An application method of single-ship air defense and anti-missile integrated combat model

Abstract

The present invention discloses a method for applying a single-ship air defense and anti-missile integrated combat model, belonging to the technical field of ship anti-missile effectiveness evaluation. The method adopts a classification comprehensive evaluation method for evaluation. First, the incoming target type is determined, then the weapon style type is determined, and finally the comprehensive combat effectiveness is calculated. The classification comprehensive evaluation method is composed of a weapon type classification evaluation method and a target style classification evaluation method. The weapon type analysis method is classified according to passive interference, ship-to-air missile, and ship gun system resistance type. The target style classification evaluation method is classified according to single target, unidirectional target flow, multiple multi-directional target, and multiple multi-directional target flow attack style. The present invention also establishes a model for the above process, determines the success rate by a quantitative method, and comprehensively evaluates the single-ship air defense and anti-missile combat effectiveness from a quantitative perspective, avoiding the human factors in the previous expert consultation method and hierarchical analysis method evaluation, which is helpful to improve and modify the tactics and further improve the anti-missile combat capability.

Description

Technical Field

[0001] The present invention belongs to the technical field of ship anti-missile effectiveness evaluation, and in particular relates to an application method of a single-ship air defense and anti-missile integrated combat model. Background Art

[0002] At present, there are several methods for evaluating the comprehensive combat capability of surface ships' air defense and anti-missile capabilities, such as the expert consultation method and the analytic hierarchy process. In the existing technology, these methods are used to evaluate the comprehensive combat effectiveness of ships' air defense and anti-missile capabilities, making it easier to adjust combat methods and deployments. However, these existing methods still have the following drawbacks:

[0003] The existing assessment methods for the integrated combat capability of surface ships' air defense and anti-missile capabilities are largely influenced by the subjective factors of the assessors, resulting in great uncertainty and inability to conduct precise assessments based on accurate quantitative results. As a result, the accuracy and reliability of the assessment results are low and cannot meet the assessment requirements of existing technologies. Summary of the Invention

[0004] The purpose of this section is to summarize some aspects of the embodiments of the present invention and briefly introduce some preferred embodiments. Some simplifications or omissions may be made in this section and the abstract and title of this application to avoid obscuring the purpose of this section, the abstract and the title of the invention, and such simplifications or omissions should not be used to limit the scope of the present invention.

[0005] In view of the problem that the existing surface ship air defense and anti-missile comprehensive combat capability evaluation method believes that subjective factors lead to reduced evaluation accuracy, the present invention is proposed. The present invention proposes a classification comprehensive evaluation method based on probability theory, which objectively and quantitatively evaluates the air defense and anti-missile combat effectiveness of a single ship. It can also be used to evaluate the pros and cons of combat application methods, which is of great significance for improving and enhancing combat methods and improving the combat effectiveness of surface ships.

[0006] Therefore, one of the objects of the present invention is to provide an application method of a single-ship air defense and anti-missile integrated combat model.

[0007] To solve the above problems, the present invention adopts the following technical solutions.

[0008] A method for applying a single-ship air defense and anti-missile integrated combat model first determines the type of incoming target, then the weapon type, and finally calculates the integrated combat effectiveness based on a classification and comprehensive evaluation method.

[0009] The classification comprehensive evaluation method is composed of a weapon type classification evaluation method and a target style classification evaluation method. The weapon type analysis method is classified according to passive interference, ship-to-air missiles, and ship gun system resistance types; the target style classification evaluation method is classified according to single target, one-way target flow, multiple multi-directional targets, and multiple multi-directional target flow attack styles.

[0010] Preferably, in the weapon type classification and evaluation method, the probability model of the passive jamming against the target is:

[0011] Where: P 扰 The success rate of passive jamming against targets;

[0012] n is the number of fights;

[0013] P 扰x The success rate of the xth passive jamming against the target;

[0014] x is the order of resistance.

