Scientific research project market value analysis method and system
By establishing a market demand model and market response model, combining performance evaluation standards and leading performance parameters, the problem that existing scientific research project management methods cannot evaluate market value in real time is solved, and more accurate project decision-making and market competitiveness are achieved.
Patent Information
- Application Number
- CN202510510282.8
- Authority / Receiving Office
- CN · China
- Patent Type
- Applications(China)
- Current Assignee / Owner
- Filing Date
- 2025-04-23
- Publication Date
- 2025-05-23
AI Technical Summary
The existing scientific research project management methods cannot evaluate the market value of scientific research projects in real time based on external information, resulting in managers being unable to make better project decisions.
A market value analysis method for scientific research projects is adopted to obtain relevant information and external information of scientific research projects, establish a market demand model and market response model, and combine performance evaluation standards and leading performance parameters to generate the final market value results of scientific research projects.
It can more accurately assist managers in making project decisions, improve the market competitiveness and overall returns of scientific research projects, and demonstrate the impact of performance generation differences on scientific research projects through performance gap gain parameters.
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Figure CN120031605A_ABST
Abstract
Description
Technical Field
[0001] The present invention relates to the technical field of information management, and in particular to a method and system for analyzing the market value of scientific research projects. Background Art
[0002] The scientific research work of many companies, enterprises and scientific research institutes can be carried out in the form of projects. The completion quality and efficiency of scientific research projects are crucial to the achievement of scientific research results and the development of organizations. In order to improve the management capabilities of scientific research projects, some scientific research project management systems have emerged, which can realize efficient evaluation of scientific research projects. For example, a scientific research project management system, control method and related equipment disclosed in a Chinese patent (publication number: CN118297475A). The scientific research project management system proposed by this patent technology is quickly built and deployed through a small amount of code, and can flexibly realize changes in scientific research project progress management needs. It is easy to expand and customize, and through the project progress early warning model, it realizes project progress management and intelligent early warning, provides data support for project decision-making, and effectively improves the management efficiency and quality of scientific research projects. However, in actual work, this type of scientific research project management system lacks the ability to evaluate scientific research projects based on external information, and cannot dynamically evaluate the value of scientific research projects through real-time market information, making it impossible for managers to make better project decisions based on external information. Summary of the invention
[0003] The technical problem to be solved by the present invention is that the existing scientific research project management method cannot evaluate the market value of scientific research projects in real time based on external information, making it impossible for managers to make better project decisions based on external information.
[0004] In order to solve the above technical problems, the first aspect of the present invention adopts the following technical solution: a method for analyzing the market value of a scientific research project, comprising the following steps: S1: Obtain relevant information and external information related to scientific research projects, establish a market demand model to reflect the existing market size and potential market demand, and establish a market response model to describe the impact of performance changes of competitive products related to scientific research projects on market size; S2: Generate the market value results of scientific research projects based on the relevant information of scientific research projects and the market demand model; S3: Establish corresponding performance evaluation standards based on the relevant information of the scientific research project, comprehensively quantify the performance parameters of each part of the scientific research project based on the performance evaluation standards, and compare them with the performance parameters of each part of the relevant competitive products in the external information to obtain the leading performance parameters; S4: Generate performance gap gain parameters based on leading performance parameters combined with the market response model, use the performance gap gain parameters to make gain corrections to the market value results of scientific research projects, and output the final market value results of scientific research projects.
[0005] When the present invention is working, it can generate the market value of the scientific research project in combination with the external information of the scientific research project, so as to better assist managers to make better project decisions, improve the market competitiveness and overall benefits of the scientific research project, and at the same time, by establishing a market response model for describing the impact of performance changes of competing products related to the scientific research project on the market size, the market value results of the scientific research project are corrected for gain, which can further demonstrate the benefit gain of the performance generation difference for the scientific research project, and be used to boost the scientific research confidence of scientific research units, and help scientific research units better identify the subsequent key research and development directions of scientific research projects, with good prompting effect and high prediction accuracy.
[0006] Preferably, in step S1, the external information includes at least one of competitor information, market information and policy information related to the scientific research project.
