crop was produced is recorded as location information.

[0042] In the case of social data c, the target area of ​​the social data c is recorded as location information. For example, if the social data c is the life satisfaction of residents in a certain area, the area is recorded as location information.

[0043] The environmental data a, economic data b, and social data c cannot necessarily be acquired at the same time or at the same intervals. Therefore, the economic planning system 200 interpolates the environmental data a, economic data b, and social data c at the required time from data from previous and subsequent times, and performs data cleansing on the environmental data a, economic data b, and social data c to remove inconsistencies or corruption.

[0044] 2 , the storage 212 and memory 220 are non-transitory or temporary recording media for storing various programs and data (information). Examples include read-only memory (ROM), random access memory (RAM), solid state drives (SSDs), and hard disk drives (HDDs). The user interface 213 includes at least one of a display, keyboard, mouse, touch panel, speaker, microphone, camera, sensor, etc.

[0045] The network interface 214 is connected to a network 250 consisting of the Internet or a communication line, and transmits and receives data such as environmental information, economic information, and social information to and from a data source 230 or a database 240 .

[0046] The data source 230 is remote sensing, sensor devices, smart devices, and open data for acquiring environmental information, economic information, and social information.

[0047] The database 240 stores environmental information, economic information, and social information acquired from the data source 230 as a table 300 .

[0048] The computer 210 reads into the memory 220 the economic plan estimation program (natural environment simulation program 221 to multi-value impact assessment program 224), the economic plan formulation program 225, the economic plan objective information 226, the environmental value or social value threshold 227, and the data stored in the table 300, which are stored in the storage 212, and executes the economic plan estimation program (natural environment simulation program 221 to multi-value impact assessment program 224) and the economic plan formulation program 225.

[0049] The objective information 226 and the threshold value 227 are different values ​​for each of the natural environment simulation program 221 to the multi-value impact assessment program 224 .

[0050] The economic planning estimation programs (natural environment simulation program 221 to multi-value impact assessment program 224) are a group of existing software that estimates future environmental value, economic value, and social value and generates multiple options based on combinations of these values.

[0051] The natural environment simulation program 221 is existing software that causes the processor 211 to estimate economic value and environmental value through a numerical simulation (natural environment simulation 133) based on a map consisting of meshes in which environmental information and economic information obtained from the table 300 are arranged, and an interaction model between the meshes.

[0052] The market price simulation program 222 is existing software that causes the processor 211 to estimate economic value, environmental value, and social value through a numerical simulation (market price simulation 134) based on an objective function with environmental value, economic value, and social value as parameters, and a constraint function with environmental information, economic information, and social information as parameters.

[0053] The economic circulation simulation program 223 is existing software that causes the processor 211 to estimate economic value and environmental value through a numerical simulation (economic circulation simulation 135) based on agents whose parameters are environmental information and economic information and an interaction model between the agents.

[0054] The multi-value impact assessment program 224 is existing software that causes the processor 211 to estimate economic value, environmental value, and social value through a numerical simulation (multi-value impact assessment 136) based on elements that use environmental information, economic information, and social information as parameters and a logic model between the elements.

[0055] The economic planning program 225 is software that causes the processor 211 to execute a process of extracting options that satisfy predetermined economic plan objective information 226 and environmental value or social value threshold value 227 from among multiple options included in the estimation results of the economic plan estimation program (natural environment simulation program 221 to multi-value impact assessment program 224), and outputting the extracted options to the user interface 213 as economic plans.

[0056] Specifically, for example, in the natural environment simulation program 221, a condition that an economic plan for crop production that takes environmental value into consideration is formulated is set as objective information in the economic plan formulation program 225. More specifically, for example, a condition that an economic plan is formulated taking into consideration the nitrogen concentration in river water, for example, when chemical fertilization restrictions, excrement treatment, organic farming, or compost utilization are implemented, becomes objective information.

[0057] For the market price simulation program 222, in the economic planning program 225, for example, the objective information is set to formulate economic activities that balance economic value with environmental value and social value.

[0058] In the economic circulation simulation program 223, for example, the objective information is set in the economic plan formulation program 225 to formulate an economic plan that balances economic value and environmental value. More specifically, the objective information is, for example, a condition that each of the calculated economic value and environmental value is equal to or greater than a threshold value. In Figure 10, the threshold value for environmental value is shown as threshold value 207, but a threshold value for economic value may be set on the vertical axis of the graph in Figure 10 in accordance with the objective information.

[0059] For the multi-value impact assessment program 224, the objective information is set in the economic plan formulation program 225, for example, to formulate an economic plan that has higher economic value, environmental value, and social value than the current state. That is, the current economic value, environmental value, and social value are set as thresholds 227. In Fig. 12, the threshold value for environmental value is shown as threshold 227, but thresholds for economic value and social value may also be set on the graph in Fig. 12 in accordance with the objective information.

[0060] According to the economic planning system 200, a plurality of options are generated by executing an economic plan estimation program (natural environment simulation program 221 to multi-value impact assessment program 224). Also, according to the economic planning system 200, by executing an economic plan formulation program 225, it is possible to calculate environmental or social value and economic value from among a plurality of options, and to generate an economic plan that satisfies preset economic plan objective information 226 and environmental or social value threshold value 227 for the calculated environmental or social value and economic value.

[0061] This will enable the formulation of desirable economic plans that balance the natural environment, which demands sustainability, with the market economy, which demands profitability, and will enable the formulation of economic plans that promote the preservation and restoration of environmental value while also obtaining economic value.

[0062] 4 is a flowchart showing an example of the calculation processing procedure of the economic planning system 200. Upon starting (step S400), the computer 210 reads current or past environmental information, economic information, and social information from table 300 into memory 220, and executes economic plan estimation processing (natural environment simulation processing (step S401) to multi-value impact assessment processing (step S404)) using the economic plan estimation program (natural environment simulation program 221 to multi-value impact assessment program 224).