[0015] Preferably, in the weapon type classification evaluation method, the success probability model of the ship-to-air missile against the target is:

[0016] Where: P 弹 The success rate of aviation missiles in engaging targets;

[0017] n is the number of fights;

[0018] P 弹x The success rate of the xth aviation missile attack against the target;

[0019] x is the order of resistance.

[0020] Preferably, in the weapon type classification evaluation method, the success probability model of the naval gun system in engaging the target is:

[0021] Where: P 炮 The success rate of naval guns in engaging targets;

[0022] n is the number of fights;

[0023] P 炮x The success rate of the xth gun attack on the target;

[0024] x is the order of resistance.

[0025] Preferably, for a single target, the ship first uses passive interference, then uses ship-to-air missiles to counterattack, and finally uses naval guns to counterattack; the counterattack success rate model is:

[0026] P 单 =1-P 单突=1-(1-P 扰 )×(1-P 弹 )×(1-P 炮 ):

[0027] Where: P 单突 The success rate of penetration of a single target;

[0028] P 单 To combat single target success rate;

[0029] P 扰 The success rate of passive jamming against targets;

[0030] P 弹 The success rate of aviation missiles in engaging targets;

[0031] P 炮 The success rate of the naval gun in engaging the target.

[0032] Preferably, soft and hard weapons are used to resist the target flow. The success of the target flow penetration is divided into two cases. One is that both soft and hard weapons fail to resist; the other is that soft and hard weapons only resist the former, passive interference and ship-to-air missiles fail, ship guns resist successfully, and the last target is not resisted or resisted. The success probability model of resisting a single target flow is:

[0033] P 流 =1-P 流突 =1-(P 1突 +P 2突 )

[0034] Where: P 流 To combat the success rate of single-target flow;

[0035] P 流突 The success rate of single-target penetration;

[0036] P 1突 is the target flow penetration success rate in the first case;

[0037] P 2突 It is the target flow penetration success rate in the second case.

[0038] Preferably, when both soft and hard weapons fail to resist, the target flow penetration success probability model is:

[0039] P 1突 =(1-P 扰 )×(1-P 弹 )×(1-P 炮 )

[0040] Where: P 1突 is the target flow penetration success rate;

[0041] P 扰 The success rate of passive jamming against targets;

[0042] P 弹 The success rate of aviation missiles in engaging targets;

[0043] P 炮 The success rate of the naval gun in engaging the target.

[0044] Preferably, soft and hard weapons only resist the former, passive jamming and ship-to-air missiles fail, and naval guns resist successfully. In the case that the last target is not resisted or the resistance is not achieved, the target flow penetration success probability model is:

[0045] P 2突 =(1-P 扰 )×(1-P 弹 )×P 炮

[0046] Where: P 2突 is the target flow penetration success rate;

[0047] P 扰 The success rate of passive jamming against targets;

[0048] P 弹 The success rate of aviation missiles in engaging targets;

[0049] P 炮 The success rate of the naval gun in engaging the target.

[0050] Preferably, the successful interception probability model for countering multiple and multi-directional targets is:

[0051]

[0052] Where: P is the probability of successful interception against multiple and multi-directional targets;

[0053] N is the direction number;

[0054] P N is the probability of successfully intercepting the target in direction N;

[0055] Where: P N =1-P N向突 =1-(1-P N向扰 )×(1-P N向弹 )×(1-P N向炮 ) Where: P N向突 The success rate of penetration of the target in direction N;

[0056] P N is the probability of successfully intercepting the target in direction N;

[0057] PN向扰 is the success rate of passive jamming against the target in direction N;

[0058] P N向弹 is the success rate of air-to-air missiles in attacking targets in direction N;

[0059] P N向炮 is the success rate of the naval gun against the target in direction N. Preferably, the successful interception probability model for resisting multiple multi-directional target streams is:

[0060] P 总 =P 单总 ×P 流总

[0061] Where, P 总 To combat the success rate of multiple and multi-directional target flows;

[0062] P 单总 The success rate of attacking a single target in N directions;

[0063] P 流总 is the success rate of resisting the target flow in N directions;

[0064] in: Where, P 单总 The success rate of attacking a single target in N directions;

[0065] P 流总 is the success rate of resisting the target flow in N directions;

[0066] P N单 The success rate of attacking a single target in direction N;

[0067] P N流 The success rate of resisting the target flow in direction N;

[0068] N is the direction number.