[0007] Preferably, in step S1, when establishing a market demand model for reflecting the existing market size and potential market demand, the following steps are adopted: based on external information related to the scientific research project, all application scenarios related to the scientific research project are subdivided, market boundaries are defined, and relevant competing products of the scientific research project are screened out. The existing market size is integrated based on the market information of the relevant competing products, and the changing trend of the market size is obtained at the same time. Growth-driven corrections are made in combination with policy information and competitor information, and potential market demand is output, and the market demand model is output through integration.
[0008] When the present invention is working, it can establish a market demand model that reflects the existing market scale and potential market demand according to the competitive product information, market information and policy information of the scientific research project, and can clearly display the existing market scale. At the same time, it can also make growth-driven corrections based on the changing trend of the market scale and in combination with policy information and competitive product information to obtain potential market demand. Basic data references can be obtained through simple statistical work, which provides data support for project decision-making, and ensures the assessment accuracy of the market scale while occupying fewer computing resources.
[0009] Preferably, in step S1, when establishing a market response model for describing the impact of performance changes of competing products related to scientific research projects on market size, the following steps are adopted: based on the relevant information of the scientific research project, through technical function deconstruction, key technology research and development directions are defined, and in combination with external information related to the scientific research project, historical performance change data corresponding to the key technology research and development directions are obtained, the technology improvement intervals are set gradiently, and several groups of technology improvement intervals are intercepted. According to the time nodes corresponding to each technology improvement interval, the corresponding market size change information is obtained, the market response level of each group of technology improvement intervals is calibrated, and the market response model is output through integration.
[0010] When the present invention works, it can deconstruct the technical functions and define the key technology research and development directions. It can also output the response level of the market size to the performance improvement based on the historical performance change data corresponding to the key technology research and development directions, thereby quantifying the stimulating effect of the performance generation gap on the market size. It can fully consider the major performance improvement results in scientific research projects and provide more accurate prediction work for them.
[0011] Preferably, in step S2, when generating the market value results of the scientific research project based on the relevant information of the scientific research project in combination with the market demand model, the following steps are adopted: evaluating the degree of substitutability of the scientific research project for different types of competing products based on the relevant information of the scientific research project, evaluating the market penetration rate of the scientific research project by calculating the technical substitution advantage coefficient, and at the same time, calculating the substitution cost and policy subsidy to correct the market penetration rate, and then generating the market value results of the scientific research project in combination with the market size of competing products.
[0012] Preferably, in step S3, a corresponding performance evaluation standard is established based on the relevant information of the scientific research project. When the performance parameters of each part of the scientific research project are comprehensively quantified based on the performance evaluation standard, the following steps are adopted to identify key technical indicators based on the relevant information of the scientific research project. The key technical indicators include at least one of the following parameters: technology breakthrough related parameters, technology innovation related parameters, technology advancement related parameters, product performance related parameters, economic benefit related parameters, environmental benefit related parameters and social benefit related parameters.
[0013] Preferably, in step S3, when comparing the performance parameters of various parts of relevant competing products in the external information to obtain the leading performance parameters, the following steps are adopted: A1: Traverse external information related to the scientific research project to obtain relevant competing products of the scientific research project, including direct competitors, indirect competitors and potential competitors; A2: Comprehensively quantify the performance parameters of each part of the competitive product through performance evaluation standards, use the SWOT analysis method to compare the scientific research project with the competitive product, and output the comparison results; A3: Based on the comparison results, key core indicators and corresponding leading performance parameters are statistically output.
[0014] When the present invention is working, through comprehensive comparison with direct competitors, indirect competitors and potential competitors, it can comprehensively and clearly quantify the key core indicators of scientific research projects, with comprehensive statistics and good statistical effects. At the same time, the SWOT analysis method is used to compare scientific research projects with competitors, which is convenient for further calculation of corresponding leading performance parameters, providing strong data support for subsequent gain correction.
