Business simulation device, method for simulating business, and program

Abstract

To provide information for a person who wants to run a specific business to make a decision to start a business on the basis of information regarding a business plan when the person actually runs a business.SOLUTION: The present invention has a simulation unit 35 for outputting information regarding a business plan including information regarding the average cost of a customer in a case where a business is run in an address received from a terminal of a person who wants to run a specific business (a welfare business) and information regarding a business plan including information regarding the salary standard of staff on the basis of information regarding the population composition within a predetermined distance from the address and information regarding the business situation of an existing business person who belongs to a specific business according to reception of information which specifies the address from the terminal of the person who wants to run the specific business.SELECTED DRAWING: Figure 3

Description

[Technical field]

[0001] The present invention relates to a business simulation device, a business simulation method, and a program. [Background technology]

[0002] Conventionally, devices and systems that provide users with information about businesses have been known. For example, Patent Document 1 describes this type of technology.

[0003] Patent document 1 describes a community-based comprehensive care system that quantitatively and qualitatively analyzes and implements each of the following projects: nursing care benefits and preventive care benefits, comprehensive projects including nursing care prevention and daily life support projects, and medical and nursing care collaboration promotion projects. [Prior art documents] [Patent documents]

[0004] [Patent Document 1] JP 2019-087239 A Summary of the Invention [Problem to be solved by the invention]

[0005] The technology described in Patent Document 1 performs an analysis of a business that is already being carried out. However, it does not disclose the provision of information for a person who wishes to operate a business in the pre-start stage to make a decision to actually operate the business.

[0006] The present invention aims to provide information for a person who wishes to operate a specified business to make a decision to start operation based on information regarding a business plan if the business is actually operated. [Means for solving the problem]

[0007] In order to achieve the above-mentioned objective, one aspect of the present invention is a business simulation device having a simulation means which, in response to receiving information identifying at least an address from a terminal of a person wishing to operate a specified business, outputs information regarding a business plan including information regarding the average unit price of customers if the specified business were to be conducted at the address and information regarding the salary levels of staff, based on information regarding the population composition within a specified distance from the address and information regarding the business status of existing businesses belonging to the specified business.

[0008] Another aspect of the present invention is a business information management method and program corresponding to the business simulation device. Effect of the Invention

[0009] According to the present invention, it is possible to provide information for a person who wishes to operate a specified business to make a decision to start operation, based on information regarding a business plan if the business is actually operated. [Brief description of the drawings]

[0010] [Figure 1] FIG. 1 is a diagram illustrating an example of a system configuration of a business simulation system. [Diagram 2] 2 is a block diagram showing an example of a hardware configuration of a business simulation device. FIG. [Diagram 3] FIG. 2 is a functional block diagram showing an example of a functional configuration of a business simulation device. [Figure 4] 13 is a flowchart showing an operation of an input process in the business simulation device. [Diagram 5] FIG. 13 is a diagram showing an example of a simulation result showing a positional relationship with an existing business operator by the business simulation device. [Figure 6] FIG. 13 is a diagram showing an example of a simulation result showing business establishment location conditions obtained by the business simulation device. [Figure 7] FIG. 13 is a diagram showing an example of a presentation method (trade area range) according to the present embodiment. [Figure 8]11 is a diagram showing an example of presented information (travel time area, population distribution) according to the embodiment. FIG. [Figure 9] FIG. 11 is a diagram showing an example of presented information (population ratio, etc.) according to the embodiment. [Figure 10] FIG. 11 is a diagram showing an example of presented information (distribution of elderly single-person households) according to the present embodiment. DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF THE PREFERRED EMBODIMENTS

[0011] <Summary> The business simulation device of this embodiment provides information that allows an aspiring operator of, for example, a nursing care-related business (a specified business) to make a decision to start operation. Specifically, in the business simulation device of this embodiment, the aspiring operator logs in using a pre-issued account. The aspiring operator then inputs information such as funds, purpose of opening a business, business scale, desired location to open, desired time to open, and staff, thereby simulating the average unit price of customers and the salary level of staff. This allows the aspiring operator to obtain useful information for making a decision to start operation. Examples of businesses (predetermined businesses) to be simulated by the business simulation device 1 of this embodiment include nursing care-related businesses, as well as self-funded elderly support businesses, rehabilitation support businesses, senior fitness for the elderly, etc. The predetermined businesses are not particularly limited, but in the following description, nursing care-related businesses will be described as the predetermined businesses.

[0012] <System configuration> FIG. 1 is a diagram showing an example of a system configuration of a business simulation system 100 according to this embodiment.

[0013] The business simulation system 100 is configured by connecting a business simulation device 1, an applicant terminal 2, and a camera device 8 to each other via a predetermined communication network such as the Internet. The network is, for example, the Internet, a LAN (Local Area Network), or a VPN (Virtual Private Network).

[0014] The business simulation device 1 is a computer (information processing device) that functions as a server that accepts information about the business from those who wish to operate the business and presents the information about the business to those who wish to operate the business.

[0015] Various information DBs (databases) are connected to the business simulation device 1. The various information DBs are, for example, a real estate information DB3, a recruitment information DB4, a trade area information DB5, a fund raising DB6, and a performance information DB7. The various information DBs may be inside the business simulation device 1 or may be external. The various information DBs may be in a format where external information is organized and registered in advance, or may be in a format where information is acquired from an external website at a predetermined timing and automatically updated.

[0016] The camera device 8 is an imaging device that captures images of a specific business establishment. The business simulation device 1 is connected to the camera device 8 via a communication network. The business simulation device 1 receives video information from the camera device 8. The business simulation device 1 can use the video information for live distribution to a person (user) who wishes to operate the business.

