System and method for improving the rate of change of frequency ride-through in a power system

Abstract

[0001] The present invention relates to a system and method for improving the rate of change of frequency in an electric power system. The present invention provides a method and system for fast load support for grid frequency transient events. An example of a power system includes a turbine, a generator coupled to the turbine, the generator configured to supply power to a power grid, and a controller configured to detect a grid event, determine a rate of change of frequency (rate of change of frequency) value, determine a predicted post-grid event governor setpoint based on the rate of change of frequency value, and initiate a change in at least one turbine operating parameter based on the predicted post-grid event governor setpoint.

Description

[Technical Field]

[0001] The present disclosure relates generally to power systems, and more particularly to improving the rate of change of frequency ride-through in gas turbine power systems.

[0002] Many known power systems include several types of generating units, such as, for example, synchronous generating units and / or asynchronous generating units. Synchronous generating units are those in which an output voltage waveform generated during operation is synchronous with the rotation of an element (e.g., a prime mover) within the generating unit. Synchronous generating units typically include a rotating mass that rotates within the generating unit to generate output power. Asynchronous generating units are those in which an output voltage waveform generated during operation is not necessarily synchronous with the rotation of a mass within the generating unit, for example, because asynchronous generating units may not include such a rotating mass. Examples of asynchronous generating units include solar or wind power generating units. At least some conventional power systems have adequately tolerated the loss of one or more generating units or loads through the presence of multiple synchronous generating units distributed within the system.

[0003] More specifically, because synchronous generating units can contain rotating masses (e.g., prime movers and generators), it is possible to compensate for the loss of a generating unit or the loss of a load in a larger grid's power system by distributing, or "riding through," the power deficit or surplus in the system to the remaining generating units, which rotate with sufficient inertia to absorb the loss (although the rotating mass in each synchronous generating unit may rotate more slowly). However, in some instances, particularly in small grids, ride-through may not be possible when a large frequency transient event occurs due to the inability to accurately determine the operating state after the transient event is complete. In small grids, such as those providing approximately 500 megawatts (MW) of load capacity, the adverse effects of transients, such as sudden changes in grid frequency, are amplified. Smaller grids are often less stable than larger grids because the same magnitude of load change results in a larger frequency change. Therefore, smaller grids tend to experience frequency changes more frequently than larger grids. This lack of stability can result in power outages and / or power loss to the grid. Therefore, systems and methods for improving the rate of change of frequency ride-through are desirable to increase the stability of power to the grid. Summary of the Invention

[0004] The present application improves the rate of change of frequency ride-through in a gas turbine power system. The system includes a turbine, a generator coupled to the turbine, the generator configured to supply power to a power grid, and a controller configured to detect a grid event, determine a rate of change of frequency value, determine a predicted post-grid event governor setpoint based on the rate of change of frequency value, and initiate a change to at least one turbine operating parameter based on the predicted post-grid event governor setpoint.

[0005] The present application further provides a method for ride-through grid event for a gas turbine that may include detecting a grid event by a controller, determining a rate of change of a frequency value, determining a predicted post-grid event governor setpoint based on the rate of change of the frequency value, and initiating a change in at least one turbine operating parameter of the gas turbine based on the predicted post-grid event governor setpoint.

[0006] The present application further provides a system for ride-through grid events for a gas turbine, the system including a gas turbine, a generator coupled to the gas turbine, the generator configured to supply power to a power grid, and a controller configured to detect a grid event, determine a rate of change of a frequency value, determine an estimated magnitude of the grid event based on the rate of change of the frequency value, determine a predicted post-grid event governor set point based on the estimated magnitude of the grid event, determine a destination mode for combustion using the predicted post-grid event governor set point, and initiate an air-fuel ratio change based on the destination mode.

