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3221 results about "Load forecasting" patented technology

Load forecasting is a technique used by power or energy-providing companies to predict the power/energy needed to meet the demand and supply equilibrium. The accuracy of forecasting is of great significance for the operational and managerial loading of a utility company.

Virtual power plant load prediction and dynamic adjustment optimization system and method

The invention relates to the technical field of power plant data processing, in particular to a virtual power plant load prediction and dynamic adjustment optimization system and method, and the system comprises a data collection module, a preprocessing module, a prediction module, an adjustment module and a verification module. The data acquisition module acquires real-time operation data and power market signals of distributed energy nodes; the preprocessing module performs standardization processing on the data through a quantum space-time alignment and anomaly reconstruction technology, and extracts strong correlation vectors of meteorological features and loads; the prediction module adopts an adaptive noise complete set empirical mode decomposition algorithm to separate a trend term, a periodic term and a residual component of a load sequence, and the adjustment module constructs a multi-target optimization model. Efficient aggregation of distributed resources, high-precision load prediction in a meteorological sudden change scene and cooperation of multi-market dynamic scheduling strategies are realized; and the clean energy consumption capability and the virtual power plant market response efficiency are improved.
Owner:HUANENG JINAN HUANGTAI POWER GENERATION CO LTD +1

Power load prediction method and system based on association rule analysis

The invention relates to the technical field of power systems, provides an association rule analysis-based power load prediction method and system, and aims to solve the problem of hidden fault response lag caused by lack of an equipment health state and load fluctuation dynamic coupling mechanism in the prior art. And the problem of load prediction compensation deviation caused by insufficient weight quantization of the fault propagation path is solved. The method comprises the following steps: generating equipment state data according to a vibration spectrum and an insulation aging index of power equipment; performing fusion analysis, generating an equipment health degree evaluation index, and establishing a dynamic influence model of the equipment abnormal event on the power grid load fluctuation according to the association rule; identifying potential abnormal equipment, performing logic mapping, and generating a fault propagation path weight; and dynamically adjusting according to the weight to obtain an adjusted power load predicted value. According to the technical scheme provided by the invention, equipment vibration and insulation aging data are fused, a health assessment and fault propagation model is constructed, and load prediction is dynamically corrected to prevent and control power grid risks.
Owner:BEIJING LUOHE TECH CO LTD

Calculation force load stabilizing and energy-saving management system based on flywheel energy storage system

The invention discloses a computing power load stabilizing and energy-saving management system based on a flywheel energy storage system, and belongs to the technical field of energy storage and management, and the system comprises a data collection module which is used for collecting and calculating a real-time current harmonic spectrum of a cluster and server rack vibration data to generate an electric energy quality characteristic spectrum; the prediction modeling module is used for establishing a prediction model output computing power demand dynamic distribution matrix based on multi-dimensional space-time correlation; the optimization control module is used for analyzing a peak load phase in the power demand dynamic distribution matrix to generate a dynamic coordination control strategy; and the power execution module is used for executing the dynamic coordination control strategy to adjust the phase parameter of the reverse electromotive force of the flywheel so as to offset the voltage harmonic component of the server bus. Harmonic phase compensation is realized through dynamic reverse electromotive force modulation, the calculation load prediction precision can be effectively improved, and the energy utilization efficiency and the equipment operation reliability are remarkably improved.
Owner:SHENYANG MICRO CONTROL ACTIVE MAGNETIC LEVITATION TECH IND RES INST CO LTD

Intelligent power grid power dispatching optimization method

The invention relates to the technical field of smart power grids, and discloses a smart power grid power dispatching optimization method, which comprises the following steps of: firstly, acquiring power grid operation data, and processing data missing and noise problems by utilizing federal learning; and constructing a load prediction model through a dynamic time warping algorithm and a specific network. A multi-energy coupling scheduling model and a demand response game model are constructed, and a multi-time scale rolling optimization framework is established. And carrying out sensitivity analysis on scheduling parameters, designing a hierarchical collaborative optimization mechanism, and constructing a robust optimization model to cope with the power flow uncertainty. And integrating a scheduling instruction verification module, and deploying an online incremental learning mechanism. The method can effectively process data, accurately predict load, optimize multi-energy scheduling, guide demand response, deal with uncertainty, verify scheduling instructions and update the model in real time, improves the safety, reliability and economy of smart grid power scheduling, and realizes optimal configuration of power resources.
Owner:XINGNING QIXING POWER TRANSMISSION & TRANSFORMATION ENGINEERING CO LTD