[0017] The business simulation device 1 executes various processes in cooperation with each operation of the management applicant terminal 2 described later. The business simulation device 1 can execute a process of presenting information about the business to each of the multiple management applicant terminals 2.

[0018] The applicant management terminal 2 is a computer operated by the applicant management. As shown in Fig. 1, the applicant management terminal 2 may be a stationary or portable personal computer 2a, or a mobile computer such as a tablet 2b or a smartphone 2c. Hereinafter, unless otherwise specified, it will be referred to as the applicant management terminal 2.

[0019] <Hardware configuration> Next, an example of the hardware configuration of each computer, such as the business simulation device 1 and the operation applicant terminal 2, constituting the business simulation system 100 will be described.

[0020] 2 is a block diagram showing an example of a hardware configuration of the business simulation device 1. The business simulation device 1 is a computer including a CPU (Central Processing Unit) 11, a ROM (Read Only Memory) 12, a RAM (Random Access Memory) 13, a bus 14, an input / output interface 15, an output unit 16, an input unit 17, a storage unit 18, a communication unit 19, and a drive 20.

[0021] The CPU 11 executes various processes according to a program recorded in the ROM 12 or a program loaded from the storage unit 18 to the RAM 13. The RAM 13 also stores data and the like required for the CPU 11 to execute various processes. The CPU 11, the ROM 12, and the RAM 13 are interconnected via a bus 14. An input / output interface 15 is also connected to this bus 14.

[0022] An output unit 16, an input unit 17, a storage unit 18, a communication unit 19, and a drive 20 are connected to the input / output interface 15. The output unit 16 is composed of a display, a speaker, etc., and outputs various information as images and sounds. The input unit 17 is composed of a keyboard, a mouse, etc., and inputs various information.

[0023] The storage unit 18 is composed of a hard disk, a DRAM (Dynamic Random Access Memory), etc., and stores various data. The communication unit 19 communicates with other devices via a network including the Internet.

[0024] Removable media 21, which may be a magnetic disk, an optical disk, a magneto-optical disk, or a semiconductor memory, is appropriately attached to the drive 20. Programs read from the removable media 21 by the drive 20 are installed in the storage unit 18 as necessary. The removable media 21 can also store various data stored in the storage unit 18 in the same manner as the storage unit 18.

[0025] The applicant manager terminal 2 is a computer having the same hardware configuration as that shown in FIG.

[0026] <Functional configuration> FIG. 3 is a functional block diagram showing an example of the functional configuration of the business simulation device 1. As shown in FIG. The business simulation device 1 includes, as functional units (programs) operating on the CPU 11, a reception processing unit 31, a property information processing unit 32, a recruitment information processing unit 33, a financial support information reflection unit 34, a simulation unit 35, and a video distribution unit 36.

[0027] <Reception processing unit 31> The reception processing unit 31 receives various information to be referenced by a property information processing unit 32, a recruitment information processing unit 33, a financial support information reflection unit 34, and a simulation unit 35, which will be described later, when an account is issued. The various types of information include, for example, "type of considerer," "corporate name," "name of corporate representative," "main business," "name of considerer," "address," and "contact information." "Type of considerer" is information indicating corporation / sole proprietor / individual, etc. "Corporate name" is information that is set in the case of a corporation / sole proprietor. "Corporate representative name" is information that is set only in the case of a corporation. "Main business" is information that is set only in the case of a corporation / sole proprietor. "Name of considerer" is information that indicates the name of the person in charge in the case of a corporation. "Address" is information such as postal code / prefecture / city / town / village / number / building, etc. "Contact information" is information such as email address / telephone number, etc. For example, the reception processing unit 31 receives information that is specified by a person who wishes to operate a specific business, and that identifies at least the address at which the person wishes to operate the business.

[0028] Furthermore, the reception processing unit 31 issues a time-limited account and an initial password for use of the business simulation device 1 to the business operator hopeful who has attended the FC (franchise chain) briefing session or individual briefing session. Various information on the business operator hopeful who has been accepted in advance is associated with this time-limited account.

[0029] In addition, the reception processing unit 31 receives various information, for example, by an operator inputting information on the operator applicant received at an FC briefing session, individual briefing session, etc., or by receiving the information from the operator applicant terminal 2 via a communication network.

[0030] Furthermore, when an analysis service is provided by the business simulation device 1, an account is issued in advance so that the person wanting to operate the service can log in to the analysis service. The reception processing unit 31 judges whether the person wanting to operate the service has logged in to this account.

[0031] Furthermore, when the various conditions are registered, the reception processing unit 31 executes a reception process for receiving the various conditions of the operator aspirant inputted from the operator aspirant terminal 2. When the input of the information indicating the various conditions is completed, the reception processing unit 31 permits video distribution to the account.

[0032] Examples of information indicating various conditions include "funding," "purpose of opening," "scale of opening," "desired location to open," "desired time to open," and "staff." "Funds" refers to information such as self-funding, availability of financial institutions to consider for financing, availability of leasing companies with which to do business (for rehabilitation machines, fixtures and equipment, shuttle vehicles), etc. "Purpose of opening a business" includes information regarding profitability, contribution to the community, and other information. "Opening size" is information on the size of the facility, such as half-day / full-day. The "desired opening date" is information indicating the planned date when the prospective operator wishes to open. "Location of business" is information showing the actual address if there is a property, or the address registered when the account was issued or the address of a property selected by the Real Estate Distribution Standard Information System if there is no property. If the address cannot be specified, information up to the prefecture, city, ward, town, or village is used. "Staff" is information about staff, such as whether they can be transferred or reassigned in the case of a corporation, whether the owner also serves as a staff member, or whether they are employed for all positions.