[0015] Preferably, in step S4, a performance gap gain parameter is generated according to the leading performance parameter combined with the market response model, and the market value result of the scientific research project is gain-corrected by the performance gap gain parameter. When the final market value result of the scientific research project is output, the following steps are adopted: B1: Match the leading performance parameters in the market response model, obtain the gain data of technology improvement on market size growth, and calculate the absolute performance gap and relative performance gap; B2: Evaluate the generation gap threshold of technological progress based on gain data, and output the relative generation gap based on the absolute performance gap and relative performance gap between the relevant products of the scientific research project and the competing products; B3: Calculate and generate the performance gap gain parameter based on the absolute performance gap, relative performance gap and relative generation gap; B4: Perform gain correction on the market value results of scientific research projects through the performance gap gain parameter, and output the final market value results of scientific research projects.
[0016] Preferably, step B1 also includes the following steps: predicting future performance improvement parameters based on external information related to the scientific research project and / or the market demand model, and calculating the absolute performance gap and the relative performance gap after correcting the gain data based on the future performance improvement parameters.
[0017] When the present invention is working, it can calculate and generate performance gap gain parameters according to the absolute performance gap, the relative performance gap and the relative generation gap, fully considering the huge impact of the performance generation gap on the market scale, and demonstrating the benefit gain of the performance generation gap on the scientific research project by correcting the gain of the market value results of the scientific research project, thereby boosting the scientific research confidence of scientific research units and helping them better identify the subsequent key research and development directions of scientific research projects.
[0018] In order to solve the above technical problems, the second aspect of the present invention adopts the following technical solution: a scientific research project market value analysis system, using the above scientific research project market value analysis method, comprising: An information synchronization module is used to obtain external information in real time, including competitive product information, market information and policy information related to scientific research projects; Project performance verification module, used to evaluate the performance parameters of various parts of scientific research projects based on external information; The market demand modeling module is used to establish a market demand model based on external information to reflect the existing market size and potential market demand, and to establish a market response model based on external information to describe the impact of performance changes of competing products related to scientific research projects on the market size; The project value analysis module is used to output the market value results of scientific research projects based on the performance parameters of each part of the scientific research project, combined with the market demand model and the market response model; The information synchronization module, the project performance verification module, the market demand modeling module and the project value analysis module are data connected. The project value analysis module generates a performance gap gain parameter according to the market response model, corrects the scientific research project market value result generated according to the market demand model, and outputs the corrected scientific research project market value result.
[0019] When the present invention is working, through the mutual cooperation among the information synchronization module, the project performance verification module, the market demand modeling module and the project value analysis module, it can generate the market value results of the scientific research project in real time according to the external information related to the scientific research project, and can perform gain correction according to the performance gap gain parameter. The estimated value results have a high accuracy rate, which provides strong data support for managers to make better project decisions.
[0020] The beneficial technical effects of the present invention include: 1. The present invention can generate the market value of scientific research projects in combination with external information of scientific research projects, so as to better assist managers to make better project decisions, improve the market competitiveness and overall benefits of scientific research projects, and at the same time, by establishing a market response model for describing the impact of performance changes of competing products related to scientific research projects on the market size, the market value results of scientific research projects are corrected for gain, which can further demonstrate the benefit gain of performance generation difference for scientific research projects, and be used to boost the scientific research confidence of scientific research units, and help scientific research units better identify the subsequent key research and development directions of scientific research projects, with good prompting effect and high prediction accuracy.
[0021] 2. The present invention can establish a market demand model that reflects the existing market size and potential market demand based on the competitive product information, market information and policy information of scientific research projects, and can clearly display the existing market size. At the same time, it can also make growth-driven corrections based on the changing trend of the market size and combined with policy information and competitive product information to obtain potential market demand. Basic data references can be obtained through simple statistical work, providing data support for project decision-making, while occupying less computing power resources and ensuring the accuracy of market size assessment.
[0022] 3. The present invention can define the key technology research and development direction according to the technical function decomposition, and output the response level of the market size to the performance improvement according to the historical performance change data corresponding to the key technology research and development direction, thereby quantifying the stimulating effect of the performance generation difference on the market size, and can fully consider the major performance improvement results in scientific research projects and provide more accurate prediction work for them.