[0007] These and other features and improvements will become apparent to those skilled in the art upon review of the following detailed description taken in conjunction with the several drawings and the appended claims. [Brief explanation of the drawings]

[0008] [Figure 1] Figure 1 shows an example of a power system. [Figure 2] FIG. 2 is an exemplary process flow for improving the rate of change of frequency ride-through that may be described herein. [Figure 3] FIG. 3 is a schematic diagram illustrating various graphs related to determining factors used to improve the rate of change of frequency ride-through as described herein. [Figure 4]FIG. 4 is a schematic diagram illustrating various graphs related to determining factors used to improve the rate of change of frequency ride-through as described herein. [Figure 5] FIG. 5 is a schematic diagram of a reach strategy decision after detection of a grid frequency transient as may be described herein. DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF THE INVENTION

[0009] Referring now to the drawings, wherein like numerals indicate like elements throughout the several views, Figure 1 is a schematic diagram of an electrical power system 100. The electrical power system 100 may include multiple power generating units and multiple electrical loads coupled to the power generating units. Any number of power generating units, loads, and other common power system components may be included.

[0010] The power system 100 may include one or more electrical system components, such as a first electrical load 102a, a second electrical load 102b, and / or a third electrical load 102c. The power system 100 may also include one or more power generation units, such as a first power generation unit 104a, a second power generation unit 104b, and / or a third power generation unit 104c. In the illustrated embodiment, the power generation units 104a-104c may be synchronously connected gas turbine power generation units. However, in other embodiments, the power generation units 104a-104c may be any power generation unit including a rotary prime mover, such as a steam turbine power generation unit, a reciprocating engine power generation unit, a water turbine power generation unit, or the like. In some embodiments, the power system 100 may include at least one power transmission and distribution system component 106, such as, for example, one or more transmission lines, one or more distribution lines, one or more transformers, one or more voltage regulators, etc. Thus, the interconnected power transmission and distribution system components 106 may facilitate the delivery of electrical power from the power generating units 104a-104c to one or more electrical loads 102a-102c.

[0011] The power system 100 may optionally include an asynchronous power source 112, such as a wind and / or solar power generation system. The asynchronous power source 112 may be coupled to the power transmission and distribution system components 106 via a power line, such as an asynchronous power line 113, and may provide electrical energy to one or more electrical loads 102a-102c via the power transmission and distribution system components 106.

[0012] Power generation Some or all of the units 104a to 104c may include at least one controller and / or at least one sensor. For example, Power generation The unit 104a may include a controller 114a and a sensor 116a; Power generation The unit 104b may include a controller 114b and a sensor 116b; Power generation The unit 104c may include a controller 114c and a sensor 116c. Each of the controllers 114a-114c may include a processor and a non-transitory computer-readable memory communicatively coupled to the processor.

[0013] The power system 100 may include multiple event estimators 120a, 120b, and 120c. In various embodiments, each event estimator 120a-120c may include at least one processor, and may include a particular Power generation In some embodiments, each event estimator 120a-120c may be installed within each unit 104a-104c rather than being a separate hardware component. Power generation In some embodiments, each event estimator 120a-120c is embodied as software running on a respective controller 114a-114c of each unit 104a-104c. Power generation The units 104a-104c may be implemented on a stand-alone computing device communicatively coupled to the respective controllers 114a-114c.

[0014] Power system 100 may include a network estimator 118. In various embodiments, network estimator 118 may include at least one processor 152 coupled to at least one non-transitory computer-readable memory 154. In some embodiments, network estimator 118 may be implemented on a computing device such as a workstation computer, a personal computer, a tablet computer, a smartphone, or the like.

[0015] The network estimator 118 may be communicatively coupled (e.g., via a communications network such as the Internet) to one or more data sources 150, such as one or more databases and / or database servers. The data sources 150 may be online and / or offline data sources and may include or store various information (e.g., various status information) related to the power system 100. The network estimator 118 may also be communicatively coupled to each of the event estimators 120a-120c.

[0016] The status information received by the network estimator 118 via the data sources 150 may include any status information associated with the power system 100, such as location information, timing information, and / or maintenance activity information, such as planned outage information, for at least one of the power generating units 104a-104c, the electrical loads 102a-102c, the power transmission and distribution system components 106, and / or the asynchronous power sources 112. The status information may also include information describing the rotational inertia associated with each power generating unit 104a-104c, the total rotational inertia associated with the power generating units 104a-104c within the power system 100, and / or the percentage of power generated by the asynchronous power sources 112 at any time within the power system 100. This status information may be transmitted over the computer network via at least one grid signal 122.