[0069] Beneficial effects

[0070] Compared with the prior art, the present invention has the following beneficial effects:

[0071] The evaluation method of the present invention has the following two beneficial effects: (1) The classification comprehensive evaluation method established based on probability theory, including type classification method and style classification method, comprehensively evaluates the air defense and anti-missile combat effectiveness of a single ship from a quantitative perspective, avoiding the human factors in the previous expert consultation method and hierarchical analysis method evaluation; (2) It can also evaluate the advantages and disadvantages of different combat application methods, find the shortcomings and defects in the application of tactics, help to improve and modify the tactics, and further improve the air defense and anti-missile combat capability of a single ship. BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS

[0072] Figure 1This is a principle block diagram of the air combat system of the present invention;

[0073] Figure 2 This is a schematic diagram of the structure of the target classification synthesis in the present invention;

[0074] Figure 3 Flowchart of the method for evaluating the comprehensive combat effectiveness of single-ship air defense and anti-missile in the present invention;

[0075] Figure 4 This is a diagram of the air defense and anti-missile combat situation of a surface ship formation in an embodiment of the present invention. DETAILED DESCRIPTION

[0076] In order to make the above-mentioned objects, features and advantages of the present invention more obvious and easy to understand, the specific embodiments of the present invention are described in detail below with reference to the accompanying drawings.

[0077] In the following description, many specific details are set forth to facilitate a full understanding of the present invention. However, the present invention may also be implemented in other ways different from those described herein. Those skilled in the art may make similar generalizations without violating the connotation of the present invention. Therefore, the present invention is not limited to the specific embodiments disclosed below.

[0078] Secondly, the term "one embodiment" or "embodiment" herein refers to a specific feature, structure, or characteristic that may be included in at least one implementation of the present invention. The phrase "in one embodiment" appearing in various places throughout this specification does not necessarily refer to the same embodiment, nor does it refer to a separate or selective embodiment that is mutually exclusive of other embodiments.

[0079] In order to objectively and quantitatively evaluate the effectiveness of a single-ship air defense and anti-missile integrated combat, the present invention provides an application method for a single-ship air defense and anti-missile integrated combat model. The evaluation is carried out according to a classification comprehensive evaluation method. The evaluation method includes three steps: the first step: determining the type of incoming target; the second step: determining the weapon style type; and the third step: calculating the comprehensive combat effectiveness.

[0080] like Figure 3 As shown, in the present invention, the incoming target types include single target, single target flow, dual-launch bidirectional target, dual-launch bidirectional target flow, multiple-launch multi-directional target and multiple-launch multi-directional target flow. In the present invention, the weapon type types include passive jamming, missile countermeasures and naval gun countermeasures.

[0081] The present invention adopts a classification comprehensive evaluation method to evaluate the comprehensive combat effectiveness of a single ship's air defense and anti-missile. The classification comprehensive evaluation method is composed of a weapon type classification evaluation method and a target style classification evaluation method. It is a comprehensive evaluation method established on the basis of probability theory. This method is not limited to the evaluation of the combat effectiveness of a single ship, but also focuses on evaluating the advantages and disadvantages of different combat application methods.