[0023] 4. Through comprehensive comparison with direct competitors, indirect competitors and potential competitors, the present invention can comprehensively and clearly quantify the key core indicators of scientific research projects, with comprehensive statistics and good statistical effects. At the same time, the SWOT analysis method is used to compare scientific research projects with competitors, which is convenient for further calculation of corresponding leading performance parameters, providing strong data support for subsequent gain correction.
[0024] 5. The present invention can calculate and generate performance gap gain parameters according to the absolute performance gap, the relative performance gap and the relative generation gap, fully considering the huge impact of the performance generation gap on the market size, and demonstrating the benefit gain of the performance generation gap on the scientific research project by correcting the gain of the market value results of the scientific research project, thereby boosting the scientific research confidence of scientific research units and helping them better identify the subsequent key research and development directions of scientific research projects.
[0025] 6. The present invention can generate the market value results of scientific research projects in real time according to the external information related to the scientific research projects through the mutual cooperation among the information synchronization module, the project performance verification module, the market demand modeling module and the project value analysis module, and can make gain corrections according to the performance gap gain parameters. The estimated value results have a high accuracy rate, providing strong data support for managers to make better project decisions.
[0026] Other features and advantages of the present invention will be disclosed in detail in the following specific embodiments and drawings. BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS
[0027] The present invention will be further described below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings: Figure 1 This is a workflow diagram of a method for analyzing the market value of a scientific research project; Figure 2 It is a workflow diagram of step S3 in a method for analyzing the market value of a scientific research project; Figure 3 It is a workflow diagram of step S4 in a method for analyzing the market value of a scientific research project; Figure 4 This is a structural diagram of a market value analysis system for scientific research projects. DETAILED DESCRIPTION
[0028] The technical solutions of the embodiments of the present invention are explained and described below in conjunction with the drawings of the embodiments of the present invention, but the following embodiments are only preferred embodiments of the present invention, not all. Based on the embodiments in the implementation mode, other embodiments obtained by those skilled in the art without creative work are all within the protection scope of the present invention.
[0029] In the following description, terms such as "inside", "outside", "up", "down", "left", "right", etc. that indicate directions or positional relationships are only used to facilitate the description of the embodiments and simplify the description, and do not indicate or imply that the referred device or element must have a specific direction, be constructed and operate in a specific direction. Therefore, it should not be understood as a limitation of the present invention. Embodiment 1:
[0030] See also Figure 1 This embodiment discloses a method for analyzing the market value of a scientific research project, comprising the following steps: S1: Obtain relevant information and external information related to scientific research projects, establish a market demand model to reflect the existing market size and potential market demand, and establish a market response model to describe the impact of performance changes of competitive products related to scientific research projects on market size; S2: Generate the market value results of scientific research projects based on the relevant information of scientific research projects and the market demand model; S3: Establish corresponding performance evaluation standards based on the relevant information of the scientific research project, comprehensively quantify the performance parameters of each part of the scientific research project based on the performance evaluation standards, and compare them with the performance parameters of each part of the relevant competitive products in the external information to obtain the leading performance parameters; S4: Generate performance gap gain parameters based on leading performance parameters combined with the market response model, use the performance gap gain parameters to make gain corrections to the market value results of scientific research projects, and output the final market value results of scientific research projects.
[0031] When this embodiment is working, it can generate the market value of the scientific research project in combination with the external information of the scientific research project, so as to better assist managers to make better project decisions, improve the market competitiveness and overall benefits of the scientific research project, and at the same time, by establishing a market response model for describing the impact of performance changes of competing products related to the scientific research project on the market size, the market value results of the scientific research project are corrected for gain, which can further demonstrate the benefit gain of the performance generation difference for the scientific research project, and be used to boost the scientific research confidence of scientific research units, and help scientific research units better identify the subsequent key research and development directions of scientific research projects, with good prompting effect and high prediction accuracy.
