The invention relates to a source load storage control method for sustainable and stable output of
new energy output power of an active
power grid, and belongs to the technical field of
new energy power systems. The method mainly comprises the following steps: based on ARIMA
model prediction and load elastic response, guiding a user to optimize
power consumption through real-time state
perception, power prediction and time-of-use
electricity price; a reference value is set and dynamically adjusted through multi-
source data fusion, historical data and a scheduling instruction are integrated, and an output value of the source-storage combined
system is corrected and output through an ARIMA model; a collaborative optimization mechanism is constructed, and load prediction,
energy storage life and
power grid interaction economy are optimized through multiple objective functions.
Dynamic monitoring is realized through generalized power modeling and bidirectional flow discrimination, precision is improved by combining ARIMA prediction and rolling correction, and abandoned power is reduced. The load side actively participates in the
electricity market, and the smooth curve relieves
peak pressure; the intelligent charging and discharging strategy prolongs the
energy storage life, optimizes economical efficiency and
environmental protection, and provides a feasible technical path for a high-proportion
new energy power grid.