Performance optimization control system and method for thermal power generating unit

The invention provides a thermal power generating unit performance optimization control system and method, and the system comprises a data collection module which collects various real-time data in the operation process of a thermal power generating unit; the load prediction module is used for establishing a load prediction model and predicting a load change trend by comprehensively considering a historical load condition, a load change rate, a load change acceleration and an external interference factor; the optimization control module is used for dynamically adjusting fuel, an air door and air quantity according to a control strategy in combination with the load prediction result and the unit operation state; the actions of the regulating valve, the air door actuator and the water supply regulating valve are correspondingly controlled; the monitoring feedback module is used for realizing closed-loop control and self-correction; according to the method, a load prediction model based on the combination of time sequence analysis and a physical mechanism and a control strategy comprehensively considering multi-parameter collaborative optimization are utilized, so that quick response to load change, balance consideration of steam quality and combustion efficiency, self-adaptive stable operation under complex working conditions and improvement of overall performance are achieved.
Owner:SHANDONG RIZHAO POWER GENERATION CO LTD

Air conditioner energy-saving control method and system based on virtual power plant

The invention provides an air conditioner energy-saving control method and system based on a virtual power plant, and the method comprises the steps: determining an air conditioner energy-saving control model corresponding to a plurality of air conditioner devices through obtaining an operation parameter set and real-time power grid load data of the plurality of air conditioner devices in a target region, and carrying out the energy-saving control of the plurality of air conditioner devices according to the real-time power grid load data and load prediction data; and determining a power grid load fluctuation threshold value of the target area, dynamically optimizing the operation parameter set of the plurality of air conditioning equipment through a parameter optimization model, generating an optimized equipment operation parameter subset, and adjusting temperature set values and operation modes of the plurality of air conditioning equipment in a future time period. And generating an air conditioner group control strategy corresponding to a future time period, obtaining operation feedback data, updating weight parameters of the load prediction model according to a deviation value between actual power grid load data and load prediction data, calibrating an optimization rule of the parameter optimization model, and generating a calibrated model. According to the invention, the fine regulation and control capability and the energy coordination efficiency of the air conditioner group can be improved.
Owner:SHENZHEN HUAJIAN INTEGRATED ENERGY TECH CO LTD

Method for improving power supply potential of emerging load based on dynamic prediction

The invention relates to the technical field of power system dispatching, in particular to an emerging load power supply potential improvement method based on dynamic prediction, which comprises the following steps of: acquiring emerging load power consumption, meteorological environment and power grid schedulable resource data in a target area through an Internet of Things sensing terminal, and performing two-channel modeling to obtain a new load power supply potential improvement model; a deep space-time network is used to predict a load curve, a model is established to quantify resource regulation potential, a scheduling priority list and a capacity allocation strategy are generated by means of a matching rule base according to load fluctuation and resource evaluation results, an actual scheduling effect is fed back to the prediction model, parameters are corrected through error back propagation, a closed-loop optimization link is formed, and the scheduling efficiency is improved. The method improves load prediction accuracy and resource scheduling adaptability, is suitable for emerging load power supply optimization in a novel power system, and guarantees stable and efficient operation of a power grid.
Owner:山东国研电力股份有限公司

Comprehensive energy system operation management method based on load prediction

The invention discloses an integrated energy system operation management method based on load prediction, and belongs to the technical field of energy system management, and the method specifically comprises the steps: collecting operation parameters of energy use equipment, the parameters comprising current waveform characteristics, surface temperature distribution and medium flow change; analyzing a time sequence change rule of the operation parameters, and extracting characteristic indexes related to equipment aging; establishing an energy consumption prediction correction model according to the characteristic indexes, and dynamically adjusting a theoretical energy consumption calculation value of the energy use equipment; inputting the corrected theoretical energy consumption calculation value into an energy distribution optimization model to generate a load distribution instruction of the energy network; after executing the load distribution instruction, comparing the deviation between the actual energy consumption and the correction theoretical value, and updating the parameter weight of the energy consumption prediction correction model; according to the invention, continuous and stable operation and optimal management of the integrated energy system in the equipment aging process are realized.
Owner:JIEYANG ZHIHUI ENERGY ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION TECHNOLOGY CO LTD

Power grid dispatching method and system adapting to requirements of power system

