A method for dynamic prediction and early warning analysis of urban water supply

Abstract

The present invention provides a method for dynamic prediction and early warning analysis of urban water supply, comprising the following steps: Step S1, real-time collection of household water usage data to obtain multiple sets of household water usage data; Step S2, statistics and merging of these sets of household water usage data to generate a primary cycle water usage meter; Step S3, while simultaneously collecting household water usage data, also collects weather conditions within the cycle, and combines the two to generate a complete cycle water usage meter; Step S4, based on the complete cycle water usage meter, analyzes and predicts the key water usage time nodes, water volume, and water pressure of the subsequent centralized water supply cycle, so as to facilitate early monitoring and management of water supply status. This solution ultimately achieves rapid retrieval of abnormal household water supply data by monitoring and recording user water usage records and related information, combined with usage time and cycle, facilitating centralized intelligent management of household water use and achieving remote monitoring and early warning of urban water supply.

Description

Technical Field

[0001] The present invention relates to the technical field of urban water supply, and in particular to a method for dynamic prediction and early warning analysis of urban water supply. Background Art

[0002] In urban life management, dynamic forecasting and early warning of urban water supply are crucial to ensuring the normal operation of cities and the lives of residents. They are an important component of urban water supply management. Through scientific forecasting and timely early warning, we can effectively ensure the security and stability of urban water supply, improve the efficiency of water resource utilization, and provide strong support for the sustainable development of cities.

[0003] The traditional urban water supply forecasting and analysis method includes the following steps: S10: Based on the water supply scale, water supply reservoir, water supply rules, and water diversion rule information of each water supply plant, a supply and demand warning model is constructed between multiple reservoirs and multiple water supply plants; S20: Based on the real-time water storage capacity of each reservoir, the water storage capacity of multiple reservoirs is calculated on a daily basis in combination with the reservoir water inflow, reservoir water diversion, reservoir water abandonment, water plant water supply, and ecological water consumption; S30: Based on the output of the supply and demand warning model, the predicted number of days of water supply for the reservoir / water plant is output, and an early warning is issued; S40: The water storage capacity of the reservoir in the future is output based on the supply and demand warning model.

[0004] Although the above-mentioned urban water supply forecasting and analysis method can monitor and analyze the water supply situation of the reservoir, it is not convenient to record, count and analyze the water usage of actual household users in a timely manner. How to monitor the water usage of household users in real time while supplying water needs further research.

[0005] Therefore, it is necessary to provide a method for dynamic prediction and early warning analysis of urban water supply to solve the above technical problems. Summary of the Invention

[0006] The present invention provides a method for dynamic prediction and early warning analysis of urban water supply, which solves the problem in related technologies of how to monitor the water consumption of household users in real time while supplying water, which needs further research.

[0007] To solve the above technical problems, the present invention provides a method for dynamic prediction and early warning analysis of urban water supply, comprising the following steps:

[0008] S1, collects household water consumption data in real time and obtains multiple sets of household water consumption data;

[0009] S2, collecting data on multiple sets of household water consumption, and merging the data to generate a primary periodic water consumption table;

[0010] S3, while obtaining household water consumption data, also collects weather conditions within the period, and combines the two to generate a complete period water consumption table;

[0011] S4, based on the complete cycle water usage meter, analyzes and predicts the main water use time nodes, water consumption and water pressure of the subsequent centralized water supply cycle, so as to pay attention to and manage the water supply status in advance.

[0012] Preferably, the steps for collecting the household water usage data are as follows:

[0013] S11, collect household water consumption each time through water supply dynamic prediction and early warning system;

[0014] S12, collect the time nodes of each household water use through the clock module;

[0015] S13, collects water pressure of each household using water through the water supply dynamic prediction and early warning system;

[0016] S14, counting the household's water consumption, water consumption time points, and water pressure in a cycle; generating household water consumption data.

[0017] Preferably, when counting multiple groups of household water consumption data in step S2, the water consumption data within the same time node are merged to calculate the total water consumption within the corresponding time node; this is used for analysis and dynamic prediction of water supply and water pressure at different time nodes.