[0033] <<Property information processing unit 32>> The property information processing unit 32 identifies (acquires) property information to be used in simulated profit and loss, cash flow statements, and trade area information (demographic statistics, distribution diagrams using maps) as necessary. For example, when the property information processing unit 32 accepts the address of the "desired location to open a business" under the above-mentioned conditions, it identifies the property information of the location to open a business by inputting the postal code and address (prefecture / city / ward / town / village). Also, for example, if the address of the "desired opening location" is not accepted under the above-mentioned conditions, the property information processing unit 32 identifies property information for the opening location based on the corporate or individual address entered when creating the account. For example, when the address of the "desired business location" is not accepted in the above-mentioned conditions, the property information processing unit 32 may specify property information of the property address selected using a real estate distribution standard information system, etc. In this case, in addition to the "prefecture" and "city, ward, town, village", the search conditions may include "purpose (for business use)", "minimum area (half-day: 30 tsubo, one-day: 50 tsubo)", and "maximum rent (half-day: 400,000 yen, one-day: 700,000 yen)". In addition, when the business opening area has not been decided, the property information processing unit 32 may specify the area at the prefecture, city, ward, town, or village level. This allows prospective operators to understand existing operators by type, even if they have no connection to the prospective operator in the vicinity of the desired opening location, and allows them to proceed with consideration of business operations while taking into account the existence of other operators. Examples of property information include "zip code," "prefecture," "city / ward / town / village," "number of blocks," "building name, etc.", "area (or square meters)," "deposit," "key money," "rent of business premises (including management fees)," "rented parking lot" for employees, etc. In this embodiment, "prefecture" and "city / ward / town / village" are essential information. The existing business operator may be a business operator who has been operating a nursing care-related business in an area near the desired opening location. This business operator may be a business operator related to the operator, the operator himself, or a business operator who has no relationship with the operator at all.

[0034] <Recruitment information processing section 33> The recruitment information processing unit 33 sets recruitment information to be used for simulated profit and loss, cash flow, etc., based on the input information of the applicant for operation (the input contents for the above-mentioned "staff"). For example, the recruitment information is set with three items: "job type," "employment type," and "monthly salary." The "job types" are "manager," "lifestyle counselor," "nurse," "functional training instructor," "care worker," and "transport worker," but the number of people in each job type can be set according to the allocation plan based on the Long-Term Care Insurance Act. Each job type may be set as being allowed to hold multiple positions, and job types other than manager may be calculated as being held multiple positions. "Employment status" is "full-time employee" or "part-time employee", etc. For example, "manager" is set to "full-time employee". "Life counselor", "nurse", "functional training instructor", and "care worker" are set to "full-time employee" or "part-time employee". "Transport worker" is set to "part-time employee". "Monthly" can be "fixed days off", "hourly wage x 8 hours x working days", "hourly wage x 4 hours x working days", etc. For example, "fixed days off" is set for full-time employees in each occupation. Also, "hourly wage x 8 hours x working days" is set for part-timers such as "life counselors", "nurses", "functional training instructors", and "caregivers", and "hourly wage x 4 hours x working days" is set for short-term part-timers such as "transport workers".

[0035] In cases where the owner will also serve as an employee, or where an employee is transferred or reassigned from the current business, the expected wage will be specified.

[0036] In addition, statutory welfare expenses may be roughly calculated based on the monthly total, and commuting expenses and welfare expenses may be calculated from models or statistics obtained in advance. In addition, in cases where the owner also serves as an employee, or where an employee is transferred or reassigned from the current business, an expected wage may be set. In addition, when hiring employees when starting a business, wage standards (regional market rates) for each job type may be extracted or calculated from Hello Work, private job sites, or the recruitment information DB4.

[0037] ≪Financial support information reflection department 34≫ The financial support information reflecting unit 34 acquires information on financial support measures by local governments for a specific business based on information specifying the address where the business is desired to be operated, etc. The acquired financial support information is reflected in the next simulation. Examples of information specifying the address where the business is desired to be operated include property information included in the user input information and financing information extracted from the financing DB 6. Information on financial support measures includes public funding information, fund raising information, and the like.

[0038] <Simulation Section 35> In response to the reception processing unit 31 receiving information identifying at least the address from the terminal of a person wishing to operate a specified business, the simulation unit 35 outputs information regarding the business plan (including information regarding the average unit price of customers if the specified business is conducted at the address and information regarding the salary levels of staff) based on information regarding the population composition within a specified distance from the address and information regarding the business status of existing businesses belonging to the specified business. In this embodiment, the simulation unit 35 executes a process to generate a simulation result, which will be described later, and to present it to the person who wants to operate the business. Specifically, the process outputs business information related to a business plan, including information on the average unit price of customers when a certain business is conducted at a certain address and information on the salary level of staff involved in the certain business, based on information on the population composition within a certain distance from a certain address and information on the business status of existing businesses belonging to the certain business.

[0039] The simulation unit 35 may obtain information on the population composition within a specified distance from a specific address from the trade area information DB5 described below. Examples of information on the population composition within a specified distance from a specific address include statistical information published by each ministry and agency, and regional economic information registered in a regional economic analysis system. This information on the population composition within a specified distance from a specific address is stored in the trade area information DB5.

[0040] The simulation unit 35 may also obtain information on the business status of existing businesses belonging to a specific business from the real estate information DB3 described below. Information on the business status of existing businesses belonging to a specific business may include information on existing businesses in the past. Specifically, information on existing businesses in the past may include information on initial costs, expense breakdowns, average unit prices, profits and losses, and cash flows. This information on the business status of existing businesses is stored in the real estate information DB3.