[0017] Status information may also be detected by one or more sensors in the power system 100, such as sensors 116a-116c, which may detect the operating conditions of each power generating unit 104a-104c, such as rotational speed, temperature, output voltage, output current, output frequency, valve position, system identifier (e.g., serial number), and / or fuel type of the power generating unit 104a-104c. Similarly, sensors (not shown) coupled to the power transmission and distribution system components 106 may detect one or more characteristics thereof, such as at least one of a fault type, location, time of occurrence, and severity, voltage, current, frequency, and system identifier. Similarly, one or more sensors (not shown) coupled to the electrical loads 102a-102c may detect at least one of a fault type, location, time of occurrence, severity, and / or system identifier.

[0018] Status information detected by one or more sensors comprising power system 100, such as sensors 116a-116c, may be used by controllers 114a-114c to detect the occurrence of a rate of change of frequency event and / or grid event within power system 100. For example, if a sensor 116a-116c detects a significant increase or decrease in the frequency or speed of a corresponding generating unit 104a-104c, each controller 114a-114c can determine that a rate of change of frequency event has occurred.

[0019] Accordingly, the network estimator 118 receives the status information via the grid signal 122 and determines or obtains at least one network characteristic representative of the operating state of the power system 100, such as at least one frequency characteristic of the power system 100. More specifically, the network estimator 118 uses the status information to generate at least one model of the power system 100. For example, the network estimator 118 may analyze the status information to generate a model, such as a lookup table that correlates multiple rates of change of frequency values ​​with one or more power system characteristics, to generate the model of the power system 100. In this manner, the model may include and / or describe one or more characteristics of the power system 100 and may represent one or more interrelationships between elements coupled to the power system 100, such as between the power generating units 104a-104c and the electrical loads 102a-102c. Furthermore, the network estimator 118 may transmit all or a portion of the model of the power system 100, such as a model lookup table, to each of the event estimators 120a-120c.

[0020] The model of the power system 100 may identify one or more characteristics of the power system 100 and / or the generating units 104a-104c, such as settling frequency, settling power, frequency peaks, and / or frequency valleys. These characteristics may be based on an analysis of status information associated with the power system 100. To this end, the model provided to each event estimator 120a-120c may include a lookup table that cross-references multiple rates of change of frequency values, such as multiple settling frequencies, multiple settling powers, multiple frequency peaks, and / or multiple frequency valleys, with multiple characteristics. Generally, the settling frequency and settling power are the rate or frequency and output power, respectively, at which the generating units 104a-104c "settle" or stabilize after the occurrence of a grid event and / or after a primary response to the frequency event and / or rate of change of the grid event. Similarly, a frequency nadir is the lowest output power frequency that occurs as a result of a grid event, and a frequency peak is the highest output power frequency that occurs as a result of a grid event. In an exemplary embodiment, the model may be transmitted to each event estimator 120a-120c via network signal 124, and each event estimator 120a-120c may store the model (including associated characteristics) in a memory, such as, for example, a non-transitory computer-readable memory.

[0021] The network estimator 118 may periodically (e.g., every 15 minutes) receive and / or collect status information to update its model of the power system 100. The updated model may include updated characteristics associated with the power system 100 and may be sent to one or more event estimators 120a-120c for storage. In various embodiments, the network estimator 118 may receive feedback from one or more event estimators 120a-120c, such as feedback regarding estimated characteristics compared to actual or measured characteristics. For example, a particular event estimator 120a-120c may use a lookup table to estimate a particular frequency minimum based on a measured or sensed rate of change of the frequency value. A particular event estimator 120a-120c may receive from the sensors 116a-116c actual frequency minimums occurring as a result of the rate of change of the frequency event and return an error or difference between the estimated frequency minimum and the actual frequency minimum as an error value to the network estimator 118. Similarly, the actual frequency minimum (rather than or in addition to the error value) may be returned to the network estimator 118 .