[0063] Next, the computer 210 executes the economic planning process (step S405) using the economic planning program 225, and the calculation process ends (step S406).

[0064] In the economic plan estimation process (natural environment simulation process (step S401) to multi-value impact assessment process (step S404)), the computer 210 executes the natural environment simulation process (step S401), the market price simulation process (step S402), the economic circulation simulation process (step S403), or the multi-value impact assessment process (step S404).

[0065] As indicated by the arrows in the flowchart of FIG. 4, steps S401 to S404 may be executed all in sequence, executed individually, executed in combination, or executed in a different order.

[0066] In steps S401 to S404, the computer 210 executes the natural environment simulation program 221, the market price simulation program 222, the economic circulation simulation program 223, and the multi-value impact assessment program 224, respectively, to estimate economic value, environmental value, and social value, and generate multiple options based on combinations of these values.

[0067] In step S5, which performs the economic plan formulation process (step S405), the computer 210 reads the preset economic plan objective information 226 and the environmental value or social value threshold value 227 into the memory 220, extracts options that correspond to the objective information 226 and the threshold value 227 from the multiple options generated by the economic plan estimation process (natural environment simulation process (step S401) to multi-value impact assessment process (step S404)), and displays the extracted options on the user interface 213 as an economic plan.

[0068] In formulating an economic plan from multiple options, even if several desirable options are selected, the final selection may be left to the will and values ​​of stakeholders such as residents and businesses. In this case, a consensus-building process among stakeholders is carried out in step S5.

[0069] Since economic plans involve all stakeholders, it is desirable that they be formulated through fair procedures that take minority groups into consideration. If, in step S5, appropriate options are not extracted for the stakeholders, or if no agreement is reached and the economic plan needs to be reviewed again, the estimation process may be repeated by returning from step S5 to one of steps S401 to S404.

[0070] According to the calculation processing procedure in Figure 4, by combining calculation processing and procedures from steps S401 to S404, it is possible to generate a variety of options regarding environmental value or social value and economic value according to the objective of the economic plan, and to formulate the option that best suits the objective as the economic plan.

[0071] 5 is an explanatory diagram showing a display example of the user interface of the economic planning system 200. The display 500 is one of the user interfaces 213 of the computer 210, and outputs a screen 501.

[0072] Screen 501 displays input data on environmental information, economic information, and social information obtained from data source 230 or database 240, and multiple options for economic value, environmental value, and social value that are intermediate execution results of the economic plan estimation process (natural environment simulation process (step S401) to multi-value impact assessment process (step S404)), or displays an economic plan that is the final execution result of the economic plan formulation process (step S405).

[0073] Specifically, on screen 501, input data is numerical data on a mesh map 503. Intermediate execution results are calculation result data on mesh map 503. Final execution results are graphs of options related to economic value and environmental value. Operation buttons 502 are a graphic user interface for selecting a process or procedure from the economic plan estimation process (natural environment simulation process (step S401) to multi-value impact assessment process (step S404)) and for setting the display content of screen 501.

[0074] The user interface on screen 501 makes it possible to visualize input data and intermediate execution results of the economic plan estimation process (natural environment simulation process (step S401) to multi-value impact assessment process (step S404)). Furthermore, while comparing and checking various options through visualization, it is possible to formulate a desired economic plan based on the final execution results of the economic plan formulation process (step S405).

[0075] <Natural Environment Simulation Process (Step S401)> Figure 6 is an explanatory diagram showing an example of a calculation processing method for the natural environment simulation process (step S401). The mesh map 503 is a map obtained by dividing a geographical area according to a predetermined rule. Each mesh of the mesh map 503 represents an area, and environmental information and economic information obtained from the data source 230 are allocated to it.

[0076] The environmental information arranged in the mesh includes, for example, geographic information such as rivers 601, oceans 602, and topography, soil information, climate information, water quality information for rivers 601 and groundwater, and land use information such as forests, farmland, pastures, and residential areas.

[0077] The economic information arranged in the mesh includes, for example, agricultural production volume, amount of chemical fertilizer application, amount of organic compost, amount of livestock production volume, amount of livestock excrement, and amount of biomass power generation.

[0078] The natural environment simulation process (step S401) is an existing simulation process that uses environmental information and economic information as parameters to formulate equations that mathematically model interactions between meshes, estimates future environmental value and economic value through a numerical simulation (natural environment simulation 133) using the finite element method or finite difference method, etc., and generates multiple options based on combinations of environmental value and economic value. The purpose of the natural environment simulation process (step S401) is to simulate economic activity that balances economic value and environmental value.

[0079] FIG. 7 is an explanatory diagram showing an example of the calculation results of the natural environment simulation process (step S401). The horizontal axis of graph 700 represents agricultural and livestock production volume, i.e., economic value, and the vertical axis represents river water nitrogen concentration, i.e., environmental value. Graph 700 shows the relationship between economic value and environmental value for representative options 700A, 700B, and 700C extracted from the multiple options generated by the natural environment simulation process (step S401) based on the economic plan's objective information 226. Here, option 700A represents the status quo, while options 700B and 700C represent the simulation results of the economic planning program 225 for representative farming methods that can be implemented in the target river area in accordance with the objective information 226.

[0080] Option 700A shows the case where current agricultural and livestock production methods are maintained (black dots indicate the current economic and environmental values). Option 700B shows the case where the amount of chemical fertilizer used in agriculture is limited and livestock waste is treated through biomass power generation. Option 700C shows the case where agriculture is converted to organic farming and livestock waste is used as compost.