[0082] like Figure 1 As shown, in this invention, ship-based air and missile defense operations utilize a combination of soft and hard countermeasures, including electronic warfare systems, ship-to-air missile weapon systems, and ship-to-air gun weapon systems. Through a combination of soft and hard countermeasures, layered interception, and echeloned countermeasures, the probability of intercepting typical missile targets is maximized. A comprehensive assessment of a single ship's air and missile defense effectiveness is based on the core indicator capabilities of its anti-missile weaponry and, based on probabilistic analysis, establishes a weapon type classification method and a target pattern classification method.

[0083] The weapon type classification and evaluation method is based on the passive interference, ship-to-air missile, and naval gun system resistance type classification, and establishes a success probability model for a certain target respectively; the target style classification method is based on the typical target attack style, and classifies it according to the resistance to single target, one-way target flow, multiple multi-directional targets, and multi-directional multi-target flow, and establishes a comprehensive evaluation model by category to evaluate the comprehensive anti-missile effectiveness.

[0084] In the above weapon type classification and evaluation method, the success probability model of passive jamming against the target is:

[0085] Where: P 扰 The success rate of passive jamming against targets;

[0086] n is the number of fights;

[0087] P 扰x The success rate of the xth passive jamming against the target;

[0088] x is the order of the fight, such as the xth fight.

[0089] In the above weapon type classification and evaluation method, the success probability model of ship-to-air missiles against targets is:

[0090] Where: P 弹 The success rate of aviation missiles in engaging targets;

[0091] n is the number of fights;

[0092] P 弹x The success rate of the xth aviation missile attack against the target;

[0093] x is the order of the fight, such as the xth fight.

[0094] In the above weapon type classification and evaluation method, the success probability model of the naval gun system against the target is:

[0095] Where: P 炮 The success rate of naval guns in engaging targets;

[0096] n is the number of fights;

[0097] P 炮x The success rate of the xth gun attack on the target;

[0098] x is the order of the fight, such as the xth fight.

[0099] like Figure 2 As shown, the target pattern classification and evaluation method is based on the type classification and evaluation method, and is secondary classified according to the attack patterns of single target, unidirectional target flow, multiple-shot multi-directional target, and multiple-shot multi-directional target flow;

[0100] (1) Fighting against a single target

[0101] For a single target, the ship first uses passive interference, then uses ship-to-air missiles to counterattack, and finally uses naval guns to counterattack. A counterattack success rate model is established:

[0102] The success probability model of a single target penetration is: P 单突 =(1-P 扰 )×(1-P 弹 )×(1-P 炮 );

[0103] Therefore, the success model for fighting a single target is: P 单 =1-P 单突 =1-(1-P 扰 )×(1-P 弹 )×(1-P 炮 ).

[0104] In the above formula: P 单突 The success rate of penetration of a single target;

[0105] P 单 To combat single target success rate;

[0106] P 扰 The success rate of passive jamming against targets;

[0107] P 弹 The success rate of aviation missiles in engaging targets;

[0108] P 炮 The success rate of the naval gun in engaging the target.

[0109] (2) Fighting against one-way target flow

[0110] For unidirectional target streams, the ship's warning radar can detect them normally, but whether it can distinguish them depends on the specific radar type. Targets that can be batched are treated as single targets, and those that cannot be batched separately use the following method. Because it is a unidirectional target stream, multiple targets are attacking from the same direction, so the ship's passive jamming is effective against all target streams, and the success rate of counterattack is the same. In hard weapon counterattacks, hard weapons prioritize counterattacks against targets close to the ship, and after successful counterattacks, they continue to counter subsequent targets. Successful penetration of the target stream can be divided into two situations: ① Both soft and hard weapon counterattacks fail; ② Only soft and hard weapons counterattack the former, passive jamming and ship-to-air missiles fail, naval gun counterattacks succeed, and the target at the end is not counterattacked or counterattack is not achieved.