The invention discloses a power grid dispatching method and system adapting to power system requirements, and relates to the field of industrial big data, and the method comprises the following operation steps: S1, multi-source heterogeneous data collection and edge preprocessing; s2, knowledge graph construction and data fusion; s3, load prediction and renewable energy output prediction based on deep learning; s4, generating a dynamic optimization scheduling strategy; s5, carrying out security and credible execution on the data endowed by the block chain; and S6, real-time monitoring and closed-loop feedback optimization are carried out. According to the power grid scheduling method and system adapting to the power system demand, the scheduling method integrates edge calculation, block chain, deep learning and reinforcement learning, can realize multi-source data real-time processing, dynamic optimization strategy generation and data security and credibility, improves the power grid operation efficiency, stability and renewable energy consumption capability, and improves the power grid scheduling efficiency. And the dynamically optimized scheduling strategy can reduce the operation cost of the power grid, and can reduce carbon emission at the same time.
Owner:INNER MONGOLIA FINANCE AND ECONOMICS UNIVERSITY

Park load prediction method and device based on multi-modal data, and medium

The embodiment of the invention discloses a park load prediction method and device based on multi-modal data and a medium, and relates to the technical field of micro-grids, and the method comprises the steps: collecting multi-modal micro-grid data through a multi-source heterogeneous sensor network disposed at a power distribution node, the multi-mode micro-grid data comprises electrical measurement data, environment monitoring data and equipment state data; constructing a dynamic space-time incidence matrix according to the multi-modal micro-grid data, and performing feature extraction based on the dynamic space-time incidence matrix through a space-time diagram convolutional network deployed at an edge calculation node to determine a space-time feature vector; and inputting the spatio-temporal feature vector into a time sequence fusion prediction model, outputting a load prediction result, and generating an optical storage cooperative scheduling instruction according to the load prediction result, the load prediction result including a load prediction value and a confidence interval.
Owner:山东浪潮智慧建筑科技有限公司

Power grid load prediction and scheduling optimization system based on artificial intelligence

The invention discloses a power grid load prediction and scheduling optimization system based on artificial intelligence, particularly relates to the technical field of power system automation, and solves the technical problems of low power grid load prediction precision, poor scheduling strategy robustness and insufficient source grid load storage coordination in the prior art. Multi-source heterogeneous data space-time alignment is realized by constructing a data acquisition layer based on edge calculation, a load prediction result is generated by adopting an AI prediction module fused by a graph convolutional network and an attention mechanism, and a source-network-load-storage collaborative scheduling scheme is generated through a multi-target risk hedging optimization algorithm. And closed-loop optimization is realized by using digital twinborn pre-check and incremental learning. And finally, the load prediction accuracy, the scheduling decision reliability and the system adaptive capability in the new energy access environment are improved.
Owner:XINJIANG INFORMATION IND

Power distribution network capacity-increase-free access system based on dynamic coordination

The invention relates to the technical field of power distribution network operation management, and discloses a power distribution network capacity-increase-free access system based on dynamic coordination. The system comprises a multi-source data acquisition and fusion unit which acquires multi-source data and fuses the multi-source data to generate dynamic power grid state characteristics; the multi-time-scale collaborative optimization architecture unit is used for constructing a layered architecture to realize optimization of different time scales; the space-time load prediction unit is used for predicting load distribution based on the space-time diagram model; and the multi-target dynamic optimization solving unit is used for constructing a model to solve an optimal scheduling instruction. In addition, a layered communication protocol unit is arranged to guarantee communication, and a voltage stability cooperative control unit and a distributed energy storage cooperative control unit are arranged to improve the stability of the power grid. Through cooperation of multiple technologies, capacity-increase-free access of the power distribution network is realized, the operation efficiency is improved, the loss is reduced, the voltage stability is ensured, and challenges brought by distributed energy and electric vehicle charging are effectively dealt with.
Owner:JINING POWER SUPPLY CO OF STATE GRID SHANDONG ELECTRIC POWER CO

Power demand dynamic prediction method based on multi-scale hybrid architecture

The invention provides a power demand dynamic prediction method based on a multi-scale hybrid architecture. The power demand dynamic prediction method comprises the following steps: step 1, acquiring multi-source data and preprocessing the multi-source data; step 2, constructing a dynamic feature project; step 3, constructing a hybrid prediction model; 4, executing a staged dynamic training strategy; and 5, verifying the model, and deploying and applying the model. According to the invention, by introducing the temperature sensitivity piecewise nonlinear coding and the holiday multi-dimensional dynamic attenuation model, the prediction precision in an extreme temperature scene is significantly improved, and the high-temperature daily load prediction error and the spring festival holiday error are reduced. In addition, through lightweight design and staged dynamic strategy staged extension of the input length, the training convergence speed is obviously improved.
Owner:WUXI UNIV