[0022] As used herein, the phrase "grid event" refers to an abrupt change in the total power consumed in and / or generated by a power system. For example, a grid event may be associated with a sudden decrease in the total power generation or load in the power system due to, for example, the loss (or tripping) of one or more generating units, one or more asynchronous sources, and / or one or more loads. Additionally, as used herein, a "source rejection grid event" is an abrupt change in the total power generated by the power system, for example, as a result of the loss of one or more generating units. Similarly, as used herein, a "load rejection event" is an abrupt change in the total power consumed by the power system, for example, as a result of the loss of one or more loads.

[0023] These grid events can affect the power output by one or more generating units, such as one or more rotating gas turbine generating units, coupled to the power system. For example, during a power rejection grid event, one or more generating units that remain coupled to the power system may initially experience a reduction in rotational speed as each generating unit attempts to compensate for the loss of generated power within the power system. Similarly, during a load rejection event, the power output by prime movers of generating units coupled to the power system may exceed the power required for all electrical loads on the power system, resulting in an increase in rotational speed associated with one or more generating units. As the rotational speeds of generating units in the power system increase and decrease, the frequency of the alternating current and / or the voltage produced by the generating units in the power system can fluctuate rapidly. For convenience, these frequency fluctuations may be referred to herein as rate of change frequency events. Some machines may also trip during the process of responding to the change in frequency. Thus, rate of change frequency events may occur as a result of one or more grid events, resulting in the loss of one or more other generating units on the power system, as described herein, which may in turn lead to instability in the overall power system. Further, as described herein, the rate of change of a frequency event is associated with a rate of change of a frequency value, such as a value in the range of 0 to 2 Hertz / second. In some embodiments, the rate of change of the frequency value can indicate the severity of the rate of change of the associated frequency event.

[0024] Embodiments of the present disclosure can be configured to enhance dry low NOx mode in a gas turbine when a large frequency transient occurs within a small grid. Some embodiments can calculate the approximate minimum / peak change in frequency amplitude in the first 200-300 milliseconds after the transient. For example, a network estimator or other computer system associated with the power system can be configured to measure or otherwise determine the rate of change of frequency immediately following the onset of a grid event. Instead of acceleration-based dry low NOx mode switch / fuel management, the gas turbine control can modulate the air / fuel ratio, dry low NOx mode, different fuel splits across combustion nozzles, and / or other response actions that can avoid transient instability in the gas turbine. In some embodiments, early electrical detection can be used to identify the onset of a grid event, which can then trigger a calculation of the average frequency (e.g., using a weighted average technique of units inertia, operating point on units capability, and / or available megawatt margin) and delta change in the operating machinery. This calculation can be provided as a feedforward control parameter to the turbine controller to readjust the air / fuel split and avoid unnecessary changes in operating parameters. Thus, embodiments can enhance flame stability and overall gas turbine transient stability.

[0025] The systems and methods described herein facilitate ride-through by one or more generating units coupled to an electric power system in response to the occurrence of high rate of change frequency events in the electric power system. More specifically, the systems and methods described herein provide a substantially real-time generating unit control scheme that enables rapid and effective corrective action for generating units to ride-through high rate of change frequency events in the electric power system.

[0026] 2 is an example process flow 200 for improving the rate of change of frequency ride-through that may be described herein. Other embodiments may have additional, fewer, and / or different operations than those described with respect to the example shown in FIG.

[0027] Process flow 200 may be performed, for example, by one or more controllers associated with a power system. For example, process flow 200 may be performed by a network estimator by executing computer-executable instructions using one or more computer processors.

[0028] In block 210, a grid event may be detected by a controller. For example, a controller associated with the power system may be configured to detect a grid event, which may be a frequency transient event. Detection may occur using an early electrical detection program or other suitable method. In some embodiments, before detecting the grid event, the controller may determine an estimated system inertia. In some embodiments, the controller may be configured to detect a frequency drop in the power grid as a potential disturbance. For example, the controller may be configured to monitor one or more characteristics or electrical properties of the power grid, such as a frequency, voltage, current, power, or power factor associated with the power grid. The controller may determine whether a transient event exists on the power grid based on changes in the characteristics or electrical properties of the power grid. For example, if one or more of the frequency, voltage, current, power, or power factor associated with the power grid increase or decrease beyond a threshold, the controller may determine that a transient event is occurring or is otherwise about to occur. In one example, the controller may sense the rate of change of electrical frequency at the generator terminals and determine the rate of change of shaft line acceleration (rate of change is one of the electrical characteristics monitored by the controller) to determine if a transient is occurring. If a transient is detected, the controller may send a notification of the transient to the turbine controller. The controller may be coupled to the generator and exciter so that the controller can detect grid events faster and more reliably than speed measurement techniques.