[0041] There is no particular limitation on the method of presenting the simulation results in the simulation unit 35. For example, the simulation results may be displayed on the screen of the output unit 16 of the management applicant terminal 2, or the simulation results may be digitized in a PDF or the like and transmitted to the management applicant terminal 2.

[0042] The simulation unit 35 also acquires the number of existing businesses that are already operating a given business for each business type, and outputs the comparison result as information on the degree of demand. This makes it possible to make demand judgments, such as judging that the demand is low for a business type that is fewer in number than other business types among multiple business types (community comprehensive support centers, home care support offices, day care offices, day service offices), and judging that the demand is already met for a business type that is more numerous than the others.

[0043] <Video Distribution Division 36> After registering an account, the video distribution unit 36 ​​performs settings to permit viewing of live streaming videos of the business establishment, digests of various training videos, etc. The video distribution unit 36 ​​distributes videos in response to a request from the management applicant via the management applicant terminal 2.

[0044] <Real Estate Information DB3> The real estate information DB3 is a DB in which real estate property information such as addresses and building details is registered. The real estate property information is, for example, information registered in the Real Estate Distribution Standard Information System, which is a real estate trading network. The information registered in the real estate information DB3 includes information on salaries by region as information on the business status of existing businesses belonging to a specific business.

[0045] <Recruitment Information DB4> The recruitment information DB4 is a DB in which recruitment information related to recruitment such as company, job type, wage, location, etc. The recruitment information is, for example, information registered on Hello Work or private recruitment sites.

[0046] <Trade Area Information DB5> Trade area information DB5 is a database in which government statistics, regional economy, prefecture and municipal business information, addresses, and other information related to regional economic activities and businesses are registered. Information registered in trade area information DB5 includes, for example, statistical information published by each ministry and agency, regional economic information registered in the regional economic analysis system, information registered in the Regional Comprehensive Care "Visualization" System, which is an information system for comprehensively supporting the formulation and implementation of nursing care insurance business (support) plans, etc. in prefectures and municipalities by the Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare, and post office address information.

[0047] The information registered in the trade area information DB5 includes information on the population structure, such as the population distribution and population ratio by age group.

[0048] <Funding DB6> The fundraising DB 6 is a DB in which fundraising information relating to fundraising is registered. The fundraising information is, for example, information that is registered in a support information site, a system that handles private fundraising information, or the like.

[0049] <<Performance Information DB7>> The performance information DB7 registers performance information related to a business when a specific business is actually carried out. The information registered in the performance information DB7 includes information on existing businesses in the past as information on the business status of existing businesses belonging to the specific business. The information on existing businesses in the past may include information on initial costs, expense breakdowns, average unit prices, profits and losses, and cash flows.

[0050] <Processing content> 4 is a flowchart showing the operation of the input process in the business simulation device 1. Note that the process described below with reference to the flowchart is an example, and the order of the processes, omission or addition of processes, changes in the processes, etc. may be made.

[0051] In step S1, the reception processing unit 31 issues a time-limited account and an initial password for using the business simulation device 1 to those who wish to operate a business and have attended an FC (franchise chain) briefing session or an individual briefing session. The reception processing unit 31 also accepts the above-mentioned various information when issuing the account. After the processing of step S1, the process proceeds to step S2.

[0052] In step S2, the reception processing unit 31 judges whether or not the person who wishes to operate the system has logged in to the system constructed by the business simulation device 1. If the person who wishes to operate the system has not logged in, the reception processing unit 31 advances the process to step S3 (step S2; No).

[0053] In step S3, if the login acceptance period has not elapsed, the reception processing unit 31 returns the process to step S2 (step S3; No), and if the acceptance period has elapsed, stops the acceptance process for the account and ends the process. When the reception processing unit 31 confirms the login of the operation applicant who issued the account to the system built by the business simulation device 1, the process proceeds to step S4 (step S2; Yes). The operation applicant logs in to the system built by the business simulation device 1, for example, from the operation applicant terminal 2 via a communication network.

[0054] In step S4, the reception processing unit 31 executes reception processing for receiving the various conditions of the operation applicant input from the operation applicant terminal 2. In the reception processing of this embodiment, the reception processing unit 31 makes the operation applicant agree to the NDA after logging in. Thereafter, the reception processing unit 31 presents an input form for the various conditions to the operation applicant terminal 2, and the reception processing unit 31 receives input of information indicating the various conditions input by the operation applicant.

[0055] Here, if there is a candidate property that the prospective operator is already planning to open in the "desired location for opening" included in the above-mentioned conditions, the reception processing unit 31 will accept the address of that property (postal code, prefecture, city / ward / town / village, street address, etc.).

[0056] On the other hand, if there are no candidate properties for the "desired business location," the reception processing unit 31 will accept the address entered by the applicant when issuing the account as the desired business location. In addition, when there are no candidate properties for the "desired business opening location," the reception processing unit 31 may accept the address of a property selected from the real estate distribution standard information system or the real estate information DB as the desired business opening location. In addition, if there are no candidate properties for the "desired business location" and there is no selected property as described above, the reception processing unit 31 will accept the address information, including city, ward, town, or village, entered by the applicant when issuing the account as the desired business location. When selecting a potential business site, in addition to the "prefecture" and "city / ward / town / village" as search criteria, various information items including size such as "purpose," "minimum square footage," and "maximum rent" may be added. "Purpose" is "business use," etc. "Minimum square footage" is set to "30 square meters" if the "business scale" is "half-day," and "50 square meters" if the "business scale" is "one-day." "Maximum rent" is set to "400,000 yen" if the "business scale" is "half-day," and "700,000 yen" if the "business scale" is "one-day." If multiple candidate properties are found by selecting the candidate site, the user can select any of these properties. If there are no suitable candidate properties, the user can remove some of the search criteria, such as "maximum rent," and search again.

