Gust short-term weather forecast method

Abstract

The invention discloses a gust short-term weather forecast method. The method comprises the following steps: determining a forecast evaluation standard time period; according to the determined forecasting evaluation standard time period, four downscaling gust short-imminent forecasting results are obtained based on different factor data and a forecasting mode method for gust at different technical capture angles; according to the real-time monitoring data of the forecast evaluation standard time period, respectively performing real-time evaluation on the four gust short-term and imminent forecast results, and determining the weight of each gust short-term and imminent forecast result in the next forecast evaluation standard time period in the evaluation weight expression; according to the evaluation weight expression and the weight of each gust short-term and temporary weather forecast result, outputting and obtaining a gust short-term and temporary weather forecast result of the next forecast evaluation standard time period; and repeatedly executing the forecasting and evaluation steps to obtain a gust short-term weather forecasting result of each subsequent forecasting and evaluation standard time period. The downscaling gust short-term weather forecast method can realize more accurate and refined downscaling gust short-term weather forecast.

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