Method and apparatus for predicting product lead times

By identifying and correcting abnormal historical production data, and combining qualified production and planned production, the accuracy of product delivery time prediction is improved, solving the problem of inaccurate prediction in existing technologies.

CN122415048APending Publication Date: 2026-07-17HENAN QINWEI DIGITAL TECHNOLOGY CO LTD
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Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Applications(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
HENAN QINWEI DIGITAL TECHNOLOGY CO LTD
Filing Date
2026-02-25
Publication Date
2026-07-17

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

The problem with existing technologies that predict product delivery times based on historical production data is inaccurate.

Method used

By acquiring production and output data from multiple historical batches of the product, abnormal historical production data and their abnormality levels and weights are identified. The output of abnormal batches is then corrected, and delivery time is predicted by combining qualified output and planned output.

Benefits of technology

It improves the accuracy of product delivery time prediction and reduces prediction errors by taking into account the normal output of abnormal historical batches.

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Abstract

本申请实施例公开了一种预测产品交期时间的方法和设备,涉及工业生产领域。方法包括:获取第一产品的多个历史批次的产量和多条历史生产数据;确定多条历史生产数据中的至少一条异常历史生产数据、每条异常历史生产数据的异常等级和异常等级对应的权重;对于每个异常历史批次,根据对应异常历史生产数据的异常等级对应的权重,修正异常历史批次的产量,得到异常历史批次的合格产量;基于多个历史批次的合格产量和第一产品的计划产量,预测第一产品的交期时间。异常历史批次的合格产量与异常历史批次的产量相比,能够较为准确的反映第一产品在异常历史批次正常情况下第一产品的正常产量,因此本申请提供的方法能够提升预测交期时间的准确性。
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