[0018] Preferably, the weather status in step S3 is weather data corresponding to a time node, and the weather data includes data on temperature, air pressure, and humidity; each time node corresponds to different weather data.

[0019] Preferably, when the urban water supply management department supplies water to multiple groups of households, the water supply pressure and water use pressure are monitored in real time to facilitate early warning monitoring of water pressure.

[0020] Preferably, the water consumption and water use time within a time node range are monitored in real time. When the water consumption exceeds the preset water volume or the water use time exceeds the preset time, an abnormal water use warning is issued to the reservoir management department, and the reservoir management department directly communicates with the household user.

[0021] Preferably, when communication cannot be established, the reservoir management department can issue a warning check task through the first-level water supply management department, and the first-level water supply management department will issue the warning check task to the second-level water supply management department, which will directly reach the homes of household users who have received abnormal water use warnings through the second-level water supply management department to notify and check the water use situation.

[0022] Preferably, when there is still no one at home and the communication means cannot be contacted, the secondary water supply management department turns off the household water supply switch that warns of abnormal water use on site, and notifies the household user by text message.

[0023] Preferably, the water supply dynamic prediction and early warning system includes a water use data acquisition module, a data statistics module, a meteorological acquisition module and a data analysis module, wherein the water use data acquisition module is signal-connected to the data statistics module, the meteorological acquisition module is signal-connected to the data statistics module, and the data analysis module is signal-connected to the data statistics module;

[0024] The water consumption data acquisition module is installed on the water supply pipeline of the household user and is used to monitor the water consumption, water pressure and time within a time node;

[0025] The weather collection module is used to collect weather conditions at the same time point when water is used;

[0026] The data statistics module is used to statistically synthesize water consumption, water pressure, time, and weather conditions within the same time node;

[0027] The data analysis module is used to analyze whether the water consumption meter for a complete cycle is within the warning range.

[0028] Preferably, the water consumption data collection modules are provided in multiple groups, and one group of water consumption data collection modules corresponds to the water supply pipeline of a household user.

[0029] Compared with related technologies, the urban water supply dynamic prediction and early warning analysis method provided by the present invention has the following beneficial effects:

[0030] By monitoring and recording users' water usage records and related information, combined with usage time and cycle, we can quickly find abnormal data on household water supply, facilitate centralized and intelligent management of household water use, and realize remote monitoring and early warning of urban water supply. BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS

[0032] In order to more clearly illustrate the embodiments of the present invention or the technical solutions in the prior art, the following briefly introduces the drawings required for use in the embodiments or the description of the prior art. Obviously, the drawings described below are only some embodiments of the present invention. For ordinary technicians in this field, other drawings can be obtained based on the structures shown in these drawings without paying any creative work.

[0033] Figure 1 A system diagram of the urban water supply dynamic prediction and early warning analysis method provided by the present invention;

[0034] Figure 2 The process of collecting household water use data in the urban water supply dynamic prediction and early warning analysis method provided by the present invention;

[0035] Figure 3The process of water supply early warning in the urban water supply dynamic prediction and early warning analysis method provided by the present invention;

[0036] Figure 4 A distribution diagram of water supply hierarchical management in the urban water supply dynamic prediction and early warning analysis method provided by the present invention;

[0037] Figure 5 This is a structural diagram of the water use data acquisition module in the urban water supply dynamic prediction and early warning analysis method provided by the present invention;

[0038] Figure 6 for Figure 5 The cross-sectional view of the AA portion shown;

[0039] Figure 7 for Figure 5 A cross-sectional view of the BB portion shown;

[0040] Figure 8 This is a detection principle diagram of the water use data acquisition module provided by the present invention, wherein: Figure 8 (a) is the front view of the movable tube in the closed state. Figure 8 (b) is a front view of the maintenance opening;

[0041] Figure 9 for Figure 8 The lifting principle diagram of the adjustment cover is shown in the figure. Figure 9 (a) Figure 8 (a) Right view of the test piece in the state, Figure 9 (b) Figure 8 (b) Right view of the test piece in the state.