[0057] In step S5, the property information processing unit 32 specifies (acquires) property information to be used in the simulated profit and loss, cash flow statement, and trade area information (demographics, distribution map using a map) as described above.

[0058] In step S6, the recruitment information processing unit 33 sets the recruitment information to be used for the simulated profit and loss, cash flow, etc., as described above, based on the input information of the applicant for management (the input contents for the "staff" described above).

[0059] In step S7, the simulation unit 35 executes a process for generating a simulation result based on the information indicating the conditions set by the management applicant, and presenting the result to the management applicant. An example of the presented simulation result will be described later.

[0060] <Modification> Next, we will explain an example of the simulation result presented on the management applicant terminal 2. The simulation unit 35 generates information such as "trade area information", "business plan", and "fund raising information", for example, and presents it to the management applicant.

[0061] (Trade area information: Simulation results) The simulation unit 35 executes a process of generating an image that visually displays the positional relationship with existing businesses based on information extracted from the real estate information DB 3, the performance information DB 7, etc., and map information. This example will be described with reference to Fig. 5. Fig. 5 is a diagram showing an example of a simulation result showing the positional relationship with existing businesses by the business simulation device 1.

[0062] As shown in Figure 5, a map is displayed as a simulation result based on the address of the business location, "1-1-1, XX Town, XX City, XX Prefecture," which is entered as property information. Concentric circles indicating distance are displayed based on the address of the business location. In this example, circles are displayed at 5km and 3km from the address of the business location. Furthermore, the address of the existing business operator within the map range is displayed with an "R," and concentric circles indicating distance are displayed with this "R" as the center. In this example, circles are displayed at 5km, 3km, and 1.5km for "R."

[0063] The simulation unit 35 outputs information in tabular form indicating the business establishment location conditions based on the information extracted from the trade area information DB5. FIG. 6 is a diagram showing an example of a simulation result indicating the business establishment location conditions by the business simulation device 1. As shown in FIG. 6, the business establishment location conditions include business establishment information 51 indicating the number of home nursing care support offices, the number of day service offices, and the number of day care offices within a distant prefecture. The business establishment information 51 is information by distance, such as within a 3 km radius or within a 5 km radius. The business establishment location conditions also include population household information 52 regarding population and households.

[0064] The simulation unit 35 executes a process of generating an image that visually displays the trade area range based on the information indicating the business establishment location conditions and the map information based on the information extracted from the trade area information DB5. FIG. 7(a) is a diagram showing an example of a simulation result showing the trade area range by the business simulation device 1. As shown in FIG. 7(a), the map displays the locations of the surrounding facilities, such as the community comprehensive support center (comprehensive), home care support office (home), day care office, and day service office. The range of the city, town, or village to which the address of the business establishment belongs is also displayed.

[0065] Furthermore, the facilities in the vicinity of the commercial area can be displayed by business type. For example, an image can be generated that displays only the regional comprehensive support center (comprehensive) and the home care support office (home), and does not display the day care office and the day service office. FIG. 7(b) is an enlarged view of an example of a simulation result showing some of the offices in the commercial area by the business simulation device. FIG. 7(b) shows an enlarged view of the vicinity of the address of the business site, and the facility name is additionally displayed next to the square indicating the location of the regional comprehensive support center (comprehensive) and the home care support office (home). In this way, it is possible to display only one or more types of the regional comprehensive support center (comprehensive), the home care support office (home), the day care office, and the day service office. For example, only the day care office may be displayed together with the facility name, or only the day service office may be displayed together with the facility name.

[0066] The simulation unit 35 of this embodiment can also output a comparison result showing the number of each business type. This allows the operator to judge the demand level according to the bias in the number of each business type. The operator can also judge the comparison result by outputting an image similar to that of FIG. 7(b) for each business type and comparing them.

[0067] The simulation unit 35 displays a map showing the car travel time zone as a simulation result based on the real estate information DB3, map information, etc. FIG. 8(a) is a diagram showing an example of a simulation result showing the car travel time zone by the business simulation device 1. As shown in FIG. 8(a), the car travel time starting from the address of the business site is displayed in different colors. In this example, the map is color-coded according to time, such as 5 minutes, 10 minutes, and 15 minutes. Note that FIG. 8(a) also displays information on the commercial area range. Thus, according to this embodiment, the range that takes a certain travel time from the address position is visually distinguished and displayed on the map image, making it possible to grasp the range of target customers taking into account the time required for pick-up and drop-off.

[0068] The simulation unit 35 executes a process of generating an image that visually displays the population distribution based on the information extracted from the trade area information DB5, map information, etc. FIG. 8(b) is a diagram showing an example of a simulation result showing the population distribution by the business simulation device 1. As shown in FIG. 8(b), the population distribution of a certain age or older is shown by color coding on the map. In this example, the population distribution of 65 years old or older is shown by color coding on the map. More specifically, the population is divided into five categories of 0-138, 139-372, 373-772, 773-1527, and 1526-5728, and each category is colored differently. Note that FIG. 8(b) also displays information on the trade area range. The population ratio of a certain age or older can be generated not only for those 65 years old or older, but also for those 75 years old or older.

[0069] The simulation unit 35 executes a process of generating an image that visually displays the population ratio based on the information extracted from the trade area information DB5, map information, etc. FIG. 9(a) is a diagram showing an example of a simulation result showing the population ratio by the business simulation device 1. As shown in FIG. 9(a), the population ratio of a certain age or older is shown by color coding on the map. In this example, the population ratio of 65 years old or older is shown color-coded on the map. More specifically, the population ratio (the proportion of people 65 years old or older) is divided into five categories of 0.000-0.1916, 0.1917-0.2996, 0.2997-0.4088, 0.4089-0.5804, and 0.5805-1.000, and each category is colored differently. Note that FIG. 9(a) also displays information on the trade area range. The population ratio of a certain age or older can be generated not only for those 65 years old or older, but also for those 75 years old or older.

