Carbon quota scheduling system and method based on carbon budget

By designing a carbon quota scheduling system based on carbon budgets in large industrial cities, the problem of carbon budget allocation in small-scale regions is solved, the rational allocation of carbon quotas and multi-scale analysis is achieved, and the efficiency and flexibility of carbon emission management are improved.

CN119809180APending Publication Date: 2025-04-11CHINA ENERGY ENG GRP GUANGDONG ELECTRIC POWER DESIGN INST CO LTD
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Patent Information

Application Number
CN202411760692.X
Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Applications(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
Filing Date
2024-12-03
Publication Date
2025-04-11

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

The existing technology is difficult to effectively solve the problem of carbon budget allocation in small and medium-sized areas in large industrial cities, especially when considering the layout of major industrial projects and the multi-scale demand for energy consumption statistics.

Method used

A carbon quota scheduling system based on carbon budget was designed, and through the collaborative work of multiple modules, including data acquisition, calculation and scheduling modules, the estimated new and historical project carbon emissions of each secondary area were calculated, and the carbon budget indicator quota was scheduled.

Benefits of technology

It improves data processing efficiency, enhances the rationality and flexibility of carbon quota allocation, meets multi-scale carbon quota scheduling analysis, and realizes the reasonable allocation of carbon budget quotas and scientific management of limited carbon emission budgets.

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Abstract

The invention relates to the technical field of carbon emission management, and discloses a carbon quota scheduling system and method based on carbon budget. A first data acquisition module, a first calculation module, a second data acquisition module, a second calculation module, a total carbon amount calculation module, a third data acquisition module, a comparison module, a first scheduling module, a second scheduling module and a third scheduling module are arranged. Calculating predicted new project carbon emissions and predicted historical project carbon emissions of the second-level regions in the preset year, and further calculating the total carbon budget demand of each first-level region in the preset year; and comparing the carbon budget index quota and the total carbon budget demand amount of each first-level region in the preset year, respectively calculating the carbon emission reduction quota and the carbon emission quota according to different comparison results, and carrying out carbon quota scheduling on each second-level region based on a preset carbon scheduling scheme, the carbon emission reduction quota and the carbon emission quota. According to the method, the data processing efficiency can be improved, and the rationality, comprehensiveness and flexibility of carbon quota distribution are improved.
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Description

Technical Field

[0001] The present invention relates to the technical field of carbon emission management, and in particular to a carbon quota scheduling system and method based on carbon budget. Background Art

[0002] At present, the research on carbon budget allocation methods mainly focuses on large-scale scope and the universal research of methodology. The formulation of carbon budget allocation methods for small-scale regions with outstanding characteristics (such as cities, districts and counties) lacks practicality. However, large industrial cities that are now in a rapid development stage have a significant trend of heavy industry, and there are many new and expanded high-energy consumption and high-emission projects. Relying on major projects to develop upstream and downstream industrial chains will greatly increase energy consumption demand, thereby bringing about large-scale incremental carbon emissions. If the carbon budget allocation model is constructed only based on indicators such as social economy and historical emission levels, it is impossible to consider the impact of the layout of major industrial projects, and it does not meet the characteristics that the growth of carbon emissions in large industrial cities is dominated by large industrial projects. On the other hand, the current statistical methods for energy consumption at the county level are of low accuracy, and cannot provide statistical conditions for multi-scale and sub-variety energy consumption data, and there is a lack of unified standards for carbon emission accounting methods at the county level. Summary of the invention

[0003] The present invention provides a carbon quota scheduling system and method based on carbon budget, which can improve the efficiency of data processing, improve the rationality and flexibility of carbon quota allocation, and meet the multi-scale carbon quota scheduling analysis.

[0004] In order to solve the above technical problems, the present invention provides a carbon quota scheduling system based on carbon budget, including: a first data acquisition module, a first calculation module, a second data acquisition module, a second calculation module, a carbon total amount calculation module, a third data acquisition module, a comparison module, a first scheduling module, a second scheduling module and a third scheduling module;

[0005] The first data acquisition module is used to acquire project data of a number of newly added carbon-related projects in each secondary region in a preset year;

[0006] The first calculation module is used to calculate the estimated carbon emissions of new projects in each secondary region in a preset year based on the project data of each new carbon-related project;

[0007] The second data acquisition module is used to acquire historical carbon emission data of several existing carbon-related projects in each secondary region;

[0008] The second calculation module is used to calculate the estimated historical project carbon emissions of each secondary region in a preset year based on the historical carbon emission data of existing carbon-related projects;

[0009] The carbon total amount calculation module is used to calculate the total carbon budget demand of each primary region in a preset year based on the estimated carbon emissions of new projects and the estimated carbon emissions of historical projects in each secondary region in a preset year; wherein the secondary region is subordinate to the primary region;

[0010] The third data acquisition module is used to obtain the carbon budget indicator quota of each first-level region in a preset year in the preset carbon scheduling plan;

[0011] The comparison module is used to compare the carbon budget quota of each first-level region in a preset year with the total carbon budget demand;

[0012] The first scheduling module is used to schedule carbon quotas for each secondary area belonging to the first-level area based on the preset carbon scheduling plan when the carbon budget indicator amount of the first-level area in a preset year is equal to the total carbon budget demand;

[0013] The second scheduling module is used to calculate the carbon emission reduction quota for each secondary area affiliated to the first-level area when the carbon budget indicator quota of the first-level area in a preset year is less than the total carbon budget demand, and to perform carbon quota scheduling for each secondary area affiliated to the first-level area based on the preset carbon scheduling plan and the carbon emission reduction quota of each secondary area;

[0014] The third scheduling module is used to calculate the carbon emission quota for each secondary area belonging to the first-level area when the carbon budget indicator amount of the first-level area in a preset year is greater than the total carbon budget demand, and to schedule carbon quotas for each secondary area belonging to the first-level area based on the preset carbon scheduling plan and the carbon emission quotas of each secondary area.

[0015] Furthermore, the first calculation module includes: a production demand acquisition unit, a prediction unit and a first emission amount summary unit;

[0016] The production demand acquisition unit is used to acquire the estimated production demand of each newly added carbon-related project from the project data of each newly added carbon-related project;

[0017] The prediction unit is used to predict the expected carbon emission demand of each newly added carbon-related project based on the estimated production demand of each newly added carbon-related project;

[0018] The first emission aggregation unit is used to aggregate the estimated carbon emission requirements of each newly added carbon-related project in the secondary area to generate the estimated carbon emissions of the newly added projects in the secondary area.

[0019] Furthermore, the first calculation module includes: a production demand acquisition unit, a prediction unit and a first emission amount summary unit;

[0020] The production demand acquisition unit is used to acquire the estimated production demand of each newly added carbon-related project from the project data of each newly added carbon-related project;

[0021] The prediction unit is used to predict the expected carbon emission demand of each newly added carbon-related project based on the estimated production demand of each newly added carbon-related project;

[0022] The first emission aggregation unit is used to aggregate the estimated carbon emission requirements of each newly added carbon-related project in the secondary area to generate the estimated carbon emissions of the newly added projects in the secondary area.