Optical storage load collaborative optimization scheduling system and method based on multi-source data fusion

The invention discloses a multi-source data fusion-based optical storage load collaborative optimization scheduling system and method, and relates to the technical field of photovoltaic energy storage optimization, and the method comprises the steps: building a photovoltaic power generation scene tree model and a load prediction model through obtaining historical photovoltaic power generation data, load power consumption data and meteorological data; constructing a first optimization target and a second optimization target by considering the operation income and the energy storage aging cost, considering the photovoltaic uncertainty based on the photovoltaic power generation scene tree model, and establishing an adaptive optimization scheduling model in combination with the load demand predicted by the load prediction model; the photovoltaic power generation scene tree model and the load prediction model are embedded into the adaptive optimization scheduling model, and the optimal energy storage charging and discharging strategy of the current time period is solved, so that the robustness and reliability of energy storage scheduling are improved while the economical efficiency of photovoltaic power generation is ensured.
Owner:HANGZHOU DIGITAL POWER TECH CO LTD

Hierarchical collaborative management method for virtual power plant based on multi-modal deep learning

The invention discloses a hierarchical collaborative management method and system for a virtual power plant based on multi-modal deep learning, and the method comprises the steps: constructing a four-dimensional data collection system, and achieving privacy enhancement preprocessing through federated learning and a differential privacy technology; a Bi-LSTM and a heterogeneous graph neural network are adopted to construct a three-mode deep fusion model, the weight is dynamically adjusted in combination with an environment-user dual-drive attention mechanism, and the load prediction precision and the space resource utilization rate are improved; a multi-target scheduling strategy is generated based on a five-dimensional target function and an improved DDPG algorithm, and physical feasibility is ensured through digital twinborn pre-verification; efficient execution and excitation transparency are realized through edge layer FPGA + NPU hardware acceleration and block chain evidence storage; and constructing a user participation ecology by using a natural language interaction strategy engine and a stepped incentive mechanism. The power grid economy, the equipment reliability and the user participation degree are remarkably improved, and intelligent upgrading of the virtual power plant is promoted.
Owner:TIANSHENGQIAO FIRST-CLASS HYDROPOWER DEV CO LTD HYDROPOWER PLANT

Mama-based endogenous and endogenous variable fusion power load prediction method

The invention belongs to the technical field of power load prediction, and particularly relates to a Mama-based endogenous and endogenous variable fusion power load prediction method, which comprises the following steps of: collecting and preprocessing a data set; embedding an endogenous variable, dividing a power load endogenous sequence into N non-overlapping Patch blocks, adding position codes to each block, generating a block token Pen of block fine granularity through linear projection and position codes, and introducing a learnable global token Gen to represent the macroscopic state of the sequence; global embedding of exogenous variables; performing cross-granularity fusion on internally and externally generated tokens; carrying out Mama time sequence dependence modeling; and performing multi-step prediction output, mapping the time sequence characteristics into future multi-step load prediction values through a full connection layer, restoring the original data scale after reverse normalization, and outputting a final prediction result. According to the method, through a block embedding strategy and a dynamic parameter selection mechanism, the adaptability of the model to a complex power scene is remarkably improved, and reliable technical support is provided for efficient scheduling and marketization operation of an intelligent power grid.
Owner:TAIYUAN UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY

Electrical load prediction and optimization regulation and control method and system for high-energy-consumption equipment

The invention relates to an electrical load prediction and optimization regulation and control method and system for high-energy-consumption equipment, and solves the problems of inaccurate load prediction, single regulation and control means and difficulty in dynamic adaptation of the high-energy-consumption equipment, and the method comprises the steps: collecting multi-source data of the high-energy-consumption equipment in real time, constructing a dynamic equipment collaborative causal graph after preprocessing, and extracting key constraints; inputting the data and the constraints into the dynamic digital sample model to obtain a system state simulation result; based on the result, a multi-objective optimization regulation and control strategy is generated and executed by using a meta-learning + reinforcement learning decision framework; and collecting actual data comparison deviation, starting hierarchical federated learning when a threshold value is exceeded, grouping and aggregating similar experiences according to a causal graph topology, and dynamically calibrating model parameters and a decision framework. The method has the following effects that accurate load prediction and multi-target cooperative regulation and control of the high-energy-consumption equipment are achieved, working condition changes are dynamically adapted, the cost is reduced, and continuous production and the service life of the equipment are guaranteed.
Owner:NINGBO WANDE HI TECH INTELLIGENT TECH CO LTD

