Traffic situation prediction method, system and device based on spatial-temporal feature enhancement and medium

By constructing a traffic situation prediction method with enhanced spatiotemporal features, utilizing multi-source data and shock wave propagation mechanism, and combining gradient boosting tree model and cloud-edge collaboration mechanism, the problem of insufficient model adaptability in existing technologies is solved, and efficient, real-time early warning and error correction capabilities for traffic situations are achieved.

CN122050153APending Publication Date: 2026-05-15ZHEJIANG UNIV OF TECH
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Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Applications(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
ZHEJIANG UNIV OF TECH
Filing Date
2026-04-09
Publication Date
2026-05-15

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

Existing traffic situation prediction methods lack online adaptive capabilities and cannot self-correct using real traffic evolution. This makes the models prone to underreporting when faced with long-tailed distributed samples, and they cannot actively capture the propagation process of congestion shock waves.

Method used

A traffic situation prediction method based on spatiotemporal feature enhancement is constructed. An initial spatiotemporal feature tensor is built by acquiring multi-source traffic flow data, the shock wave spatial evolution term is fused, a gradient boosting tree model is used for prediction, and the model parameters and structure are dynamically updated through a cloud-edge collaborative online adaptive evolution mechanism. The method is combined with a simulation sample expansion mechanism to correct missed reports.

Benefits of technology

It significantly improves the model's ability to perceive complex traffic evolution processes and the interpretability of early warning results, enhances its ability to respond to emergencies, and achieves a balance between real-time performance, temporal integrity, and adaptability.

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Abstract

The invention relates to the technical field of intelligent traffic, and particularly discloses a traffic situation prediction method, system and device based on spatial-temporal feature enhancement, and a medium. The method comprises the following steps: obtaining multi-source traffic flow data of a target portal and upstream and downstream portals thereof in a historical time window formed by a plurality of continuous time steps; constructing an initial spatio-temporal feature tensor containing a time dimension and a space dimension; based on a traffic flow shock wave propagation mechanism, introducing a physical distance between portals and a shock wave propagation time determination condition, constructing a shock wave spatial evolution term, and generating an enhanced spatial-temporal feature vector; inputting the enhanced features into the gradient boosting tree model to output a situation prediction result; and obtaining real physical observation data of delayed access as a feedback signal, and dynamically updating the model parameters and structure through a cloud edge collaborative online adaptive evolution mechanism.
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