[0029] The rate of change of the frequency value may be determined at block 220. For example, to determine the rate of change of the frequency value, the controller may perform a calculation using the following equation:

number

[0030] If an estimated system inertia is determined before detecting a grid event, the controller can determine a weighted average of the estimated system inertia, the turbine operating point, and the available megawatt margin of the power system to determine the rate of change of the frequency value. The size of the intrusion can be a function of the inertia (H) or kinetic energy (M) of the system and the rate of change of frequency at t=0.

[0031] The grid event may be a frequency transient event, and the controller may be configured to determine a rate of change of frequency value within about 200 or about 300 milliseconds after the grid event is detected.

[0032] In some embodiments, the controller may be configured to use the rate of change of the frequency value to determine an estimated nadir, an estimated high nadir value, and an estimated low nadir value. Optionally, the controller may determine an updated nadir estimate after a threshold time has elapsed. Additionally, in some embodiments, the controller may be configured to determine feedforward controller parameters based on the rate of change of the frequency value. The feedforward controller parameters may be used by other controllers to adjust operating parameters of electrical system components, such as gas turbine combustor fuel flow.

[0033] A predicted post-grid event governor set point may be determined based on the rate of change of the frequency value in block 230. For example, to determine the predicted post-grid event governor set point, the controller may perform a calculation using the following equation:

number

[0034] In some embodiments, the controller may determine the estimated magnitude of the grid event based on the rate of change of the frequency value. In such cases, the predicted post-grid event governor setpoint may therefore be a function of the droop and the estimated magnitude of the grid event.

[0035] At block 240, a change to at least one turbine operating parameter based on the predicted post-grid event governor set point may be initiated. For example, the controller may be configured to initiate a change to one or more turbine operating parameters based on the predicted post-grid event governor set point. Examples of turbine operating parameter changes may include a change to at least one of an air / fuel ratio, a dry low NOx mode, or a fuel split across multiple combustion nozzles.

[0036] In optional block 250, the controller may be configured to determine the combustor in a selected destination mode based on a change to at least one turbine operating parameter. For example, in some embodiments, the controller may be configured to determine the destination mode for combustion using a predicted post-grid event governor setpoint. The destination mode may be an expected end state or settling point of the gas turbine after completion of a grid event, as discussed with respect to FIG. 5. In some embodiments, a change to at least one turbine operating parameter may cause the turbine to switch to the transition mode at a first time and to the destination mode at a second time. The destination mode may be selected from a set of available destination modes having different combustion configurations. The turbine may transition from the default mode to the transition mode, from the transition mode to the transition recovery mode, and from the transition recovery mode to the destination mode within approximately two seconds of a grid event. Thus, the power system, and more specifically, the gas turbine of the power system, may be configured for a ride-through rate of frequency value changes of up to 2 Hz per second.

[0037] 3-4 are schematic diagrams illustrating various graphs related to determining the factors or factors used to improve the rate of change of frequency ride-through as described herein.

[0038] In FIG. 3, a first graph 300 shows the measured frequency over time, where the rate of change 310 is determined at or near the onset of a grid event (e.g., immediately before or after). The first graph 300 can show a qualitative plot of the frequency response without secondary control. The initial rate of change of frequency is determined by the inertia of the system and the amount of load / generation change. Within approximately 5-10 seconds, a minimum or trough in the measured frequency can be detected, and the frequency can stabilize after approximately 20-30 seconds. The amount of disturbance power can be determined from the rate of change of frequency and the kinetic energy stored in the rotating mass of the synchronization region and can be calculated using the following equation:

number

number

[0039] The second graph 320 in Figure 3 shows power over time, with peak power 330 occurring at substantially the same time as the low frequency point, and settling power 340 occurring shortly thereafter. The second graph 320 shows a qualitative plot of primary control power without secondary control. Thus, the governor setpoint can be set to match the predicted settling power 340 prior to the completion of the grid event. The contribution of the i-th generator to the total settling primary control power from the disturbance power, the composite droop of all generators, and the droop of the i-th generator can be determined using the following equations:

number

[0040] Thus, embodiments can predict a post-disturbance governor setpoint to increase the rate of change of the system's frequency capability to approximately 2 Hertz / second. The rate of change of the frequency value can be determined within 200-300 milliseconds, and the size of the power disturbance can be estimated. The settling power of the gas turbine can be estimated based on the estimated size of the power disturbance, and turbine parameters and / or target mode can be selected based on the estimated settling power.

[0041] FIG. 4 shows a third graph 400 illustrating a sample system frequency during a transient. An initial rate of change of frequency 410 may be determined at a first time by system inertia and load / generation changes. A nadir 420 may be detected at a second time. A settling power 430 may be determined at a third time. Primary frequency control may occur between the initial rate of change of frequency 410 and settling power 430. The nadir 420 may be estimated within 300 milliseconds after a grid event. The estimated settling power may be determined within approximately 2 seconds after a grid event.

[0042] The fourth graph 440 of Figure 4 shows the measured mechanical frequency over time, where the rate of change of frequency varies from 0 to 300 to 500, then stabilizes at a stable frequency 442 before the secondary control is initialized. The fifth graph 450 of Figure 4 shows the algorithm input data over time, where six samples (or another suitable quantity) of mechanical frequency, power, and voltage are collected and used to measure and / or determine the nadir and settling power. The sixth graph 460 of FIG. 4 shows algorithm output data over time, with the best guess nadir and highest / lowest nadir values ​​output at a first time 462 (e.g., 250 ms), the updated nadir estimate output at a second time 464 (e.g., 325 ms) after the samples were collected in the fifth graph 450, the expected settling power output at a third time 466 (e.g., 500 ms), and the updated equivalent inertia, combined droop of all generators, and load damping constants output at a fourth time 468.

[0043] 5 is a schematic diagram of a destination strategy 500 determination after detection of a grid frequency transient as described herein. Other embodiments may have additional, fewer, and / or different components or configurations than those discussed with respect to the example shown in FIG.

[0044] 5, the first mode 510 may be a start mode or a combustor mode in which a grid event occurs, and certain circuits may be fueled while others are not.

[0045] The second mode 520 may be a transition initiation mode during which internal recovery may be emphasized by supplying fuel to certain circuits. For example, fuel may be biased to certain circuits to avoid lean blowout. Embodiments may be configured to avoid or reduce the number of times the turbine transitions into a transition mode, such as the second mode 520. The time to transition between the first mode 510 and the second mode 520 may be less than approximately 0.3 seconds after a grid event. An estimated nadir value may be used to determine when the mode should be transitioned.

[0046] The third set of modes 530, 550, 570 may be various transition recovery modes with different fuel flows and configurations, each of which may include a different fuel split / distribution and may be determined using a lookup table.

[0047] The fourth set of modes 540, 560, 580 can be various destination modes with various fuel flows and configurations that can correspond to different settling powers. The destination mode selected by the controller is locked until the speed transient is gone. The rate of change of frequency may not be equal throughout the system. The transition from the transition initiation mode to the destination mode can occur within approximately two seconds after the event, thereby minimizing time in both the second mode 520 and the third set of modes 530, 550, 570. The estimated settling power can be used to select the appropriate destination mode.

[0048] In some embodiments, a controller associated with the power system can use the predicted post-grid event governor setpoint to determine a destination mode for combustion, where the destination mode is selected from a set of available destination modes having different combustion configurations, such as the fourth mode set 540, 560, 580.

[0049] Thus, the above-described systems and methods facilitate ride-through by one or more generating units coupled to an electric power system in response to the occurrence of a rate of change of a frequency event within the electric power system. More specifically, the systems and methods described herein provide a substantially real-time generating unit control scheme that enables generating units to take rapid and effective corrective action in response to changes in the ride-through rate of a frequency event in the electric power system.