[0023] Furthermore, the prediction unit includes: a demand consumption acquisition subunit, a factor acquisition subunit and a calculation subunit;

[0024] The demand consumption acquisition subunit is used to acquire the required energy type and the demand consumption of each required energy type of each newly added carbon-related project based on the estimated production demand of each newly added carbon-related project;

[0025] The factor acquisition subunit is used to obtain the carbon dioxide emission factor of each required energy type;

[0026] The calculation subunit is used to calculate the expected carbon emission demand of each newly added carbon-related project based on the demand consumption of each required energy type and the carbon dioxide emission factor, specifically:

[0027] f ni =AD coal ×EF coal +AD oil ×EF oil +AD gas ×EF gas +AD ele ×EF ele

[0028] In the formula, f ni AD is the estimated carbon emission demand of the nth newly added carbon-related project in secondary region i; coal The demand and consumption of coal; EF coal is the carbon dioxide emission factor of coal; AD oil EF is the demand and consumption of oil; oil is the carbon dioxide emission factor for oil; AD gas is the demand and consumption of natural gas; EF gas is the carbon dioxide emission factor of natural gas; AD ele EF is the demand and consumption of electricity; ele is the carbon dioxide emission factor for electricity consumption.

[0029] Furthermore, the second calculation module includes: a first emission parameter acquisition unit, a first emission calculation unit, a second emission parameter acquisition unit, a second emission calculation unit and a second emission summary unit;

[0030] The first emission parameter acquisition unit is used to obtain the annual change rate of carbon emission intensity from the historical carbon emission data of existing carbon-related projects, and to obtain the carbon emission intensity per unit of GDP and the added value of industrial input of each existing carbon-related industry;

[0031] The first emission calculation unit is used to calculate the first estimated emission of each existing carbon-related industry in a preset year based on the annual change rate of carbon emission intensity, the carbon emission intensity per unit of GDP and the added value of industrial input, specifically:

[0032] M i ′ j =c j ×(1-θ1) n ×A ′ ij

[0033] Where M i ′ j is the first estimated emission of the jth industry in the secondary region i in the preset year; c j is the carbon emission intensity per unit of GDP of the jth industry; θ1 is the annual change rate of carbon emission intensity; A ′ ij is the added value of industrial input of the jth industry in the secondary region i in the preset year; n is the difference between the preset year and the current year;

[0034] The second emission parameter acquisition unit is used to obtain the annual change rate of per capita carbon emissions from the historical carbon emission data of existing carbon-related projects, and to obtain the per capita carbon emission intensity and number of permanent residents of various types;

[0035] The second emission calculation unit is used to calculate the second estimated emission of each type of permanent population in a preset year based on the annual change rate of per capita carbon emissions, the per capita carbon emission intensity and the number of permanent residents, specifically:

[0036] M i ′ k =c k ×(1-θ2) n ×P i ′ k

[0037] Where M i ′k is the first estimated emission of the kth type of permanent population in the secondary area i in the preset year; c k is the per capita carbon emission intensity of the k-th type of permanent population; θ2 is the annual change rate of per capita carbon emission; A ′ ij is the number of permanent residents of the kth category of permanent residents in the secondary region i in the preset year; n is the number of years between the preset year and the current year;

[0038] The second emission summary unit is used to add the first estimated emission and the second estimated emission of each secondary area in a preset year to obtain the estimated historical project carbon emissions of each secondary area in the preset year.

[0039] Furthermore, the carbon total amount calculation module includes: a carbon budget demand total amount calculation unit and a carbon budget demand total amount summary unit;

[0040] The carbon budget demand total amount calculation unit is used to respectively add the estimated carbon emissions of new projects and the estimated carbon emissions of historical projects in each secondary region in a preset year to calculate the carbon budget demand of each secondary region in the preset year;

[0041] The carbon budget demand total amount aggregation unit is used to add and aggregate the carbon emission demands of each secondary region belonging to the same primary region in a preset year to generate the carbon budget demand total amount of each primary region in the preset year.

[0042] Furthermore, the second scheduling module includes: a first difference calculation unit, a carbon emission reduction parameter acquisition unit and a carbon emission reduction quota calculation unit;

[0043] The first difference calculation unit is used for, when the carbon budget indicator quota of the first-level region in a preset year is less than the total carbon budget demand, subtracting the carbon budget indicator quota from the total carbon budget demand of the first-level region in the preset year to obtain a first difference;

[0044] The carbon emission reduction parameter acquisition unit is used to obtain the per capita GDP and per capita carbon emissions of each secondary region belonging to the primary region;

[0045] The carbon emission reduction quota calculation unit is used to calculate the carbon emission reduction quota of each secondary region based on the first difference, the per capita GDP and the per capita carbon emissions, specifically:

[0046]

[0047] In the formula, ΔR i is the carbon emission reduction quota of secondary region i; A i is the gross domestic product of secondary region i; X i is the per capita carbon emission of secondary region i; R1 is the first difference.

[0048] Furthermore, the third scheduling module includes: a second difference calculation unit, a carbon emission quota parameter acquisition unit and a carbon emission quota calculation unit;

[0049] The second difference calculation unit is used to obtain a second difference by subtracting the total carbon budget demand from the carbon budget indicator amount of the first-level region in the preset year when the carbon budget indicator amount of the first-level region in the preset year is greater than the total carbon budget demand;

[0050] The carbon emission quota parameter acquisition unit is used to obtain the per capita GDP and the number of permanent residents of each secondary area belonging to the primary area;

[0051] The carbon emission quota calculation unit is used to calculate the carbon emission quota of each secondary region based on the second difference, the per capita GDP and the number of permanent residents, specifically:

[0052]

[0053] In the formula, ΔR i ′ is the carbon emission quota of secondary region i; E i is the per capita GDP of secondary region i; P i is the permanent population of secondary region i; R2 is the second difference.

[0054] Furthermore, the third data acquisition module includes: a carbon budget indicator quota parameter acquisition unit and a carbon budget indicator quota calculation unit;

[0055] The carbon budget indicator quota parameter acquisition unit is used to obtain the carbon budget indicator quota of each secondary region in a preset year in a preset carbon scheduling plan;

[0056] The carbon budget indicator quota calculation unit is used to aggregate the carbon budget indicator quotas of each secondary region belonging to the same primary region in a preset year to generate the carbon budget indicator quota of each primary region in the preset year.

[0057] Furthermore, the preset carbon scheduling plan also includes the carbon emission intensity index of each secondary area in the preset year.