[0070] In this way, the simulation unit 35 can classify the area according to the size of the population distribution or population ratio of a predetermined age group, and visually distinguish the classification and display it on the map image. This image display makes it possible to estimate the number of expected customers based on the population distribution of a predetermined age group within a predetermined distance from the address and the ratio of expected customers set for the predetermined age group, and to thoroughly consider the business contents based on the expected customers.

[0071] The simulation unit 35 executes a process of generating an image that visually displays the distribution of elderly households based on the information extracted from the commercial area information DB5, map information, etc. FIG. 9(b) is a diagram showing an example of a simulation result showing the distribution of elderly couple households by the business simulation device 1. As shown in FIG. 9(b), the population distribution of elderly couple households is shown by color coding on the map. In this example, the population is divided into five categories: 0-23, 24-66, 67-140, 141-283, and 284-891, and each category is colored differently. Note that FIG. 9(b) also displays information on the commercial area range. An elderly couple household is determined by the age of the people who make up the household, and the age standard can be set appropriately, such as 65 years or older or 75 years or older.

[0072] The simulation unit 35 executes a process of generating an image that visually displays the distribution of elderly single-person households based on information extracted from the commercial area information DB5, map information, etc. FIG. 10 is a diagram showing an example of a simulation result showing the distribution of elderly single-person households by the business simulation device 1. As shown in FIG. 10, the population distribution of elderly single-person households is shown by color coding on the map. In this example, the population is divided into five categories, 0-27, 28-80, 81-175, 176-351, and 352-2487, and each category is colored differently. Note that FIG. 10 also displays information on the commercial area range. Elderly single-person households are determined by the age of the single person, and the age standard can be set appropriately, such as 65 years or older or 75 years or older.

[0073] In this way, the simulation unit 35 can classify information about households in a predetermined age group according to the size of the population distribution or population ratio, and visually distinguish the classification and display it on the map image.

[0074] (Business plan: Simulation results) Next, a description will be given of an example of a business plan output by the simulation unit 35. In the following description, various conditions, property information, and recruitment information based on input by an applicant for management will be described as user-input information.

[0075] The simulation unit 35 creates a business plan by reflecting, for example, various conditions, property information, recruitment information, etc. based on input by the applicant for management, as well as information extracted from various information DBs. The various information DBs referred to here are, as described above, for example, the real estate information DB3, recruitment information DB4, trade area information DB5, fund raising DB6, and performance information DB7.

[0076] The simulation unit 35 outputs information indicating an initial estimated cost based on, for example, user input information, information extracted from the real estate information DB 3, and information extracted from the performance information DB 7. The performance information DB 7 includes data on past initial cost estimates and data such as formulas for calculating initial cost estimates, and an initial cost estimate is calculated by applying the user input information and the information extracted from the real estate information DB 3 and performance information DB 7 as parameters. Examples of items that indicate an estimate of initial costs include affiliation package fees, facilities and equipment costs, advertising costs, recruitment advertising costs, rehabilitation equipment costs, vehicle costs, interior and exterior costs, sign installation costs, property acquisition costs, and pre-opening rent.

[0077] The simulation unit 35 outputs information showing an expense breakdown based on, for example, user input information, information extracted from the real estate information DB 3, information extracted from the recruitment information DB 4, and information extracted from the performance information DB 7. The performance information DB 7 includes data on past expense breakdowns and data such as formulas for calculating the expense breakdown, and the expense breakdown is calculated by applying the user input information and the information extracted from the real estate information DB 3 and performance information DB 7 as parameters. Items showing the breakdown of expenses include capital, fixed costs, installment payments / leasing, depreciation, and labor costs.

[0078] The expense breakdown includes a salary level. The salary level is calculated based on the user-input information, information extracted from the recruitment information DB4, and information extracted from the performance information DB7. The salary level is calculated based on, for example, information such as the job type, fixed salary, hourly wage, and working hours included in the above-mentioned user-input information, and the salary level of the relevant area extracted from the recruitment information DB4.

[0079] The simulation unit 35 outputs information indicating an establishment overview and an average unit price based on, for example, user input information, information extracted from the trade area information DB5, and information extracted from the performance information DB7. The performance information DB7 includes data on past average unit prices and formulas for calculating the average unit price, and the average unit price is calculated by applying the user input information and information extracted from the trade area information DB5 and performance information DB7 as parameters. Items indicating the establishment overview include establishment type, establishment type, establishment size, business hours, business days, capacity, average cost per use, etc. Items that indicate the average cost per use include the number of basic units, the number of units per visit, the percentage of users at each establishment, and the number of units per visit multiplied by the percentage of users at each establishment.

[0080] An example of a method for calculating the average unit price will be described. First, the simulation unit 35 calculates the expected number of customers per month. The expected number of customers is obtained by multiplying the number of elderly people (those aged 65 or over) within a predetermined distance (for example, within a 5-minute or 10-minute car drive) from the desired business location by a preset processing rate (for example, 20% to 30%). Alternatively, the simulation unit 35 may calculate the expected number of customers by using the number of past customers registered in the performance information DB7. Note that the method for calculating the expected number of customers is not limited to this. The number of elderly people may be calculated based on the ratio of the area of ​​the city, ward, town, or village included in the range of a circle that is halfway through the desired business location, and the expected number of customers may be calculated by multiplying the number of elderly people by a predetermined rate.

