A system for machine learning, optimization, and management of local multi-asset flexibility of distributed energy storage resources

Abstract

Systems, devices, and methods for optimizing and managing distributed energy storage and flexibility resources on a localized and collective basis, particularly focusing on determining, analyzing, predictive learning, and scoring flexibility and risk profile availability to inform optimization of energy supply and behind-the-meter storage resources and local clusters of co-located or nearby resources within a community, low-voltage network, feeder, neighborhood, or building. Such optimization includes scheduled reactive and active management of local clusters of data sources and resources across objectives such as price, energy supply, renewable energy leverage, asset value, constraint, or risk management. Alternatively, such optimization achieves local objectives such as providing countervailing resources to support local balancing or constraint management of larger local supply and load, or supports active management of local energy demand and renewable supply, storage resources, electric thermal resources, electric vehicle charging resources or clusters of electric vehicle chargers, and flexible loads within a building. [Selected Figure] Figure 1

Description

[Technical Field]

[0001] The present invention relates to managing groups of distributed energy storage resources, such as batteries and electric vehicles, via machine learning and other optimization approaches to assist in balancing the electric system and managing local network constraints, maximizing performance across multiple energy system investors. [Background technology]

[0002] Energy storage represents an expanding asset class in the energy system and an opportunity to facilitate the management and shift of supply from low-carbon generation resources such as wind and solar, facilitating management of the energy demand profile and electrical system management. The presence of numerous energy storage and flexibility resources on the grid increases management challenges, particularly as electric vehicle adoption increases and pressures on local networks to accommodate large fluctuations in electricity consumption due to faster electric vehicle charging, etc.

[0003] The challenges are compounded when energy systems are "isolated" or have limited connectivity, such as in large island nations, locations / networks with little interconnection, or when planning new sites such as new buildings, campuses, or new smart cities. For example, the UK and Japan are large island nations with low (e.g., 10%) interconnectivity, so they must manage flexibility within their own energy systems as variations from large-scale deployments of distributed wind and solar resources result in diurnal or weather-driven changes. Similarly, the large-scale adoption of distributed batteries, such as for home storage, electric vehicles, personal mobility devices, robotics, or the growing Internet of Things / battery-powered devices, requires significant charging management throughout the day.

[0004] For example, in the UK, the mobility electrification strategy could require over 1 terawatt (TWH) of batteries across the UK transport fleet, which will need to be managed and optimized on a daily and location-by-location basis. This creates significant infrastructure challenges for investment in new generation and network resources, as well as opportunities for vehicles to aggregate power to support the grid (e.g., U.S. Patent No. 11,836,760, V2 Green Inc.).

[0005] There are many prior art examples (including U.S. Patent No. 9,379,545, U.S. Patent No. 20100076615 from Moixa) that illustrate aspects of this challenge from the perspective of individual solutions (e.g., solar cells from Moixa, Tesla, STEM, Sunverge, Sonnen), energy data collection and secure exchange (e.g., U.S. Patent No. 13,328,952, Korean Patent No. 101,491,553 B1), or via ledgers (WO 2017066431 A1), or for EV management solutions (U.S. Patent No. 20080039979 A1), rate arbitration during peak on or off operation (e.g., U.S. Patent No. 9,225,173 for adjusting storage resources as emergency power on micro-grids and in response to market prices), and aggregate applications for virtual power plants (e.g., U.S. Patent No. 15,540,781, U.S. Patent No. 20170005474 A1).

[0006] There are also various academic papers that model the challenges of managing and charging electric vehicles, including "A Stochastic Resource-Sharing Network for Electric Vehicle Charging," Angelos Aveklouris et al, 2017 (https: / / arxiv.org / abs / 1711.05581), "Critical behavior in charging of electric vehicles," Rui Carvalho, Frank Kelly et al (2015, New J. Phys. 17 (2015) 095001), and "Electric and Plug-in Hybrid Vehicle Networks: Optimization and Control," (Nov / 2017, ISBN 9781498744997), Emanuele Crisostomi / Bob Shorten et al.

[0007] However, such examples and others do not adequately consider how multiple types of assets and interests need to be managed at group and local levels and optimized to achieve a balance between the individual incentives and interests of individual EV users (e.g., homeowners), regulated entities (e.g., suppliers and networks), or device manufacturers. In particular, they do not address how technologies need to be combined to provide solutions that adapt to different energy systems and regulations or changes in charges and approaches over time, or how machine learning and other optimization techniques can be combined to provide real-time and automated control of groups of assets in a location. Traditional approaches do not adequately address how to ensure that such groups are managed over time with technologies that are resilient and in changing energy, communications, and software environments. Nor do traditional approaches address how to financially manage such assets, including cash flow payments from counterparties or contractors, to maximize returns to investors or asset funders. Traditional approaches also do not adequately address how to maintain connectivity and minimize lifetime operation and maintenance costs when managing and updating a fleet of distributed assets over time. Summary of the Invention [Problem to be solved by the invention]

[0008] Therefore, in light of these challenges and issues, there is a need for systems, methods, and devices that can collectively address these and other issues in energy systems and enable groups of different types of batteries or battery-equipped devices to be managed as a collective asset in the energy infrastructure. [Means for solving the problem]

[0009] According to aspects of an embodiment of the present invention, there is provided a management and optimization system, including software systems and protocols, means of connection and exchange to and between end devices and resources, for collecting data and monitoring usage, processing external data and market indications, and running algorithms that analyze and identify characteristics and update forecasts, thereby orchestrating how the flexibility of said resources can be scheduled, shared or organized to enable various interventions of individual or collective groups of resources to achieve specific or reliable performance targets over time for an individual site, a local environment, a wider community or a country.

[0010] The aforementioned end resources typically include distributed energy storage resources such as "behind the meter" battery or thermal storage sources, larger battery resources either co-located or centralized, other devices with embedded batteries such as electric vehicles or their charging equipment, drones, telecom masts, robotics, end customer devices, Internet of Things (IoT) and consumer electronic devices that require periodic charging and management, or distributed energy generation sources such as solar panels, wind resources, fuel cells, or energy from waste, energy loads or appliances that can act as flexible resources by shifting consumption, e.g., mechanical, heating or cooling elements.

[0011] Such end devices typically include physical devices co-located with the resource, such as smart meters, clamps and sensors, routers and controllers, smart plugs and gateways, communication devices, consumer access devices and displays, charging devices or smart plugs or control actuators, processing chips or circuits connected to the end resource or connected as sensors, or other devices ostensibly performing alternative functions, such as smart speakers, smart thermostats, smartphones, or methods for determining or extracting data from third-party sources, such as GPS signals, traffic cameras, remote imagery (e.g., about weather patterns or solar availability for a roof area), etc.

[0012] An exemplary embodiment uses the aforementioned devices to provide real-time data regarding the energy supply or usage or needs of the aforementioned resources across locations or low voltage networks to an algorithm or "brain" software system residing in the cloud or central server or end devices and resources to calculate the current location and next predicted location or future profile of the resource to assist in interventions such as managing the charging rate of distributed energy resources such as multiple battery or electric vehicles.

[0013] The aforementioned connectivity methods typically include standard communication technologies such as fixed and wireless telephone and mobile networks (GPRS, 1G-5G, LTE), WiFi, Z-Wave, Zigbee, mesh networks, power lines or local communication technologies such as signals transmitted via electricity, in conjunction with the Internet and remote servers, utilization of cloud-hosted components and technologies, and end-customer devices.

[0014] The aforementioned software systems can be supported by appropriate protocols that serve as distributed control mechanisms, standards, frameworks, and APIs, as well as mechanisms for self-adjusting large numbers of distributed entities to achieve collective goals or benefits. For example, a charging protocol for distributed resources can be configured to optimize flows (e.g., energy and data) at local locations in response to local constraints, congestion, or local limitations in a way that results in predictable and beneficial aggregate stochastic and network performance. As an example, using a telephony approach to signal energy control, such as TCP (Transmission Control Protocol), has proven particularly advantageous, where bandwidth was managed by allowing distributed resources to self-adjust and manage their TCP / IP flows as local congestion was observed (Jacobson, 1988). In a similar manner, the present invention aims to use a combination of central software systems and protocols to help manage how the overall energy system functions at a distributed level, for example, by assisting in local voltage limiting, local and overall system balancing, etc. This is remarkably effective in bandwidth management, and in practice, a distributed system of stochastic "routing" to local constraints achieves a global optimum, which is effective as a distributed parallel algorithm for implementing and solving optimization problems (Kelly).

[0015] Similarly, such charging protocols can help manage the goals of software systems by ensuring that distributed resources, such as battery and electric vehicle charger rates, respond first to local constraints in a predictable manner and in a way that favors desired collective behavior; such charging protocols can operate to maximize "power flow" or capacity at a particular site, or maximize proportional fairness to balance resources and access more equitably, such as access to charging at low prices, access and appropriate fair distribution of charging rates when the energy network is congested, and appropriate management or "throttling"; and actively manage charging rates to optimize participant demands within system constraints.

[0016] In a similar manner, in an exemplary embodiment, such an approach can be applied to a battery asset charging algorithm or scheduled charging plan, which attempts to achieve a profile and then makes dynamic or periodic adjustments based on process indications (e.g., market and rate indications, weather data, location constraints), along with local measurements of energy supply (such as grid or solar resources) and energy usage by buildings or vehicles. The above system has the effect of self-adjusting and reducing uncertainty and variability by providing variance corrections that enforce a target profile or price target as a whole. In electricity markets such as the UK, while individual household energy usage profiles tend to fluctuate, large collections of households tend to follow predictable patterns and, in practice, are resolved based on average aggregate profiles, such as Elexon profiles, for home categories, periods, or days. As markets move towards more multi-day, real-time, and local settlements, for example as the UK rolls out 30-minute settlement periods to households as well as large sites and businesses, decentralized asset management and self-regulation will become more important for both pricing, arbitrage opportunities, as well as system balancing, and for energy suppliers to more accurately anticipate, trade, and correct energy purchases and imbalance costs.