[0058] Accordingly, the present invention provides a carbon quota scheduling method based on a carbon budget, comprising: obtaining project data of a number of newly added carbon-related projects in each secondary region in a preset year;

[0059] Based on the project data of each newly added carbon-related project, calculate the expected carbon emissions of each secondary region in the preset year;

[0060] Obtain historical carbon emission data of several existing carbon-related projects in each secondary region;

[0061] Based on the historical carbon emission data of existing carbon-related projects, calculate the estimated historical project carbon emissions of each secondary region in the preset year;

[0062] Calculate the total carbon budget demand of each primary region in the preset year based on the estimated carbon emissions of new projects and the estimated carbon emissions of historical projects in each secondary region in the preset year; wherein the secondary region is subordinate to the primary region;

[0063] Obtain the carbon budget quota of each first-level region in the preset year in the preset carbon scheduling plan;

[0064] Compare the carbon budget quota of each first-level region in the preset year with the total carbon budget demand;

[0065] When the carbon budget indicator amount of the first-level region in a preset year is equal to the total carbon budget demand, carbon quota scheduling is performed on each second-level region belonging to the first-level region based on the preset carbon scheduling plan;

[0066] When the carbon budget indicator quota of the first-level region in the preset year is less than the total carbon budget demand, the carbon emission reduction quota of each second-level region affiliated to the first-level region is calculated, and the carbon quota of each second-level region affiliated to the first-level region is scheduled based on the preset carbon scheduling plan and the carbon emission reduction quota of each second-level region;

[0067] When the carbon budget indicator amount of a first-level region in a preset year is greater than the total carbon budget demand, the carbon emission quota is calculated for each second-level region belonging to the first-level region, and carbon quota scheduling is performed on each second-level region belonging to the first-level region based on the preset carbon scheduling plan and the carbon emission quota of each second-level region.

[0068] The present invention provides a carbon quota scheduling system and method based on carbon budget, by setting a first data acquisition module, a first calculation module, a second data acquisition module, a second calculation module, a carbon total amount calculation module, a third data acquisition module, a comparison module, a first scheduling module, a second scheduling module and a third scheduling module, according to the project data of the newly added carbon-related project, the carbon emissions of the secondary region in the preset year are calculated; according to the historical carbon emission data of the existing carbon-related project, the carbon emissions of the secondary region in the preset year are calculated; based on the carbon emissions of the newly added projects and the carbon emissions of the historical projects in each secondary region in the preset year, the total carbon budget demand of each primary region in the preset year is calculated; the carbon budget indicator quota of each primary region in the preset year is compared with the total carbon budget demand, and the carbon reduction quota and the carbon emission quota are calculated according to different comparison results, and the carbon quota scheduling of each secondary region is performed based on the preset carbon scheduling scheme, the carbon reduction quota and the carbon emission quota. The present invention can improve the efficiency of data processing, improve the rationality and flexibility of carbon quota allocation, and meet the multi-scale carbon quota scheduling analysis. BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS

[0069] Figure 1 A structural schematic diagram of an embodiment of a carbon quota scheduling system based on a carbon budget provided by the present invention;

[0070] Figure 2 A flow chart of an embodiment of a carbon quota scheduling method based on a carbon budget provided by the present invention;

[0071] Figure 3 A schematic diagram of a method for calculating the estimated carbon emissions of historical projects provided by the present invention;

[0072] Figure 4 A flow chart of another embodiment of a carbon quota scheduling method based on a carbon budget provided by the present invention;

[0073] Figure 5 A schematic flow chart of another embodiment of the carbon quota scheduling method based on carbon budget provided by the present invention. DETAILED DESCRIPTION

[0074] The following will be combined with the drawings in the embodiments of the present invention to clearly and completely describe the technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention. Obviously, the described embodiments are only part of the embodiments of the present invention, not all of the embodiments. Based on the embodiments of the present invention, all other embodiments obtained by ordinary technicians in this field without creative work are within the scope of protection of the present invention.

[0075] The flowcharts shown in the accompanying drawings are only examples and do not necessarily include all the contents and operations / steps, nor must they be executed in the order described. For example, some operations / steps may also be decomposed, combined or partially merged, so the actual execution order may change according to actual conditions.

[0076] Some embodiments of the present invention are described in detail below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings. In the absence of conflict, the following embodiments and features in the embodiments can be combined with each other.

[0077] like Figure 1 , which is a structural schematic diagram of an embodiment of a carbon quota scheduling system based on a carbon budget provided by the present invention, the system includes a first data acquisition module 1001, a first calculation module 1002, a second data acquisition module 1003, a second calculation module 1004, a carbon total amount calculation module 1005, a third data acquisition module 1006, a comparison module 1007, a first scheduling module 1008, a second scheduling module 1009 and a third scheduling module 1010;

[0078] The first data acquisition module 1001 is used to acquire project data of a number of newly added carbon-related projects in each secondary region in a preset year;

[0079] The first calculation module 1002 is used to calculate the estimated carbon emissions of new projects in each secondary region in a preset year based on the project data of each new carbon-related project;

[0080] The second data acquisition module 1003 is used to acquire historical carbon emission data of several existing carbon-related projects in each secondary region;

[0081] The second calculation module 1004 is used to calculate the estimated historical project carbon emissions of each secondary region in a preset year based on the historical carbon emission data of existing carbon-related projects;

[0082] The carbon total amount calculation module 1005 is used to calculate the total carbon budget demand of each primary region in a preset year based on the estimated carbon emissions of new projects and the estimated carbon emissions of historical projects in each secondary region in a preset year; wherein the secondary region is subordinate to the primary region;

[0083] The third data acquisition module 1006 is used to obtain the carbon budget indicator quota of each first-level region in a preset year in the preset carbon scheduling plan;

[0084] The comparison module 1007 is used to compare the carbon budget quota of each first-level region in a preset year with the total carbon budget demand;

[0085] The first scheduling module 1008 is used to schedule carbon quotas for each secondary region belonging to the first-level region based on the preset carbon scheduling scheme when the carbon budget indicator amount of the first-level region in a preset year is equal to the total carbon budget demand;

[0086] The second scheduling module 1009 is used to calculate the carbon emission reduction quota for each secondary area affiliated to the first-level area when the carbon budget indicator quota of the first-level area in the preset year is less than the total carbon budget demand, and to perform carbon quota scheduling for each secondary area affiliated to the first-level area based on the preset carbon scheduling plan and the carbon emission reduction quota of each secondary area;

[0087] The third scheduling module 1010 is used to calculate the carbon emission quota for each secondary area belonging to the first-level area when the carbon budget indicator quota of the first-level area in a preset year is greater than the total carbon budget demand, and to schedule carbon quotas for each secondary area belonging to the first-level area based on the preset carbon scheduling plan and the carbon emission quotas of each secondary area.

[0088] Further, in an embodiment of the present invention, the first calculation module includes: a production demand acquisition unit, a prediction unit and a first emission amount summary unit;

[0089] The production demand acquisition unit is used to acquire the estimated production demand of each newly added carbon-related project from the project data of each newly added carbon-related project;

[0090] The prediction unit is used to predict the expected carbon emission demand of each newly added carbon-related project based on the estimated production demand of each newly added carbon-related project;

[0091] The first emission aggregation unit is used to aggregate the estimated carbon emission requirements of each newly added carbon-related project in the secondary area to generate the estimated carbon emissions of the newly added projects in the secondary area.