[0111] ① In the first case, when both soft and hard weapons fail to resist, the target flow penetration success probability model is: P 1突 =(1-P 扰 )×(1-P 弹 )×(1-P 炮 )

[0112] Where: P 1突 The first case is the target flow penetration success rate when both soft and hard weapons fail to resist;

[0113] P 扰 The success rate of passive jamming against targets;

[0114] P 弹 The success rate of aviation missiles in engaging targets;

[0115] P 炮 The success rate of the naval gun in engaging the target.

[0116] ② In the second case, that is, soft and hard weapons only resist the former, passive jamming and ship-to-air missiles fail, and the ship gun resists successfully. In the case that the target at the end is not resisted or the resistance is not achieved, the target flow penetration success probability model is: P 2突 =(1-P 扰 )×(1-P 弹 )×P 炮

[0117] Where: P 2突 For the second case, that is, soft and hard weapons only resist the former, passive jamming and ship-to-air missiles fail, and naval guns successfully resist. The target flow penetration success rate is the case when the target at the end is not resisted or the resistance is not achieved.

[0118] P 扰 The success rate of passive jamming against targets;

[0119] P 弹 The success rate of aviation missiles in engaging targets;

[0120] P 炮 The success rate of the naval gun in engaging the target.

[0121] Based on the above two situations, the success probability model of single target flow penetration is: P 流突 =P 1突 +P 2突

[0122] Where: P 流突 The success rate of single-target penetration;

[0123] P 1突 is the target flow penetration success rate in the first case;

[0124] P 2突 It is the target flow penetration success rate in the second case.

[0125] Therefore, the success probability model for combating single target flow is: P 流 =1-P 流突 =1-(P 1突 +P 2突 )

[0126] Where: P 流 To combat the success rate of single-target flow;

[0127] P 流突 The success rate of single-target penetration;

[0128] P 1突 is the target flow penetration success rate in the first case;

[0129] P 2突 It is the target flow penetration success rate in the second case.

[0130] (3) Fighting against multiple and multi-directional targets

[0131] In the fight against multiple and multi-directional targets, when passive interference is carried out on the targets, the attack directions of multiple targets are different and the angles of attack are different, so the success rate of the fight is also different; in the fight against hard weapons, multiple targets are fought separately, and the number of fights and the success probability are also different.

[0132] Direction 1, the target penetration success rate model is: P 1向突 =(1-P 1向扰 )×(1-P 1向弹 )×(1-P 1向炮 )

[0133] Direction 1, the successful interception probability model is: P1 = 1-P 1向突 =1-(1-P 1向扰 )×(1-P 1向弹 )×(1-P 1向炮)

[0134] Where: P 1向突 The success rate of penetration of the target in direction 1;

[0135] P1 is the probability of successfully intercepting the target in direction 1;

[0136] P 1向扰 is the success rate of passive jamming against the target in direction 1;

[0137] P 1向弹 The success rate of the aviation missile in attacking the target in direction 1;

[0138] P 1向炮 It is the success rate of the naval gun attacking the target in direction 1.

[0139] ······

[0140] Direction N, the target penetration success rate model is: P N向突 =(1-P N向扰 )×(1-P N向弹 )×(1-P N向炮 )

[0141] Direction N, the successful interception probability model is: P N =1-P N向突 =1-(1-P N向扰 )×(1-P N向弹 )×(1-P N向炮 ) Where: P N向突 The success rate of penetration of the target in direction N;

[0142] P N is the probability of successfully intercepting the target in direction N;

[0143] P N向扰 is the success rate of passive jamming against the target in direction N;

[0144] P N向弹 is the success rate of air-to-air missiles in attacking targets in direction N;

[0145] P N向炮 is the success rate of the naval gun attacking the target in direction N.

[0146] Based on the above directions 1, ······, direction N, the probability model for successful interception against multiple and multi-directional targets is:

[0147] Where: P is the probability of successful interception against multiple and multi-directional targets;

[0148] N is the direction number;

[0149] P Nis the probability of successfully intercepting the target in direction N.

