The present invention relates to the technical field of
power grid dispatching optimization. Disclosed are a
power grid forward-looking
risk assessment method and device, and a medium, solving the problems in the prior art of unstable
wind speed, low fan efficiency, difficult
power grid dispatching and poor safety of
wind power generation. In the present invention, a target fan power
time series is constructed on the basis of fan power data of a historical time period, then an
extreme learning machine model, a long short-
term memory neural
network model and a temporal convolutional
network model are trained, and then a short-term
wind power prediction result is obtained, improving the accuracy and the flexibility of the short-term
wind power prediction result. In an offline phase of a power grid, a
generative adversarial network model is constructed on the basis of a power grid section
data set, and at least one power grid forward-looking
scenario series is generated; and in an online operation stage of the power grid, a power grid forward-looking operation
scenario series is obtained on the basis of preset
risk assessment indexes and current power grid operation
scenario information, enhancing the accuracy and timeliness of power grid operation
risk assessment.