A wind power noise prediction model training and wind power prediction method

By overlaying wind power and meteorological conditions time-frequency data into a multi-channel graph and adding noise, and utilizing a converter structure with a block embedding layer and an attention layer, the problem of insufficient frequency domain feature fusion in the diffusion model is solved, and more accurate wind power prediction is achieved.

CN122413079APending Publication Date: 2026-07-17CHINA THREE GORGES CORPORATION
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Patent Information

Application Number
CN202610753313.7
Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Applications(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
Filing Date
2026-05-28
Publication Date
2026-07-17

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

Existing wind power prediction methods based on diffusion models fail to effectively integrate the frequency domain characteristics of the sequence, making it difficult to fully capture the inherent periodic fluctuations and continuous evolution of wind power, thus affecting prediction accuracy.

Method used

By overlaying power time-frequency data and condition variable time-frequency data into a multi-channel time-frequency graph, and adding noise only to the power channel, the time-frequency unit is divided into power and condition variable units using a block embedding layer and an attention layer. Combined with the attention mechanism of the converter structure, a global dependency relationship is established, which solves the problems of frequency domain feature fusion and long-term memory weakening.

Benefits of technology

It improves the accuracy of wind power prediction, reduces long-term memory weakening and multi-step error accumulation, and enhances the robustness and prediction efficiency of the model.

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Abstract

本发明涉及风电功率预测技术领域,公开了一种风电功率噪声预测模型训练及风电功率预测方法,包括:获取功率时频数据和条件变量时频数据;并转换叠加得到多通道时频图;将多通道时频图加噪得到加噪多通道时频图并输入至待训练模型中,得到噪声识别数据;其中,待训练模型包括分块嵌入层、注意力层和映射层,分块嵌入层用于将时频图划分为多个时频单元;注意力层用于根据时频单元间的关联关系获得注意力增强时频数据;映射层用于得到噪声识别数据;根据噪声识别数据和实际噪声之间的偏差进行优化,得到风电功率噪声预测模型,本发明通过注意力层中捕捉功率数据和气象条件间的关系,从而实现对风电功率噪声的预测,进而提高了风电功率预测的准确性。
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