[0042] Description of Figure Numbers:

[0043] 1. Pipe mechanism; 11. Mounting pipe; 12. Movable pipe; 13. First telescopic member;

[0044] 2. Monitoring tube; 201. Maintenance port;

[0045] 3. Install the cover;

[0046] 4. Regulating tube;

[0047] 5. Adjustment mechanism; 51. Second telescopic member; 52. Adjustment cover;

[0048] 6. Monitoring parts;

[0049] 7. Connecting shaft.

[0050] The purpose, features and advantages of the present invention will be further described with reference to the accompanying drawings and in conjunction with the embodiments. DETAILED DESCRIPTION

[0051] The following will clearly and completely describe the technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention in conjunction with the accompanying drawings. Obviously, the described embodiments are only part of the embodiments of the present invention, not all of the embodiments. All other embodiments obtained by ordinary technicians in this field based on the embodiments of the present invention without making any creative efforts shall fall within the scope of protection of the present invention.

[0052] The present invention provides a method for dynamic prediction and early warning analysis of urban water supply.

[0053] Please refer to Figures 1 to 4 The urban water supply dynamic prediction and early warning analysis method of the present invention comprises the following steps:

[0054] S1, collects household water consumption data in real time and obtains multiple sets of household water consumption data;

[0055] S2, collecting data on multiple sets of household water consumption, and merging the data to generate a primary periodic water consumption table;

[0056] S3, while obtaining household water consumption data, also collects weather conditions within the period, and combines the two to generate a complete period water consumption table;

[0057] S4, based on the complete cycle water usage meter, analyzes and predicts the main water use time nodes, water consumption and water pressure of the subsequent centralized water supply cycle, so as to pay attention to and manage the water supply status in advance.

[0058] In this embodiment, the household water consumption data is connected to the household water supply pipeline through intelligent sensor equipment and intelligent control equipment, and is used for intelligent monitoring and management of the water supply pipeline data.

[0059] Multiple groups of household water usage data are integrated into the water supply management department to facilitate centralized management of water usage data, data monitoring, and dynamic early warning of water usage conditions.

[0060] By monitoring and recording users' water usage records and related information, combined with usage time and cycle, we can quickly find abnormal data on household water supply, facilitate centralized and intelligent management of household water use, and realize remote monitoring and early warning of urban water supply.

[0061] Specifically, the steps for collecting household water usage data are as follows:

[0062] S11, collect household water consumption each time through water supply dynamic prediction and early warning system;

[0063] S12, collect the time nodes of each household water use through the clock module;

[0064] S13, collects water pressure of each household using water through the water supply dynamic prediction and early warning system;

[0065] S14, counting the household's water consumption, water consumption time points, and water pressure in a cycle; generating household water consumption data.

[0066] Conveniently and intelligently monitor household water use, including water consumption, duration, and water supply pressure within a time node, and integrate them into household water use data to provide support for the synthesis of a complete cycle water meter.

[0067] Specifically, when counting multiple sets of household water consumption data in step S2, the water consumption data within the same time node are merged to calculate the total water consumption within the corresponding time node; this is used for analysis and dynamic prediction of water supply and water pressure at different time nodes.

[0068] The total water consumption makes it convenient for the water supply management department to monitor, predict and warn the water consumption within different time nodes, record the total water demand, and divide the water demand into different time nodes to facilitate understanding of the water demand within different time nodes.

[0069] Specifically, the weather status in step S3 is the weather data corresponding to the time node, and the weather data includes data on temperature, air pressure, and humidity; each time node corresponds to different weather data.

[0070] It is convenient to collect weather conditions within different time nodes; and combined with the water pressure and weather conditions within the corresponding time node range, it is convenient to analyze the impact of weather conditions on water pressure, so as to facilitate dynamic prediction and early warning of urban water supply pressure; it is convenient for water supply departments to increase or decrease water supply pressure according to weather conditions.