[0150] (4) Fighting against multiple and multi-directional target flows

[0151] In countering multiple and multi-directional target flows, incoming targets from different directions may be composed of single targets or target flows. The segmentation method is used to refer to the models for countering unidirectional targets and target flows to establish single target and target flow penetration success models respectively. The success probability model of multiple and multi-directional target flows is established according to the method for countering multiple and multi-directional targets.

[0152] Among them, the single target interception success probability model is:

[0153] Where, P 单总 The success rate of attacking a single target in N directions;

[0154] P N单 The success rate of attacking a single target in direction N;

[0155] N is the direction number.

[0156] Among them, the target flow interception success probability model is:

[0157] Where, P 流总 is the success rate of resisting the target flow in N directions;

[0158] P N流 The success rate of resisting the target flow in direction N;

[0159] N is the direction number.

[0160] Based on the above single target interception success probability model and target flow interception success probability model, the comprehensive success probability model for countering multiple multi-directional target flows is: P 总 =P 单总 ×P 流总 .

[0161] Where, P 总 To combat the success rate of multiple and multi-directional target flows;

[0162] P 单总 The success rate of attacking a single target in N directions;

[0163] P 流总 is the success rate of resisting the target flow in N directions.

[0164] In order to further illustrate the single-ship air defense and anti-missile comprehensive combat effectiveness evaluation method of the present invention and verify the feasibility of the method of the present invention, the present invention uses the following examples for specific explanation.

[0165] Example

[0166] like Figure 4 As shown in FIG, this is a certain exercise. The exercise data is used as the data in this embodiment. The two frigates A and B are located at points 01' and 01", respectively. Four target drones take off from the support ship and attack point 01 from three directions: a, b, and c. The attack is launched at point 01, where direction a is the target flow. The situation diagram is shown in FIG. Figure 4 After discovering the target, the participating ships each adopted different tactics to fight back. The basic process was to conduct ship maneuvers in advance, implement passive jamming, and then, under the guidance of the early warning detection system, launch hard weapon attacks against incoming targets from three directions to achieve comprehensive air defense.

[0167] Ship A uses tactics 1 and implements passive jamming once. For the target flow in direction a, ship-to-air missiles attack twice and ship guns attack once. For targets in directions b and c, ship-to-air missiles attack once each and ship guns attack once each. The specific attack situation is shown in the table below. All data are set manually:

[0168]

[0169] Based on the classification and comprehensive evaluation method and the data in the table above, the comprehensive evaluation of ship A's air defense and anti-missile combat effectiveness is as follows:

[0170] a direction: P 扰 =0.92; P 弹 =1-(1-0.72)×(1-0.72)=0.92; P 炮 =0.21;

[0171] P 1突 =(1-P 扰 )×(1-P 弹 )×(1-P 炮 )=(1-0.92)×(1-0.92)×(1-0.21)=0.51%

[0172] P 2突 =(1-P 扰 )×(1-P 弹 )×P 炮 =(1-0.92)×(1-0.92)×0.21=0.13%

[0173] P 流突 =P 1突 +P 2突 =0.51%+0.13%=0.64%

[0174] P 流 =1-P 流突 =1-(P 1突 +P 2突 )=1-0.64%=99.36%

[0175] b direction: P 扰 =0.45; P 弹 =0.72; P 炮 =0.21;

[0176] P 单 =1-P 单突 =1-(1-P 扰 )×(1-P 弹 )×(1-P 炮 )

[0177] =1-(1-0.45)×(1-0.72)×(1-0.21)=87.83%

[0178] c direction: P 扰 =0.34; P 弹 =0.72; P 炮 =0.21;

[0179] P 单 =1-P 单突 =1-(1-P 扰 )×(1-P 弹 )×(1-P 炮 )

[0180] =1-(1-0.34)×(1-0.72)×(1-0.21)=85.40%

[0181] Therefore, based on the interception success rate of the three directions a, b, and c,

[0182] The comprehensive interception probability of ship A's air defense and anti-missile defense is: P 总 =99.36%×87.83%×85.40%=74.53%

[0183] The comprehensive interception probability of ship A's air defense and anti-missile is 74.53%.