[0017] Such data and usage analysis may typically include measurements of energy usage on the mains (grid supply), on household or building circuits, on appliances or large loads, on energy supplies such as electric vehicles and charging devices, solar, wind, fuel cells, or other sources, where energy measurements may include analysis of voltage, electric and reactive power, frequency and phase, and changes over time or NLIM (non-intrusive load monitoring) to detect changes to estimate the nature of the load, the equipment in use, or to detect potential faults, using conventional methods (cluster analysis, disaggregation, pattern recognition, modeling and comparison, harmonic-based analysis, power spectrum analysis, etc.), or complemented by additional data sources, context, and fusion analysis with other data and neural network approaches (e.g., U.S. Patent No. 20100076615 to Moixa).The aforementioned data may also include other characteristics or data such as GPS location to enable geofencing or pattern notification of relevant behavior (e.g., arrivals, temperature requirements, EV charging availability), calendar data to reference typical behavior (for the day or weekend, month, or holiday), local data on generation output and demand data (building, EV charger), market flexibility needs at the network level, e.g., voltage rises, falls, quality issues, broader market needs regarding frequency fluctuations, market indications regarding prices such as wholesale or retail, or supplier offered rates, price futures profiles or overnight market transaction data, or data regarding imbalances and contract issues, market intervention needs such as Demand Side Management Response (DSR / DSM). This can include data that influences activity, such as temperature and weather data and forecasts, as well as site-related data on occupancy patterns, local information such as CO2 levels, sound, WiFi usage, device connectivity / presence, community data and P2P (peer-to-peer) resource availability or needs, or other external data such as requests and data exchange with energy systems - energy suppliers and billing accounts, market functions such as DCC, Elexon, local DSO markets, TSO / national grid alerts, etc.

[0018] Within such management and optimization systems, such means of exchange may typically include various tools capable of assisting in the mediation of transactions, such as data or packets, standards, APIs, and software approaches that assist in access, security, or authenticated access to resources, such as, for example, tokens, hash records and timestamps, smart contracts, private and public keys, digital signatures, distributed ledgers and audit records, blockchains or parachains, electronic "coins," or other cryptographic representations that can ensure that such access and transaction control is maintained over time.

[0019] The aforementioned exchanges and tools can also be platforms or marketplaces, or management and financial structures such as special purpose vehicles (SPVs), which can use management and optimization systems to support long-term asset and contract management goals, help ensure targets and performance such as profits, cash flow, etc. by managing resources for various purposes over time, and can use systems to manage the operations and maintenance (O&M) domain over the life of an asset.

[0020] In an exemplary embodiment of the aforementioned management and optimization system, the method seeks to organize and manage distributed energy resource assets on an individual and collective basis to distribute optimal revenue for such assets and their owners (customers or asset vehicles) by providing flexibility and services across a range of potential beneficiaries from BTM - "Behind the Meter" (typically for end customers or buildings), ATM - "At the Meter" (typically for energy suppliers or energy service companies), LTM - "Local to Meter" (typically for local distribution networks, developers or communities), FTM - "Front of the Meter" (for wider grid actors and system benefits), as an "Energy as a Service" (EaaS) model, or as a Battery Operator "BOP". The aforementioned optimization methods typically involve optimizing a single or cooperative cluster of beneficiaries and managing flexibility by learning energy patterns to maximize daily revenue and, through contracts with specific parties, bring additional benefits by making flexibility available on-demand when certain situations arise, such as local network constraints or high-value opportunities in the power grid.

[0021] Within such an approach, optimization and orchestration methods can seek to manage pure BTM in the interest of the residential / building customer, or can seek to align objectives between the utilities supplying the customer (BTM+ATM), or across local groups of customers as peers (in a peer-to-peer model), or as a group such as residential and EV customers, utility suppliers, and local networks (BTM+ATM+LTM). In such situations, the algorithm needs to consider 1) data and identity characterization and management according to goals such as a) local network limitations that may act as constraints on charging supply or timing and rate, or b) energy export limitations from renewable energy or battery / EV resources; 2) constraint scoring (e.g., risk that the electricity network will not have enough capacity to meet demand); 3) forecasts of residential or vehicle shiftable demand or flexibility; and 4) risk scoring of resource flexibility and predictability that is due to, for example, expected energy demand needs, battery resource size and availability, knowledge of building occupancy or non-occupancy, location of electric vehicles (e.g., if not connected), or cases where energy suppliers are unwilling to provide flexibility if it affects trading positions, or where flexibility is desired due to wider grid issues or contractual opportunities and may be limited by contractual or market constraints.

[0022] In one embodiment, the system comprises: a central software system adapted to receive data and monitor end device and resource usage at a plurality of remote sites in a network, the software system adapted to determine a battery charging plan for charging and / or discharging batteries at the remote sites, the batteries being electric vehicle (EV) batteries and / or other energy storage batteries; and end devices at the remote sites coordinated to control charging according to respective charging plans, the end devices implementing a charging protocol configured to respond to identified local constraints, congestion, or local limitations to optimize energy transfer in the local network in a manner such that aggregate stochastic and network performance is predictable and beneficial.

[0023] Thus, as mentioned above, the use of such a protocol at charging points decentralizes the decision to change the charging rate based on measurements of local properties such as voltage changes, limits, and frequency, thereby proportionally slowing charging, reducing the charging rate during stress or high load events, or gradually increasing the charging rate during measurements of low load or low stress events, self-regulating the behavior of charging events in a predictable manner. The combination of a central software system and a distributed protocol thus manages how the overall energy system functions, assisting, for example, with local voltage limits and local and overall system balancing. This removes the complexity of a purely top-down approach.

[0024] In one embodiment, the charging protocol comprises: a) Begin charging or discharging at an initial rate; b) periodically increasing the rate towards a target rate according to a charging plan for the rechargeable battery; c) Detecting signs of approaching local limits on the network and reducing rates accordingly; Then, continue with steps b and c to proceed by charging and / or discharging the battery according to the plan.

[0025] The increments to the charging rate may be additive, and the reductions to the charging rate may be multiplicative. Thus, the charging rate incrementally approaches the target rate, but if congestion is detected, the charging rate is reduced at an exponential rate until the congestion event has passed. This provides self-regulation and stability to the network.

[0026] In one embodiment, the indication that a local limit is being reached on the network is determined by monitoring voltage levels or frequency, or changes in voltage levels or frequency, on the distribution network, where the limit may be an upper or lower limit above which the network operates within predetermined acceptable conditions. Thus, this scheme is applicable to both charging batteries from the local network, where high voltage levels may indicate that the network is under stress, or discharging batteries into the network, where low voltage levels are detected indicating insufficient supply.

[0027] In one embodiment, a collection of distributed charging profiles or device charging plans that react in a predictable manner provides a distributed self-regulating effect that supports the overall predictability, fairness, stability, or goals of the system.

[0028] In one embodiment, the charging plan comprises: - Market and tariff indications, weather data, location constraints - Local measurements of energy supply - Energy use by buildings or vehicles The process signature is dynamically adjusted based on one or more of the following:

[0029] In one embodiment, the system performs the following steps according to the local constraints: Monitoring end electric vehicle (EV) status and battery charge status at a remote site; Forecasting future usage and charging patterns of electric vehicles at remote sites and predicting local network performance; and Using such measurements and future projections (forward predictions) to form an aggregate model of EV usage and network performance across the local network, and comparing the aggregate models of EV usage and network performance to identify potential problems on the local network where predicted usage exceeds local constraints; and Decision logic to evaluate and schedule real-time adjustments to the EV charging plan and throttle the charging rate to avoid exceeding local constraints; and notifying the remote EV of the adjusted charging plan.

[0030] In one embodiment, the local constraints are consumer and utility supply constraints on time-shifting energy usage and / or are coupled with local network constraints that manage the set of resources within the local network to avoid constraints imposed by the local network's infrastructure. Thus, for example, an existing local network may not have the capacity to support a new facility for charging multiple electric vehicles whose peak usage may be expected to exceed capacity. By enabling the system to actively manage charge points, the power consumed can be throttled, allowing the facility to operate within the network's local constraints and avoiding expensive infrastructure upgrades. Clearly, different local constraints may operate in different parts of the network, and the system may throttle different end sites at various different rates according to each identified local constraint.

[0031] In one embodiment, available flexibility from end site resources and risk profiles are used to defer charging.

[0032] In one embodiment, the prediction is based at least in part on tracking the location of the EV vehicle, so that, for example, the proximity of an electric vehicle to its base charging station can be used to predict that a charging event will occur in the imminent period.

[0033] In one embodiment, the system is tuned to optimize behind-the-meter (BTM) benefits through a management and optimization system that processes real-time or periodic data from end devices to optimize the flexibility provided by charging / discharging distributed energy storage resources. a) analyzing data sources including one or more of: i) energy usage, ii) local solar power generation, iii) weather forecast data, iv) calendar information, past performance and learned behavior, v) rate profile information, and vi) customer preferences; b) implementing an algorithmic approach to generate data-driven forecasts of energy usage, including one or more of: i) predicted load, ii) solar generation, iii) EV charging usage, iv) battery charging plan, and v) risk profile and flexibility; c) using data-driven predictions to create a charging plan that will produce the desired storage resource goals; Managed by.

[0034] In one embodiment, the goal is one or more of: i) minimizing energy usage from the grid; ii) maximizing self-consumption of solar resources; iii) minimizing price; iv) minimizing CO2; v) optimizing battery performance; vi) managing state of charge and battery performance; vii) achieving charging targets for battery readiness at specific times; viiii) responding to change requests or flexibility opportunities from third parties; ix) providing capacity to respond to flexibility opportunities.

[0035] In one embodiment, the system is adapted to provide status and performance reports to users based on data and predictions.

[0036] Prediction can utilize machine learning, pattern recognition and feature and event detection (e.g., of high loads, occupancy events, initiation of charging cycles), training neural networks to help recognize patterns or classify anomalous patterns, use of modeling, convolution and comparison, predictive and probabilistic modeling (e.g., of event detection, solar profiles, energy load profiles on EV charging patterns), or Markov modeling to model probabilistic transitions and paths between likely next states and durations of energy devices in use or transition states in EV charging, feedback networks, predictive learning, linear programming.

[0037] The aforementioned event detection and short-term forecasting can utilize simple multilayer perceptrons or recurrent neural networks, or disaggregation or profile information to detect significant step changes in energy usage, such as detecting the activation of high-load appliances like cookers, air conditioners, or washing machines, and disaggregation and pattern recognition approaches that refer to past profiles and learned behaviors to determine and focus on events that have long-term impacts on the forward profile. This has proven particularly advantageous for informing future predictions of such high-load or standard electric vehicle charging events, as well as increased consumption caused by occupancy (e.g., return to work, time away from work, or overnight slowdowns). Various tools, such as risk profiles, can also inform energy management, with an emphasis on the stability and historical reliability of such predictions, and how predictions are used for trading, battery charging plan adjustments, and wider flexibility availability.

[0038] In one embodiment, the system is adapted to focus on optimization between maximizing a goal within the time interval using linear programming techniques between a set of data and variables at the start of the time interval and a forecast set for a further period, and how local optimization can be achieved in the forecasted time interval by changing the battery charge rate / discharge parameters in a home battery or electric vehicle charging plan.

[0039] In one embodiment, the system is tuned to use a neural network to maximize an entropy function and / or find a Nash equilibrium approach to optimize the objectives and / or unbalanced demands within a specific time interval.