[0081] The dotted line in graph 700 indicates the threshold value 207 set for the environmental value. In this case, if option 700A remains, it will be necessary to reduce production volume, i.e., accept a decline in economic value, in order to satisfy the threshold value 207 set for the environmental value. To raise the environmental value above the target while maintaining the current production volume, the natural environment simulation process (step S401) must extract option 700B or 700C and formulate one of them as the economic plan in accordance with threshold value 207, which is the preset target production volume.

[0082] If the economic planning program 225 sets a higher target (in this case, by reducing the threshold 207), option 700B requires a lower production volume, i.e., a lower economic value. On the other hand, option 700C makes it possible to increase production volume while increasing environmental value, i.e., to increase economic value. However, the installation of biomass power generation equipment in option 700B and the conversion to organic farming and composting in option 700C involve costs not shown in graph 700. Therefore, in practice, taking these factors into consideration, an economic plan is formulated by converting costs into production volume for options 700B and 700C to the left parallel to the horizontal axis and sliding the production volume equivalent to the costs, in accordance with the instructions of the simulation processor.

[0083] According to the natural environment simulation process (step S401), multiple options regarding environmental value and economic value are generated based on environmental information and economic information associated with geographical locations, and the economic planning program 225 can extract options that satisfy the threshold 207 as economic plans.

[0084] Note that while graph 700 shows the calculation results for the entire mesh map 503, in the natural environment simulation process (step S401) the calculation results are associated with geographical locations, so it is also possible to extract prioritized options for each region into which mesh map 503 is divided and output them as a detailed economic plan.

[0085] <Market Price Simulation Process (Step S402)> Next, an example of a calculation processing method for the market price simulation process (Step S402) will be described. The following formula (1) is an objective function f that expresses the relationship between utility (value) u, economic production activity x, environmental index y, and social sensitivity z. For example, economic production activity x is the human capital allocated to production activity, and environmental index y is the CO in the atmosphere. ２ The quantity of economic production activity x and the social sensitivity z are the level of interest of local residents. Note that economic production activity x is an example of economic information, environmental index y is an example of environmental information, and social sensitivity z is an example of social information. The purpose of the market price simulation process (step S402) is to formulate economic activities that balance economic value, environmental value, and social value, and the purpose information 226 is the variables economic production activity x, environmental index y, and social sensitivity z.

[0086] u=f(x,y,z)...(1)

[0087] The following formula (2) is a constraint function g that expresses the relationship between the time derivative of the environmental index y and the economic production activity x, the environmental index y, and the environmental restoration level v. The environmental restoration level v is an example of environmental information, and for example, ２ The quantity.

[0088]

[0089] The following formula (3) is a constraint function h that expresses the relationship between the time derivative of the environmental restoration level v and the economic production activity x, the environmental restoration level v, and the environmental conservation activity w. The environmental conservation activity w is an example of environmental information, such as the human capital allocated to conservation activities.

[0090]

[0091] The following equation (4) is a constraint constant k that represents the relationship between economic production activity x and environmental conservation activity w.

[0092] x+w=k...(4)

[0093] The following equation (5) is a solution function i that expresses the relationship between the market price p, the economic production activity x, the environmental index y, and the social sensitivity z, obtained by solving the simultaneous equations of the above equations (1) to (4).

[0094] p=i(x,y,z)...(5)

[0095] 8 is an explanatory diagram showing an example of the calculation results of the market price simulation process (step S402). The horizontal axis of graph 800 represents the consumption amount estimated from economic production activity x. The vertical axis of graph 800 represents the market price p obtained from the solution function i. The product of the consumption amount and the market price p is the economic value.

[0096] In graph 800, solid lines represent supply curves 801 and 810, and dotted lines represent demand curves 802 and 820. Supply curve 801 and demand curve 802 represent the current supply and demand estimated from current or past economic information based on economic planning objective information 226.

[0097] Supply curve 810 is a curve that shows supply when an imputed price for the environment (environmental value) is assigned to the current market price p. Demand curve 820 is a curve that shows demand when social sensitivity z (social value) to the environment is improved compared to the current situation. Social sensitivity z is a variable in equation (1) and also represents the social value that local residents subjectively hold. This social value is input as the results of a questionnaire survey of local residents.

[0098] Option 800A is the intersection of supply curve 801 and demand curve 802, and is the equilibrium point between consumption and market price p when the status quo is maintained. Option 800B is the intersection of supply curve 810 and demand curve 802, and is the equilibrium point when environmental value improves (when the target environmental index y in solution function i is set to threshold value 227). Option 800C is the intersection of supply curve 810 and demand curve 820, and is the equilibrium point when environmental value (environmental index y) and social value (social sensitivity z) improve.

[0099] In option 800B, the environmental value is improved compared to the current option 800A, but consumption decreases and the market price p increases, so the economic value expressed by the product of consumption and market price p does not change much.

[0100] In option 800C, consumption does not fall as much as in the current option 800A, and market price p increases, so that economic value as well as environmental value increases.Whether option 800B or option 800C is formulated as an economic plan by economic plan formulation program 225 is selected by the simulation processor by inputting social value with an outlook on social sensitivity z, i.e., the extent to which human society's values ​​regarding the environment can be changed.

[0101] According to the market price simulation process (step S402), it is possible to generate multiple options for the market price p based on current economic information, to which environmental value or social value is added, and to formulate an economic plan that satisfies the environmental value threshold 227 (supply curve 810).

[0102] Note that while typical objective functions and constraint functions are shown as examples in the above formulas (1) to (5), the environmental information and economic information are not limited to these. Also, while graph 800 shows the calculation results related to the analysis of supply and demand, the horizontal and vertical axes of graph 800 can also be shown in the form of environmental value and market price p, or environmental value and economic value, etc.

[0103] <Economic Circulation Simulation Processing (Step S403)> Figure 9 is an explanatory diagram showing an example of the calculation processing method for the economic circulation simulation processing (step S403). The multi-agent model 900 is a simulation model executed by the computer 210. The multi-agent model 900 is composed of blocks representing agents 901 to 908 that carry out environmental or economic activities in a regional area connecting urban and rural areas, and arrows that represent interactions based on the relationships between the agents.