Power marketing management information platform daily power fitting method and related equipment

The invention discloses an electric power marketing management information platform daily electric power fitting method and related equipment, and relates to the technical field of electric power data management, and the method comprises the steps: obtaining historical load data, external environment data and equipment operation state data of a target region; constructing an initial load fitting model based on the historical load data; extracting a date characteristic factor according to a preset time classification rule, and dynamically correcting the initial load fitting model based on the date characteristic factor to generate a corrected load model; generating a multi-source fusion feature based on the external environment data and the equipment operation state data; and inputting the multi-source fusion features into the corrected load model, and outputting a target load prediction result.
Owner:INNER MONGOLIA POWER (GROUP) CO LTD

Power load prediction method and device based on multi-factor influence

The invention discloses a power load prediction method and device based on multi-factor influence, and particularly relates to the technical field of power load prediction. Historical weather data and power load data are collected, preprocessing and feature extraction are carried out, temperature change deviation features and power load lag features are extracted and input into a prediction model for training, the accuracy of a prediction result is evaluated, and when the prediction accuracy is low, the prediction result is subjected to prediction. The abnormal degree is further analyzed and predicted, and the power dispatching strategy is adjusted in time, so that the violent fluctuation of the load demand is dealt with, the stable operation of the power grid is ensured, the accuracy of power load prediction is effectively improved, and the risk of overload or collapse of the power grid is reduced especially in the case of extreme weather.
Owner:STATE GRID SHANDONG ELECTRIC POWER CO PINGYI COUNTY POWER SUPPLY CO

Multi-level geothermal well collaborative scheduling method and system based on multi-time scale prediction

The invention provides a multi-level geothermal well collaborative scheduling method and system based on multi-time scale prediction, and relates to the technical field of data processing. The method comprises the following steps: constructing a well group output model based on operation parameters of a shallow geothermal well group and a deep geothermal well group; constructing a multi-scale load prediction model based on the historical load data and the historical meteorological data; determining a load prediction result of the target time period by using the multi-scale load prediction model, wherein the load prediction result comprises a day-ahead load, a day-mid load and a real-time load; and performing joint calculation by using the well group output model, the load prediction result and the multi-objective optimization function to obtain optimal scheduling parameters of the shallow geothermal well group and the deep geothermal well group in the current scheduling period. According to the technical scheme, the output ratio of the shallow geothermal well and the deep geothermal well can be dynamically coordinated according to the predicted load requirements of different time scales, and efficient utilization of multi-level geothermal resources is achieved.
Owner:NORTHWEST ENGINEERING CORPORATION LIMITED

Air conditioner cooling load prediction method and system

The invention relates to the technical field of air conditioner cooling load prediction, and discloses an air conditioner cooling load prediction method and system. The method comprises the following steps: acquiring temperature, humidity and CO2 data through an environment sensor network and carrying out standardization processing; establishing a time slice matrix based on the environmental parameters and the personnel density, and obtaining user behavior characteristics; constructing a wall heat storage model by combining the environmental parameters, and calculating instantaneous heat flow; establishing a spatial downscaling model according to the heat flow and meteorological data; time sequence features are extracted based on local weather and heat flow data, and the cooling load is predicted; and a time-phased refrigeration control instruction is generated accordingly. By establishing a data processing and analysis process, factors such as building microclimate characteristics, user behavior modes and wall dynamic thermal characteristics are comprehensively considered, and more accurate prediction of the cooling load of the air conditioner is realized.
Owner:TAIKANG SHANXI REFRIGERATION ENERGY SAVING POLYTRON TECH

Multi-domain collaborative flexible load schedulable potential evaluation and energy management method