[0092] Further, in an embodiment of the present invention, the prediction unit includes: a demand consumption acquisition subunit, a factor acquisition subunit and a calculation subunit;

[0093] The demand consumption acquisition subunit is used to acquire the required energy type and the demand consumption of each required energy type of each newly added carbon-related project based on the estimated production demand of each newly added carbon-related project;

[0094] The factor acquisition subunit is used to obtain the carbon dioxide emission factor of each required energy type;

[0095] The calculation subunit is used to calculate the expected carbon emission demand of each newly added carbon-related project based on the demand consumption of each required energy type and the carbon dioxide emission factor, specifically:

[0096] fni =AD coal ×EF coal +AD oil ×EF oil +AD gas ×EF gas +AD ele ×EF ele

[0097] In the formula, f ni AD is the estimated carbon emission demand of the nth newly added carbon-related project in secondary region i; coal The demand and consumption of coal; EF coal is the carbon dioxide emission factor of coal; AD oil EF is the demand and consumption of oil; oil is the carbon dioxide emission factor for oil; AD gas is the demand and consumption of natural gas; EF gas is the carbon dioxide emission factor of natural gas; AD ele The demand consumption of electricity; EF ele is the carbon dioxide emission factor for electricity consumption.

[0098] Further, in an embodiment of the present invention, the second calculation module includes: a first emission parameter acquisition unit, a first emission calculation unit, a second emission parameter acquisition unit, a second emission calculation unit, and a second emission summary unit;

[0099] The first emission parameter acquisition unit is used to obtain the annual change rate of carbon emission intensity from the historical carbon emission data of existing carbon-related projects, and to obtain the carbon emission intensity per unit of GDP and the added value of industrial input of each existing carbon-related industry;

[0100] The first emission calculation unit is used to calculate the first estimated emission of each existing carbon-related industry in a preset year based on the annual change rate of carbon emission intensity, the carbon emission intensity per unit of GDP and the added value of industrial input, specifically:

[0101] M i ′ j =c j ×(1-θ1) n ×A ′ ij

[0102] Where M i ′ j is the first estimated emission of the jth industry in the secondary region i in the preset year; c jis the carbon emission intensity per unit of GDP of the jth industry; θ1 is the annual change rate of carbon emission intensity; A ′ ij is the added value of industrial input of the jth industry in the secondary region i in the preset year; n is the difference between the preset year and the current year;

[0103] The second emission parameter acquisition unit is used to obtain the annual change rate of per capita carbon emissions from the historical carbon emission data of existing carbon-related projects, and to obtain the per capita carbon emission intensity and number of permanent residents of various types;

[0104] The second emission calculation unit is used to calculate the second estimated emission of each type of permanent population in a preset year based on the annual change rate of per capita carbon emissions, the per capita carbon emission intensity and the number of permanent residents, specifically:

[0105] M i ′ k =c k ×(1-θ2) n ×P i ′ k

[0106] Where M i ′ k is the first estimated emission of the kth type of permanent population in the secondary area i in the preset year; c k is the per capita carbon emission intensity of the k-th type of permanent population; θ2 is the annual change rate of per capita carbon emission; A ′ ij is the number of permanent residents of the kth category of permanent residents in the secondary region i in the preset year; n is the number of years between the preset year and the current year;

[0107] The second emission summary unit is used to add the first estimated emission and the second estimated emission of each secondary region in a preset year to obtain the estimated historical project carbon emissions of each secondary region in the preset year.

[0108] Further, in an embodiment of the present invention, the carbon total amount calculation module includes: a carbon budget demand total amount calculation unit and a carbon budget demand total amount summary unit;

[0109] The carbon budget demand total amount calculation unit is used to respectively add the estimated carbon emissions of new projects and the estimated carbon emissions of historical projects in each secondary region in a preset year to calculate the carbon budget demand of each secondary region in the preset year;

[0110] The carbon budget demand total amount aggregation unit is used to add and aggregate the carbon emission demands of each secondary region belonging to the same primary region in a preset year to generate the carbon budget demand total amount of each primary region in the preset year.

[0111] Further, in an embodiment of the present invention, the second scheduling module includes: a first difference calculation unit, a carbon emission reduction parameter acquisition unit and a carbon emission reduction quota calculation unit;

[0112] The first difference calculation unit is used for, when the carbon budget indicator quota of the first-level region in a preset year is less than the total carbon budget demand, subtracting the carbon budget indicator quota from the total carbon budget demand of the first-level region in the preset year to obtain a first difference;

[0113] The carbon emission reduction parameter acquisition unit is used to obtain the per capita GDP and per capita carbon emissions of each secondary region belonging to the primary region;

[0114] The carbon emission reduction quota calculation unit is used to calculate the carbon emission reduction quota of each secondary region based on the first difference, the per capita GDP and the per capita carbon emissions, specifically:

[0115]

[0116] In the formula, ΔR i is the carbon emission reduction quota of secondary region i; A i is the gross domestic product of secondary region i; X i is the per capita carbon emission of secondary region i; R1 is the first difference.

[0117] Further, in an embodiment of the present invention, the third scheduling module includes: a second difference calculation unit, a carbon emission quota parameter acquisition unit and a carbon emission quota calculation unit;

[0118] The second difference calculation unit is used to obtain a second difference by subtracting the total carbon budget demand from the carbon budget indicator amount of the first-level region in the preset year when the carbon budget indicator amount of the first-level region in the preset year is greater than the total carbon budget demand;

[0119] The carbon emission quota parameter acquisition unit is used to obtain the per capita GDP and the number of permanent residents of each secondary area belonging to the primary area;

[0120] The carbon emission quota calculation unit is used to calculate the carbon emission quota of each secondary region based on the second difference, the per capita GDP and the number of permanent residents, specifically:

[0121]

[0122] In the formula, ΔR i ′ is the carbon emission quota of secondary region i; E i is the per capita GDP of secondary region i; P i is the permanent population of secondary region i; R2 is the second difference.

[0123] Further, in an embodiment of the present invention, the third data acquisition module includes: a carbon budget indicator quota parameter acquisition unit and a carbon budget indicator quota calculation unit;

[0124] The carbon budget indicator quota parameter acquisition unit is used to obtain the carbon budget indicator quota of each secondary region in a preset year in a preset carbon scheduling plan;

[0125] The carbon budget indicator quota calculation unit is used to aggregate the carbon budget indicator quotas of each secondary region belonging to the same primary region in a preset year to generate the carbon budget indicator quota of each primary region in the preset year.

[0126] Furthermore, in an embodiment of the present invention, the preset carbon scheduling plan also includes a carbon emission intensity index of each secondary region in a preset year.

[0127] In summary, the embodiment of the present invention provides a carbon quota scheduling system based on carbon budget. By setting a first data acquisition module, a first calculation module, a second data acquisition module, a second calculation module, a total carbon amount calculation module, a third data acquisition module, a comparison module, a first scheduling module, a second scheduling module and a third scheduling module, the efficiency of data processing is improved, and the carbon budget quota is reasonably allocated in the secondary area. On the premise of meeting the future economic, social and environmental development constraints, the limited carbon emission budget indicators in the medium and long term can be scientifically managed; by performing type analysis when allocating carbon quotas, multi-scale carbon quota scheduling analysis can be achieved, thereby improving the comprehensiveness of carbon quota allocation.

