The invention relates to the technical field of early warning
decision making, in particular to an agricultural disaster early warning
decision making method and
system, and the method comprises the following steps: obtaining a structure parameter set through a multispectral sensor, carrying out the smooth
processing of a sliding window, marking the direction consistency, inputting a
hidden Markov model, calculating the transition probability, recognizing a stage trigger point, and outputting a
label. And matching a physiological and meteorological
time sequence to generate a response mapping table, extracting a trend overlapping section mark
impact window, judging a disaster grade in combination with multi-factor weighted sorting, and outputting an early warning instruction. According to the invention, through continuous observation of growth parameters and smooth
processing of
time sequence data, analysis of dynamic consistency of structural indexes, identification of growth
mutation, alignment of physiological and meteorological factors, extraction of trend overlapping sensitive areas, and superposition of residual errors to lock risk
time windows, the sensitivity and pertinence of disaster early warning are improved, and the risk of
misinformation and missing report is reduced. Fine data support is provided for management, and risk management and control scientificity and initiative are enhanced.