The invention discloses a multi-domain collaborative flexible load schedulable potential evaluation and energy management method, and relates to the technical field of park energy management, and the method comprises the steps: obtaining space-time multi-source data of a smart park, constructing a graph neural network power consumer clustering model based on iterative self-organization analysis, and generating a power consumption behavior portrait of a power consumer; based on power utilization parameters of building air conditioners, electric vehicles, park ponds and energy storage batteries in the smart park, the schedulable potential of the multi-element flexible resources is evaluated; and based on the hybrid neural network and the Harris eagle optimization algorithm, constructing a load prediction model, and predicting various types of energy loads in a future time period. The invention aims to establish an accurate model and method, accurately evaluate the schedulable potential of different types of flexible loads in different scenes, realize efficient utilization, energy conservation and emission reduction and optimal configuration of park energy, and improve the overall energy management level and operation efficiency of the park.
Owner:BEIJING JIAOTONG UNIV

Deep peak regulation control system for thermal power generating unit

The invention discloses a thermal power generating unit deep peak regulation control system, and relates to the technical field of thermal power generating unit deep peak regulation, the thermal power generating unit deep peak regulation control system comprises a deep peak regulation control center, and the deep peak regulation control center is in communication connection with a data acquisition module, a load prediction module, a working condition monitoring module, a distributed control module and a safety monitoring early warning module. By introducing a distributed control architecture and bat algorithm optimization, each subsystem of the thermal power generating unit is divided into a plurality of local control units, independent and cooperative control is realized, the flexibility and the response speed of the thermal power generating unit in the deep peak regulation process are remarkably improved, and the reliability of the thermal power generating unit is improved. Distributed control ensures that each subsystem can quickly adjust operation parameters according to actual load requirements, and the global optimization capability of the bat algorithm further improves the self-adaptability and decision-making efficiency of the system in a complex working condition, so that the problem of response lag in a traditional centralized control mode is effectively solved.
Owner:JIANGXI DATANG INT XINYU NO 2 POWER GENERATION CO LTD

Smart park Internet of Things distributed energy intelligent analysis and control method and device

The invention provides a smart park Internet of Things distributed energy intelligent analysis and control method and device, and relates to the technical field of smart park energy management, and the technical scheme is characterized in that the method comprises the steps: obtaining energy consumption data, meteorological data, distributed energy power generation data and user behavior data of each region of a smart campus; generating a basic load prediction value and an event-driven load prediction value according to the acquired data; making a day-ahead energy scheduling plan; when a deviation exists between the actual energy consumption condition and the predicted value, adjusting the energy scheduling plan by adopting a rolling scheduling strategy; and executing the adjusted energy scheduling plan, and controlling the distributed energy system and the energy consumption equipment to optimize campus energy utilization. The smart park Internet of Things distributed energy intelligent analysis and management and control method and device provided by the invention have the advantages of accurately predicting complex and changeable energy consumption demands and utilizing the distributed energy to the maximum extent.
Owner:TIANJIN HUADA INTELLIGENT TECHNOLOGY CO LTD

Micro-grid anti-countercurrent control method and system based on multi-objective optimization

The invention discloses a micro-grid anti-countercurrent control method and system based on multi-objective optimization, and the method comprises the steps: generating a dynamic load prediction result according to the power grid side voltage, user side load power and energy storage system charge state data collected by an energy management system in real time; based on the dynamic load prediction result, obtaining a countercurrent risk quantitative index; generating a corresponding dynamic anti-reflux threshold curve according to the reflux risk quantitative index; the dynamic anti-reflux threshold curve is corrected through a real-time collaborative verification module, and an anti-disturbance optimization threshold is generated; and converting the anti-disturbance optimization threshold value into a PCS power regulation and control instruction, synchronously displaying a threshold value execution state and reverse feed early warning information on an energy management interface, and triggering adaptive power clamping protection when detecting that the voltage is out of limit or the power is reverse. According to the embodiment of the invention, the intelligent level of countercurrent prevention and control of the micro-grid can be improved, and safe and stable operation of the grid is guaranteed.
Owner:HANGZHOU KGOOER ELECTRONIC TECH CO LTD

Multivariable fusion power load prediction method and system

The invention discloses a multivariable fusion power load prediction method and system, and relates to the technical field of load prediction, and the method comprises the following steps: obtaining first data, and synchronizing the first data into second data based on a physical constraint interpolation method; shielding the harmonic dominant frequency band based on the second data, and de-noising the load waveform by combining the real fluctuation of the filtering separation load; a load prediction model is constructed based on the denoised load waveform in combination with a harmonic distortion rate weighted double-flow network, prediction model parameters are corrected in real time, and a load prediction value is output; the real-time correction is a dynamic correction strategy based on wavelet transform. Through a dynamic selection interpolation method, the load data, the meteorological data and the new energy output data can be synchronized on a unified time scale, the synchronism and precision of different data sources can be ensured, high-quality input data is provided for a prediction model, and the reliability of a prediction result is improved.
Owner:ECONOMIC TECH RES INST OF STATE GRID ANHUI ELECTRIC POWER