[0128] like Figure 2 , which is a flow chart of an embodiment of a carbon quota scheduling method based on a carbon budget provided by the present invention, the method includes steps 2001 to 2010, and each step is specifically as follows:

[0129] Step 2001: Obtain project data of a number of newly added carbon-related projects in each secondary region in a preset year.

[0130] The carbon quota scheduling method of the present invention can be applied to large industrial cities. In large industrial cities, the incremental carbon emissions of new major enterprise projects account for a large share of the carbon budget. Therefore, when scheduling carbon quotas in the primary region, it is necessary to independently analyze the incremental carbon budget of the newly added carbon-related projects. The incremental carbon budget of the newly added carbon-related projects is predicted based on the actual planning, construction and commissioning of the newly added carbon-related projects. Therefore, it is necessary to obtain the project data of the newly added carbon-related projects in each secondary region under the primary region.

[0131] Step 2002: Based on the project data of each newly added carbon-related project, calculate the estimated carbon emissions of the newly added projects in each secondary region in a preset year.

[0132] Furthermore, in the embodiment of the present invention, based on the project data of each newly added carbon-related project, the estimated carbon emissions of the newly added projects in each secondary region in the preset year are calculated, specifically:

[0133] Obtaining the estimated production demand of each newly added carbon-related project from the project data of each newly added carbon-related project;

[0134] Based on the estimated production demand of each new carbon-related project, forecast the expected carbon emission demand of each new carbon-related project;

[0135] The estimated carbon emission demands of each newly added carbon-related project in the secondary area are aggregated to generate the estimated carbon emissions of the newly added projects in the secondary area.

[0136] In an embodiment of the present invention, the estimated production demand of each project can be obtained from the project data of the newly added carbon-related projects, and then the expected carbon emission demand of each project can be calculated. By summarizing the expected carbon emission demand of all new projects in the secondary area, the expected carbon emissions of the new projects in the secondary area can be obtained.

[0137] Further, in the embodiment of the present invention, based on the estimated production demand of each newly added carbon-related project, the expected carbon emission demand of each newly added carbon-related project is predicted, specifically:

[0138] Based on the estimated production demand of each newly added carbon-related project, obtain the required energy type of each newly added carbon-related project and the required consumption of each required energy type;

[0139] Obtain the CO2 emission factors for each required energy type;

[0140] Based on the demand consumption of each type of energy and the carbon dioxide emission factor, the estimated carbon emission demand of each new carbon-related project is calculated separately, specifically:

[0141] f ni =AD coal ×EF coal +AD oil ×EF oil +AD gas ×EF gas +AD ele ×EF ele

[0142] In the formula, f ni AD is the estimated carbon emission demand of the nth newly added carbon-related project in secondary region i; coal The demand and consumption of coal; EF coal is the carbon dioxide emission factor of coal; AD oil EF is the demand and consumption of oil;oil is the carbon dioxide emission factor for oil; AD gas is the demand and consumption of natural gas; EF gas is the carbon dioxide emission factor of natural gas; AD ele EF is the demand and consumption of electricity; ele is the carbon dioxide emission factor for electricity consumption.

[0143] In an embodiment of the present invention, the expected carbon emission demand of each newly added carbon-related project can be predicted by energy type (such as coal, oil, natural gas and electricity) based on production scale, industry and reference to similar projects.

[0144] Step 2003: Obtain historical carbon emission data of several existing carbon-related projects in each secondary region.

[0145] In an embodiment of the present invention, the estimated historical project carbon emissions of existing carbon-related projects in each secondary region in a preset year are equivalent to the natural growth carbon emissions of existing carbon-related projects in the preset year, and can be calculated based on the data of existing carbon-related industries and various types of permanent residents in the historical carbon emissions data.

[0146] Step 2004: Based on the historical carbon emission data of existing carbon-related projects, calculate the estimated historical project carbon emissions of each secondary region in a preset year.

[0147] Furthermore, in the embodiment of the present invention, based on the historical carbon emission data of existing carbon-related projects, the estimated historical project carbon emissions of each secondary region in a preset year are calculated, specifically:

[0148] Obtain the annual change rate of carbon emission intensity from the historical carbon emission data of existing carbon-related projects, as well as the carbon emission intensity per unit of GDP and the added value of industrial input of each existing carbon-related industry;

[0149] Based on the annual change rate of carbon emission intensity, the carbon emission intensity per unit of GDP and the added value of industrial input, the first estimated emission of each existing carbon-related industry in the preset year is calculated, specifically:

[0150] M i ′ j =c j ×(1-θ1) n ×A ′ ij

[0151] Where M i ′ j is the first estimated emission of the jth industry in the secondary region i in the preset year; c jis the carbon emission intensity per unit of GDP of the jth industry; θ1 is the annual change rate of carbon emission intensity; A ′ ij is the added value of industrial input of the jth industry in the secondary region i in the preset year; n is the difference between the preset year and the current year;

[0152] Obtain the annual change rate of per capita carbon emissions from the historical carbon emission data of existing carbon-related projects, as well as the per capita carbon emission intensity and number of permanent residents of various types;

[0153] Based on the annual change rate of per capita carbon emissions, the per capita carbon emission intensity and the number of permanent residents, the second estimated emissions of each type of permanent population in the preset year are calculated, specifically:

[0154] M i ′ k =c k ×(1-θ2) n ×P i ′ k

[0155] Where M i ′ k is the first estimated emission of the kth type of permanent population in the secondary area i in the preset year; c k is the per capita carbon emission intensity of the k-th type of permanent population; θ2 is the annual change rate of per capita carbon emission; A ′ ij is the number of permanent residents of the kth category of permanent residents in the secondary region i in the preset year; n is the number of years between the preset year and the current year;

[0156] The first estimated emissions and the second estimated emissions of each secondary region in the preset year are added together to obtain the estimated historical project carbon emissions of each secondary region in the preset year.

[0157] In the embodiment of the present invention, the carbon emission intensity of existing carbon-related industries and various types of permanent residents can be predicted using the average carbon intensity level of each industry or the per capita living consumption level. Figure 3 , is a schematic diagram of the method for calculating the estimated carbon emissions of historical projects provided by the present invention. The estimated carbon emissions of historical projects can be classified into two aspects: industry and life consumption for calculation, wherein the industry includes the primary industry, the secondary industry and the tertiary industry; life consumption includes the urban population and the rural population. The estimated carbon emissions of historical projects can be calculated based on the average carbon intensity value and the characteristic value of the newly added data.

[0158] Step 2005: Calculate the total carbon budget demand of each primary region in a preset year based on the estimated carbon emissions of new projects and the estimated carbon emissions of historical projects in each secondary region in a preset year; wherein the secondary region is subordinate to the primary region.