[0040] In one embodiment, the data is shared with a forecasting engine and economic models to determine a charging plan for the battery; wherein the economic model calculates the impact of an exemplary plan by reference to a pricing model or memory; The forecasting engine i) calculates forward models of consumption and production to apply such plans, ii) stores the forecasts to enable performance monitoring and feedback to the system or requests for new forecasts if there is a divergence of measured variables from the forecasts, and iii) manages the storage and deployment of plans to ensure that end assets perform according to the plan's objectives.

[0041] In one embodiment, the system processes real-time or periodic data across multiple end devices within a particular location to manage the overall performance of the energy storage resource within at least one identified local constraint, and the system: Monitoring utilization, capacity provisioning, and charging rates of multiple end site devices and resources, and receiving forecast projections (forecast outlooks), risk profiles, and available flexibility and spare capacity from the end sites and on the local network; Aggregate site usage and forecasts to model predicted overall load forecasts, demands, and flows for a location or across the low-voltage network; Analyzing how such predictions may affect local network performance, taking into account at least one network constraint; Coordinate or schedule local active management plans, central or distributed battery resources and EV charging, solar curtailment, thermal resources, and other demand-side response assets to meet energy usage constraints in the network; Implement the plan with active management controls It is adjusted as follows.

[0042] In one embodiment, the network constraints are: i) Power quality issues such as voltage rise or fall, restrictions on different phases, network failures, power quality issues, and ii) The deployment of additional load or generation means on the network, such as electric vehicle charging, heat pumps, electrification of heating, solar / EV export to the grid, which increases the challenges of managing the grid by leading to assets operating at higher stresses or increased failure rates; One or more of the following:

[0043] In one embodiment, the system is orchestrated to provide flexibility, with individual assets able to report monitored conditions, generated charging plans, and forecasts to a flexibility engine, which translates flex requests into constraints and adjustments to the plan for availability of flexibility provision to the market, models and calculates costs, risks, and paybacks by applying such constraints to the plan to verify whether it can be allocated and aggregated to a group for dispatch, provides such flexibility to the flex requests, and defines and manages the execution of such flexibility provision across the group, including managing the ordering, delivery, reporting, and allocation of compensation from such execution.

[0044] According to one aspect of the present invention, there is provided a method of management and optimization in an energy network, including software systems and protocols, means of connection and exchange to and between distributed end devices and energy resources, the method comprising: Collecting data and monitoring usage; Processing external data and market indications; Implementing algorithms that analyze and identify characteristics and update energy usage forecasts, the flexibility of said resources can be scheduled, shared or organized to allow for various interventions of individual or collective groups of resources, including tailoring how to achieve specific or long-term reliable performance goals for an individual site, local environment, wider community or country.

[0045] According to one aspect of the present invention, there is provided a system for classifying events or behaviors observed in energy use in an energy system, comprising: receiving at an input a time series of measurements indicative of energy usage or activity of an energy system; and based on the input, 1) A mode of use that depends on the time or occupancy of the energy system, or 2) Identify high-load, long-duration events that indicate specific equipment usage, isolated from measurements; a recurrent neural network tuned to output scalar real-time values ​​representing one or more properties associated with a use mode or event, the properties being one or more of: device or mode type, event or mode start time, time, and expected value of power load duration; and a forecasting engine adapted to calculate a forecast of the load or flexibility of the energy system over a period of time and / or a risk profile of the forecast based at least in part on scalar values.

[0046] This system can be combined with other aspects and embodiments of the invention where predictions of energy usage at end sites are used.

[0047] In one embodiment, the usage modes are seasonal or calendar-related patterns, arrivals, nighttime slowdowns, and holidays.

[0048] In one embodiment, the event represents EV charging, operation of wet goods equipment or thermal or cooling equipment.

[0049] In one embodiment, dedicated neural networks are provided for multiple target devices and / or modes.

[0050] In one embodiment, the primary network comprises: creating, strengthening, and training a network when the pattern measurements are within an output threshold of the primary network; after that, Do a "forward pass" classification through a series of adjacent networks, or Or, dynamically branching out to a further neural network tuned to selectively learn and decide to make "backward pass" updates to the weights in the network when a network match is found.

[0051] According to one aspect of the present invention, there is provided a method for classification of events or actions observed in energy use in an energy system, comprising: receiving at an input of the tuned recurrent neural network a time series of measurements indicative of energy usage or activity of the energy system; and based on the input, 1) A mode of use that depends on the time or occupancy of the energy system, or 2) Identifying high-load, long-duration events that indicate specific equipment usage, isolated from measurements; and outputting a scalar real-time value representing one or more properties associated with the usage mode or event, the properties being one or more of: device or mode type, start time of the event or mode, expected time and power load duration; and a forecasting engine adapted to calculate a forecast of the load or flexibility of the energy system over a period of time and / or a risk profile of the forecast based at least in part on scalar values.

[0052] According to one aspect of the present invention, there is provided a method for recording energy charging events in a mesh chain of a system including a plurality of geographically distributed metered charging points and a plurality of rechargeable batteries with associated logic embedded in the batteries or in mobile devices incorporating the batteries, the method comprising: storing a local ledger in the charging point and / or battery logic; Detecting a charging event associated with a rechargeable battery connected to a charging point for metered charging or discharging; forming a hash value of the event details from a certificate associated with the rechargeable battery and a certificate associated with the charging point; Updating the charge point and / or battery logic ledger with the hash value and timestamp of the event; Includes.

[0053] In one embodiment, the certificate is a shared public and private key between the charge point and the battery.

[0054] In one embodiment, the hash includes a cryptographic hash of the previous event in the ledger, forming a cryptographically linked chain of events at each node.

[0055] In one embodiment, the hash includes a local geolocation reference.

[0056] In one embodiment, the geolocation criteria include measured Wi-Fi signal identifiers, identifiers from cell phone towers, GPS signals or signatures embedded locally in power line transmissions.

[0057] In one embodiment, the rechargeable battery is included in an electric vehicle.

[0058] In one embodiment, the method includes accounting for battery usage or monetization of power received by or delivered by the battery, or asset sharing in a peer-to-peer model.

[0059] In one embodiment, the method includes checking the authenticity of the events by checking the integrity of the chain and / or by checking that the charging events seen in the battery ledger have matching entries in the ledger at the indicated charging point with matching timestamps.

[0060] According to one aspect of the invention, there is provided a system for carrying out the above method, comprising a plurality of charging points or meters and a plurality of electric vehicles arranged to store a local ledger and arranged to form a hash value that is stored in the local ledger upon detection of a charging event.

[0061] According to one aspect of the present invention there is provided a computer program for carrying out the method of any of the preceding descriptions.

[0062] According to different aspects of the present invention, there is provided a method for optimizing behind the meter (BTM) benefits by a management and optimization system, wherein the system processes real-time or periodic data from end devices to manage distributed energy storage resources to inform and manage charging or trading; a method for optimizing "behind the meter" (BTM) and "at the meter" utility supply benefits by a management and optimization system, wherein the system processes real-time or periodic data from end devices to manage distributed energy storage resources to help inform and manage overall energy trading shape and energy supply by managing and adjusting charging; Provided are methods for optimizing a group of "behind the meter" (BTM) and "at the meter" utility supplies with local-to-meter (LTM) benefits, where the system processes real-time or periodic data across multiple end devices within a location and informs a software system to manage the aggregate performance of energy storage resources within local constraints, and a method for optimizing a group of resources across BTM, ATM, LTM, and front-of-meter (FTM) benefits by a management and optimization system, where the system processes real-time or periodic data across multiple end devices to achieve those objectives while calculating or optimizing reserve capacity and participating in other flexibility markets.

[0063] Within embodiments of the management and optimization system, the aforementioned software systems and protocols can utilize mechanisms of exchange based around distributed ledgers, such as blockchain technology, electronic coins, or cryptocurrencies such as energy blockchains based on the EnergyWeb approach (which itself is based on the Ethereum approach). While such approaches negate the need for intermediaries, they typically require significant processing power and unwieldy chains. Therefore, they often require parties to act as trusted validators to confirm transactions or verify "proof of work," or parachain approaches, such as Polkadot variations, that split transactions into groups or subchains. Such an approach may be valuable within the software systems described herein as a mechanism for ensuring reliable access and management over the long term, as it may be valuable for how it enables a consistent, mathematically pure, and sustainable approach to the data to be exchanged, as well as for new forms of protocols that are independent of energy system actors, devices, and languages. However, while such approaches are interesting for creating new models for grid-edge or peer-to-peer markets, other approaches may be useful for creating such local markets.

[0064] Relevant within embodiments and means of exchange of the present invention is the use of such ledger approaches to help manage asset interactions within a close community, building, site, community, or low-voltage network. Within these approaches, a parachain model can be used to counter the energy and data concentration issues of fully decentralized blockchains, allowing parts of the local energy system, such as substations or specialized meters, to be used to verify and validate local transactions. An approach is also to use what are called "mesh chains," where a ledger or blockchain is created with stable nodes, and each time it crosses over or interacts with another ledger, it represents a presumed level of trust with smart meters, charger points, and the like within specific locations and assets, such as electric vehicles, thus creating an audit trail of each transaction measuring energy flow for charging events by chargers, charging / discharging by vehicles, and each transaction creating a shared hash and timestamp that indicates its interaction within the grid. Within such approaches, a "fake" ledger becomes visible due to the absence of significant tagged events at trusted or real nodes and chargers, and the authenticity of the concern can be checked by calling and checking the ledger at specific nodes. Such an approach would allow assets to be traded and serve as an audit trail without attempting to create a digital currency, or use a ledger to inform monetization or rewards for sharing assets or resources eligible in a peer-to-peer model, without the overhead and complexity of a perfect coin system (see, for example, Figure 10B).

[0065] In an exemplary embodiment, various devices in a local environment each have their own chain or ledger of recorded transactions, each recording their respective interactions with another device or chain, such as a charger and an electric vehicle, or a meter recording each interval of consumed or exported electricity. Here, transactions are added to both chains in a transaction chain, creating a message implemented with an appropriate hash function to combine signatures from both parties in the transaction and chain with a timestamp, thereby signing each hash, providing a record of proof that the parties transacted at that time. Here, signatures can be implemented using a private and public key system (e.g., OpenPGP) and a key server sharing the appropriate authority. Here, in a local network, a DNO or DSO may act as an authority with respect to enabling load or generation on its network, acting as a key server and releasing keys for authorized assets or for assets subject to active management controls and rules. Similarly, a smart meter using, for example, an authorized MPAN, may provide the appropriate “location stamp” and key.