[0032] Preferably, in step S1, the external information includes at least one of competitor information, market information and policy information related to the scientific research project. More specifically, competitors include direct competitors, indirect competitors and potential competitors. Competitor information includes technical parameters, performance indicators, patent layout, technical barriers, improvement research, etc. of competitors. Market information includes current market size, historical change data, market segmentation levels, industry trends, alternative technology fields, etc. Policy information includes government regulations, policy directions, technology subsidies, industry standard changes, etc., and fully capturing external information provides detailed data support for the establishment of market demand models and market response models.
[0033] During specific implementation, in step S1, when establishing a market demand model that reflects the existing market size and potential market demand, the following steps are adopted: based on external information related to the scientific research project, all application scenarios related to the scientific research project are subdivided, market boundaries are defined, and relevant competing products of the scientific research project are screened out. Based on the market information of relevant competing products, the existing market size is integrated, and the changing trend of the market size is obtained. Growth-driven corrections are made in combination with policy information and competing product information, and potential market demand is output. The market demand model is output through integration.
[0034] When this embodiment is working, it can establish a market demand model that reflects the existing market size and potential market demand based on the competitive product information, market information and policy information of the scientific research project, and can clearly display the existing market size. At the same time, it can also make growth-driven corrections based on the changing trend of the market size and combined with policy information and competitive product information to obtain potential market demand. Basic data references can be obtained through simple statistical work, which provides data support for project decision-making, and ensures the accuracy of market size assessment while occupying fewer computing resources.
[0035] As a further improvement of this embodiment, in step S1, when establishing a market response model for describing the impact of performance changes of competing products related to scientific research projects on market size, the following steps are adopted: based on the relevant information of the scientific research project, through technical function deconstruction, key technology research and development directions are defined, and combined with external information related to the scientific research project, historical performance change data corresponding to the key technology research and development directions are obtained, the technology improvement intervals are set gradiently, and several groups of technology improvement intervals are intercepted. According to the time nodes corresponding to each technology improvement interval, the corresponding market size change information is obtained, the market response level of each group of technology improvement intervals is calibrated, and the market response model is output through integration.
[0036] When this embodiment is working, it can define the key technology research and development direction according to the technical function decomposition, and output the response level of the market size to the performance improvement according to the historical performance change data corresponding to the key technology research and development direction, thereby quantifying the stimulating effect of the performance generation difference on the market size, and can fully consider the results of major performance improvements in scientific research projects to provide more accurate prediction work for them. Embodiment 2:
[0037] This embodiment provides a method for analyzing the market value of scientific research projects. The similarities with other embodiments are not repeated here, and the differences are described in detail below.
[0038] In this embodiment, in step S2, when generating the market value results of the scientific research project based on the relevant information of the scientific research project in combination with the market demand model, the following steps are adopted: the degree of substitutability of the scientific research project for different types of competing products is evaluated based on the relevant information of the scientific research project, the market penetration rate of the scientific research project is evaluated by calculating the technical substitution advantage coefficient, and after calculating the substitution cost and policy subsidy to correct the market penetration rate, the market value results of the scientific research project are generated in combination with the market size of competing products.
[0039] In the specific implementation, in step S2, the degree of substitutability of the scientific research project for different types of competing products is evaluated based on the relevant information of the scientific research project, and the market penetration rate of the scientific research project is evaluated by calculating the technical substitution advantage coefficient. At the same time, after calculating the substitution cost and policy subsidy to correct the market penetration rate, the market value result of the scientific research project is generated in combination with the market size of the competing products, and the following formula is used: ; in: For the degree of substitutability, is the importance weight of the i-th parameter. When working, it is necessary to optimize the settings according to each parameter. For example, the energy density, cycle life, charge and discharge efficiency of the battery parameters can be set with a higher weight. is the advantage ratio of the i-th parameter. When the parameter has a theoretical upper limit, the advantage ratio needs to be calculated based on the theoretical upper limit. For example, if the battery charging and discharging efficiency is increased from 97% to 97.5%, the efficiency improvement should be The result is a 16.67% performance improvement. W is the market value of the scientific research project. The unit price of the relevant products of the scientific research project needs to be adjusted by the technology leading generation gap during work, or it can be appropriately reduced when there are some defects. is the initial market size of the scientific research project, P is the market size of the competing product, The possible market size growth for competing products.