[0159] Furthermore, in the embodiment of the present invention, based on the estimated carbon emissions of new projects and the estimated carbon emissions of historical projects in each secondary region in the preset year, the total carbon budget demand of each primary region in the preset year is calculated, specifically:

[0160] The carbon budget requirement of each secondary region in the preset year is calculated by adding the estimated carbon emissions of new projects and the estimated carbon emissions of historical projects in each secondary region in the preset year;

[0161] The carbon emission demands of each secondary region belonging to the same primary region in the preset year are added together to generate the total carbon budget demand of each primary region in the preset year.

[0162] In an embodiment of the present invention, after calculating the estimated carbon emissions of new projects and the estimated carbon emissions of historical projects in each secondary region in a preset year, the two are added together to obtain the carbon budget demand of each secondary region in the preset year; then the carbon budget demands of all secondary regions in the primary region in the preset year are added together to obtain the total carbon budget demand of the primary region in the preset year.

[0163] Step 2006: Obtain the carbon budget quota of each first-level region in the preset year in the preset carbon scheduling plan.

[0164] Furthermore, in the embodiment of the present invention, the carbon budget quota of each first-level region in a preset year is obtained in the preset carbon scheduling plan, specifically:

[0165] Obtain the carbon budget quota of each secondary region in the preset year in the preset carbon scheduling plan;

[0166] The carbon budget indicator quotas of the secondary regions belonging to the same primary region in the preset year are aggregated to generate the carbon budget indicator quotas of the primary regions in the preset year.

[0167] In an embodiment of the present invention, after calculating the total carbon budget demand of the first-level region in the preset year, it is necessary to obtain the carbon budget indicator amount of each first-level region in the preset year, and combine the total carbon budget demand and carbon budget indicator amount of the first-level region in the preset year to analyze the carbon quota of each second-level region under the first-level region.

[0168] Step 2007: Compare the carbon budget quota of each first-level region in the preset year with the total carbon budget demand.

[0169] In the embodiment of the present invention, the carbon budget indicator quota of each first-level region in a preset year is compared with the total carbon budget demand, and different carbon quota scheduling can be performed on each second-level region according to different comparison results. Figure 4 , is a flow chart of another embodiment of the carbon quota scheduling method based on carbon budget provided by the present invention. The following is a flow chart of another embodiment of the carbon quota scheduling method based on carbon budget provided by the present invention. Figure 4 Provide explanation.

[0170] Step 2008: When the carbon budget indicator amount of the first-level region in a preset year is equal to the total carbon budget demand, carbon quota scheduling is performed on each second-level region belonging to the first-level region based on the preset carbon scheduling plan.

[0171] In an embodiment of the present invention, when the carbon budget indicator amount of the first-level region in a preset year is consistent with the total carbon budget demand, the carbon emission supply and demand balance is achieved. At this time, the carbon quota of each second-level region under the first-level region can be scheduled according to the preset carbon scheduling plan.

[0172] Step 2009: When the carbon budget indicator quota of the first-level region in the preset year is less than the total carbon budget demand, the carbon emission reduction quota is calculated for each second-level region belonging to the first-level region, and the carbon quota is scheduled for each second-level region belonging to the first-level region based on the preset carbon scheduling plan and the carbon emission reduction quota of each second-level region.

[0173] Further, in the embodiment of the present invention, when the carbon budget indicator quota of the first-level region in a preset year is less than the total carbon budget demand, the carbon emission reduction quota of each second-level region belonging to the first-level region is calculated as follows:

[0174] When the carbon budget quota of the first-level region in a preset year is less than the total carbon budget demand, the total carbon budget demand of the first-level region in the preset year is subtracted from the carbon budget quota to obtain a first difference;

[0175] Obtain the per capita GDP and per capita carbon emissions of each secondary region belonging to the primary region;

[0176] Based on the first difference, the per capita GDP and the per capita carbon emissions, the carbon emission reduction quota of each secondary region is calculated, specifically:

[0177]

[0178] In the formula, ΔR i is the carbon emission reduction quota of secondary region i; A i is the gross domestic product of secondary region i; X i is the per capita carbon emission of secondary region i; R1 is the first difference.

[0179] In an embodiment of the present invention, when the carbon budget indicator quota of the first-level region in a preset year is less than the total carbon budget demand, the first-level region has a carbon budget deficit. At this time, the estimated carbon emissions of projects that have not been approved or put into production can be deducted according to the actual situation of the newly added carbon-related projects. For the budget quota that is still insufficient after the deduction, each second-level region needs to jointly bear the responsibility for carbon emission reduction. Taking into account the factors of balancing the emission reduction capacity and development needs between regions, the current year's per capita GDP and per capita carbon emissions can be used to construct a carbon emission reduction responsibility weight index, and the carbon emission reduction quota can be calculated. Then, based on the carbon emission reduction quota and the preset carbon scheduling plan, the carbon quota scheduling is carried out for each second-level region under the first-level region.

[0180] Step 2010: When the carbon budget indicator quota of the first-level region in a preset year is greater than the total carbon budget demand, the carbon emission quota of each second-level region belonging to the first-level region is calculated, and the carbon quota of each second-level region belonging to the first-level region is scheduled based on the preset carbon scheduling plan and the carbon emission quota of each second-level region.

[0181] Further, in the embodiment of the present invention, when the carbon budget indicator quota of the first-level region in a preset year is greater than the total carbon budget demand, the carbon emission quota of each second-level region belonging to the first-level region is calculated as follows:

[0182] When the carbon budget quota of the first-level region in the preset year is greater than the total carbon budget demand, the carbon budget quota of the first-level region in the preset year is subtracted from the total carbon budget demand to obtain a second difference;

[0183] Obtain the per capita GDP and permanent population of each secondary region belonging to the primary region;

[0184] Based on the second difference, the per capita GDP and the number of permanent residents, the carbon emission quota of each secondary region is calculated as follows:

[0185]

[0186] In the formula, ΔR i ′ is the carbon emission quota of secondary region i; E i is the per capita GDP of secondary region i; P i is the permanent population of secondary region i; R2 is the second difference.

[0187] In the embodiment of the present invention, when the carbon budget indicator quota of the first-level region in the preset year is greater than the total carbon budget demand, that is, the carbon budget is surplus, the increased budget quota is added to each second-level region as additional carbon emissions. Taking into account the social development and equality needs between regions, the current annual GDP and permanent population are used to construct a carbon emission weight index, and the carbon emission quota is calculated. Then, based on the carbon emission quota and the preset carbon scheduling plan, the carbon quota scheduling is performed for each second-level region under the first-level region.

[0188] Furthermore, in an embodiment of the present invention, the preset carbon scheduling plan also includes a carbon emission intensity index of each secondary region in a preset year.

[0189] In the embodiment of the present invention, the carbon quota scheduling for the secondary region based on the preset carbon scheduling scheme can be based on the carbon budget indicator quota and carbon emission intensity indicator of each secondary region in the preset year contained in the preset carbon scheduling scheme. According to the carbon emission intensity indicator of each secondary region in the preset year and the carbon emission intensity of the previous year, the cumulative decrease in carbon intensity (α i ) and the average annual decline rate (δ i ), and then calculate the carbon emission intensity of each year between the current year and the preset year.