[0066] Further examples and embodiments use a distributed ledger approach to create and manage smart contracts between parties or form a shareable coin to mediate how, for example, KWh of solar power, battery capacity, or local flexibility is shared even on a local ledger basis, where the trusted party is an asset such as a meter / charger / network node within a location that is included as a location stamp in the timestamp and hash of the transaction between the parties. Such an approach is particularly advantageous when the asset has a depreciation cost attached to its use, such as a stationary battery resource or electric vehicle, in which case the "coin" can record the depreciation and carbon cost of the asset, as well as the cost and ownership of the energy to the asset, to properly account for the value of the net use, export, or sharing of energy from the resource.

[0067] A further example and embodiment is where transaction records such as ledgers, smart contracts, or coins are used to monetize or recognize value in energy data and forecasts, where the algorithmic calculations and forecasts of energy usage themselves serve to allocate or release value in transactions by counterparties (such as suppliers, or local peer resources that benefit or use, or batteries or flexible assets that receive or provide services).

[0068] In a preferred embodiment of the management and optimization system, the use of such exchange mechanisms, along with standards for data, APIs, and open framework usage, provides a methodology to help manage a set of distributed assets over time. The software system can further assist the method in assisting in the operation and maintenance of end resources by providing a set of tools, dashboards, and monitors to alert operators and assist end users in managing and updating configurations or requesting changes to contract management or system usage over time. Such software systems can also facilitate over-the-air updates via connectivity means and can use AI and machine learning to assist in the management of resources by preemptively identifying potential failures or by using error codes and alerts to configure the system for analysis. Within finite resources, such as batteries with limited cycle life, such mechanisms can also help identify when to replace assets or upgrade opportunities where new or lower-cost batteries can be added to improve performance.

[0069] A further feature of preferred embodiments is where a special purpose vehicle financing vehicle is established to own a set of distributed energy storage assets, EV charging equipment or electric vehicles, wherein said vehicle contracts a management and optimization system to perform specific functions of the asset over a period of time or for the life of the asset, such as managing and optimizing said operation and maintenance tools or services for BTM, ATM, LTM, FTM beneficiaries, or maximizing revenue opportunities and contracted revenue or payments from such parties, such as may occur in an Energy as a Service (EaaS) model or Transportation as a Service (TaaS) model, and the asset is rented or paid for on a per use or as a service basis. Management and optimization systems are particularly advantageous in using data, forecasting, and optimization methods to serve a wide range of beneficiaries, making them more adaptable over time (or portable to other regions), reducing the risk of revenue discrepancies as rules, regulations, or markets change, or as energy network variability increases with the increased adoption of renewable energy generation such as solar and wind, which varies from day to day, and as the adoption of electric vehicles and fast chargers creates increased pressure or congestion of charging events in energy networks and locations.

[0070] The above description of aspects and embodiments of the present innovation is given by way of example only, and by referring immediately to the drawings and figures, it will be understood that the various aspects and embodiments may be modified in accordance with other aspects and embodiments. The scope of the invention should not be limited by the details of the embodiments, and numerous modifications may be made within the scope of the invention, as defined in the appended claims. [Brief explanation of the drawings]

[0071] [Figure 1]Figure 1 is a schematic diagram of a management and optimization system that includes software systems and various data inputs, exchange methods and resources, and a connection layer to resources across end-household sites with diverse assets, multiple home sites, electric vehicle charging sites, central large battery or solar resources, larger buildings and sites, cities, and wider countries on local or wider electrical networks. [Figure 2] Figure 2 shows a schematic diagram of data from third-party or metered resources, or from batteries or smart hubs, being processed by a software system (or brain) along with inputs from the grid, weather, calendar, and settings to help form forecasts, inform flexibility for trading, network or grid balancing opportunities, or drive charging plans for connected assets such as batteries, electric vehicle chargers, or smart hubs that control the resources. [Figure 3] Figure 3 shows a schematic diagram of how the management and optimization system manages flexibility from a larger battery resource or collection of distributed battery resources forming a virtual battery, such as from homes, EV chargers, communication masts, and building demand response assets. [Figure 4] Figure 4 shows a schematic diagram of a management and optimization system that helps control a local network formed from multiple resources, including homes, buildings, EV charger parks, larger battery and solar resources. [Figure 5] Figure 5 shows a schematic diagram of different physical devices or software approaches for measuring, controlling, or throttling the rate of charging of an EV. [Figure 6]Figure 6 shows a schematic diagram of the overall battery operator model through a series of modules that provide management and analytics to client-side devices, partner or utility-side tools and services, and tools to manage collections of resources for local network or grid services to manage assets across a range of beneficiaries: "behind the meter," "at the meter," "local to the meter," and "in front of the meter." [Figure 7] FIG. 7 illustrates a schematic diagram of a special purpose vehicle and exemplary cash flow or contractual relationships between participants. [Figure 8] FIG. 8 illustrates an exemplary optimization approach for varying parameters (battery charge / discharge) based on linear programming between a set of data and variables at the beginning of a period and a forecast set for a further period, shown as a schematic diagram in a flow chart. [Figure 9] FIG. 9 illustrates an exemplary forecasting method within the management and optimization system that uses monitoring data to generate plans through the interaction of a forecasting engine and economic models based on system and tariff selections. [Figure 10] Figure 10A illustrates an indicative recurrent neural network distribution (RNN) to aid in the detection and classification of typical events (modes or prolonged loads) or previously observed sequences of behavior, and then branch or test against adjacent neural networks that represent a distribution of patterns away from the base or typical patterns for said events. Figure 10B shows an example of forming an audit trail and mesh chain across fixed and mobile assets in a community. Figure 10C illustrates hashing as a combination of public and private keys shared between EVs and chargers / meters. DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF THE INVENTION

[0072] DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF THE PREFERRED EMBODIMENTS Preferred embodiments of the present invention will now be described in detail with reference to the accompanying drawings.

[0073] Referring to FIG. 1 , a high-level schematic diagram of a management and optimization system 1 is shown, including software systems 2 and protocols 3, connectivity 4 and exchange 5 means for linking the software systems to and between end devices 6 and resources 7 at various end sites 18 of an energy distribution system 22. The software collects data 8 and monitors end device 6 and resource usage 9, and also processes external data 10, such as market indications 11, weather forecasts 54, and location presence 55. The software runs algorithms 12, such as AI and neural network 30 approaches, that analyze and identify characteristics and / or events 13 from the data 8 and monitored usage 9, and based on this, creates / updates forecasts 14 of energy usage for future periods, and stores learnings 52 and calendar patterns 53 related to insights about energy usage at the end sites. These predictions 14, learnings 52, and calendar patterns 53 are used to tailor how the aforementioned resource flexibility 15 can be scheduled (16), shared (17), or organized to enable various interventions of individual or collective groups of resources 7 to achieve specific or long-term reliable performance goals for individual sites 18, the local environment 19, the wider community 20, or the country 21.

[0074] Flexibility is the ability to store or provide power that can increase or decrease demand, helping energy networks manage variability and fluctuation, and balancing supply and demand on the network. Traditionally, this was done by energy suppliers bringing new generations of resources online to meet increased demand. Now, there is an increasing emphasis on demand-side response, managing the flexibility of how and when resources consume energy to balance the network. As explained in this document, the ability to manage and optimize energy resources and their flexibility at the end site provides far-reaching benefits at all levels of the network and becomes increasingly important as more variable energy supplies, such as wind and solar, are added to the network, or whose mobility and heating charges increase loads on the network that vary by location, time, and season.

[0075] Resource flexibility 15 can be traded through means of exchange 5 such as data, contracts, marketplace platforms, with energy actors 46 such as aggregators, suppliers, local networks, grids, peer-to-peer or communities 47 via contracts 49 and enabling financial payments 48 or other benefits 50 such as carbon offsets.

[0076] Also shown is a distribution system 22, typically consisting of a central grid 23 and central energy generation sources, providing high-voltage power. This is transmitted through network 24 to a medium-voltage network and substations 25. This is then distributed to a low-voltage network 26 and step-down transformers or distribution substations 27 that provide end-customer power. End-customer power can be provided, potentially in a different electrical phase, to end sites 18, typically via metering devices 6, 28, or to unmetered loads such as streetlights and network-connected charging points 29, typically using a virtual metered central management system approach. Shown within the exemplary site 18 are exemplary resources 7 on the distribution network, such as solar 31 and battery resources 32, a cellular network mast with batteries 44, sites and buildings 45 with flexible demand-side resources, as well as an electric vehicle charger cluster 33 formed from individual electric vehicle charger devices 34 (which may also be co-located in a home or street), and an exemplary electric vehicle 35. Similarly, around the exemplary residential site 38 are shown residential solar systems 36 and batteries 37, heavy load / duration equipment 39, and site data / patterns 40, consumer access devices 41 such as internet browsers on smartphones 42 and computers 43.

[0077] In one embodiment of the management and optimization system 1, the method seeks to organize and manage distributed energy resource assets on an individual and collective basis to distribute optimal revenue for such assets and their owners (customers or asset vehicles) by providing flexibility and services across a range of potential beneficiaries from BTM - "Behind the Meter" (typically for end customers or buildings), ATM - "At the Meter" (typically for energy suppliers or energy service companies), LTM - "Local to Meter" (typically for local distribution networks, developers or communities), FTM - "Front of the Meter" (for wider grid actors and system benefits), as an "Energy as a Service" (EaaS) model, or as a Battery Operator "BOP". The aforementioned optimization methods typically involve optimizing a single or cooperative cluster of beneficiaries and managing flexibility by learning energy patterns to maximize daily revenue and, through contracts with specific parties, bring additional benefits by making flexibility available on-demand when certain situations arise, such as local network constraints or high-value opportunities in the power grid.

[0078] Within such an approach, optimization and orchestration methods can seek to manage pure BTM in the interest of the residential / building customer, or can seek to align objectives between the utilities supplying the customer (BTM+ATM), or across local groups of customers as peers (in a peer-to-peer model), or as a group such as residential and EV customers, utility suppliers, and local networks (BTM+ATM+LTM). In such situations, the algorithm needs to consider 1) data and identity characterization and management according to goals such as a) local network limitations that may act as constraints on charging supply or timing and rate, or b) energy export limitations from renewable energy or battery / EV resources; 2) constraint scoring (e.g., risk that the electricity network will not have enough capacity to meet demand); 3) prediction of residential or vehicle shiftable demand or flexibility; and 4) risk scoring of resource flexibility and predictability that is due to, for example, predicted energy demand needs, battery resource size and availability, knowledge of building occupancy or non-occupancy, location of electric vehicles (e.g., if not connected), or cases where an energy supplier is unwilling to provide flexibility if it affects trading positions, or where flexibility is desired due to wider grid issues or contractual opportunities and may be limited by contractual or market constraints.