[0071] Specifically, while the urban water supply management department supplies water to multiple groups of households, it monitors the water supply pressure and water use pressure in real time to facilitate early warning monitoring of water pressure.

[0072] The Urban Water Supply Management Department is used for the output supply management of reservoir water sources and the background monitoring of the water supply management system. While monitoring, it also analyzes and manages water supply demand to achieve stable and safe household water supply and background management and maintenance.

[0073] In this embodiment, for better household water supply management, the management department is divided into a reservoir management department, a primary water supply management department, and a secondary water supply management department. The reservoir management department directly manages the primary water supply management department, and the primary water supply management department directly manages the secondary water supply management department.

[0074] The reservoir management department is the city’s water supply management department, which has direct contact information for all household users in the city. On the one hand, it can directly contact household users through telephone, WeChat, QQ and other communication methods to understand and remind them of abnormal household water use.

[0075] The first-level water supply management is the urban water supply management department, which has the direct contact information and home addresses of all household users in the city; it can directly contact household users through telephone, WeChat, QQ and other communication methods to understand and remind them of abnormal household water use.

[0076] The secondary water supply pipeline department is the rural merchant water supply management department, which has the direct contact information and home addresses of all rural household users. It can directly contact the household users through telephone, WeChat, QQ and other communication methods to understand and remind the household users of abnormal situations; when the communication methods cannot contact the household users, it can directly and quickly check in person whether there is anyone at the household users;

[0077] When there are people, the water use situation is understood through the household users. If the water use is normal, the secondary water supply pipeline unit will feedback the normal water use to the primary water supply management unit, and the primary water supply management unit will feedback the normal water use to the reservoir management unit, eliminating abnormal signals;

[0078] When no one is around, the water supply pipe for the household user is directly closed through the rural water supply valve (a switch installed outdoors for centralized management of the water supply pipe), the abnormal signal is manually eliminated, and the signal is fed back to the secondary water supply pipe section.

[0079] Specifically, the water consumption and water use time within a time node are monitored in real time. When the water consumption or water use time exceeds the preset time, an abnormal water use warning is issued, and the reservoir management department directly communicates with the household users.

[0080] It is convenient to monitor abnormal early warning of household water use. After monitoring the abnormality, the reservoir management department can directly communicate with the household users remotely to notify the abnormal situation and understand the water use situation, avoid abnormal water use and avoid unnecessary water resource loss.

[0081] Specifically, when communication cannot be established, the reservoir management department can issue a warning check task through the first-level water supply management department. The first-level water supply management department will issue the warning check task to the second-level water supply management department, which will directly reach the homes of household users who have received abnormal water use warnings through the second-level water supply management department to notify and check their water use situation.

[0082] The early warning task involves dispatching maintenance personnel to the household to conduct consultations and inspections to check for abnormal water leaks. This prevents prolonged water leaks from occurring without prompt closure and maintenance. This allows the nearest water supply management department to quickly inspect the site of abnormal water use and determine whether water outages are necessary to ensure water source safety.

[0083] Specifically, when there is still no one at home and communication means cannot be used to contact the household user, the secondary water supply management department will turn off the household water supply switch that issues an abnormal water use warning on site and notify the household user via text message.

[0084] When the household water supply switch is cut off to warn of abnormal water use, a text message will be sent to notify the residents of the household so that they can promptly learn about abnormal water supply pipes in their homes and check the cause and treatment of the abnormal water supply in time after returning home.

[0085] If the water supply management department needs to perform repairs, household users can go to the secondary water supply management department for warranty maintenance, and the water supply will be restored after the maintenance is completed.

[0086] If the water supply department does not need to perform maintenance, household users can directly contact the secondary water supply management department to turn on the water supply switch and restore water supply.

[0087] Specifically, the water supply dynamic prediction and early warning system includes a water use data acquisition module, a data statistics module, a meteorological acquisition module and a data analysis module. The water use data acquisition module is signal-connected to the data statistics module, the meteorological acquisition module is signal-connected to the data statistics module, and the data analysis module is signal-connected to the data statistics module.