[0184] Ship B uses tactics 2, implementing passive jamming once. For target streams in direction a, ship-to-air missiles counterattack twice and ship guns counterattack once. For targets in direction b, ship-to-air missiles counterattack twice each and ship guns counterattack once. For targets in direction c, ship guns counterattack once. Specific counterattack situations are shown in the table below, all data are manually set:

[0185]

[0186] Based on the classification and comprehensive evaluation method and the data in the table above, the comprehensive evaluation of the air defense and anti-missile combat effectiveness of ship B is as follows:

[0187] a direction: P 扰 =0.43; P 弹=1-(1-0.72)×(1-0.72)=0.92;P 炮 =0.21;

[0188] Q 1突 =(1-P 扰 )×(1-P 弹 )×(1-P 炮 )=(1-0.43)×(1-0.92)×(1-0.21)=3.60%

[0189] Q 2突 =(1-P 扰 )×(1-P 弹 )×P 炮 =(1-0.43)×(1-0.92)×0.21=0.96%

[0190] Q 流突 =P 1突 +P 2突 =3.60%+0.96%=4.56%

[0191] Q 流 =1-P 流突 =1-(P 1突 +P 2突 )=1-4.56%=95.44%

[0192] b direction:P 扰 =0.28;P 弹 =1-(1-0.72)×(1-0.72)=0.92;P 炮 =0.21;

[0193] Q 单 =1-P 单突 =1-(1-P 扰 )×(1-P 弹 )×(1-P 炮 )

[0194] =1-(1-0.28)×(1-0.92)×(1-0.21)=95.45%

[0195] c direction:P 扰 =0.17;P 炮 =0.21;

[0196] Q 单 =1-P 单突 =1-(1-P 扰 )×(1-P 弹 )×(1-P 炮 )

[0197] =1-(1-0.17)×(1-0)×(1-0.21)=34.43%

[0198] Therefore, the interception success rate based on the three directions a, b, and c is

[0199] The comprehensive interception probability of ship B's air defense and anti-missile defense is: P 总 =95.44%×95.45%×34.43%=31.36%

[0200] The comprehensive interception probability of ship B's air defense and anti-missile is 31.36%.

[0201] Through the classification and comprehensive evaluation method, it is found that the tactic 1 adopted by ship A is significantly better than the tactic 2 adopted by ship B. The disadvantage of tactic 2 is that the ship is not maneuverable enough during passive interference, and passive interference is not implemented at the maximum interception probability; when hard weapons are used, uniform resistance is not achieved. Therefore, the evaluation method in the present invention is based on the classification and comprehensive evaluation method established by probability theory, which includes type classification method and style classification method. It comprehensively evaluates the effectiveness of single-ship air defense and anti-missile operations from a quantitative perspective, avoiding the human factors in the previous expert consultation method and hierarchical analysis method evaluation; at the same time, it can also evaluate the advantages and disadvantages of different combat application methods, find the shortcomings and defects in the application of tactics, help to improve and modify tactics, and further improve the air defense and anti-missile combat capabilities of single ships.

[0202] The above content is a further detailed description of the present invention in conjunction with specific implementation methods. It cannot be determined that the specific implementation of the present invention is limited to these descriptions. For ordinary technicians in the technical field to which the present invention belongs, they can make several simple deductions or substitutions without departing from the concept of the present invention, which should be regarded as falling within the scope of protection determined by the claims submitted for the present invention.