[0079] According to one embodiment, there is provided a method for optimizing behind-the-meter (BTM) benefits through a management and optimization system, where the system processes real-time or periodic data from end devices to manage distributed energy storage resources and to notify and manage charging or transactions. The method comprises: a) analyzing data sources including i) energy usage, ii) local solar power generation, iii) weather forecast data, iv) calendar information, past performance and learned behavior, v) tariff profile information (e.g., for a day) or rules, vi) customer preferences, etc.; - b) algorithmic approaches to, for example, make data-driven predictions of i) predicted load, ii) solar generation, iii) EV charging usage, iv) battery charging plans, v) risk profiles and flexibility to optimize and inform charging plan adjustments to storage resources (such as batteries or electric vehicles) or inform end users about consumption and choices, or inform and advise energy suppliers on future predictions (e.g. to assist trading) and intervention options (to improve trading); c) decision logic for making adjustments (e.g., to the charging plan) to achieve desired behavior or goals, such as: i) minimizing energy usage from the grid; ii) maximizing self-consumption of solar resources; iii) minimizing price; iv) minimizing CO2; v) optimizing battery performance; vi) managing state of charge and battery performance; vii) achieving charging targets (for electric vehicles or for batteries (backup reserves)); viii) responding to change requests or flexibility opportunities from third parties such as local parties, utility suppliers, networks, grid contracts, etc.; ix) providing capacity in response to flexibility opportunities; - d) For example, battery management, status and performance reporting for the system, customer emails, reports or GUI displays or trading partners.

[0080] Such algorithms may utilize machine learning, pattern recognition and feature and event detection (e.g., of high loads, occupancy events, initiation of charging cycles), training neural networks to aid in pattern recognition or classification of anomalous patterns, use of modeling, convolution and comparison, predictive and probabilistic modeling (e.g., of event detection, solar profiles, energy load profiles on EV charging patterns), or Markov modeling to model probabilistic transitions and paths between likely next states and durations of energy devices in use or transition states in EV charging, feedback networks, predictive learning, linear programming.

[0081] The aforementioned event detection and short-term forecasting can utilize simple multilayer perceptrons or recurrent neural networks, or disaggregation or profile information to detect significant step changes in energy usage, such as detecting the activation of high-load appliances like cookers, air conditioners, or washing machines, and disaggregation and pattern recognition approaches that refer to past profiles and learned behaviors to determine and focus on events that have long-term impacts on the forward profile. This has proven particularly advantageous for informing future predictions of such high-load or standard electric vehicle charging events, as well as increased consumption caused by occupancy (e.g., return to work, time away from work, or overnight slowdowns). Various tools, such as risk profiles, can also inform energy management, with an emphasis on the stability and historical reliability of such predictions, and how predictions are used for trading, battery charging plan adjustments, and wider flexibility availability. Such an approach may also be particularly advantageous in supporting the accuracy of short-term interval or half-hourly settlement approaches when adjusting household loads, for example, via changes in battery charge / discharge patterns or trading position updates, typically reported ahead of time gates.Similarly, such an approach for EV detection and charging profile prediction may be valuable to local network administrators, helping to inform the configuration, throttling, or limiting of other charging requests on the same local network.

[0082] Event detection can utilize various approaches, such as creating and matching equipment signatures by recording significant and large change events over the aggregated active power measurement interval, learning the knowledge base, and storing the signatures in a database; or by removing specific probabilistic signatures from the profile and comparing them with performance or labeling unlearned patterns to inform risk profiles. Particularly relevant for reliable forecasting are events with a high probability of duration, thereby impacting power flow or flexibility availability to a greater extent than short-term events. Risk weights for such probability maps and predicted load variations can be assigned by focusing on selective disaggregation and identification of high- and long-probability duration events within a typical energy load profile, also characterized by a general background of multiple shorter event activity, and improved by machine learning techniques as recurring patterns or cluster correlations of activity.

[0083] In an exemplary embodiment of the management and optimization system described above, the software system enables real-time connection or interval processing of data from end measurement devices and makes the data available for consumer presentation or analysis and processing to define remote control changes or program changes to local control of end resources, for example, to adjust battery management systems or charging plans, either in response to an external request, for example, by an end user, or as an optimization using data, which may be derived from I) local sources such as battery state of charge, energy usage, solar supply, EV demand, or II) such or III) optimization to external signals such as current, short-term, and future forecasts of weather, solar radiation, market pricing, or time-of-use rates; or IV) real-time pricing information from suppliers and, for example, 30-minute time interval price data, price signals, requested adjustments, or opportunities (such as lower costs); or V) recommendations from modeling to show the benefits of alternative tariffs or energy resource opportunities.

[0084] The aforementioned consumer presentations may include selectively displaying on a consumer access device (such as a mobile phone, tablet, home energy display, internet browser, etc.) real-time or interval energy usage data such as building energy usage and energy from the grid, solar generation and usage, battery state of charge, percentage and capacity kWh and energy flow, electric vehicle battery state of charge, and energy flow along with time-based views such as analysis or usage graphs, pricing information and total savings, benefits along with status or selection alerts, future predictions, historical data and current or peer group comparisons, and administrative functions such as data management, WiFi, account information, address, rate information, and customer support areas such as visibility into documentation, product and warranty information, service information, fault / investigation requests, access to pricing plans or flexibility, settings and contract selections, along with updating user data that can be selected or modified by the user.

[0085] The aforementioned external demands may come from stakeholders in the energy system and shape the demand-side response for flexibility, e.g. from energy suppliers for tariff or imbalance incentives, or from local networks for local network constraints, voltage, power or fault issues, or from the grid system as a whole for frequency response, demand increases, demand decreases, capacity or balancing market requirements.

[0086] Such software systems and modeling may utilize decision logic such as binary classification of events and decision trees regarding the probabilistic evolution of events (e.g., energy load or series of consumption behaviors), or neural networks to detect whether usage patterns are within normal limits or represent exceptions or patterns attached to a specific set of events, data, or calendar days, or usage models that schedule and allow recovery time from events or flexible usage.

[0087] The aforementioned optimization and decision logic can also utilize linear programming techniques to focus on optimizing between maximizing various characteristics (e.g., demand, PV supply, grid tariff price, weather) within a specific interval and time unit (TU) of measured or expected characteristics, and establish a typical flowchart of how local optimization can be performed in a predicted time interval by changing the battery charge rate / discharge parameters in a home battery or electric vehicle charging plan (see Figure 8).

[0088] Similarly, a data store or vector can store such forecasts or expected profiles, or general forecast projections from the algorithm, for a series of time periods "program time units" (PTUs), preferably in units of one hour or less, e.g., 15 minutes, for variables including the following over an appropriate time period (e.g., settlement, or future day to 96 PTU intervals; T0 to T1): 96 ) can be optimized as a rolling window over - BL(t){Building_Load:Load_Kw T0-96 ,LineVol T0-96 ,Freq T0-96} - ML1(t){Grid_Metered:Kwh T0-96},ML2 (e.g., secondary / device meter, subtenant) - EV(t){EV_status:Charge_Kw T0-96 ,Capacity_Kwh T0-96}; - PV(t){PV_gen:Kw T0-96 (Kwh T0-96}; - PVT(t){PV_FiT:Settle period ,£ gen / KW ,£ export / Kwh ;£ if_variable T0-96} - OG(t){Other_gen:Kw T0-96 (Kwh T0-96}; - TA(t){Grid_Tariff:Settle period ,£ stand ,£ PAYS ;£p T0-96 (CO2g / kwh T0-96} - BS(t){Battery_Status:Charge_Kw T0-96 ,Capacity_Kwh T0-96 ;CycleCost per / Kw}; - WE(t){Weather_forecast:T T0-96 Humidity T0-96 ,SolarRad T0-96 Cloud T0-96}

[0089] Data storage can also include customer or site rules or preferences, baseline rate plans, calendar records and default modes, occupancy rates, learned or detected behaviors and modes, energy device signatures, lists of known devices and common usage times at the site, and risk profiles. Data storage can also be used to capture market indications or flexibility needs at the local level (e.g., excess / demand from solar / batteries / chargers), utility, network, or system operator level, such as off-peak / peak time designations, restriction periods, e.g., network congestion or constraints, flexibility contract duration or need, DSR turn-up / turn-down, availability, etc.

[0090] Within the management and optimization system, a software system method for optimizing customer benefits behind the meter can include generating plans (such as asset charging / discharging for flexibility) based on sharing current and monitored data with a forecasting engine and economic model, which calculates the impact of example plans according to other data (e.g., battery, PV sizing, selection, tariff) and with reference to a tariff model or memory, and which calculates forward models of consumption and generation for applying such plans along with other factors and data (e.g., weather and other consumption forecasts), stores the forecasts to enable performance monitoring and feedback to the system if measured variables deviate from the forecasts or requests for new forecasts, and manages the storage and deployment of the plans to ensure end assets perform according to the plan's objectives (see, for example, Figure 9).

[0091] According to another embodiment, there is provided a method for optimizing the benefits of "behind the meter" (BTM) and "at the meter" utility supply through a management and optimization system that processes real-time or periodic data from end devices to help inform and manage the overall energy shape of energy trading and supply by managing distributed energy storage resources and managing and coordinating charging. The method comprises: a) monitoring end site, device and resource usage and supply to receive forecast projections regarding usage, risk profile and available flexibility; b) Aggregating site usage and forecasts to understand overall total energy demand and flows; and c) Analyzing how such forecasts affect current trading positions and strategies, for example, with regard to i) energy supply, ii) price or other targets, e.g., carbon or availability for other trading of flexibility, iii) imbalance management, iv) tariffs and customer obligations, vi) intervention options, costs and availability, vii) revenue opportunities from flexibility or market opportunities; d) updating settlement processes and trading models, monitoring and adapting future energy trading purchases based on forecasts or exposures; and e) Modeling and decision logic for making or scheduling adjustments to end sites, such as by making or requesting changes to charging plans, requesting demand side responses (DSRs) or adjustments, making alerts, price or behavior offers, or future customer offers; f) Performance monitoring and reporting, including for example, customer reporting, asset usage, GUI / performance dashboards, tools for traders and operators.

[0092] Among the aforementioned management and optimization methods, the modeling and decision logic may consider considering alternative tariff proposals or offers to end customers that favor the overall trading position, provide mutual benefits, or more accurately reflect supply costs and rates, for example by settling for shorter periods (such as every 30 minutes) than the longer-term average, or by supporting or incentivizing the provision of access to flexibility assets such as Demand Side Response (DSR), storage, or flexible EV charging, or by offering rates that reward or incentivize certain time-of-day characteristics (such as off-peak charging), or by agreeing to increased data access to households, such as EV location (GPS or vehicle sensors), occupancy or other sensors, additional real-time meter data, to improve predictive capabilities.