[0088] The water consumption data acquisition module is installed on the water supply pipeline of the household user and is used to monitor the water consumption, water pressure and time within a time node;

[0089] The weather collection module is used to collect weather conditions at the same time point when water is used;

[0090] The data statistics module is used to statistically synthesize water consumption, water pressure, time, and weather conditions within the same time node;

[0091] The data analysis module is used to analyze whether the water consumption meter for a complete cycle is within the warning range.

[0092] It is convenient to monitor the water consumption of household users' water supply pipelines in real time during the centralized water supply period. When an abnormality occurs, it can automatically identify and warn to determine whether it is water consumption abnormality.

[0093] The water use data collection modules are provided in multiple groups, and one group of water use data collection modules corresponds to the water supply pipeline of a household user.

[0094] It is suitable for simultaneous monitoring of multiple groups of household users. The monitored data provides real data support for the total water supply within a time node, and is convenient for remote monitoring of the safety management and maintenance of water supply sources.

[0095] The present invention also provides a water consumption data collection module, which is used for collecting the water consumption, water pressure and time of the water supply pipeline of household users in the above-mentioned urban water supply dynamic prediction and early warning analysis method.

[0096] For details, please refer to Figures 5 to 7, the water use data acquisition module includes:

[0097] The pipeline mechanism 1 includes a mounting tube 11, two movable tubes 12, and two first telescopic members 13. The movable tube 12 is slidably mounted in the mounting tube 11. The first telescopic members 13 are mounted in the mounting tube 11. The first telescopic members 13 are used to drive the movable tubes 12 to telescope and adjust within the mounting tube 11.

[0098] A monitoring tube 2 is fixed on the top of the mounting tube 11 and communicates with the mounting tube 11. A maintenance port 201 is provided on the monitoring tube 2.

[0099] An installation cover 3 is provided on the top of the monitoring tube 2;

[0100] An adjusting tube 4, which is fixed to the bottom of the mounting cover 3 and sleeved on the outside of the monitoring tube 2 and slidably sealed;

[0101] An adjustment mechanism 5, comprising a second telescopic member 51 and an adjustment cover 52, wherein the fixed end of the second telescopic member 51 is fixedly mounted on the top of the monitoring tube 2, the top of the adjustment cover 52 is fixedly connected to the telescopic end of the second telescopic member 51, and the adjustment cover 52 is slidably sealed against the inner surface of the monitoring tube 2;

[0102] A monitoring member 6, which is detachably mounted on the adjustment cover 52, and a monitoring end of the monitoring member 6 is in communication with the interior of the mounting tube 11;

[0103] The connecting shaft 7 has its bottom fixedly connected to the top of the adjusting cover 52 , and its top passes through the monitoring tube 2 and is fixedly connected to the mounting cover 3 . The connecting shaft 7 and the monitoring tube 2 are slidably sealed.

[0104] In this embodiment, the mounting cover 3 is integrated with a PLC control mainboard, a clock module, a display module and a signal transceiver module (not shown in the figure); the clock module is connected to the PLC control mainboard signal, the display module is connected to the PLC control mainboard signal, and the signal transceiver module is connected to the PLC control mainboard signal; the PLC control mainboard is connected to the household power supply.

[0105] In a preferred embodiment of this embodiment, a backup power supply is integrated in the installation cover 3. The backup power supply is electrically connected to the PLC control mainboard and is used to monitor water consumption when the household power is off.

[0106] In a preferred embodiment of this embodiment, a solenoid valve (not shown) may be further provided on the installation pipe 11, which is connected to the PLC control mainboard signal to facilitate intelligent control or remote signal control of the installation pipe 11 to automatically cut off or open the household water supply pipeline.

[0107] In this embodiment, the monitoring component 6 is embedded in the adjustment cover 52, and the monitoring component 6 and the top of the adjustment cover 52 are tightened by screws, and the connection is sealed by a sealing rubber ring to ensure the sealing of the pipeline when it is connected and used.