[0104] Agent 901 represents the natural environment (mountainous area), agent 902 represents an (environmental) conservator, agent 903 represents an (in-region) producer, agent 904 represents an off-region producer, agent 905 represents an (in-region) store, agent 906 represents an off-region store, agent 907 represents an (in-region) consumer, and agent 908 represents an off-region consumer. Hereinafter, they may be referred to as natural environment 901 - off-region consumer 908.

[0105] The main economic flow is that producers 903 harvest products from the natural environment 901 within the regional area, and the products reach consumers 907 via stores 905. The consumer 907 then pays the price to the store 905, and the remaining price minus a brokerage fee reaches producer 903, and production activities continue in the natural environment 901.

[0106] A portion of the payment obtained by the producer 903 is given to a conservator 902, who then carries out conservation activities for the natural environment 901. The conservator 902 may receive payment from a store 905 or a consumer 907. In addition, with regard to outside the region, the producer 903 has a relationship with an outside store 906, the store 905 has a relationship with an outside producer 904 or an outside consumer 908, and the consumer 907 has a relationship with the outside store 906.

[0107] The economic circulation simulation process (step S403) mathematically models the behavior and interactions of agents using environmental information and economic information as parameters, and uses a multi-agent simulation to estimate environmental value and economic value for the set value of each parameter, which is data obtained from table 300, and generates multiple options based on various combinations of the parameters. Note that the environmental information here is environmental data a that is affected by the producer 903, such as the amount of nitrogen load in the case of agriculture or livestock farming, the amount of carbon dioxide absorption in the case of forestry, and the amount of carbon dioxide emissions and wastewater volume in the case of processing industries.

[0108] 10 is an explanatory diagram showing an example of the calculation results of the economic circulation simulation process (step S403). The horizontal axis of the graph 1000 represents the consumption amount of the consumer 907. The vertical axis of the graph 1000 represents the environmental value of the natural environment 901.

[0109] Graph 1000 shows the relationship between consumption and environmental value for representative options 1000A, 1000B, and 1000C extracted from the multiple options generated by the economic circulation simulation process (step S403) based on the economic plan objective information 226 and the specifications of the simulation processor. The product of the consumption amount and the regional economic circulation rate becomes the economic value. The purpose of the economic circulation simulation process (step S403) is to simulate economic activity that balances economic value and environmental value.

[0110] Option 1000A shows the relationship between consumption and environmental value when the current production method is maintained (black circles indicate the current consumption and environmental value). Option 1000B shows the relationship between consumption and environmental value when an imputed price for the environment is added to the current market price and conservation activities by producers 903 and conservators 902 are promoted. Option 1000C shows the relationship between consumption and environmental value when local production and consumption are promoted by increasing transactions between stores 905 and local producers 903 and increasing purchases by consumers 902 from local stores 905.

[0111] The dotted line in graph 1000 indicates the target (threshold 227) set for environmental value. In this case, option 1000A will not be able to achieve the target (threshold 227). Option 1000B will be able to achieve the target if consumption, including imputed prices, remains the same as it is now. However, if consumption falls significantly due to an increase in market prices, it will be difficult to achieve the target.

[0112] In option 1000C, the promotion of local production and consumption increases the local economic circulation rate, the environmental value exceeds option 1000B, and the economic value expressed as the product of the consumption amount and the local economic circulation rate improves. In the economic circulation simulation process (step S403), the simulation processor sets the target local economic circulation rate and consumption amount, taking into consideration the understanding of the local residents of the imputed price that is returned to environmental conservation and their awareness of local production and consumption, i.e., social value, and extracts option 1000B or option 1000C as an economic plan.

[0113] According to the economic circulation simulation process (step S403), it is possible to calculate the overall environmental value, economic value, and social value for multiple stakeholders who may implement an economic plan based on the actions and interactions of agents who carry out environmental or economic activities. Furthermore, according to the economic circulation simulation process (step S403), it is possible to generate multiple options for the calculated environmental value, economic value, and social value, extract options taking into account the environmental value threshold 227 and the social value, and output them as an economic plan for multiple stakeholders.

[0114] Note that while graph 1000 shows the calculation results for the entire multi-agent model 900, it is also possible to perform a sensitivity analysis of the impact that each of the agents 901 to 908 has on environmental value, economic value, and social value based on the calculation results of the economic circulation simulation process (step S403), and output a detailed economic plan for each of the agents 901 to 908. In the sensitivity analysis, by looking at the change in value relative to changes in the parameters of the agents 901 to 908, i.e., the sensitivity, highly sensitive parameters are finely adjusted, the simulation is recalculated, and an economic plan is output, and the parameters of each of the agents 901 to 908 are reset, i.e., a detailed economic plan is output for each of the agents 901 to 908.

[0115] <Multiple Value Impact Assessment Process (Step S404)> Fig. 11 is an explanatory diagram showing an example of a calculation processing method for the multiple value impact assessment process (Step S404). A logic model is used in the multiple value impact assessment process (Step S404). A logic model is a model that shows a logical network structure for understanding a target.

[0116] For example, if the target is a policy, the logic model is a model that shows the logical network structure of the policy, clearly showing the logical causal relationships leading up to the achievement of the policy's objective. The logic model is expressed by nodes, links, and hierarchies. The nodes represent indicators that are factors that affect social impact, such as resident satisfaction. The edges represent the connections between indicators. The purpose of the multi-value impact assessment process (step S404) is to simulate economic activities that balance economic value, environmental value, and social value.

[0117] A logical network structure such as a logic model is organized into a hierarchy of nodes and edges, which represent inputs, activities, outputs, outcomes, and impacts.

