A method for measuring and calculating carbon emission reduction
By establishing a database and designing a calculation model, carbon emissions are calculated using the turnover method or the inventory method, solving the problem of carbon emission reduction calculation for commercial freight transportation and enabling a scientific evaluation of the emission reduction effects of policy measures.
Patent Information
- Application Number
- CN202211567289.6
- Authority / Receiving Office
- CN · China
- Patent Type
- Patents(China)
- Current Assignee / Owner
- Filing Date
- 2022-12-07
- Publication Date
- 2025-12-05
- Estimated Expiration
- 2042-12-07
AI Technical Summary
Existing technologies cannot effectively measure carbon emission reductions from commercial highways, waterways, railways, and civil aviation freight, nor can they provide a direct assessment of the emission reduction effects of policies and measures.
Establish a basic database, including the level of commercial freight transport activities, energy consumption level, and carbon emission factors. Design carbon emission reduction calculation models for different policy measures, calculate carbon emissions using the turnover method or the stock method, convert policy measures into quantitative parameters, and output carbon emission reductions.
It enables the scientific calculation of carbon emission reductions in commercial freight transportation, assesses the emission reduction effects of different policies and measures, and provides a reference for decision-makers.
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Figure CN115775098B_ABST
Abstract
Description
TECHNICAL FIELD
[0001] The present application relates to the technical field of energy saving and emission reduction, and particularly relates to a carbon emission reduction amount calculation method. BACKGROUND
[0002] Business cargo transportation (road, water, rail, air) is an important part of the transportation industry, and its carbon emission accounts for a large proportion of the entire transportation industry. Carbon emission reduction calculation is to calculate the carbon emission reduction effect of different policy measures. Existing policy measures mainly include promoting transportation structure adjustment, accelerating new energy transportation vehicles, railway electrification and civil aviation bio-jet fuel application. The carbon emission reduction effect of different policy measures needs to convert the policy measures into quantitative parameters, scientifically quantitatively predict the carbon emission before and after the implementation of the policy measures, and finally calculate the carbon emission reduction amount under different policy measures.
[0003] At present, the carbon emission of the transportation industry is mainly calculated by the "bottom-up" or "top-down" method, and the carbon peak time and carbon emission peak under different policy measures are calculated. Although this method can predict the carbon emission trend of the transportation industry, it cannot determine the emission reduction effect after the implementation of a certain policy measure.
[0004] In the prior art, the patent document with the publication number CN106600027A discloses a carbon emission calculation system and method for urban transportation. The calculation boundary is intercity passenger transport, urban passenger transport and urban freight transport, which is equivalent to the calculation boundary of the passenger transport part of highway transportation and urban passenger transport. The emission reduction amount of business highway, waterway, railway and civil aviation freight transport is not calculated. Moreover, the policy parameterization is a hypothesis that applies the macro policy measures published by the government and industry to different scenarios. The policy measures are not directly converted into parameter values to calculate the emission reduction result.
[0005] The patent document with the publication number CN114417614A discloses a carbon emission reduction amount calculation method under the spatial control measures of central urban motor vehicles. The calculation boundary is public transportation and cars in central urban areas, and the emission reduction amount of business highway, waterway, railway and civil aviation freight transport is not calculated. The purpose of the invention is to verify the influence on the emission reduction effect after the implementation of a certain traffic control measure.
[0006] There is no related content in the prior art that can directly evaluate the emission reduction effect of each policy measure, and it is impossible to predict the emission reduction effect after the implementation of a certain policy measure. SUMMARY
[0007] The present application aims at the above problems, and provides a carbon emission reduction amount calculation method, which is based on the operating freight transport activity level, energy consumption level, energy coal conversion coefficient and carbon emission factor basic data, and is designed to have a targeted calculation method for different policy measures, so as to output the carbon emission reduction amount calculation result of the operating freight transport after the implementation of a certain policy measure, and provide a basis for decision makers to select emission reduction measures.
[0008] The technical scheme for solving the technical problems of the present application is:
[0009] A carbon emission reduction amount calculation method, comprising the following steps:
[0010] Step (1): establishing a basic database, and the data includes operating freight transport activity level, energy consumption level, energy coal conversion coefficient and carbon emission factor;
[0011] Step (2): converting different policy measures into quantitative parameters;
[0012] Step (3): designing a carbon emission reduction amount calculation model under different policy measures, which includes calculating the carbon emission amount by using the turnover method or the retention method and the calculation method of the carbon emission reduction amount of the operating freight transport before and after the implementation of different policies;
[0013] Step (4): outputting the carbon emission reduction amount under the implementation of a certain policy measure.
