Method, system, device and medium for multi-time scale prediction of data center load

CN122415266APending Publication Date: 2026-07-17STATE GRID ANHUI ELECTRIC POWER CO LTD +1
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Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Applications(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
STATE GRID ANHUI ELECTRIC POWER CO LTD
Filing Date
2026-04-21
Publication Date
2026-07-17

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

Existing technologies cannot adapt to the multi-timescale non-stationary characteristics of data center loads, resulting in insufficient load forecasting accuracy, lack of adaptability in error correction, and unreasonable backup power decisions.

Method used

The optimal number of modes and penalty factor are adaptively determined by Bayesian information criterion. The frequency characteristics of the protection load and computing load are separated by variational mode decomposition. A long short-term memory neural network model is constructed for prediction. The weighted integration is carried out through state-aware attention mechanism. The error is corrected by conditional Gaussian mixture error model. Finally, the backup power capacity is dynamically determined by calculating the conditional excess expected loss in a two-step method.

Benefits of technology

It improves load forecasting accuracy, achieves adaptive dynamic balance between error correction and the economy and reliability of backup power decision-making, and solves the problems of decreased forecasting accuracy and unreasonable backup power decision-making in existing technologies.

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Abstract

本发明属于电力系统负荷预测技术领域,具体涉及数据中心负荷多时间尺度预测方法、系统、设备及介质。方法先采集并预处理数据中心历史时序数据得到标准化负荷序列,再根据贝叶斯信息准则自适应确定参数,对标准化负荷序列做变分模态分解得到本征模态函数分量;为各分量构建LSTM预测模型,经状态感知注意力机制动态加权集成输出多时间尺度初始预测值;通过条件高斯混合误差模型修正误差得到最终负荷预测值;最后以两步法计算条件超额期望损失,动态确定多场景下的数据中心备电容量。本发明能够解决现有技术难以适配数据中心负荷多时间尺度非平稳特性,引发的预测精度低、误差修正无适应性且备电决策不合理的问题。
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