Cross-dimension multi-scale fusion load prediction method based on multi-user load space-time correlation

The invention belongs to the technical field of power system load prediction, and discloses a cross-dimension multi-scale fusion load prediction method based on multi-user load time-space correlation, which comprises the following steps of: firstly, preprocessing user load statistical data, extracting time sequence dependence and periodic characteristics in a time sequence, and calculating the time sequence dependence and periodic characteristics of the user load statistical data; introducing a channel attention mechanism to adaptively mine key variable information; then, a multi-scale space-time fusion module is combined with frequency domain analysis and a graph convolutional network to realize depth feature interaction under different time scales and space levels; and finally, outputting a load prediction result under a plurality of time granularities in the future through a linear projection structure. Compared with an existing method, the method has the remarkable advantages in the aspects of capturing a complex load mode, improving model prediction precision and enhancing generalization ability, and is suitable for various application scenes such as power consumer energy consumption management and power grid load dispatching.
Owner:CHINA JILIANG UNIV +1

Industrial park load prediction method based on artificial intelligence

The invention relates to the field of energy management, and discloses an industrial park load prediction method based on artificial intelligence, and the method comprises the steps: collecting historical load, production plan, weather and holiday and festival information through multi-source data; through data preprocessing, a time sequence feature extraction module fusing an attention mechanism and LSTM and a deep learning model integrating a sudden change adaptation module are constructed, and high-precision load prediction is realized. Wherein the abrupt change adaptation module dynamically adjusts model parameters to cope with load abrupt change through sliding window statistical feature monitoring, incremental learning and GAN simulation abrupt change scenes; and a real-time feedback mechanism further optimizes the prediction result, and generates a power dispatching suggestion in combination with a dynamic electricity price strategy. According to the method, the problems of large prediction deviation and poor adaptability of a traditional model in a load sudden change scene are solved, and the efficiency and stability of industrial park energy management are remarkably improved.
Owner:GUANG DONG DIAN WANG GONG SI SHEN ZHEN GONG DIAN JU

Method and system for predicting power load of rural power grid user based on liquid neural network

The invention discloses a rural power grid user power load prediction method and system based on a liquid neural network. The method comprises the following steps: firstly, collecting rural power grid user power load historical data including multi-dimensional features such as weather and agricultural modes, and carrying out data preprocessing; then constructing liquid neurons based on biological neuron dynamics, and modeling the state of the liquid neurons through a differential equation; thirdly, constructing a liquid neural network based on liquid neurons, improving the characterization capability of multi-scale time sequence data through multi-level time constant setting and time gating residual connection, and supplementing network initial information in combination with a multi-layer perceptron architecture; completing model training by using the time sequence data set; the actual application performance of the model is tested based on the test data and the actual application scene; and finally, deploying the model to practical application, and carrying out power load prediction on rural power grid users. According to the method, the expression capability of the model for the multi-scale time sequence data is improved, and high-precision rural power grid user power load prediction is realized.
Owner:INST OF ECONOMIC & TECH STATE GRID HEBEI ELECTRIC POWER

Method and system for multi-energy load forecasting in the absence of historical data for an integrated energy system

A multi-energy load forecasting method, a multi-energy load forecasting system, an electronic device, a program, and a storage medium are provided that realize accurate long-term forecasting of multi-energy loads in a target integrated energy system under conditions where no historical load data is available. [Solution] A multi-energy load forecasting method for an integrated energy system without historical data involves obtaining the meteorological characteristics of a target complex and the cooling, heating, electricity, and gas historical data of a source domain group complex, preprocessing the obtained data, performing cross-correlation and generalization ability analysis of the complex on the preprocessed cooling, heating, electricity, and gas historical data of the source domain group complex, determining appropriate source domain data, constructing a multi-energy load forecasting model, training the model based on the source domain data according to the Metas training policy, obtaining a trained forecasting model, and inputting the preprocessed meteorological characteristics of the target complex into the forecasting model to obtain a forecast result.
Owner:SHANDONG UNIV