[0118] Nodes belonging to input indicate indicators related to physical resources such as people, things, money, etc. Nodes belonging to activity indicate indicators related to the actual activities that the physical resources of the nodes belonging to input perform.

[0119] Nodes in the output category show indicators related to the profits obtained or goods and services produced through the activities of nodes in the activity category. Nodes in the outcome category show indicators related to the changes or effects caused by the profits, goods and services produced.

[0120] Nodes belonging to impact are indicators related to social outcomes and environmental outcomes that have arisen as a result of changes or effects, such as those proposed in the SDGs, etc. Note that each of the inputs, activities, outputs, outcomes, and impacts may have multiple layers within it.

[0121] In FIG. 11, a logic model 1100 is composed of blocks representing elements 1101 to 1117 and arrows representing the logical relationships between elements, from inputs through activities, outputs, and outcomes to impacts.

[0122] Of the elements 1101 to 1117, the inputs consist of production capital investment 1101, commercial facility renovation 1102, and human investment 1103. Hereinafter, these may be referred to as inputs 1101 to 1103. Production capital investment 1101 is an example of economic information. Commercial facility renovation 1102 is an example of environmental information. Human investment 1103 is an example of economic information. However, these are just examples, and production capital investment may be environmental information, and human investment may be social information.

[0123] Of the elements 1101 to 1117, the activities consist of sixth-industry development 1104, local production and consumption promotion 1105, related population development 1106, and environmental education 1107. Hereinafter, these may be referred to as activities 1104 to 1107.

[0124] Of the elements 1101 to 1117, the output is made up of an intra-regional economic circulation 1108, environmental conservation 1109, and social capital 1110. Hereinafter, these may be referred to as outputs 1108 and 1109.

[0125] Outcomes are made up of income 1111, health 1112, natural environment 1113, and child-rearing 1114 from among the elements 1101 to 1117. Hereinafter, these may be referred to as outcomes 1111 to 1114. Impacts are made up of economic value 1115, environmental value 1116, and social value 1117 from among the elements 1101 to 1117. Hereinafter, these may be referred to as impacts 1115 to 1117.

[0126] Elements 1101 to 1117 set current or past environmental, economic, or social information, and the effects that preceding elements have on subsequent elements are set based on the relationship information between them. Note that, because logic model 1100 is created based on the consensus of various stakeholders, subjective intentions and values ​​are often reflected, particularly in elements and effects related to social value.

[0127] In the multi-value impact assessment process (step S404), the inputs of production equipment investment 1101, commercial equipment renovation 1102, and human investment 1103 are used as parameters to calculate the impacts of economic value 1115, environmental value 1116, and social value 1117 through numerical simulation based on logic model 1100.

[0128] 12 is an explanatory diagram showing an example of the calculation results of the multi-value impact assessment process (step S404). A ternary graph 1200 is a graph in which the calculation results are plotted on three axes: economic value 1115, environmental value 1116, and social value 1117.

[0129] The dotted lines in the ternary graph 1200 indicate the threshold 227 of the environmental value 1117. The open circles in the ternary graph 1200 indicate the multiple options generated by the multi-value impact assessment process (step S404). The closed circles in the ternary graph 1200 indicate representative options 1200A, 1200B, and 1200C extracted from the multiple options generated by the economic plan objective information 226 based on the threshold 227 of the environmental value 1117.

[0130] Option 1200A shows the case where inputs 1101 to 1103 are not implemented as they are. Option 1200B shows the case where inputs 1101 to 1103 are allocated to activities 1104 to 1107 that relatively contribute to environmental value 1116. Option 1200C shows the case where inputs 1101 to 1103 are allocated to activities 1104 to 1107 that relatively contribute to social value 1117.

[0131] Option 1200A can be said to be economically focused because it has a relatively high economic value 1115 and low social value 1117 and environmental value 1116. Option 1200B can be said to be environmentally focused because it has a lower economic value 1115 and a higher environmental value 1116 than option 1200A. Option 1200C can be said to be socially focused because it has an even lower economic value 1115, a slightly lower environmental value 1116, and a higher social value 1117 than option 1200B.

[0132] 13 is an explanatory diagram showing an example of a method for extracting options from the calculation results of the multi-value impact assessment process (step S404). In the ternary graph 1300, the black circles represent the same options 1200A, 1200B, and 1200C as in the ternary graph 1200.

[0133] The dotted triangles indicate the tolerance ranges 1300a to 1300c for the three values ​​of the three stakeholder groups (i.e., the thresholds 227 for the three values), and the open circles indicate option 1300D that is commonly included in the three tolerance ranges 1300a to 1300c. Instead of choosing from the representative options 1200A, 1200B, and 1200C, option 1300D that can gain consensus among the stakeholder groups is output as the economic plan.

[0134] According to the multi-value impact assessment process (step S404), multiple options for the three values ​​are generated based on the logic model 1100 created through discussion among stakeholders, and the option that can gain consensus based on the stakeholders' tolerance ranges 1300a to 1300c can be output as an economic plan.

[0135] Note that ternary graph 1200 shows the calculation results for logic model 1100 as a whole, but by performing sensitivity analysis of environmental value, economic value, and social value for elements 1101 to 1117 and the actions between elements 1101 to 1117, it is possible to review the elements and actions, i.e., the structure of the logic model, in order to achieve a balance of the three values ​​that stakeholders deem more desirable. For example, by extracting highly sensitive elements and the actions that connect them, dividing the elements, reviewing the setting values ​​of the actions, and recalculating the simulation, it can be seen whether the number of options that fall within the range of stakeholder tolerance has increased.

[0136] 14 is a flowchart showing an example of the calculation processing procedure of the economic planning system. The process starts (step S400), goes through a natural environment simulation process (step S401), a market price simulation process (step S402), an economic circulation simulation process (step S403), a multi-value impact assessment process (step S404), and an economic plan formulation process (step S405), and ends (step S406).