[0081] Next, the simulation unit 35 acquires the ratio of customer types in the vicinity of the desired opening location that is registered in advance in the performance information DB7. In this embodiment, the customer types are types of care, such as assistance required 1 and 2 and care required 1 to 5. The simulation unit 35 applies the ratio of types to the expected number of customers and applies the fee for each type to calculate the average unit price. This makes it possible to calculate the average unit price more accurately based on the expected customers whose ratio of types is known, even if the unit price differs for each type. Note that the method of calculating the average unit price is not limited to this.

[0082] The simulation unit 35 outputs information showing profit and loss by occupancy rate based on, for example, user input information, information extracted from real estate information DB3, information extracted from commercial area information DB5, information extracted from recruitment information DB4, and information extracted from performance information DB7. Performance information DB7 includes data such as past data on profit and loss by occupancy rate and formulas for calculating profit and loss by occupancy rate, and profit and loss by occupancy rate is calculated by applying information extracted from user input information, real estate information DB3, commercial area information DB5, recruitment information DB4, performance information DB7, etc. as parameters. The simulation unit 35 can output, for example, profit and loss by occupancy rate only for the first year assuming operation on 22 days per month (Saturdays and Sundays are holidays), as well as profit and loss by occupancy rate only for the second year assuming operation on 26 days per month (Sundays are holidays). In this way, by calculating profit and loss simulations for multiple occupancies, the user can compare the occupancy rate and profit and loss. Items that show profit and loss by operating rate include operating rate, number of monthly users, sales, selling and administrative expenses, operating profit, and profit before depreciation.

[0083] The simulation unit 35 outputs information showing profit and loss for one year based on, for example, user input information, information extracted from real estate information DB3, information extracted from trade area information DB5, information extracted from recruitment information DB4, and information extracted from performance information DB7. Performance information DB7 includes data on profit and loss for the past year and data such as formulas for calculating profit and loss for one year, and profit and loss is calculated by applying information extracted from user input information, real estate information DB3, trade area information DB5, recruitment information DB4, performance information DB7, etc. as parameters. The simulation unit 35 can output profit and loss for only the first year, which is based on 22 days of operation per month (Saturdays and Sundays are holidays), as well as profit and loss for the second year, which is based on 26 days of operation per month (Sundays are holidays). Items that indicate profit and loss include utilization rate, number of subscribers, monthly number of users, daily average, sales, selling and administrative expenses, operating profit, profit before depreciation and amortization, and cumulative.

[0084] The simulation unit 35 outputs information showing annual business profit and loss based on, for example, user input information, information extracted from real estate information DB3, information extracted from trade area information DB5, information extracted from recruitment information DB4, and information extracted from performance information DB7. Performance information DB7 includes data on past annual business profit and loss and data such as formulas for calculating annual business profit and loss, and annual business profit and loss is calculated by applying information extracted from user input information, real estate information DB3, trade area information DB5, recruitment information DB4, performance information DB7, etc. as parameters. In this simulation, annual business profit and loss for five years may be calculated, or multiple annual business profit and loss for two years or more may be calculated. Items that indicate annual business profit and loss include utilization rate, annual number of users, daily average, sales, selling and administrative expenses, operating profit, profit before depreciation and amortization, and cumulative.

[0085] The simulation unit 35 outputs information indicating cash flow based on, for example, user input information, information extracted from real estate information DB3, information extracted from trade area information DB5, information extracted from recruitment information DB4, and information extracted from performance information DB7. Performance information DB7 includes data on past cash flow and data such as formulas for calculating cash flow, and the cash flow is calculated by applying the information extracted from the user input information, real estate information DB3, trade area information DB5, recruitment information DB4, performance information DB7, etc. as parameters. Items indicating cash flow include deposits, expenditures, principal repayments, cash flow, and cumulative totals.

[0086] Although examples of business plans output by the simulation unit 35 have been described above, these output methods are merely examples. The combination of various information DBs and the calculation method can be changed as appropriate. Furthermore, the formula for calculation may be stored in the business simulation device 1 main body.

[0087] (Funding information: Simulation results) Next, the information on fund raising output by the financial support information reflecting unit 34 will be described. The financial support information reflecting unit 34 outputs information on financial support measures based on the property information included in the user input information and the fund raising information extracted from the fund raising DB6. The fund raising DB6 contains information on various fund raising methods by region (subsidies, grants, loans). The simulation unit 35 matches the address of the property information to the information on various fund raising methods by region and outputs information including financial support measures provided by the country, prefectures, municipalities, public financial institutions, private financial institutions, etc. in text format, table format, etc.

[0088] The simulation unit 35 also outputs the business plan that reflects the information on the financial support measures output by the financial support information reflection unit 34. For example, the simulation unit 35 calculates the business plan separately for the case where the financial support measures are applied and the case where they are not applied. When the financial support measures are applied, an item of the amount when the financial support measures are adopted is added.

[0089] (others) In the business simulation device 1 of another embodiment, the reception processing unit 31 receives attribute information and skill information of a manager who manages a specific business. Based on the attribute information and skill information, the simulation unit 35 infers leadership, interpersonal relationship building ability, organizational adaptability, proactiveness, reliability, comprehension, management knowledge, social awareness, and the like. The attribute information includes age, sex, educational background, work history, qualifications, clubs, circle activities, and the like. Skill information includes training tests, qualifications, and the like.

[0090] The simulation unit 35 of the above embodiment estimates the monthly average customer increase based on the attribute information and skill information of the manager who manages a specified business. If the score based on the manager's attributes and skills is high, the monthly average customer increase is calculated to be high, and if the score based on the manager's attributes and skills is low, the monthly average customer increase is calculated to be low. The calculated monthly average customer increase may have several patterns, such as a pattern in which the increase is slower than the standard, a standard pattern, and a pattern in which the increase is faster than the standard.