[0190] The calculation formula for the cumulative decrease in carbon intensity is:

[0191]

[0192] In the formula, α i is the cumulative decrease in carbon intensity; CI i ′ is the carbon emission intensity index of secondary region i in the preset year; CI i is the carbon emission intensity of secondary region i in the current year.

[0193] The calculation formula for the average annual decline rate is:

[0194]

[0195] In the formula, δ i is the average annual decline rate; CI i ′ is the carbon emission intensity index of secondary region i in the preset year; CI i is the carbon emission intensity of secondary region i in the current year; n is the number of years between the preset year and the current year.

[0196] As an example of an embodiment of the present invention, see Figure 5, is a flow chart of another embodiment of the carbon quota scheduling method based on carbon budget provided by the present invention. Assume that the base year is a year in which the carbon emissions of the entire city and each county are known, the target year is the predicted target year, and the target year differs from the base year by n years. Within the city-level carbon budget space, the carbon emission demand of new carbon-related projects and other carbon emissions within the local scope is predicted from the county level to obtain the total carbon budget demand; the total carbon budget demand is compared with the issued carbon budget indicators, and according to different comparison results, carbon emission reduction responsibilities or carbon emission responsibilities are allocated, and then combined with the issued carbon budget indicators, carbon quota scheduling is carried out for each county.

[0197] In summary, the embodiment of the present invention provides a carbon quota scheduling method based on carbon budget, which calculates the expected carbon emissions of new projects in the secondary area in the preset year according to the project data of the new carbon-related projects; calculates the expected historical carbon emissions of the secondary area in the preset year according to the historical carbon emissions data of the existing carbon-related projects; based on the expected carbon emissions of new projects and the expected historical carbon emissions of each secondary area in the preset year, calculates the total carbon budget demand of each primary area in the preset year; compares the carbon budget indicator quota of each primary area in the preset year with the total carbon budget demand, calculates the carbon reduction quota and the carbon emission quota according to different comparison results, and performs carbon quota scheduling on each secondary area based on the preset carbon scheduling scheme, the carbon reduction quota and the carbon emission quota. The present invention realizes the reasonable allocation of carbon budget quotas in the secondary area, and can scientifically manage the limited carbon emission budget indicators in the medium and long term under the premise of meeting the future economic-social-environmental development constraints; by performing type analysis when allocating carbon quotas, multi-scale carbon quota scheduling analysis can be realized, and the comprehensiveness of carbon quota allocation can be improved.

[0198] The specific embodiments described above further illustrate the purpose, technical solutions and beneficial effects of the present invention. It should be understood that the above description is only a specific embodiment of the present invention and is not intended to limit the scope of protection of the present invention. It is particularly pointed out that for those skilled in the art, any modification, equivalent replacement, improvement, etc. made within the spirit and principle of the present invention should be included in the scope of protection of the present invention.

Claims

1. A carbon quota scheduling system based on carbon budget, characterized in that: include: A first data acquisition module, a first calculation module, a second data acquisition module, a second calculation module, a total carbon amount calculation module, a third data acquisition module, a comparison module, a first scheduling module, a second scheduling module and a third scheduling module; The first data acquisition module is used to acquire project data of a number of newly added carbon-related projects in each secondary region in a preset year; The first calculation module is used to calculate the estimated carbon emissions of new projects in each secondary region in a preset year based on the project data of each new carbon-related project; The second data acquisition module is used to acquire historical carbon emission data of several existing carbon-related projects in each secondary region; The second calculation module is used to calculate the estimated historical project carbon emissions of each secondary region in a preset year based on the historical carbon emission data of existing carbon-related projects; The carbon total amount calculation module is used to calculate the total carbon budget demand of each primary region in a preset year based on the estimated carbon emissions of new projects and the estimated carbon emissions of historical projects in each secondary region in a preset year; wherein the secondary region is subordinate to the primary region; The third data acquisition module is used to obtain the carbon budget indicator quota of each first-level region in a preset year in the preset carbon scheduling plan; The comparison module is used to compare the carbon budget quota of each first-level region in a preset year with the total carbon budget demand; The first scheduling module is used to schedule carbon quotas for each secondary area belonging to the first-level area based on the preset carbon scheduling plan when the carbon budget indicator amount of the first-level area in a preset year is equal to the total carbon budget demand; The second scheduling module is used to calculate the carbon emission reduction quota for each secondary area affiliated to the first-level area when the carbon budget indicator quota of the first-level area in a preset year is less than the total carbon budget demand, and to perform carbon quota scheduling for each secondary area affiliated to the first-level area based on the preset carbon scheduling plan and the carbon emission reduction quota of each secondary area; The third scheduling module is used to calculate the carbon emission quota for each secondary area belonging to the first-level area when the carbon budget indicator amount of the first-level area in a preset year is greater than the total carbon budget demand, and to schedule carbon quotas for each secondary area belonging to the first-level area based on the preset carbon scheduling plan and the carbon emission quotas of each secondary area.

2. The carbon quota scheduling system based on carbon budget according to claim 1 is characterized in that: The first calculation module includes: a production demand acquisition unit, a prediction unit and a first emission amount summary unit; The production demand acquisition unit is used to acquire the estimated production demand of each newly added carbon-related project from the project data of each newly added carbon-related project; The prediction unit is used to predict the expected carbon emission demand of each newly added carbon-related project based on the estimated production demand of each newly added carbon-related project; The first emission aggregation unit is used to aggregate the estimated carbon emission requirements of each newly added carbon-related project in the secondary area to generate the estimated carbon emissions of the newly added projects in the secondary area.

3. The carbon quota scheduling system based on carbon budget according to claim 2 is characterized in that: The prediction unit includes: a demand consumption acquisition subunit, a factor acquisition subunit and a calculation subunit; The demand consumption acquisition subunit is used to acquire the required energy type and the demand consumption of each required energy type of each newly added carbon-related project based on the estimated production demand of each newly added carbon-related project; The factor acquisition subunit is used to obtain the carbon dioxide emission factor of each required energy type; The calculation subunit is used to calculate the expected carbon emission demand of each newly added carbon-related project based on the demand consumption of each required energy type and the carbon dioxide emission factor, specifically: f ni =AD coal ×EF coal +AD oil ×EF oil +AD gas ×EF gas +AD ele ×EF ele In the formula, f ni AD is the estimated carbon emission demand of the nth newly added carbon-related project in secondary region i; coal The demand and consumption of coal; EF coal is the carbon dioxide emission factor of coal; AD oil EF is the demand and consumption of oil; oil is the carbon dioxide emission factor for oil; AD gas is the demand and consumption of natural gas; EF gas is the carbon dioxide emission factor of natural gas; AD ele The demand consumption of electricity; EF ele is the carbon dioxide emission factor for electricity consumption.