[0137] The data 1411 calculated in the natural environment simulation process (step S401) is passed on to the next market price simulation process (step S402). The data 1411, such as production volume, production method (organic farming, etc.), river water nitrogen concentration, and soil absorption rate calculated in the natural environment simulation process (step S401), are converted into data such as economic production activity, environmental conservation activity, environmental index, and environmental recovery rate in the market price simulation process (step S402), and are used to correct the coefficients of the simultaneous equations.

[0138] The data 1412 calculated in the market price simulation process (step S402) is passed to the next economic circulation simulation process (step S403). The data 1412, such as the market price (imputed price), supply volume, equilibrium point and social sensitivity, environmental index, and environmental conservation activities calculated in the market price simulation process (step S402), is converted into activity data of the stores 905, producers 903, consumers 907, natural environment 901, and conservators 902 in the economic circulation simulation process (step S403), and is used as the median values ​​of the parameters of the multi-agent model 900.

[0139] The data 1413 calculated in the economic circulation simulation process (step S403) is handed over to the next multi-value impact assessment process (step S404). Data 1413 calculated in the economic circulation simulation process (step S403), such as logistics from producers 903 to stores 905, logistics from producers 903 to consumers 907, the local economic circulation rate, the activities of producers 903 and conservators 902, and the natural environment 901, is converted into data on sixth-generation industrialization, local production for local consumption, local economic circulation, environmental conservation, the natural environment, etc. in the multi-value impact assessment process (step S404), and is used to correct the parameters of the logic model 1100.

[0140] Furthermore, data 1414 calculated in the multi-value impact assessment process (step S404) may be fed back to the economic circulation simulation process (step S403). Data 1414 on environmental value, stakeholder economic, environmental, and social value calculated in the multi-value impact assessment process (step S404) is used to correct the parameters of a multi-agent model 900 consisting of a natural environment 901, producers 903, conservators 902, shops 905, and consumers 907 in the economic circulation simulation process (step S403).

[0141] Then, by running a feedback loop of economic circulation simulation processing (step S403), data 1413, multi-value impact assessment processing (step S404), and data 1414, the calculation accuracy and consistency of both the economic circulation simulation processing (step S403) and the multi-value impact assessment processing (step S404) are improved.

[0142] The data 1415 calculated in the multi-value impact assessment process (step S404) can also be fed back to the market price simulation process (step S402) as data indicating the subjective judgment of stakeholders. The environmental value and social value data 1415 calculated in the multi-value impact assessment process (step S404) are converted into data on environmental conservation activities and social sensitivity in the market price simulation process (step S402), respectively. A feedback loop can then be created from the multi-value impact assessment process (step S404) through the market price simulation process (step S402) and economic circulation simulation process (step S403) to the multi-value impact assessment process (step S404) again.

[0143] The data 1416 shown in the multi-value impact assessment process (step S404) can be reflected in a review of production methods (organic farming, biomass utilization, etc.) in the natural environment simulation process (step S401) as data indicating the stakeholders' values ​​regarding economic value, environmental value, and social value. Then, the natural environment simulation process (step S401) to the multi-value impact assessment process (step S404) can be repeated again.

[0144] The consistency and reliability of the calculations in the economic plan estimation process (natural environment simulation process (step S401) to multi-value impact assessment process (step S404)) are improved, and in the economic plan formulation process (step S405), an economic plan can be output while referring to the results of the natural environment simulation process (step S401) to multi-value impact assessment process (step S404) in a multifaceted and comprehensive manner.

[0145] In this way, the economic planning system 200 is useful for outputting economic plans even when it executes the natural environment simulation process (step S401) through the multi-value impact assessment process (step S404) individually, but it can also execute them in combination. In this case, it becomes possible to consider environmental value, economic value, and social value from multiple perspectives, and it becomes possible to output an economic plan that satisfies all local residents and stakeholders and that does not overlook anything.

[0146] <Configuration Example of Economic Management System> Fig. 15 is a block diagram showing a configuration example of an economic management system. Economic management system 1500 corresponds to fast loop 112 shown in Fig. 1. Economic management system 1500 is composed of a computer 1510, a data source 1530, a database 1540, and a network 1550 that connects these together.

[0147] The computer 1510 is comprised of a processor 1511 , memory 1520 , storage 1512 , a user interface 1513 , and a network interface 1514 , and communicates with a data source 1530 and a database 1540 via the network interface 1514 and a network 1550 .

[0148] The processor 1511 executes calculations in the computer 1510 based on the programs and data read from the storage 1512 to the memory 1520 .

[0149] Storage 1512 stores programs such as an economic activity observation program 1521, an economic activity diagnosis program 1522, and an economic activity intervention program 1523, as well as economic plans consisting of environmental value, economic value, and social value obtained from the economic planning system 200, and data such as economic activity indicated by current or past environmental information, economic information, and social information obtained from a data source 1530 or a database 1540 via a network 1550.

[0150] Storage 1512 or database 1540 may store current or past data in a table 300 similar to that shown in Figure 3, or may share a table with economic planning system 200. Note that although there are often gaps in the current or past data, economic planning data is stored at regular time intervals in a table (not shown) similar to table 300.

[0151] The storage 1512 and the memory 1520 are non-transitory or temporary recording media for storing various programs and data (information), such as a read-only memory (ROM), a random access memory (RAM), a solid state drive (SSD), or a hard disk drive (HDD).

[0152] The user interface 1513 includes at least one of, for example, a display, a keyboard, a mouse, a touch panel, a speaker, a microphone, a camera, a sensor, and the like.

[0153] The network interface 1514 is connected to a network 1550 consisting of the Internet or a communication line, and transmits and receives data such as environmental information, economic information, and social information to and from a data source 1530 or a database 1540 .