[0093] Among the management and optimization methods mentioned above, approaches can consider multiple factors when selecting how flexibility and energy supply responsibility across multiple assets (batteries, EVs, thermal storage, DSR, etc.) and a group of sites under management can be deployed across data and forecast accuracy, availability expectations, temperature / season and calendar, customer impact, flexibility risk, depreciation costs, and opportunity costs.

[0094] Among the aforementioned management and optimization methods, an approach may need to consider how participants can improve their overall trading position and disproportionate exposure by mitigating or utilizing rewards from alternative local mechanisms and flexibility such as peer-to-peer, or actually offering and hosting peer-to-peer benefits to end users, and seeking to optimize how they can procure or acquire resources (outside the supplier's responsibility) to benefit the trading position of end customers and suppliers, for example by offering local participants to modify charging plans and trade excess supply or demand at household level.

[0095] As an exemplary embodiment, a group of co-located or cooperating households could choose to form a community for the benefit of peers or shared resources, such as battery, solar, or EV charging, and choose to offset and settle as a group every 30 minutes or at some interval with each other, or with sites (such as larger wind or solar generators) or businesses that already settle every 30 minutes. This has been found to enable some local transactions through virtual metering, allowing for greater virtual pooling of solar and battery resources within the community, even with limited household metering and settlement methods. Such intra-community optimization methods could pursue the sharing of demand, battery, and solar energy data vectors and state across the community and trading through various exchange mechanisms (described above) or platform reserve flexibility and capacity. From an overall supplier perspective, suppliers could settle and offset such local transactions against businesses / larger sites and directly offset individual meter records.

[0096] According to another embodiment, a method is provided for optimizing a group of "behind the meter" (BTM) and "at the meter" utility supply requirements with local-to-meter (LTM) benefits through a management and optimization system, where the system processes real-time or periodic data across multiple end devices within a location to inform a software system to manage the aggregate performance of energy storage resources within local constraints. a) monitoring utilization, capacity provisioning and charging rates of a plurality of end site devices and resources and receiving forecast projections, risk profiles and available flexibility and spare capacity from the end sites and on the local network; b) aggregating site usage and forecasts to understand the expected overall load forecast, demand and flow for a location or across the low voltage network, and to compare or learn local network usage characteristics with unusual, seasonal or calendar adjustments, or peak periods for electric vehicle clustering and charging; c) Analyze how such forecasts may affect local network performance or cause failures in response to network constraints / faults such as voltage rise or fall, power quality issues, heat pump / electric heating demand peaks, different phase issues, breaching limits, or stress on assets from, for example, excess end-site load, excess solar export, high demand due to electric vehicle demand, vehicle-to-grid / power surcharges, network load inequalities creating downstream constraints, stress on substations, or risk of fuse blowout; d) modeling and decision logic for making or scheduling local active management plans, adjustments to central or distributed battery resources and EV charging, solar curtailment, thermal resources, DSR assets, or for coordinating requests for energy and flexibility sharing among local participants or to or between local assets (e.g., distributed or central battery, solar, thermal, charging resources); e) providing for active management controls such as setting EV charging limits or "throttling" rates for EV charging, or contractual controls and reductions in asset export or import rates; f) Performance monitoring and reporting of contractual performance, payment or compensation obligations, use of assets, data in tools and dashboards used by the Operator, and visibility or reporting to end users or stakeholders; g) Managing any impact on payments, fees or cross-charges to participants relating to the use of network chargers or payments for flexibility and capacity or contracts in lieu of capital deferral agreements; Includes.

[0097] In an exemplary embodiment, a management and optimization system provides a method for actively managing and throttling rates of electric vehicle charging at a site or across a low-voltage network, allowing greater flexibility, equality, and access to faster charging rates than would be possible at a site without further upgrades, charges, or inequities, wherein the method includes some of the following: i) actively managing and throttling charging rates; ii) setting rolling forecasts and future charging curves that govern such charging rates; iii) using price signals or incentives to facilitate adjustments to rates or times of charging; iv) curtailing charging or high-rate charging at specific times or events; and v) establishing appropriate charging protocols or automatic response and self-adjustment mechanisms at individual electric vehicle chargers that function collectively to improve the controlled performance of the network. The method typically comprises the following stages: a) monitoring, in real time or at intervals, meter end consumption, energy supply and demand, electric vehicle status and charging rates, charging requirements, forecast projections, risk profiles, and available flexibility from end site resources and the performance of the local network and the entire phase; b) using such measurements and future projections to form aggregate models of load and network performance, analyze problems with overall load and network performance, compare such models with learned behavior or previous patterns, and adjust local, seasonal, calendar, or peak period clustering and charging, and traditional flexibility provided from active management of charging rates; and c) Decision logic for evaluating and scheduling adjustments to modify real-time "throttling" of EV charging rates, or to update forward pricing or charging curves governing current charging rates or new charging requests, or to consider or enhance distributed charging protocols that act to self-adjust and balance the system along with an evaluation of economic models of interventions such as cost, convenience, carbon, network capital deferral, asset stress, and network risk; d) defining and managing the aforementioned active management controls or communications to manage the charging rates of end devices, and auditing end system responses or compliance or managing a central reserve (battery or collection of distributed batteries) as part of the active management response; e) Performance monitoring and reporting of contractual performance, payment or compensation obligations, and sharing of data for tools, dashboards, end users or stakeholders, asset funders; h) Managing any impact on local settlements or charges or payments for flexibility or in lieu of capital deferral agreements; Includes.

[0098] In exemplary preferred embodiments, the aforementioned optimization and management systems can be interfaced to measure or control the battery condition of an electric vehicle through various software or physical device mechanisms, including: i) standards for EVs, chargers, APIs for data exchange, common or device control protocols; ii) electric vehicle operating systems; iii) battery management systems and control or integration into battery cells; iv) EV charging equipment and standards such as SAE CCS, OCPP, CHAdeMO, etc.; v) connection to smart hubs and EV charging equipment; vi) smart meters and signals to connected chargers; vii) retrofit controls such as a connecting plug between the electric vehicle and the charger; and viii) wireless or inductive means of charging the electric vehicle in close proximity to a suitably configured power source.

[0099] Within the aforementioned optimization and management systems, different usage across phases can be considered, measured and predicted, and active management can be factored into devices that can adjust the demand of a particular phase, or help to move demand to another phase and maintain balance via electric vehicle charging points that can optionally select or draw power from various phases as required.

[0100] Among the aforementioned optimization and management systems, the method can actively manage or recommend the addition of additional battery resources on the low-voltage network, either as a central resource or as a collection of distributed resources, to assist in network management and balancing, for example, creating additional capacity in batteries to store excess local solar power during peak solar generation periods, or discharge during peak domestic demand periods, or manage local solar and overnight / off-peak charging to discharge during peak electric vehicle demand periods. In the future, such approaches could also be applied to vehicle-to-grid, vehicle-to-vehicle, or vehicle-to-home applications, and the aforementioned software system could help coordinate the charging and discharging of such electric vehicle chargers to achieve different results.

[0101] Among the aforementioned optimization and management systems, by using a charging protocol based on a TCP-like approach that distributes the decision to change the charging rate based on measurements of local properties such as voltage changes, limits, and frequency, the behavior of charging events can be self-adjusted in a predictable manner by proportionally slowing charging, reducing the charging rate during stress or high load events, or gradually increasing the charging rate during measurements of low load or low stress events.

[0102] Among the aforementioned optimization and management systems, the type of modeling that can be used can be based, for example, on decision trees, pattern recognition of charging behavior and expected duration, patterns learned from networks of events, and characteristics that typically lead to high loads or faults progressing (e.g., sudden times and clustering of charging events at certain points in a day or season / calendar).

[0103] Within the management and optimization system, software systems and protocols can achieve outcomes through consensus or price sharing and establishment among parties as a form of exchange or market, or they can use approaches that achieve an overall optimum for competing objectives, such as finding a Nash equilibrium or maximizing an entropy function. Thus, in the case of network constraints, there is an ultimate limit to the total amount of EV charging (or thermal activity) that can occur at a particular rate and time (maximum power flow), but through such mechanisms, the outcome can favor a shared outcome that balances the objectives of different parties or achieves a proportionally fair outcome. Similarly, if utilities may operate in self-interest (managing charging flexibility relative to their trading positions or exposure to imbalances), the management and optimization system can seek to achieve a group-optimal outcome that favors managing network constraints, resulting in broader benefits from sharing or reducing upgrade costs, while minimizing or compensating for imbalances or changes to each utility's trading impact or inconvenience to end customers regarding access and billing rates. Within forecasts and vectors, certain times favor open trading and billing driven by price signals and fine-tuning, while other times and especially peak seasonal billing can be driven by a proportional fairness approach.

[0104] Within management and optimization systems that can support local peer-to-peer transactions, measuring and forecasting local flexibility can be advantageous to identify local flexibility that may be invisible or unknown to other parties. Price indications and visibility of local charges or constraints can assist in such availability and can help provide additional flexibility that can be adjusted by the system.

[0105] According to another embodiment, a management and optimization system provides a method for optimizing a group of resources across BTM, ATM, LTM and front of meter FTM benefits, where the system processes real-time or periodic data across multiple end devices to achieve these objectives while calculating or optimizing spare capacity to participate in other flexibility markets. The method comprises: a) the above-outlined approach to device monitoring, prediction, and modeling; b) Recognition of contracting opportunities and economic modeling, either on a normal capacity utilization basis or on a future market basis, or for flexibility to market indications and demands; c) decision logic for assessing the benefits of participating and sharing flexibility against other customer, utility and local objectives, as well as costs and impacts, including recovery time; d) Managing the dispatch of individual assets or aggregate groups of assets; e) auditing and performance reporting of the implementation of flexibility requests and managing the flow of benefits to asset owners or compensation or revenue sharing to assets or parties affected by the deployment of flexibility; f) Learning from and optimizing successful flexibility engagements to inform future pricing or participation; Includes.

[0106] Within the management and optimization system, a software system method for providing flexibility is provided, where individual assets can report monitored conditions, generated charging plans, and forecasts to a flexibility engine, which translates flex requests into constraints and adjustments to the plan for availability of flexibility provision to the market, models and calculates costs, risks, and paybacks by applying such constraints to the plan to verify whether it can be allocated and aggregated to a group for dispatch, provides such flexibility to the flex requests, and defines and manages the execution of such flexibility provision across the group, including managing the ordering, delivery, reporting, and allocation of rewards from such execution.