[0091] <Advantageous Effects of the Present Embodiment> According to the above embodiment, it is possible to output information about a business plan for a specific business to be conducted at an address based on information about the age composition of the population within a specific distance from the address and information about the business status of existing businesses in the specific business. This makes it possible to provide information for a person who wishes to operate a specific business to make a decision to start operating the business based on information about the business plan if the business is actually operated. Furthermore, according to the embodiment of the present invention, it is possible to estimate the funds required for a business based on a business plan. Furthermore, according to the embodiment of the present invention, business destinations can be visualized using a comprehensive residential distribution map.

[0092] <Other embodiments> Although an embodiment of the present invention has been described above, the present invention is not limited to the above-described embodiment, and modifications, improvements, etc. that can achieve the object of the present invention are included in the present invention.

[0093] Also, for example, the above-mentioned series of processes can be executed by hardware or software. In other words, the above-mentioned functional configuration is merely an example and is not particularly limited. In other words, it is sufficient that the information processing system is provided with a function capable of executing the above-mentioned series of processes as a whole, and the type of functional block used to realize this function is not particularly limited to the above-mentioned example.

[0094] In addition, the location of the functional block is not particularly limited and may be arbitrary. For example, the functional block of a server may be transferred to another device, etc. Conversely, the functional block of another device may be transferred to a server, etc. In addition, one functional block may be configured as a single piece of hardware, a single piece of software, or a combination of both.

[0095] When a series of processes is executed by software, a program constituting the software is installed in a computer or the like from a network or a recording medium. The computer may be a computer built into dedicated hardware. The computer may also be a computer capable of executing various functions by installing various programs, such as a server, a general-purpose smartphone, or a personal computer.

[0096] The recording medium containing such a program may be configured not only as a removable medium (not shown) distributed separately from the device main body in order to provide the program to the user, etc., but also as a recording medium etc. provided to the user in a state in which the medium is pre-installed in the device main body. Since the program can be distributed via a network, the recording medium may be mounted on or accessible to a computer connected or connectable to the network.

[0097] In this specification, the steps describing the program recorded on the recording medium include not only processes performed in chronological order, but also processes that are not necessarily performed in chronological order but are performed in parallel or individually. In addition, in this specification, the term "system" refers to an overall device composed of multiple devices, multiple means, etc.

[0098] In other words, the business information management device to which the present invention is applied can take various forms having the following configurations. That is, (1) a business simulation device to which the present invention is applied (for example, business simulation device 1 in FIG. 1) has a simulation means (for example, simulation unit 35 in FIG. 3) which, in response to receiving information identifying at least an address from a terminal of a person wishing to operate a specified business (welfare business), outputs information regarding a business plan including information regarding the average unit price of customers if the specified business were to be carried out at the address and information regarding the salary levels of staff, based on information regarding the population composition within a specified distance from the address and information regarding the business status of existing businesses belonging to the specified business. This allows a person who wishes to operate a specific business to make a decision to start operation based on information about a business plan if the business is actually operated.

[0099] The system further includes (2) a financial support information reflecting means for acquiring information on financial support measures by local governments for the specified business based on the information identifying the address and reflecting the information in the simulation. This will enable more accurate information about business plans to be obtained based on information about financial support measures offered by local governments.

[0100] In addition, (3) a business simulation method to which the present invention is applied includes a simulation step of outputting, in response to receiving information identifying at least an address from a terminal of a person wishing to operate a specified business, information regarding a business plan including information regarding the average unit price of customers if the specified business were to be conducted at the address and information regarding the salary levels of staff, based on information regarding the population composition within a specified distance from the address and information regarding the business status of existing businesses belonging to the specified business.

[0101] In addition, (4) the program to which the present invention is applied causes a computer to execute a simulation step in response to receiving information identifying at least an address from a terminal of a person wishing to operate a specified business, which outputs information regarding a business plan including information regarding the average unit price of customers if the specified business were to be conducted at the address and information regarding the salary levels of staff, based on information regarding the population composition within a specified distance from the address and information regarding the business status of existing businesses belonging to the specified business. [Explanation of symbols]

[0102] 1: business simulation device, 31: reception processing section, 32: property information processing section, 33: recruitment information processing section, 34: financial support information reflection section, 35: simulation section, 36: video distribution section

Claims

1. a simulation means for outputting information on a business plan including information on the average unit price of customers in the case where the specified business is carried out at the address and information on the salary levels of staff, based on information on the population composition within a specified distance from the address and information on the business status of existing businesses belonging to the specified business, in response to receiving information specifying at least an address from a terminal of a person who wishes to operate the specified business; A business simulation device having the above configuration.

2. The method further includes a financial support information reflecting means for acquiring information on financial support measures by local governments for the specified business based on the information identifying the address and reflecting the information in the simulation. The business simulation device according to claim 1.

3. a simulation step of outputting information on a business plan including information on the average unit price of customers if the specified business is conducted at the address and information on the salary level of staff, based on information on the population composition within a specified distance from the address and information on the business status of existing businesses belonging to the specified business, in response to receiving information identifying at least an address from a terminal of a person who wishes to operate the specified business; A business simulation method having the above-mentioned features.

4. a simulation step of outputting information on a business plan including information on the average unit price of customers if the specified business is conducted at the address and information on the salary level of staff, based on information on the population composition within a specified distance from the address and information on the business status of existing businesses belonging to the specified business, in response to receiving information identifying at least an address from a terminal of a person who wishes to operate the specified business; A program for causing a computer to execute the above.

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