[0154] The data source 1530 is a remote sensing device, a sensor device, a smart device, open data, etc. for acquiring environmental information, economic information, social information, etc. The database 1540 stores data such as environmental information, economic information, and social information acquired from the data source 1530.

[0155] The computer 1510 reads into the memory 1520 the economic activity observation program 1521, the economic activity diagnosis program 1522, the economic activity intervention program 1523, the economic plan, and the environmental, economic, and social information stored in the storage 1512, and executes them using the processor 1511. The economic activity observation program 1521 observes economic activity indicated by the environmental, economic, and social information. The economic activity diagnosis program 1522 compares the economic plan with the observation results and diagnoses economic activity. The economic activity intervention program 1523 intervenes in the means of production of economic activity, the behavior of workers, etc., based on the diagnosis results. Specifically, intervention means, for example, calling for the adoption of organic farming methods for crop production.

[0156] 16 is a flowchart showing an example of the calculation processing procedure of the economic management system 1500. Upon start (S1600), the computer 1510 executes an economic activity observation process (S1601) using the economic activity observation program 1521, and reads the economic plan, environmental information, economic information, and social information into the memory 1520.

[0157] Next, the computer 1510 executes an economic activity diagnosis process (S1602), i.e., a process of comparing the economic plan with actual economic activity, using the economic activity diagnosis program 1522. Specifically, for example, the computer 1510 converts environmental information, economic information, and social information into data that can be compared with the target figures indicated in the economic plan.

[0158] In the judgment process (S1603), the computer 1510 compares the economic plan with the diagnosis result of step S1602 and judges whether the difference between the two is large compared to a preset threshold. If it is large (step S1603: Y), the process proceeds to step S1604, and if it is small (step S1603: N), the process returns to step S1601.

[0159] In the economic activity intervention process (S1604), the computer 1510 intervenes in economic activity using the economic activity intervention program 1523 based on the diagnosis results of step S1602.

[0160] In the judgment process (S1605), it is determined whether to end the process or not. If it is to end the process (step S1605: Y), the process proceeds to end (S1606). However, since economic activity is continuing, the process normally returns to step S1601 (step S1605: N).

[0161] If the deviation is large in step S1603 (step S1603: Y), it is possible to re-formulate the economic plan by re-executing the economic planning system 200 while continuing the economic operation system 1500 in steps S1601 to S1604.

[0162] 17 is an explanatory diagram showing a display example of the user interface of the economic operation system 1500. The display 1700 is one of the user interfaces 1513 of the computer 1510, and outputs a screen 1701.

[0163] Screen 1701 displays the economic plan stored in storage 1512, diagnostic results converted based on the observation results of environmental information, economic information, and social information acquired from data source 1530 or database 1540, or intervention content (calls for improving crop cultivation methods) sent to economic activity clients 1704 to 1707 via network 1703. Operation buttons 1703 are a graphic user interface for setting the display content of screen 1702.

[0164] The economic activity clients 1704 to 1707 are, for example, producers, merchants, distributors, consumers, environmental conservationists, local governments, and regional communities. Intervention content includes, for example, messages, audio, and images that encourage a shift to organic farming or compost utilization, environmental conservation through imputed pricing, local production and consumption, and human investment in environmental or social value. The intervention content can be adjusted taking into account the characteristics of the intervention problem (prisoner's dilemma problem, public goods problem, etc.) and individual psychological characteristics (personality, emotions, behavior, attitude, etc.).

[0165] It is also possible to configure a distributed system (client-server system) by using computer 1510 as a server and connecting a producer's production management system, a merchant's product management system, a distributor's supply chain management system, and a consumer's purchase management system as economic activity clients 1704 to 1707 to network 1703. In this case, the economic activity intervention process will intervene in the control of the management systems.

[0166] <Fig. 18 Diagnosis Results of Economic Management System 1500> Fig. 18 is an explanatory diagram showing an example of the diagnosis results of the economic management system 1500. The horizontal axis of graph 1800 indicates time, and the vertical axis of graph 1800 indicates environmental value and economic value. In graph 1800, for example, solid lines show time-series data 1801 and 1802 of the diagnosis results, which are converted into an environmental index and a regional economic circulation rate based on the observation results shown in table 300.

[0167] The dotted lines indicate estimated data 1810, 1820 of the environmental index of the economic plan and the regional economic circulation rate in the economic planning system 200. In the economic planning system 200 (slow loop 111), calculation results at a predetermined point in time in the future are often presented, but in the economic operation system 1500 (fast loop 112), time-series data of economic value and environmental value from the current situation are often presented.

[0168] In the economic activity diagnosis process 1602 (step S1602) and the judgment process 1603 (step S1603), the time series data 1801, 1802 are compared with the estimated data 1810, 1820, which are the economic plan. If the time series data 1801, 1802 significantly deviate from the estimated data 1810, 1820 (if the time series data 1801, 1802 exceed the threshold value 227 indicated by the dashed lines above and below the estimated data 1810, 1820), the economic activity intervention process 1604 (step S14) is executed. Note that if the economic plan is re-output, the estimated data 1810, 1820 are rewritten.

[0169] According to the economic operation system 1500, it is possible to operate economic activities in accordance with the economic plan by executing the economic activity observation program 1521, the economic activity diagnosis program 1522, and the economic activity intervention program 1523. If the actual economic activity deviates from the economic plan, appropriate intervention processing is carried out, so that economic operation is carried out with a good balance between environmental value or social value and economic value.

[0170] Although the economic planning system 200 and the economic operation system 1500 are configured on different computers, they may also be configured on the same computer. Furthermore, because the data on environmental information, economic information, and social information, as well as economic plans related to environmental value, economic value, and social value, are shared between the two systems, it is possible to share data sources, databases, networks, etc. Furthermore, for example, it is also possible to perform the estimation and formulation processes for economic plans in a distributed system, while distributing the observation, diagnosis, and intervention processes for economic activity to clients.