[0107] Within the management and optimization system, the software system may also assist in managing and modeling a bidding engine, which manages a pipeline of potential requests for flexibility from different parties, preferably through a standard approach, API, protocol, and framework such as USEF (Universal Smart Energy Framework), which is a framework for expressing flexibility in universal terms and assisting in matching and scheduling sets of suitable resources that can bid or offer prices and contracts to such a bidding engine, and this may be, for example, a market function for managing local market flexibility such as a DSO (Distributed System Operator), or network markets and platforms, or for peer-to-peer market and trading platforms, or as part of system-wide auctions and contracts managed by a system operator.

[0108] In a management and optimization system, a software system can help manage resources participating in a peer-to-peer or peer-to-community offering of flexibility by helping to match available or aggregate flexibility supply from some participants or central resources with local flexibility requests from other participants or central resources, and help manage such transactions by, for example, providing data on availability, providing forecasts of energy usage, providing a means of exchange for managing such data or transactions, providing control and management of interventions such as rate plan changes, and providing performance monitoring and auditing for replacement and compensation or meter change accounting or other settlement fees. Such systems have proven particularly advantageous even when local flexibility and battery resources are small (e.g., 1-3 kWh), because sharing such resources collectively can reduce the impact of switching entire homes or resource collections off the grid, or overall energy demands that more closely match predicted average profiles and support local and wider grid stability. Pilots of peer-to-peer and peer-to-community exchanges (https: / / localisedenergyeric.wordpress.com) have proven valuable for sharing end-user resources (such as solar and batteries) across different types of customer groups (individuals, social housing, schools, community centres and EV charging points) to coordinate against overall benefits such as lower energy costs, resource sharing, easing network constraints and switching groups off-grid during periods of high prices. Referring now to FIG. 2, this illustrates a specific configuration of system 1 of FIG. 1 used to develop predictions of energy usage at end sites. Accordingly, FIG. 2 illustrates a schematic diagram of management and optimization system 1, in which data from third-party or meter resources 6, or from batteries 7 or smart hubs 56, along with inputs 10 such as weather 54, supplier time-of-use or market prices 11, location / occupancy 55, stored learnings 52, and calendar criteria 53, are received and processed by software system 2 or algorithms 12 to help update predictions 14. These predictions are used to inform trading 15, network or grid balancing opportunities 46, 47, flexibility, or to drive charging plans 114 for connected assets such as batteries 32, 37, electric vehicle chargers 34, or smart hubs 56 controlling the resources.

[0109] Referring now to FIG. 3 , this shows a schematic diagram of how the configuration of the management and optimization system 1 can manage a central battery resource 32 or a virtual battery 51 formed as a collection of resources such as a group of distributed energy storage resources (e.g., batteries 37 and electric vehicle chargers 34 ) associated with a residential home 38 , a cluster of electric vehicle chargers 33 , a cluster of telecom masts with batteries 44 , and a building 45 demand rise and fall resource asset.

[0110] Referring now to Figure 4, this shows a schematic diagram of the configuration of a management and optimization system 1 that assists in the control of a local voltage network 25, where active management of resources can result in savings 57 or deferral of upgrade costs, and local resources such as EV chargers 34, flexible building or site resources 45 can be balanced by managed charging of central resources 31, 32 and community assets (e.g., 38) by algorithms 12 via software system 1 and local data feeds (e.g., 6, 54, 11).

[0111] Thus, for example, a new EV charging park for multiple EVs may be planned on a local branch of the network, but the existing branch lacks capacity, is too far from a substation, or has undersized physical wiring carrying the power, making it unable to provide peak power to EV charging points used simultaneously and at maximum charging rates and / or peak times. This could lead to the local energy distributor denying permission for the new park unless a new substation or new branch to the park is installed, which is typically very expensive. The present system 1 could be used to limit maximum demand on the local network to an acceptable figure by actively managing the charging rate and time, reducing the cost of upgrading branch lines or avoiding the need for EV charging points, or by adjusting how other local resources, such as home batteries, charge or discharge, or by adjusting demand-side response resources to help accommodate larger EV charging loads. Based on cost analysis, battery storage capacity could be installed in the park to enable further flexibility and active management, allowing for trading flexibility or the possibility of combining batteries in nearby locations into a virtual battery. Similar considerations apply to the construction of new towns, the installation of wind farms, and other situations where it is desirable to actively manage around network constraints; providing additional battery or control resources can reduce this cost, while also providing these resources behind the meter or for other benefits to the utility and wider grid.

[0112] 5, which illustrates a schematic diagram of a management and optimization system 1 configured to measure, schedule, and control or "throttle" the rate of EV charging. Various methods 64 can be utilized to control EV charging, such as via cloud and API or common protocols 3, an on-board EV operating system 58 and programs on the vehicle 35, a battery management system 59 and battery system, a smart hub controller 60 configured as a universal communications board for device-level integration and hosting device control protocols for the electric vehicle charger or other storage resource, typically using a D-bus 61 and connectivity to Internet of Things (IoT) clients of the software system 2, software on the electric vehicle charging device 34, smart meter 6 communications, a retrofit connector 63, or a device connecting between the charging device 34 and the electric vehicle plug connector 62.

[0113] Referring now to Figure 6, this shows a schematic diagram of the overall battery operator model 65, in which the management and optimization system 1 manages a set of assets 66 and provides benefits and services 67 across a range of beneficiaries: behind-the-meter (BTM) 68, at-the-meter (ATM) 69, local-to-meter (LTM) 70, and front-of-meter (FTM) 71. This is done through a series of modules that provide tools for managing a collection of resources for client-side device management and analytics 73, partner or utility-side tools and services 74, and local network or grid services 75, which integrate and communicate with end devices 6 and resources 7, 66. These services are typically delivered via a solution-as-a-service (SaaS) approach, including design work, business models and methodologies 72, integration work and use of APIs and protocols 76, software modules and platforms 73, 74, 75, and the provision of contracted services such as sales, setup, installation, operation, and maintenance 77.

[0114] Referring now to Figure 7, this shows a schematic diagram of special purpose vehicles 78, lenders 79 and shareholders 80, solution providers 83, distributed energy assets 66, and energy actors 89, along with example cash flow or contractual relationships between the participants, such as payments 90 to solution providers 83 under loan capital 81, loan and shareholder agreements 82, engineering, performance and construction (EPC) contracts 91, and operations and maintenance (O&M) contracts 91 for sales and contracts 84, such as procurement and installation 85 of batteries 37 and solar systems 36, support for operation and maintenance 86 of the assets over time, and using a management and optimization system 1 to optimize savings from the assets and access revenue streams 94 from other energy actors, such as communities 47, suppliers 47, network operators, aggregators, or grids, via contracts 95 or marketplaces 5. Here, the end customer 38 can, for example, allocate roof space lease and solar feed-in tariff revenues 92 to the SPV 79 at 93 or pay a rental or PAYS (Pay While You Save) fee 92 and enter into contracts 97 with service providers 83 for services (e.g., battery service agreements), payments, revenues from flexibility transactions or rebates 96. The aforementioned management and optimization system also uses software systems 2, protocols and means of exchange 5 to provide benefits over the term of the asset funding or contract, helping to mitigate revenue differences over time as markets, regulations and technologies evolve.

[0115] Referring now to FIG. 8 , this shows a flow diagram of an exemplary linear programming simple charge / discharge optimization of a battery based on a data model of household energy demand 100, solar supply 101, and grid tariff price 102 applied to minimize a property, e.g., cost, at the start of period 98 and after a program term (PTU) at 99.

[0116] Referring now to FIG. 9, this illustrates a schematic diagram of an example of a plan generator 104 method executed by software 2 within the management and optimization system 1 that generates a plan 114 (e.g., for asset flexibility, charging / discharging within a location 113) under various constraints and forecasts 14, 109, and external data, such as weather 54, tariff information 108, and flexibility requests 110. The plan generator method includes sharing monitored data, learned behaviors, and models 107 with a prediction engine 105 and an economic model 106. The economic model calculates the impact of the example plan 114 by considering data 107, such as battery, PV sizing, and selection, with reference to, for example, a tariff model or storage 108 and the forecasts 14. The prediction engine 105 can calculate a forward model of consumption and generation to apply such a plan, for example, along with other factors and data 107, 54. The forecasts 14, 109 are stored to enable performance monitoring 112 and feedback to the system, or to request new forecasts if measured variables deviate from expectations. The method manages the storage 111 and deployment 112 of the plan to ensure that end devices and resources 7 function according to the plan's objectives.

[0117] Referring to FIG. 10A, this illustrates a schematic diagram of an embodiment of a recurrent neural network (RNN) 115 (such as the neural network 30 shown in FIG. 1) to aid in pattern recognition of an input sequence 121 or classification of typical events 13 or sequences of behaviors previously observed from time-series energy measurements or forecasts 122, 14 that impact expected load or flexibility 14, 109 over a period of time. In particular, the neural network can be configured to identify time-dependent or occupancy modes (seasonal or calendar-related patterns, arrivals, overnight slowdowns, holidays) or to help distribute and detect high-load, long-duration events (e.g., EV charging, wet goods equipment, heating or cooling equipment). These identified modes and events have been found to be particularly useful in aiding forecasting and risk profiling of forecasts 14 and informing battery charging and discharging plans.

[0118] In such a scheme, dedicated neural networks (119, 120,...) can be established for each different target device (e.g., electric vehicle) or to represent different modes (holiday, summer daylight, arrival, nighttime). To aid in such classification, an initial feature detection process 123 can be applied to the input sequence 121 before it is passed to the neural network. The dedicated neural networks (119, 120,...) can also help validate the scalar real-time outputs 116, 118 from the other neural networks for key properties that aid in predictions 14, such as device or mode type, start time, duration, and likelihood of power load duration. For example, a dedicated neural network can recognize that a change in load corresponds to the start of an electric vehicle charging event and then use additional learned behaviors or data (e.g., vehicle size and type) to make a prediction about the duration of charging and thus help inform the expected load for the next few hours. This, in turn, aids the utility in the supply and transaction location, or the local network, in future knowledge of the network's load demand. Network and other mechanisms can also be used to assist in the classification of new events (such as new equipment) or unusual load behavior of properties (such as devices or resources that are not responding or exhibiting faults), so that network outputs such as solar failures or lower than expected solar output can assist in local forecasting and planning.

[0119] Similarly, outputs 116, 118 from such neural networks can inform risk profiles and confidence regarding the expected probability of mode or dominant device usage, whether and for how long. The risk profile can score the reliability of the forecast or indicate whether the energy source is not flexible enough to meet demand. Thus, by developing a measure of the reliability of the flexibility forecast, i.e., the probability that the forecast is correct / wrong, network flexibility can be better managed to avoid possible failures and, for example, excessive charging rates. High reliability of future load forecasts can, for example, allow for more flexibility in charging rates, while lower reliability can be used by the network for electric vehicle charging plans, reducing the network's reserve capacity.