[0050] It is apparent that the foregoing relates only to particular embodiments of this application and the resulting patent. Many changes and modifications can be made herein by one of ordinary skill in the art without departing from the general spirit and scope of the invention, which is defined by the following claims and their equivalents. [Explanation of symbols]

[0051] 100 Power Systems 102 Electrical Load 104 Power Generation Unit 106 Power Transmission and Distribution System Components 112 Asynchronous power supply 113 Asynchronous Power Line 114 Controller 114 116 Sensors 118 Network Estimator 120 Event Estimator 122 Grid Signal 124 network signals 150 data sources

Claims

1. 1. An electric power system, the electric power system comprising: The turbine and a generator coupled to the turbine and configured to supply electrical power to an electrical grid; Controller and It contains The controller Detect grid events, determining a rate of change of the frequency value by using one or more sensors; determining a predicted post-grid event governor setpoint based on the rate of change of the frequency value; determining a combustion destination mode using the predicted post-grid event governor setpoint; configured to initiate a change in at least one turbine operating parameter based on the predicted post-grid event governor setpoint; The power system, wherein a change to at least one turbine operating parameter causes the turbine to transition to a transition mode at a first time and transition to a destination mode at a second time.

2. The power system of claim 1 , wherein the controller further determines an estimated magnitude of the grid event based on a rate of change of the frequency value.

3. The power system of claim 2 , wherein the predicted post-grid event governor setpoint is a function of the estimated magnitude of the droop and grid event.

4. The power system of claim 1 , wherein the controller further determines an estimated lowest frequency value, an estimated highest frequency value, and an estimated lowest frequency value using a rate of change of the frequency value.

5. The power system of claim 4 , wherein the controller further determines an updated estimated nadir value of the frequency after a threshold amount of time has elapsed.

6. The power system of claim 1 , wherein the destination mode is selected from a range of available destination modes having different combustion configurations.

7. The power system of claim 6 , wherein the turbine transitions from the default mode to the transition mode, from the transition mode to the transition recovery mode, and from the transition recovery mode to the destination mode within two seconds of a grid event.

8. The power system of claim 1 , wherein the controller further determines an estimated system inertia before detecting a grid event.

9. 9. The power system of claim 8, wherein the controller is configured to determine a weighted average of estimated system inertia, turbine operating point, and power system available megawatt margin to determine the rate of change of the frequency value.

10. The power system of claim 1 , wherein the turbine is configured for a ride-through rate of change in frequency value of up to 2 Hz per second.

11. The power system of claim 1 , wherein the change to the at least one turbine operating parameter is a change to at least one of an air / fuel ratio, a dry low NOx mode, or a fuel distributed to a plurality of combustion nozzles.

12. 10. The power system of claim 1, wherein the grid event is a frequency transient event and the rate of change of the frequency value is determined within 300 milliseconds after the grid event is detected.

13. 1. A method for riding through a grid event for a gas turbine, the method comprising: detecting a grid event by a controller; determining a rate of change of frequency values ​​by using one or more sensors; determining a predicted post-grid event governor setpoint based on a rate of change of the frequency value; determining a destination mode of combustion using the predicted post-grid event governor set point; initiating a change in at least one turbine operating parameter of the gas turbine based on the predicted post-grid event governor setpoint; wherein a change to at least one turbine operating parameter causes the turbine to transition to a transition mode at a first time and to a destination mode at a second time.

14. 1. A system for a gas turbine ride-through grid event, the system comprising: A gas turbine, a generator coupled to the gas turbine and configured to supply electrical power to an electrical grid; Controller and It contains The controller Detect grid events, determining a rate of change of the frequency value by using one or more sensors; determining an estimated magnitude of the grid event based on the rate of change of the frequency value; determining a predicted post-grid event governor setpoint based on the estimated magnitude of the grid event; determining a combustion destination mode using the predicted post-grid event governor setpoint; Initiate air-fuel ratio changes based on destination mode wherein a change to the at least one turbine operating parameter causes the turbine to transition to the transition mode at a first time and to the destination mode at a second time.

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