A government affair data monitoring analysis processing method and system based on big data

By constructing a multidimensional government affairs time series tensor and an improved TimesFM model, combined with causal discovery algorithms and backdoor criteria, the high false alarm rate and computational resource consumption of traditional government affairs data anomaly detection methods are solved, achieving efficient anomaly detection and root cause localization in complex government affairs systems.

CN122414550APending Publication Date: 2026-07-17SUZHOU HENGYUAN HUAJIAN INFORMATION TECH CO LTD
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Patent Information

Application Number
CN202610546053.6
Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Applications(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
Filing Date
2026-04-23
Publication Date
2026-07-17

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

Traditional methods for detecting anomalies in government data consume enormous computational resources in multi-source heterogeneous government systems, have a high false alarm rate, cannot identify the dynamic causal relationships behind the data, and lack characterization of the underlying data generation mechanisms, resulting in an inability to accurately locate the root cause and severely restricting response efficiency.

Method used

This paper adopts a big data-based government data monitoring and analysis method. By collecting data from multiple heterogeneous government systems, it performs spatiotemporal granular alignment and missing value imputation to construct a multidimensional government time series tensor. It uses an improved TimesFM time series model to extract deep time series dependency features, combines causal discovery algorithms and backdoor criteria to identify confounding factors, constructs a deconfounded causal structure equation model, generates a dynamic anomaly threshold curve, and accurately distinguishes between normal policy fluctuations and real business violations.

Benefits of technology

It significantly reduces the false alarm rate of anomaly detection, improves the model's prediction accuracy and response efficiency, and can accurately distinguish between normal policy fluctuations and real business violations in complex intervention environments, dynamically deducing the expected baseline trajectory after removing the impact of policy intervention.

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Abstract

本发明公开了一种基于大数据的政务数据监控分析处理方法及系统,包括:构建多维政务时序张量;将多维政务时序张量按设定的上下文窗口进行分块处理,并输入预训练的改进TimesFM时序大模型中,生成零基准时序表征;构建政务初始有向无环图;构建去混杂的政务时序因果结构方程模型;推演出剥离政策干预影响后的反事实基准轨迹序列;得到去伪存真的因果时序残差序列;自适应求解出对应于当前时间步的动态异常阈值曲线;生成包含异常根因路径的政务数据异常分析结果。本发明异常检测的误报率显著下降,在宏观政策密集出台期表现突出。
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