[0108] In this embodiment, the second telescopic member 51 is an electric telescopic rod, which provides power for the lifting and lowering adjustment of the adjustment cover 52.

[0109] In this embodiment, when the two movable pipes 12 are separated, the monitoring member 6 is connected to the installation pipe 11, which facilitates the monitoring of the water usage status in the water supply pipeline;

[0110] When the two movable tubes 12 are in contact and sealed, the monitoring component 6 is isolated from the inside of the installation tube 11 , and the installation tube 11 can continuously supply water. While supplying water, the monitoring component 6 can be replaced and maintained in the monitoring tube 2 .

[0111] When the monitoring component 6 needs to be maintained or replaced, the second telescopic member 51 is activated, and the second telescopic member 51 drives the adjustment cover 52 to move upward, and the adjustment cover 52 drives the monitoring component 6 to move upward and adjust to the range of the maintenance opening 201; at the same time, the adjustment cover 52 also drives the installation cover 3 to move upward through the connecting shaft 7, and the installation cover 3 drives the adjustment tube 4 to move upward, thereby realizing the automatic opening of the maintenance opening 201;

[0112] Before the maintenance port 201 is opened, the first telescopic member 13 controls the extension of the movable tubes 12, so that the two movable tubes 12 move toward each other and abut against each other to seal, thereby temporarily isolating the installation tube 11 from the monitoring tube 2. This ensures normal water flow in the installation tube 11 while allowing replacement and maintenance of the monitoring element 6.

[0113] Finally, the upward movement of the monitoring component 6 and the opening of the regulating tube 4 are achieved synchronously under the action of the same power drive, so as to facilitate the replacement and maintenance of the monitoring component 6 when it fails.

[0114] In an optional implementation of this embodiment, the first telescopic member 13 may be a telescopic cylinder. The first telescopic member 13 is connected to the PLC control mainboard signal. The fixed end of the first telescopic member 13 is fixedly connected to the mounting tube 11, and the telescopic end of the first telescopic member 13 is fixedly connected to the movable tube 12. This facilitates direct movement and adjustment of the movable tube 12 by the first telescopic member 13.

[0115] In another optional implementation of this embodiment, please refer to Figure 6 The first telescopic member 13 is an elastic contraction member, and the two ends of the first telescopic member 13 are hinged to the outside of the movable tube 12 and the top of the adjustment cover 52 respectively;

[0116] The first telescopic member 13 and the monitoring member 6 are staggered.

[0117] As the adjustment cover 52 moves upward, the adjustment cover 52 also synchronously pulls the two movable tubes 12 toward each other through the two first telescopic members 13, so that under the action of the same power drive, the two movable tubes 12 are automatically docked and sealed before the adjustment tube 4 is opened; thereafter, the adjustment cover 52 can continue to drive the adjustment tube 4 to open, and the monitoring member 6 moves upward and is aligned within the range of the maintenance port 201, so as to facilitate the replacement of the monitoring member 6;

[0118] Ultimately, under the action of the same power drive, the upward movement of the monitoring member 6 and the opening of the regulating tube 4 are synchronously achieved, and the movable tube 12 is adaptively closed before the regulating tube 4 is fully opened.

[0119] In this embodiment, two groups of monitoring components 6 are provided, and two maintenance ports 201 are provided. The monitoring components 6 and the maintenance ports 201 are arranged in a one-to-one correspondence; one monitoring component 6 is a water pressure sensor, and the other monitoring component 6 is a flow sensor.

[0120] The water pressure sensor is convenient for monitoring the water pressure of the water supply source in the installation pipe 11; the flow sensor is convenient for monitoring the water flow of the water supply source in the installation pipe 11. It is used to simultaneously monitor the water pressure and water flow in the water supply pipeline.