[0040] During operation, in order to improve the generation efficiency, it is necessary to streamline the number of parameters of the scientific research project. In step S3, a corresponding performance evaluation standard is established according to the relevant information of the scientific research project. When the performance parameters of each part of the scientific research project are comprehensively quantified according to the performance evaluation standard, the following steps are adopted to identify key technical indicators according to the relevant information of the scientific research project. The key technical indicators include at least one of the parameters related to technological breakthroughs, parameters related to technological innovations, parameters related to technological advancements, parameters related to product performance, parameters related to economic benefits, parameters related to environmental benefits, and parameters related to social benefits.
[0041] See also Figure 2 Preferably, in step S3, the following steps are adopted to compare the performance parameters of various parts of the relevant competing products in the external information and obtain the leading performance parameters: A1: Traverse external information related to scientific research projects to obtain relevant competitors of scientific research projects, including direct competitors, indirect competitors and potential competitors; A2: Comprehensively quantify the performance parameters of each part of the competitive product through performance evaluation standards, use the SWOT analysis method to compare the scientific research project with the competitive product, and output the comparison results; A3: Based on the comparison results, key core indicators and corresponding leading performance parameters are statistically output.
[0042] When this embodiment is working, through comprehensive comparison with direct competitors, indirect competitors and potential competitors, it can comprehensively and clearly quantify the key core indicators of the scientific research project, with comprehensive statistics and good statistical effects. At the same time, the SWOT analysis method is used to compare the scientific research project with competitors, which is convenient for further calculation of the corresponding leading performance parameters, providing strong data support for subsequent gain corrections.
[0043] See also Figure 3 In the specific implementation, in step S4, the performance gap gain parameter is generated according to the leading performance parameter combined with the market response model, and the market value result of the scientific research project is corrected by the performance gap gain parameter. When the final market value result of the scientific research project is output, the following steps are adopted: B1: Match the leading performance parameters in the market response model, obtain the gain data of technology improvement on market size growth, and calculate the absolute performance gap and relative performance gap; B2: Evaluate the generation gap threshold of technological progress based on gain data, and output the relative generation gap based on the absolute performance gap and relative performance gap between the relevant products of the scientific research project and the competing products; B3: Calculate and generate the performance gap gain parameter based on the absolute performance gap, relative performance gap and relative generation gap; B4: Perform gain correction on the market value results of scientific research projects through the performance gap gain parameter, and output the final market value results of scientific research projects.
[0044] As a further improvement of this embodiment, in step B3, when calculating and generating the performance gap gain parameter according to the absolute performance gap, the relative performance gap and the relative generation gap, the following calculation formula is used: ; in: is the performance gap gain parameter, is the relative generation gap, which is calculated by the absolute performance gap and the relative performance gap. is the growth coefficient, obtained by traversing the market response model through relative generation difference to obtain the gain data of technological improvement on market size growth. The final market value result of the scientific research project.
[0045] Preferably, step B1 also includes the following steps: predicting future performance improvement parameters based on external information related to the scientific research project and / or the market demand model, and calculating the absolute performance gap and the relative performance gap after correcting the gain data based on the future performance improvement parameters.
[0046] When this embodiment is working, it can calculate and generate performance gap gain parameters according to the absolute performance gap, the relative performance gap and the relative generation gap, fully considering the huge impact of the performance generation gap on the market size, and demonstrating the benefit gain of the performance generation gap on the scientific research project by correcting the gain of the market value results of the scientific research project, thereby boosting the scientific research confidence of scientific research units and helping them better identify the subsequent key research and development directions of scientific research projects. Embodiment three:
[0047] See also Figure 4 This embodiment provides a scientific research project market value analysis system, which uses a scientific research project market value analysis method of the above embodiment, including: Information synchronization module 1 is used to obtain external information in real time, including competitive product information, market information and policy information related to scientific research projects; Project performance verification module 2, used to evaluate the performance parameters of various parts of the scientific research project based on external information; Market demand modeling module 3 is used to establish a market demand model based on external information to reflect the existing market size and potential market demand, and to establish a market response model based on external information to describe the impact of performance changes of competing products related to scientific research projects on market size; Project value analysis module 4 is used to output the market value results of the scientific research project based on the performance parameters of each part of the scientific research project, combined with the market demand model and the market response model; The information synchronization module 1, the project performance verification module 2, the market demand modeling module 3 and the project value analysis module 4 are data connected. The project value analysis module 2 generates performance gap gain parameters according to the market response model to correct the market value results of the scientific research projects generated according to the market demand model, and outputs the corrected market value results of the scientific research projects.