[0014] Further, the operating freight transport activity level in step (1) includes the freight turnover of highways, railways, waterways and civil aviation, the number of vehicles using diesel, natural gas, electricity and hydrogen energy and the annual average driving mileage, and the number of ships using diesel, natural gas, fuel oil and electricity energy and the navigation mileage;
[0015] Further, the energy consumption level in step (1) includes the energy consumption per unit turnover of highway freight transport, railway freight transport, waterway freight transport and civil aviation freight transport, the energy consumption per 100 kilometers of highway freight transport vehicles and the energy consumption per unit mileage of ships;
[0016] Further, the energy coal conversion coefficient in step (1) includes the energy coal conversion coefficients of gasoline, diesel, natural gas, aviation kerosene, fuel oil, electricity, hydrogen energy, coal and biomass aviation kerosene energy;
[0017] Further, the carbon emission factor in step (1) includes the carbon emission factors of gasoline, diesel, natural gas, aviation kerosene, fuel oil, electricity, hydrogen energy, coal and biomass aviation kerosene energy;
[0018] Further, the different policy measures in steps (2) and (3) include the adjustment of transport structure, the new energy of transport vehicles, the popularization and use of electric ships, the electrification of railways, the use of biomass aviation kerosene in civil aviation and the improvement of energy efficiency.
[0019] The new energy includes electricity, hydrogen energy.
[0020] Further, the policy measures are converted into quantitative parameters, including the freight transport turnover of various transportation modes, vehicle mileage, energy consumption data of various types, and freight vehicle ownership data parameters involved in the policy measures;
[0021] The various transportation modes include highways, railways, waterways, and civil aviation, and the various types of energy include gasoline, diesel, natural gas, aviation kerosene, fuel oil, electricity, hydrogen energy, coal, and biomass aviation kerosene.
[0022] Further, the turnover method for calculating the carbon emission amount in step (3) is as follows:
[0023] C=QxAxEF (1.1)
[0024] In formula (1.1), C is the carbon emission amount, Q is the freight turnover, A is the energy consumption per unit turnover, and EF is the carbon emission factor.
[0025] Further, the ownership method for calculating the carbon emission amount in step (3) is as follows:
[0026] C=NxSxAxEF (1.2)
[0027] In formula (1.2), C is the carbon emission amount, N is the vehicle ownership, S is the average annual mileage of the vehicle, A is the energy consumption per 100 kilometers, and EF is the carbon emission factor.
[0028] The carbon emission reduction amount of the operating freight transportation brought by the transportation structure adjustment in step (3) can be the carbon emission reduction amount brought by the conversion of highways to railways and the conversion of highways to waterways, and the calculation formula is as follows:
[0029]
[0030] In formula (1.3), C1 is the carbon emission reduction amount of the operating freight transportation brought by the transportation structure adjustment, ton of carbon;
[0031] Q gj , Q ti , and Q sp are the freight turnover of the jth type of energy used by highway transportation, the ith type of energy used by railway transportation, and the pth type of energy used by waterway transportation before the transportation structure adjustment, ton-kilometers.
[0032] A gj , A ti , and A spEnergy consumption per unit turnover of the jth type of energy for road transportation, energy consumption per unit turnover of the ith type of energy for railway transportation, energy consumption per unit turnover of the pth type of energy for waterway transportation, ton of standard coal / ton kilometer;
[0033] EF gj , EF ti , EF sp Carbon emission factor of the jth type of energy for road transportation, carbon emission factor of the ith type of energy for railway transportation, carbon emission factor of the pth type of energy for waterway transportation, ton of carbon / ton of standard coal;
[0034] Q' gj , Q' ti , Q' sp Cargo turnover of the jth type of energy for road transportation, cargo turnover of the ith type of energy for railway transportation, cargo turnover of the pth type of energy for waterway transportation after adjustment of transportation structure, ton kilometer;
[0035] The value of n is 4, representing 4 types of energy used by road transportation, j = 1 for diesel, j = 2 for natural gas, j = 3 for hydrogen energy, and j = 4 for electricity; the value of m is 5, representing 5 types of energy used by railway transportation, i = 1 for diesel, i = 2 for natural gas, i = 3 for gasoline, i = 4 for electricity, and i = 5 for coal; the value of z is 3, representing 3 types of energy used by waterway transportation, p = 1 for fuel oil, p = 2 for diesel, and p = 3 for natural gas.
[0036] The carbon emission reduction amount of business cargo transportation brought by new energy of transportation vehicles in step (3) refers to the carbon emission reduction amount of business cargo transportation brought by popularization and use of new energy tractor units, and the calculation formula is as follows:
[0037]
[0038] In formula (1.4), C2 is the carbon emission reduction amount of business cargo transportation brought by new energy of transportation vehicles, ton of carbon; N j is the number of vehicles using the jth type of energy, vehicles; S j is the annual average driving distance of vehicles using the jth type of energy, kilometers; A j is the energy consumption per 100 kilometers of vehicles using the jth type of energy, ton of standard coal / 100 kilometers; EF j , EF e are carbon emission factors of the jth type of energy and new energy, ton of carbon / ton of standard coal; the value of n is 2, representing the type of energy used by transportation vehicles, j = 1 for diesel and j = 2 for natural gas.
