Photovoltaic power generation power prediction method, system, terminal and medium

CN116307049BActive Publication Date: 2026-08-28SHANGHAI ADVANCED RES INST CHINESE ACADEMY OF SCI
View PDF 0 Cites 0 Cited by

Patent Information

Application Number
CN202211658643.6
Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Patents(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
Filing Date
2022-12-22
Publication Date
2026-08-28
Estimated Expiration
2042-12-22

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

[0003]鉴于以上所述现有技术的缺点,本发明的目的在于提供光伏发电功率预测方法、系统、终端及介质,用于解决光伏发电功率预测精度不够高的技术问题

Benefits of technology

[0025]如上所述,本发明的光伏发电功率预测方法、系统、终端及介质,具有以下有益效果:本发明解决了传统光伏发电功率预测算法虽可捕捉到短期时序的相关性,但由于梯度消失,GRU和LSTM在实践中无法捕捉到更长期的时序特征的问题,本发明提出面向光伏发电功率预的LSTC算法,将历史数据通过变量选择模块进行变量选择,变量选择后将产生短期时序相关数据、长期时序相关数据、非时序相关数据。经实验结果表明,针对光伏发电功率预测,在24h预测场景下,LSTC的MAE、RMSE、R2分别为0.8610%,05288%,0.7601%,优于其他算法。本发明为光伏发电功率预测提供了有效的解决方案,这在光伏发电功率预测领域具有重要意义。

✦ Generated by Eureka AI based on patent content.

Smart Images

  • Figure CN116307049B_ABST
    Figure CN116307049B_ABST
Patent Text Reader

Abstract

The application provides a photovoltaic power prediction method, system, terminal and medium, and solves the problem that although a traditional photovoltaic power prediction algorithm can capture short-term time sequence correlation, due to gradient disappearance, GRU and LSTM cannot capture longer-term time sequence characteristics in practice, and proposes an LSTC algorithm for photovoltaic power prediction, historical data is selected by a variable selection module, and after variable selection, short-term time sequence related data, long-term time sequence related data and non-time sequence related data are generated. Experimental results show that for photovoltaic power prediction, in a 24h prediction scenario, the MAE, RMSE and R2 of the LSTC are 0.8610%, 0.5288% and 0.7601% respectively, which are better than those of other algorithms. The application provides an effective solution for photovoltaic power prediction, which has important significance in the field of photovoltaic power prediction.
Need to check novelty before this filing date? Find Prior Art