[0048] When this embodiment is working, through the mutual cooperation between the information synchronization module, the project performance verification module, the market demand modeling module and the project value analysis module, it can generate the market value results of the scientific research project in real time according to the external information related to the scientific research project, and can perform gain correction according to the performance gap gain parameter. The estimated value results have a high accuracy rate, which provides strong data support for managers to make better project decisions.
[0049] The beneficial technical effects of this embodiment include: the present invention can generate the market value of scientific research projects in combination with the external information of scientific research projects, so as to better assist managers to make better project decisions, improve the market competitiveness and overall benefits of scientific research projects, and at the same time, by establishing a market response model for describing the impact of performance changes of competing products related to scientific research projects on the market size, the market value results of scientific research projects are corrected for gain, which can further demonstrate the benefit gain of performance generation difference for scientific research projects, which can be used to boost the scientific research confidence of scientific research units and help scientific research units better identify the subsequent key research and development directions of scientific research projects, with good prompting effect and high prediction accuracy.
[0050] The above is only a specific embodiment of the present invention, but the protection scope of the present invention is not limited thereto. Those skilled in the art should understand that the present invention includes but is not limited to the contents described in the drawings and the above specific embodiments. Any modification that does not deviate from the functional and structural principles of the present invention will be included in the scope of the claims.
Claims
1. A method for analyzing the market value of a scientific research project, characterized in that: The following steps are involved: S1: Obtain relevant information and external information related to scientific research projects, establish a market demand model to reflect the existing market size and potential market demand, and establish a market response model to describe the impact of performance changes of competitive products related to scientific research projects on market size; S2: Generate the market value results of scientific research projects based on the relevant information of scientific research projects and the market demand model; S3: Establish corresponding performance evaluation standards based on the relevant information of the scientific research project, comprehensively quantify the performance parameters of each part of the scientific research project based on the performance evaluation standards, and compare them with the performance parameters of each part of the relevant competitive products in the external information to obtain the leading performance parameters; S4: Generate performance gap gain parameters based on leading performance parameters combined with the market response model, use the performance gap gain parameters to make gain corrections to the market value results of scientific research projects, and output the final market value results of scientific research projects.
2. A method for analyzing the market value of a scientific research project according to claim 1, characterized in that: In step S1, the external information includes at least one of competitive product information, market information and policy information related to the scientific research project.
3. A method for analyzing the market value of a scientific research project according to claim 2, characterized in that: In step S1, when establishing a market demand model for reflecting the existing market size and potential market demand, the following steps are adopted: based on external information related to the scientific research project, all application scenarios related to the scientific research project are subdivided, market boundaries are defined, and relevant competing products of the scientific research project are screened out. The existing market size is integrated based on the market information of the relevant competing products, and the changing trend of the market size is obtained. Growth-driven corrections are made in combination with policy information and competing product information, and potential market demand is output. The market demand model is output through integration.
4. The method for analyzing the market value of a scientific research project according to claim 2, characterized in that: In step S1, when establishing a market response model for describing the impact of performance changes of competing products related to scientific research projects on market size, the following steps are adopted: based on the relevant information of the scientific research project, through technical function deconstruction, key technology research and development directions are defined, and combined with external information related to the scientific research project, historical performance change data corresponding to the key technology research and development directions are obtained, the technology improvement intervals are set gradiently, and several groups of technology improvement intervals are intercepted. According to the time nodes corresponding to each technology improvement interval, the corresponding market size change information is obtained, the market response level of each group of technology improvement intervals is calibrated, and the market response model is output through integration.