[0121] The working principle of the urban water supply dynamic prediction and early warning analysis method provided in this embodiment is as follows:

[0122] like Figure 6 and Figure 7 As shown, it may be defined that in the initial state, the movable tube 12 is in an open state, the monitoring member 6 is extended and communicated with the installation tube 11, and the maintenance port 201 is in a closed state;

[0123] Please refer to Figures 6 to 8 (a) and Figures 7 to 9 (a) When the monitoring component 6 needs to be replaced and maintained, the second telescopic component 51 is activated, and the second telescopic component 51 drives the adjustment cover 52 to move upward, and the adjustment cover 52 drives the monitoring component 6 to move upward;

[0124] When the adjusting cover 52 moves upward, the adjusting cover 52 synchronously drives the connecting shaft 7 to move upward, the connecting shaft 7 drives the mounting cover 3 to move upward, and the mounting cover 3 drives the adjusting tube 4 to move upward;

[0125] Before the adjusting tube 4 is opened, the adjusting cover 52 also pulls the two movable tubes 12 closer to each other through the two first telescopic members 13 until the two movable tubes 12 abut against each other and are sealed.

[0126] Please refer to Figure 8 (a) to Figure 8 (b) and Figure 9 (a) to Figure 9 (b) When the two movable tubes 12 are closed, the second telescopic member 51 continues to drive the adjustment cover 52 upward, and the adjustment cover 52 drives the monitoring member 6 upward and aligns it with the maintenance port 201;

[0127] As the adjustment cover 52 moves upward, the adjustment cover 52 simultaneously drives the connecting shaft 7 upward, the connecting shaft 7 drives the mounting cover 3 upward, and the mounting cover 3 drives the adjustment tube 4 upward, so that the maintenance port 201 is automatically opened. During the upward movement of the adjustment cover 52, the first telescopic member 13 elastically stretches to maintain the abutment seal between the two movable tubes 12.

[0128] like Figure 8 (b) and Figure 9 As shown in (b), the movable tube 12 is in a closed state, the monitoring component 6 is extended and isolated from the installation tube 11, and the maintenance port 201 is in an open state.

[0129] The above description is only a preferred embodiment of the present invention and does not limit the patent scope of the present invention. All equivalent structural transformations made by using the contents of the present invention description and drawings under the concept of the present invention, or direct / indirect application in other related technical fields are included in the patent protection scope of the present invention.

Claims

1. A method for dynamic prediction and early warning analysis of urban water supply, characterized in that: The following steps are involved: Step S1, collecting water usage data of household users in real time to obtain multiple sets of household water usage data; Step S2: Counting multiple sets of household water usage data and merging the multiple sets of household water usage data to generate a primary periodic water usage table; Step S3: While obtaining household water consumption data, the weather conditions within the period are also collected, and the two are combined to generate a complete period water consumption table; Step S4: Analyze and predict the water consumption time nodes, water consumption, and water pressure of the subsequent centralized water supply cycle based on the complete cycle water consumption meter, so as to facilitate early monitoring and management of the water supply status; Water consumption data collection module, used to collect water consumption, water pressure and time of household water supply pipelines; include: A pipe mechanism, the pipe mechanism comprising a mounting pipe, two movable pipes, and two first telescopic members, the movable pipe being slidably mounted within the mounting pipe, the first telescopic members being mounted within the mounting pipe, the first telescopic members being used to drive the movable pipes to telescope and adjust within the mounting pipe; A monitoring tube, which is fixed on the top of the mounting tube, is connected to the mounting tube, and has a maintenance port; An installation cover is provided on the top of the monitoring tube; An adjusting tube, the adjusting tube being fixedly mounted on the bottom of the mounting cover and sleeved on the outside of the monitoring tube and slidingly sealed; An adjustment mechanism, the adjustment mechanism comprising a second telescopic member and an adjustment cover, the fixed end of the second telescopic member being fixedly mounted on the top of the monitoring tube, the top of the adjustment cover being fixedly connected to the telescopic end of the second telescopic member, and the adjustment cover being slidably sealed against the inner surface of the monitoring tube; A monitoring component, the monitoring component is detachably mounted on the adjustment cover, and a monitoring end of the monitoring component is communicated with the interior of the mounting tube; A connecting shaft, the bottom of which is fixedly connected to the top of the adjustment cover, the top of which passes through the monitoring tube and is fixedly connected to the mounting cover, and the connecting shaft and the monitoring tube are slidingly sealed; The first telescopic member is an elastic contraction member, and two ends of the first telescopic member are hinged to the outside of the movable tube and the top of the adjustment cover respectively; The first telescopic member and the monitoring member are staggered; While the adjusting cover moves upward, the adjusting cover also synchronously pulls the two movable tubes closer to each other through the two first telescopic parts, so that under the action of the same power drive, the two movable tubes are automatically docked and sealed before the adjusting tube is opened; after that, the adjusting cover can continue to drive the adjusting tube to open, and the monitoring part moves upward and aligns within the range of the maintenance port to facilitate the replacement of the monitoring part.