4. The carbon quota scheduling system based on carbon budget according to claim 1 is characterized in that: The second calculation module includes: a first emission parameter acquisition unit, a first emission calculation unit, a second emission parameter acquisition unit, a second emission calculation unit, and a second emission summary unit; The first emission parameter acquisition unit is used to obtain the annual change rate of carbon emission intensity from the historical carbon emission data of existing carbon-related projects, and to obtain the carbon emission intensity per unit of GDP and the added value of industrial input of each existing carbon-related industry; The first emission calculation unit is used to calculate the first estimated emission of each existing carbon-related industry in a preset year based on the annual change rate of carbon emission intensity, the carbon emission intensity per unit of GDP and the added value of industrial input, specifically: M i ′ j =c j ×(1-θ1) n ×A ′ ij Where M i ′ j is the first estimated emission of the jth industry in the secondary region i in the preset year; c j is the carbon emission intensity per unit of GDP of the jth industry; θ1 is the annual change rate of carbon emission intensity; A ′ ij is the added value of industrial input of the jth industry in the secondary region i in the preset year; n is the difference between the preset year and the current year; The second emission parameter acquisition unit is used to obtain the annual change rate of per capita carbon emissions from the historical carbon emission data of existing carbon-related projects, and to obtain the per capita carbon emission intensity and number of permanent residents of various types; The second emission calculation unit is used to calculate the second estimated emission of each type of permanent population in a preset year based on the annual change rate of per capita carbon emissions, the per capita carbon emission intensity and the number of permanent residents, specifically: M i ′ k =c k ×(1-θ2) n ×P i ′ k Where M i ′ k is the first estimated emission of the kth type of permanent population in the secondary area i in the preset year; c k is the per capita carbon emission intensity of the k-th type of permanent population; θ2 is the annual change rate of per capita carbon emission; A ′ ij is the number of permanent residents of the kth category of permanent residents in the secondary region i in the preset year; n is the number of years between the preset year and the current year; The second emission summary unit is used to add the first estimated emission and the second estimated emission of each secondary region in a preset year to obtain the estimated historical project carbon emissions of each secondary region in the preset year.

5. The carbon quota scheduling system based on carbon budget according to claim 1 is characterized in that: The carbon total amount calculation module includes: a carbon budget demand total amount calculation unit and a carbon budget demand total amount summary unit; The carbon budget demand total amount calculation unit is used to respectively add the estimated carbon emissions of new projects and the estimated carbon emissions of historical projects in each secondary region in a preset year to calculate the carbon budget demand of each secondary region in the preset year; The carbon budget demand total amount aggregation unit is used to add and aggregate the carbon emission demands of each secondary region belonging to the same primary region in a preset year to generate the carbon budget demand total amount of each primary region in the preset year.

6. The carbon quota scheduling system based on carbon budget according to claim 1 is characterized in that: The second scheduling module includes: a first difference calculation unit, a carbon emission reduction parameter acquisition unit and a carbon emission reduction quota calculation unit; The first difference calculation unit is used for, when the carbon budget indicator quota of the first-level region in a preset year is less than the total carbon budget demand, subtracting the carbon budget indicator quota from the total carbon budget demand of the first-level region in the preset year to obtain a first difference; The carbon emission reduction parameter acquisition unit is used to obtain the per capita GDP and per capita carbon emissions of each secondary region belonging to the primary region; The carbon emission reduction quota calculation unit is used to calculate the carbon emission reduction quota of each secondary region based on the first difference, the per capita GDP and the per capita carbon emissions, specifically: In the formula, ΔR i is the carbon emission reduction quota of secondary region i; A i is the gross domestic product of secondary region i; X i is the per capita carbon emission of secondary region i; R1 is the first difference.

7. The carbon quota scheduling system based on carbon budget according to claim 1 is characterized in that: The third scheduling module includes: a second difference calculation unit, a carbon emission quota parameter acquisition unit and a carbon emission quota calculation unit; The second difference calculation unit is used to obtain a second difference by subtracting the total carbon budget demand from the carbon budget indicator amount of the first-level region in the preset year when the carbon budget indicator amount of the first-level region in the preset year is greater than the total carbon budget demand; The carbon emission quota parameter acquisition unit is used to obtain the per capita GDP and the number of permanent residents of each secondary area belonging to the primary area; The carbon emission quota calculation unit is used to calculate the carbon emission quota of each secondary region based on the second difference, the per capita GDP and the number of permanent residents, specifically: In the formula, ΔR i ′ is the carbon emission quota of secondary region i; E i is the gross domestic product of secondary region i; P i is the permanent population of secondary region i; R2 is the second difference.

8. The carbon quota scheduling system based on carbon budget according to claim 1 is characterized in that: The third data acquisition module includes: a carbon budget indicator quota parameter acquisition unit and a carbon budget indicator quota calculation unit; The carbon budget indicator quota parameter acquisition unit is used to obtain the carbon budget indicator quota of each secondary region in a preset year in a preset carbon scheduling plan; The carbon budget indicator quota calculation unit is used to aggregate the carbon budget indicator quotas of each secondary region belonging to the same primary region in a preset year to generate the carbon budget indicator quota of each primary region in the preset year.

9. The carbon quota scheduling system based on carbon budget according to claim 8, characterized in that: The preset carbon scheduling plan also includes the carbon emission intensity index of each secondary area in the preset year.

10. A carbon quota scheduling method based on carbon budget, characterized in that: include: Obtain project data for a number of newly added carbon-related projects in each secondary region in a preset year; Based on the project data of each newly added carbon-related project, calculate the expected carbon emissions of each secondary region in the preset year; Obtain historical carbon emission data of several existing carbon-related projects in each secondary region; Based on the historical carbon emission data of existing carbon-related projects, calculate the estimated historical project carbon emissions of each secondary region in the preset year; Calculate the total carbon budget demand of each primary region in the preset year based on the estimated carbon emissions of new projects and the estimated carbon emissions of historical projects in each secondary region in the preset year; wherein the secondary region is subordinate to the primary region; Obtain the carbon budget quota of each first-level region in the preset year in the preset carbon scheduling plan; Compare the carbon budget quota of each first-level region in the preset year with the total carbon budget demand; When the carbon budget indicator amount of the first-level region in a preset year is equal to the total carbon budget demand, carbon quota scheduling is performed on each second-level region belonging to the first-level region based on the preset carbon scheduling plan; When the carbon budget indicator quota of the first-level region in the preset year is less than the total carbon budget demand, the carbon emission reduction quota of each second-level region affiliated to the first-level region is calculated, and the carbon quota of each second-level region affiliated to the first-level region is scheduled based on the preset carbon scheduling plan and the carbon emission reduction quota of each second-level region; When the carbon budget indicator amount of a first-level region in a preset year is greater than the total carbon budget demand, the carbon emission quota is calculated for each second-level region belonging to the first-level region, and carbon quota scheduling is performed on each second-level region belonging to the first-level region based on the preset carbon scheduling plan and the carbon emission quota of each second-level region.

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