The invention discloses a life prediction method based on
health index construction and neural network fusion, and belongs to the technical field of
equipment state monitoring and
predictive maintenance. According to the method, through multi-source degradation
feature extraction, common dynamic
principal component analysis (CDPCA)
dimensionality reduction,
health index construction and normalization,
deep learning multi-model modeling, integrated learning fusion and
Bayesian optimization hyper-parameter optimization, online
health assessment and residual life prediction of the equipment part
degradation process are realized. Specifically, the method comprises the following steps: firstly, extracting
time domain,
frequency domain and time-
frequency domain features from a sensor acquisition
signal, and performing dimension reduction through CDPCA to obtain effective degradation characterization; then, weighting the main features to construct a
health index (HI) curve, optimizing the weight through a
genetic algorithm, and then performing normalization; a plurality of neural network models such as CNN, Bi-GRU, Bi-RNN, Bi-LSTM and SRNN are constructed based on the normalized HI sequence, and degradation trend modeling is realized; inputting the output results of the neural networks into an integrated learning module for fusion optimization; and finally, carrying out automatic optimization on the key hyper-parameters of the model by utilizing
Bayesian optimization. In the equipment operation process, a normalized HI curve can be calculated in real time and input into the fusion model, and the residual life
estimation value of the part is dynamically output. According to the method, high-precision, high-robustness and online life prediction can be provided under complex working conditions, the safety and reliability of equipment operation and maintenance are improved, and the method has wide
engineering application value.