2. The method for dynamic prediction and early warning analysis of urban water supply according to claim 1, characterized in that: In step S1, the steps for collecting household water usage data are as follows: Step S11, collecting household water consumption each time through the water supply dynamic prediction and early warning system; Step S12, collecting the time node of each household water consumption through the clock module; Step S13, collecting the water pressure of each household water use through the water supply dynamic prediction and early warning system; Step S14, counting the household's water consumption, water consumption time points, and water pressure in one cycle; Generate household water usage data.

3. The method for dynamic prediction and early warning analysis of urban water supply according to claim 2, characterized in that: When counting multiple sets of household water consumption data in step S2, the water consumption data within the same time node are merged to calculate the total water consumption within the corresponding time node; this is used for analysis and dynamic prediction of water supply and water pressure at different time nodes.

4. The method for dynamic prediction and early warning analysis of urban water supply according to claim 3, characterized in that: The weather status in step S3 is the weather data corresponding to the time node, and the weather data includes data on temperature, air pressure, and humidity; each time node corresponds to different weather data.

5. The method for dynamic prediction and early warning analysis of urban water supply according to claim 4, characterized in that: While the Urban Water Supply Management Department provides centralized water supply to multiple groups of households, it monitors the water supply pressure and water use pressure in real time to facilitate early warning monitoring of water pressure.

6. The method for dynamic prediction and early warning analysis of urban water supply according to claim 5, characterized in that: The water consumption and water use time within a time node are monitored in real time. When the water consumption exceeds the preset water volume or the water use time exceeds the preset time, an abnormal water use warning is issued to the reservoir management department, and the reservoir management department directly communicates with the household users.

7. The method for dynamic prediction and early warning analysis of urban water supply according to claim 6, characterized in that: When communication cannot be established, the reservoir management department can issue a warning check task through the first-level water supply management department. The first-level water supply management department will issue the warning check task to the second-level water supply management department, which will directly reach the homes of household users who have received abnormal water use warnings through the second-level water supply management department to notify and check their water use situation.

8. The method for dynamic prediction and early warning analysis of urban water supply according to claim 7, characterized in that: When there is still no one at home and the household user cannot be contacted by communication means, the secondary water supply management department will turn off the household water supply switch that warns of abnormal water use on site and notify the household user by text message.

9. The method for dynamic prediction and early warning analysis of urban water supply according to claim 8, characterized in that: The water supply dynamic prediction and early warning system includes a water use data acquisition module, a data statistics module, a meteorological acquisition module and a data analysis module, wherein the water use data acquisition module is signal-connected to the data statistics module, the meteorological acquisition module is signal-connected to the data statistics module, and the data analysis module is signal-connected to the data statistics module; The water consumption data acquisition module is installed on the water supply pipeline of the household user and is used to monitor the water consumption, water pressure and time within a time node; The weather collection module is used to collect weather conditions at the same time point when water is used; The data statistics module is used to statistically synthesize water consumption, water pressure, time, and weather conditions within the same time node; The data analysis module is used to analyze whether the water consumption meter for a complete cycle is within the warning range.

10. The method for dynamic prediction and early warning analysis of urban water supply according to claim 9, characterized in that: The water use data collection modules are provided in multiple groups, and one group of water use data collection modules corresponds to the water supply pipeline of a household user.

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