5. The method for analyzing the market value of a scientific research project according to claim 1, characterized in that: In step S2, when generating the market value results of the scientific research project based on the relevant information of the scientific research project combined with the market demand model, the following steps are adopted: the degree of substitutability of the scientific research project for different types of competing products is evaluated based on the relevant information of the scientific research project, the market penetration rate of the scientific research project is evaluated by calculating the technical substitution advantage coefficient, and after calculating the substitution cost and policy subsidy to correct the market penetration rate, the market value results of the scientific research project are generated in combination with the market size of competing products.
6. The method for analyzing the market value of a scientific research project according to claim 1, characterized in that: In step S3, a corresponding performance evaluation standard is established according to the relevant information of the scientific research project. When the performance parameters of each part of the scientific research project are comprehensively quantified according to the performance evaluation standard, the following steps are adopted to identify key technical indicators according to the relevant information of the scientific research project. The key technical indicators include at least one of the following parameters: technology breakthrough related parameters, technology innovation related parameters, technology advancement related parameters, product performance related parameters, economic benefit related parameters, environmental benefit related parameters and social benefit related parameters.
7. A method for analyzing the market value of a scientific research project according to claim 6, characterized in that: In step S3, the following steps are used to compare the performance parameters of various parts of relevant competing products in the external information and obtain the leading performance parameters: A1: Traverse external information related to the scientific research project to obtain relevant competing products of the scientific research project, including direct competitors, indirect competitors and potential competitors; A2: Comprehensively quantify the performance parameters of each part of the competitive product through performance evaluation standards, use the SWOT analysis method to compare the scientific research project with the competitive product, and output the comparison results; A3: Based on the comparison results, key core indicators and corresponding leading performance parameters are statistically output.
8. The method for analyzing the market value of a scientific research project according to claim 1, characterized in that: In step S4, the performance gap gain parameter is generated according to the leading performance parameter combined with the market response model, and the market value result of the scientific research project is corrected by the performance gap gain parameter. When the final market value result of the scientific research project is output, the following steps are adopted: B1: Match the leading performance parameters in the market response model, obtain the gain data of technology improvement on market size growth, and calculate the absolute performance gap and relative performance gap; B2: Evaluate the generation gap threshold of technological progress based on gain data, and output the relative generation gap based on the absolute performance gap and relative performance gap between the relevant products of the scientific research project and the competing products; B3: Calculate and generate the performance gap gain parameter based on the absolute performance gap, relative performance gap and relative generation gap; B4: Perform gain correction on the market value results of scientific research projects through the performance gap gain parameter, and output the final market value results of scientific research projects.
9. A method for analyzing the market value of a scientific research project according to claim 8, characterized in that: In step B1, the following steps are also included: predicting future performance improvement parameters based on external information related to the scientific research project and / or market demand model, and calculating the absolute performance gap and the relative performance gap after correcting the gain data based on the future performance improvement parameters.
10. A scientific research project market value analysis system, using a scientific research project market value analysis method as described in any one of claims 1 to 9, characterized in that: include: An information synchronization module (1) is used to obtain external information in real time, wherein the external information includes competitive product information, market information and policy information related to scientific research projects; Project performance verification module (2), used to evaluate the performance parameters of various parts of the scientific research project based on external information; A market demand modeling module (3) is used to establish a market demand model based on external information to reflect the current market size and potential market demand, and to establish a market response model based on external information to describe the impact of performance changes of competing products related to the scientific research project on the market size; The project value analysis module (4) is used to output the market value results of the scientific research project based on the performance parameters of each part of the scientific research project in combination with the market demand model and the market response model; The information synchronization module (1), the project performance verification module (2), the market demand modeling module (3) and the project value analysis module (4) are data-connected. The project value analysis module (4) amends the market value result of the scientific research project generated according to the market demand model by generating a performance gap gain parameter according to the market response model, and outputs the amended market value result of the scientific research project.
Citation Information
Patent Citations
Scientific research project management system, control method and related equipment
CN118297475A