[0171] By recursively using the economic planning system 200 and the economic operation system 1500 as the slow loop and fast loop, respectively, of the collaborative system between society and the economy shown in Example 1, it is possible to formulate economic plans that take into consideration environmental value, economic value, and social value, to appropriately operate economic activities in accordance with the economic plans, to re-formulate economic plans in response to changes in the natural, economic, and social environments, and to circulate these.

[0172] Toward resolving the social issue of regional revitalization, as mentioned in the background technology section, economic planning and operation systems can be utilized as regional platforms that connect cities and rural areas. This is because economic planning and operation systems can balance the profitability sought by cities (urban areas, shopping districts, market economies) with the sustainability sought by rural areas (mountainous areas, agriculture, natural environments), thereby connecting bridging social capital in cities with bonding social capital in rural areas and fostering mutually symbiotic regional communities consisting of both.

[0173] The present invention is not limited to the above-described embodiments, and includes various modifications and equivalent configurations within the spirit and scope of the appended claims. For example, the above-described embodiments have been described in detail to clearly explain the present invention, and the present invention is not necessarily limited to configurations including all of the described configurations. Furthermore, part of the configuration of one embodiment may be replaced with the configuration of another embodiment. Furthermore, the configuration of another embodiment may be added to the configuration of one embodiment. Furthermore, part of the configuration of each embodiment may be added to, deleted from, or replaced with other configurations.

[0174] Furthermore, the aforementioned configurations, functions, processing units, processing means, etc. may be realized in part or in whole in hardware, for example by designing them as integrated circuits, or may be realized in software by having a processor interpret and execute a program that realizes each function.

[0175] Information such as programs, tables, and files that realize each function can be stored in a storage device such as a memory, hard disk, or SSD (Solid State Drive), or in a recording medium such as an IC (Integrated Circuit) card, SD card, or DVD (Digital Versatile Disc).

[0176] In addition, the control lines and information lines shown are those that are considered necessary for the explanation, and do not necessarily show all the control lines and information lines that are necessary for implementation. In reality, it can be considered that almost all components are interconnected.

Claims

1. An economic planning system having a processor that executes a program and a storage device that stores the program, wherein the storage device stores objective information for formulating an economic plan and a threshold value of an environmental value related to the objective information in association with each other, and the processor executes: an input process that accepts environmental information, economic information, and the objective information; an estimation process that estimates an environmental value and an economic value based on the relationship between the environmental information and the economic information, and generates a plurality of options based on combinations of the environmental value and the economic value; and an extraction process that sets the threshold value for the objective information, thereby extracting a specific option having the environmental value and the economic value that satisfy the threshold value from among the plurality of options, and outputting the specific option as an economic plan.

2. An economic planning system as claimed in claim 1, characterized in that in the input process, the processor accepts social information corresponding to the environmental information or the economic information.

3. An economic planning system as described in claim 2, characterized in that in the estimation process, the processor estimates the environmental value, the economic value, and the social value based on the environmental information, the economic information, and the social information.

4. An economic planning system as described in claim 3, characterized in that, in the estimation process, the processor generates the multiple options based on the environmental value, the economic value, and the social value, and, in the extraction process, the processor extracts from the multiple options a specific option having the environmental value, the economic value, and the social value that satisfy the threshold value.

5. An economic planning system as described in claim 1, characterized in that in the estimation process, the processor estimates the environmental value and the economic value by a numerical simulation based on a map consisting of meshes in which the environmental information and the economic information are arranged and on interactions between the meshes.

6. An economic planning system as described in claim 1, characterized in that in the estimation process, the processor estimates the environmental value corresponding to the economic value by a numerical simulation based on an objective function having the environmental value and the economic value as parameters, and a constraint function having the environmental information and the economic information as parameters.

7. An economic planning system as described in claim 1, characterized in that in the estimation process, the processor estimates the environmental value and the economic value by a numerical simulation based on agents having the environmental information and the economic information as parameters and the interactions between the agents.

8. An economic planning system as described in claim 1, characterized in that in the estimation process, the processor estimates the environmental value and the economic value by a numerical simulation based on elements having the environmental information and the economic information as parameters and a logic model between the elements.

9. An economic planning system as described in claim 1, characterized in that in the extraction process, the processor extracts from the plurality of options those options that are within an acceptable range based on the thresholds for the environmental value and the economic value.

10. An economic operation system having a processor that executes a program and a storage device that stores the program, wherein the processor executes the following: an input process that accepts an economic plan consisting of an environmental value and an economic value; an observation process that observes economic activity indicated from environmental information and economic information; a diagnosis process that compares the economic plan with the observation results of the observation process and diagnoses the economic activity; and an intervention process that intervenes in the economic activity based on the diagnosis results of the diagnosis process.

11. An economic operation system as described in claim 10, characterized in that, in the input processing, the processor accepts as input an economic plan consisting of the environmental value, the economic value, and a social value, and, in the observation processing, the processor observes economic activity indicated from the environmental information, the economic information, and the social information.

12. An economic planning method executed by an economic planning system having a processor that executes a program and a storage device that stores the program, wherein the storage device stores objective information for formulating an economic plan and a threshold value of an environmental value related to the objective information in association with each other, and the processor executes: an input process that accepts environmental information, economic information, and the objective information; an estimation process that estimates an environmental value and an economic value based on the relationship between the environmental information and the economic information, and generates a plurality of options based on combinations of the environmental value and the economic value; and an extraction process that sets the threshold value for the objective information, thereby extracting a specific option having the environmental value and the economic value that satisfy the threshold value from among the plurality of options, and outputting the specific option as an economic plan.

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