[0120] Such neural networks can dynamically branch and create new secondary networks 119, 120 when new patterns are identified or inconsistent with previous learning. Secondary networks can be trained to test data 123 from the primary network or to recognize distinct sets of characteristics once the primary network has identified a mode or event. Alternatively, secondary networks can be trained to create, strengthen, and train networks 117, 124 when pattern measurements fall within the primary network's output threshold 116, and then decide to perform a "forward pass" classification on a series of adjacent networks 119, 120, or selectively learn and perform "backward pass" updates of the network weights 117, 124 when a network match is found. Weights can also be assigned as an array of dimensions related to a particular mode (e.g., season), ensuring that learning reinforces seasonal or mode-related patterns. Thus, as an event or device is recognized, the neural network is strengthened and trained.

[0121] Such branching or divergence of networks can both aid in the detection of modes or primary events and in scoring risk profiles for where current patterns fit within the distribution, aiding in forecasting and decision logic. Thus, adjacent neural networks can represent a distribution of patterns away from a base representing typical patterns of said events, such that the output of the adjacent network represents a probability (e.g., binomial) distribution of the primary network that is accurate in identifying the event or mode. This can aid in how forecasting is used, for example, to determine how well the current situation fits with previous experiences and decisions, or, in broader examples such as automated financial trading, to signal that such rules should not be used when the market is in an unknown or unfamiliar pattern.

[0122] Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) can utilize Elman or Hopfield feedback topologies or deep learning techniques, as well as signal preparation through filtering and signal normalization techniques, such as convolutional neural network approaches for pattern recognition, noise reduction, and automatic decoders. Networks and hidden layers can also utilize additional memory nodes to support, for example, long short-term memory (LSTM) approaches, and can utilize synthetic and random training data, central preprocessing of datasets to aid in network training, or to facilitate the application of networks prepared for general application at end sites where they are deployed for future classification use with secondary learning to allow the network to adapt to local patterns. Such networks can have the advantage of reinforcing current temporal patterns of activity, as in speech recognition, or in supporting the recognition of correlated activities, such as EV charging events that begin in response to the arrival and occupancy of a property, the onset of additional load detection at a residence due to increased lighting or appliance use, or seasonal activity where arrival and heating load events may be correlated. Either in a branched network approach, or when the network has many hidden layers, different nodes can represent and learn such behaviors for modes, equipment, or mode-equipment correlations to further aid in prediction and forecasting, and therefore risk profiling and available flexibility.

[0123] In embodiments, software systems and protocols can utilize mechanisms for exchange based around distributed ledgers, such as blockchain technology, electronic coins, or cryptocurrencies such as energy blockchains based on the EnergyWeb approach (which itself is based on the Ethereum approach). While such approaches negate the need for intermediaries, they typically require significant processing power and unwieldy chains. Therefore, they often require parties to act as trusted validators to confirm transactions or verify "proof of work," or a parachain approach, such as in Polkadot variations, in which transactions are split into groups or subchains. Such an approach may be valuable within the software systems described herein as a mechanism for ensuring reliable access and management over the long term, as it may be valuable for how it enables a consistent, mathematically pure, and sustainable approach to the data to be exchanged, as well as for new forms of protocols that are independent of energy system actors, devices, and languages. However, while such an approach is interesting for creating new models for grid-edge or peer-to-peer markets, other approaches may be useful for creating such local markets.

[0124] Such ledger approaches can be used to manage asset interactions within a close community, building, site, community, or low-voltage network. Among these approaches, a parachain model can be used, where parts of the local energy system, such as substations or specialized meters, can be used to verify and validate local transactions, thereby negating the energy and data concentration issues of fully decentralized blockchains. An approach is also to use what is referred to herein as a "mesh chain," where a ledger or blockchain is created with stable nodes that, each time they crossover or interact with another ledger, represent an assumed level of trust with smart meters, charger points, etc. within a specific location and asset, such as an electric vehicle, thus creating an audit trail of each transaction measuring energy flow for charging events by chargers, charging / discharging by vehicles, and each transaction creating a shared hash and timestamp that indicates its interaction within the grid.

[0125] FIG. 10B shows an example of forming an audit trail or ledger 127 as a “mesh chain” by recording a transaction 133 whenever a crossover 124, 126, or chain link event occurs, here illustrated by EV 35, which “transacts” with charger device 34 at a specific time recorded as timestamp 134 to receive a charging event, illustrated as a set of electric vehicles (EV(i)-EV(n)) and a set of charger devices (Ch(i)-Ch(n)) at different locations, where each electric vehicle ledger (e.g., 127) and each charger (or meter) ledger 128 records a “transaction” 133 whenever the event occurs (134), and forms a hash 131 as a combination of shared public and private keys between EV 35 and charger 34, and at a future event, illustrated as an EV with another charger 132, as shown in FIG. 10C. The aforementioned ledgers 127, 128 can thus form a historical record of transactions with assets in different locations over time to aid, for example, in accounting for the use of an asset (e.g., a battery) or in monetizing power (via a charger) to or from energy stored in the asset.

Claims

1. A software system; Distributed end devices and energy resources at a plurality of remote sites of an energy network, the energy resources including electric vehicle (EV) batteries and / or other energy storage batteries connected to the energy network behind each meter; the software system, the distributed end device, and the energy resource configured to exchange data over a network; The software system comprises: receiving data regarding usage of the distributed end devices and the energy resources based on monitoring of the distributed end devices and the energy resources; receiving external data, including weather forecasts and market energy price indications; running an algorithm that analyzes the usage data and the external data and predicts energy usage and available flexibility; determining a battery charging plan for charging and / or discharging individual or aggregate groups of batteries at the remote site according to the prediction; The decision logic may be configured to: i) minimize energy usage from the grid; ii) maximize self-consumption of solar resources; iii) minimize price; iv) minimize CO2; v) optimize battery performance; vi) manage state of charge and battery performance; vii) achieve charging targets for electric vehicles or backup battery readiness; viii) respond to change requests or flexibility opportunities from third parties such as local parties, utility suppliers, networks, grid contracts, etc., and make adjustments to achieve desired operations or targets; the batteries at the remote sites receive their respective charging plans and implement a charging protocol for controlling charging / discharging rates according to the goals of the respective charging plans; The charging protocol comprises: a) Begin charging or discharging at an initial rate; b) periodically increasing the rate toward a target rate according to the charging plan for the rechargeable battery; c) detecting signs of impending limitation on a local branch of the network and reducing the rate accordingly; and continuing with steps b and c to self-regulate charge or discharge events by charging and / or discharging the battery according to the plan. A system for managing and optimizing energy networks.

2. 2. The system of claim 1, wherein the increments to the rate are additive and the decrements to the rate are multiplicative.

3. 3. The system of claim 1 or claim 2, wherein the indication that a local limit is being reached on the network is determined by monitoring voltage levels or frequency on an electrical distribution network and detecting changes in voltage levels or frequency, the local limit being an upper or lower limit for which the network operates within predetermined acceptable conditions.

4. a battery charging plan for charging and / or discharging batteries at the remote site, the battery charging plan comprising: - Market and tariff indications, weather data, location constraints - measurements of the energy supply local to the battery at the remote site; - energy usage by the battery-powered building or vehicle at the remote site.

5. 1. A method for actively managing and throttling the rate of charging of electric vehicles at a site or across a local low voltage network in accordance with local constraints, comprising: monitoring the electric vehicle (EV) status and battery charge status; forecasting usage of the electric vehicle and forecasting power performance of a network local to the electric vehicle; using the predictions to form an aggregate model of EV usage and network performance across the local network; comparing the aggregate models of EV usage and network performance to identify instances where predicted usage exceeds the local constraints; decision logic that evaluates and schedules real-time adjustments to the EV charging plan to throttle the charging rate to avoid exceeding the local constraints; and notifying a remote EV of the adjusted charging plan.

6. The local constraints are: i) consumer and utility supply constraints on time-shifted energy usage; and ii) one or more local network constraints that govern a set of resources within a local network to avoid constraints imposed by the infrastructure of said local network; The system of claim 5.

7. The system of claim 5 or claim 6, wherein the prediction is based at least in part on tracking the location of an electric vehicle.

8. optimizing behind-the-meter (BTM) benefits through the management and optimization system, wherein the system processes real-time or periodic data from the distributed end devices and the energy resources to optimize the flexibility provided by charging / discharging distributed energy storage resources; a) implementing an algorithmic approach to generate data-driven forecasts of energy usage including one or more of: i) predicted load, ii) solar generation, iii) EV charging usage, iv) battery charging plan, v) risk profile and flexibility; b) using said data-driven predictions to create a charging plan that produces a desired goal for storage resources.

8. The system of claim 1, wherein the goals are one or more of: i) minimizing energy usage from the grid; ii) maximizing self-consumption of solar resources; iii) minimizing price; iv) minimizing CO2; v) optimizing battery performance; vi) managing state of charge and battery performance; vii) achieving charging targets for battery readiness at specific times; viii) responding to change requests from third parties.

9. 1. A method of management and optimization in an energy network, the method comprising: a software system comprising: collecting data regarding and monitoring usage of energy resources at distributed end devices and a plurality of remote sites in an energy network, the energy resources including electric vehicle (EV) batteries and / or other energy storage batteries connected to the energy network behind each meter; processing external data including weather or energy price indications; analyzing the usage data and the external data and running an algorithm to predict energy usage and available flexibility; determining a battery charging plan for charging and / or discharging individual or aggregated groups of batteries at the remote site according to the forecast, wherein the decision logic is configured to: i) minimize energy usage from the grid; ii) maximize self-consumption of solar resources; iii) minimize price; iv) minimize CO2; v) optimize battery performance; vi) manage state of charge and battery performance; vii) achieve charging targets for electric vehicles or for backup battery readiness; viii) respond to change requests or flexibility opportunities from third parties such as local parties, utility suppliers, networks, grid contracts, etc., thereby making adjustments to achieve desired operations or targets; the batteries at the remote sites receive their respective charging plans and implement a charging protocol for controlling charge / discharge rates according to the goals of the respective charging plans; The charging protocol comprises: a) Begin charging or discharging at an initial rate; b) periodically increasing the rate toward a target rate according to the charging plan for the rechargeable battery; c) detecting signs of impending limitation on a local branch of the network and reducing the rate accordingly; and continuing steps b and c to charge and / or discharge the battery according to the plan, thereby self-regulating the charge or discharge event. A method comprising:

10. 10. A computer program product for causing the software system to carry out the method of claim 9.

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