Claims

1. A method for applying a single-ship air defense and anti-missile integrated combat model, which first determines the type of incoming target, then determines the weapon type, and finally calculates the integrated combat effectiveness based on a classification and comprehensive evaluation method; the method is characterized by: The classification comprehensive evaluation method consists of a weapon type classification evaluation method and a target style classification evaluation method. The weapon type classification evaluation method is classified according to passive interference, ship-to-air missiles, and ship gun system resistance types; the target style classification evaluation method is classified according to single target, unidirectional target flow, multiple-shot multi-directional target, and multiple-shot multi-directional target flow attack styles; For a single target, the ship first uses passive interference, then uses ship-to-air missiles to fight, and finally uses naval guns to fight; the success rate model for fighting is: P 单 =1-P 单突 =1-(1-P 扰 )×(1-P 弹 )×(1-P 炮 ); Where: P 单突 The success rate of penetration of a single target; P 单 To combat single target success rate; P 扰 The success rate of passive jamming against targets; P 弹 The success rate of aviation missiles in engaging targets; P 炮 The success rate of naval guns in engaging targets; Using soft and hard weapons to resist the target flow, the target flow penetration success is divided into two cases, one of which is that both soft and hard weapons fail to resist; the other is that soft and hard weapons only resist the former, passive interference and ship-to-air missiles fail, ship guns resist successfully, and the last target is not resisted or the resistance is not achieved. The success probability model of resisting a single target flow is: P 流 =1-P 流突 =1-(P 1突 +P 2突 ); Where: P 流 To combat the success rate of single-target flow; P 流突 The success rate of single-target penetration; P 1突 is the target flow penetration success rate in the first case; P 2突 is the target flow penetration success rate in the second case; When both soft and hard weapons fail to resist, the target flow penetration success probability model is: P 1突 =(1-P 扰 )×(1-P 弹 )×(1-P 炮 ) Soft and hard weapons only resist the former, passive jamming and ship-to-air missiles fail, and ship guns successfully resist. If the target at the end is not resisted or the resistance is not achieved, the target flow penetration success probability model is: P 2突 =(1-P 扰 )×(1-P 弹 )×P 炮 ; The successful interception probability model against multiple and multi-directional targets is: Where: P is the probability of successful interception against multiple and multi-directional targets; N is the direction number; P N is the probability of successfully intercepting the target in direction N; Where: P N =1-P N向突 =1-(1-P N向扰 )×(1-P N向弹 )×(1-P N向炮 ) Where: P N向突 The success rate of penetration of the target in direction N; P N向扰 is the success rate of passive jamming against the target in direction N; P N向弹 is the success rate of air-to-air missiles in attacking targets in direction N; P N向炮 is the success rate of the naval guns in direction N against the target; The successful interception probability model against multiple multi-directional target flows is: P 总 =P 单总 ×P 流总 ; Where, P 总 To combat the success rate of multiple and multi-directional target flows; P 单总 The success rate of attacking a single target in N directions; P 流总 is the success rate of resisting the target flow in N directions; in: Where, P N单 The success rate of attacking a single target in direction N; P N流 is the success rate of resisting the target flow in direction N.

2. The single-ship air defense and anti-missile integrated combat model application method according to claim 1 is characterized by: In the weapon type classification and evaluation method, the success probability model of passive jamming against a target is: Where: P 扰 The success rate of passive jamming against targets; n is the number of fights; P 扰x The success rate of the xth passive jamming against the target; x is the order of resistance.

3. The single-ship air defense and anti-missile integrated combat model application method according to claim 1 is characterized by: In the weapon type classification evaluation method, the success probability model of the ship-to-air missile against the target is: Where: P 弹 The success rate of aviation missiles in engaging targets; n is the number of fights; P 弹x The success rate of the xth aviation missile attack against the target; x is the order of resistance.

4. The single-ship air defense and anti-missile integrated combat model application method according to claim 1 is characterized by: In the weapon type classification evaluation method, the success probability model of the naval gun system against the target is: Where: P 炮 The success rate of naval guns in engaging targets; n is the number of fights; P 炮x The success rate of the xth gun attack on the target; x is the order of resistance.

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