[0039] Further, the carbon emission reduction amount of business cargo transportation brought by popularization and use of electric ships in step (3) has the calculation formula as follows:
[0040]
[0041] In formula (1.5), C3 is the carbon emission reduction of commercial freight transportation brought by the popularization and use of electric ships, tons of carbon; N p is the number of ships using the pth type of energy, ships; S p is the annual navigation mileage of ships using the pth type of energy, kilometers; A p is the specific energy consumption of ships using the pth type of energy, tons of standard coal / ton-kilometer; EF p , EF e are respectively the carbon emission factors of the pth type of energy and electricity, tons of carbon / ton of standard coal; z is valued at 3, representing the type of energy used by the ship, p=1 for fuel oil, p=2 for diesel oil, and p=3 for natural gas.
[0042] Further, the carbon emission reduction of commercial freight transportation brought by the electrification of railways in step (3) is calculated according to the following formula:
[0043]
[0044] In formula (1.6), C4 is the carbon emission reduction of commercial freight transportation brought by the electrification of railways, tons of carbon; Q i is the freight turnover using the ith type of energy, ton-kilometers; A i is the energy consumption per unit of freight turnover using the ith type of energy in railway transportation, tons of standard coal / ton-kilometer; EF i , EF e are respectively the carbon emission factors of the ith type of energy and electricity used in railway transportation, tons of carbon / ton of standard coal; m is valued at 4, representing the type of energy used in railway transportation, i=1 for diesel oil, i=2 for natural gas, i=3 for gasoline, and i=4 for coal.
[0045] Further, the carbon emission reduction of commercial freight transportation brought by the use of biomass aviation kerosene in step (3) is calculated according to the following formula:
[0046] C5=Q q ×A q ×(EF q -EF l ) (1.7)
[0047] In formula (1.7), C5 is the carbon emission reduction of commercial freight transportation brought by the use of biomass aviation kerosene, tons of carbon; Q q is the freight turnover of civil aviation transportation, ton-kilometers; A q is the energy consumption per unit of freight turnover using aviation kerosene in civil aviation transportation, tons of standard coal / ton-kilometer; EF q , EF l are respectively the carbon emission factors of aviation kerosene and biomass aviation kerosene used in civil aviation transportation, tons of carbon / ton of standard coal.
[0048] Further, the business cargo transportation carbon emission reduction amount brought by the energy efficiency improvement in step (3) is calculated according to the following formula:
[0049]
[0050] In formula (1.8), C6 is the business cargo transportation carbon emission reduction amount brought by the energy efficiency improvement, ton of carbon; Q ab is the cargo turnover of the a-th transportation mode using the b-th energy, ton kilometer; A ab is the energy consumption per unit of cargo turnover of the a-th transportation mode using the b-th energy, ton of standard coal / ton kilometer; w ab is the energy efficiency improvement ratio of the b-th energy of the a-th transportation mode; EF ab is the carbon emission factor of the b-th energy of the a-th transportation mode, ton of carbon / ton of standard coal. The value of h is 4, representing 4 transportation modes. The value of k represents the type of energy used by the a-th transportation mode, and the specific performance is as follows: a=1 for highway cargo transportation, the value of k is 4, wherein b=1 for diesel, b=2 for natural gas, b=3 for hydrogen energy, and b=4 for electricity; a=2 for railway cargo transportation, the value of k is 5, wherein b=1 for diesel, b=2 for natural gas, b=3 for gasoline, b=4 for electricity, and b=5 for coal; a=3 for waterway transportation, the value of k is 3, wherein b=1 for fuel oil, b=2 for diesel, and b=3 for natural gas; and a=4 for air transportation, the value of k is 1, wherein b=1 for aviation kerosene.
[0051] The effects provided in the summary are only the effects of the embodiments, not all the effects of the application. One of the technical solutions has the following advantages or beneficial effects:
[0052] On the basis of parameterizing policy measures, the carbon emission is calculated by using the turnover method or the principle of the retention method in step (3) by using the business cargo transportation activity level, energy consumption level and carbon emission factor basic data, considering the particularity of different policy measures, and calculating the carbon emission reduction amount by using formula (1.3) to (1.8) in step (3), so that the carbon emission reduction effects of the transportation structure adjustment, transportation vehicle new energy, electric ship popularization, railway electrification, biomass aviation kerosene use and energy efficiency improvement are scientifically measured, the carbon emission reduction amount of a specific measure is solved, and the policy measures with high input-output ratio can be selected for decision makers. BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF DRAWINGS
[0053] Figure 1 It is a structural block diagram of the carbon emission reduction amount calculation method. DETAILED DESCRIPTION
[0054] In order to clearly illustrate the technical solutions of the present application, the present application will be described in detail below with reference to the accompanying drawings. The following disclosure provides many different embodiments or examples for implementing different structures of the present application. For simplicity and clarity, the description of the present application is divided into specific examples. In addition, the present application can repeatedly refer to the same reference numerals and / or letters in different examples. Such repetition is for the purpose of simplification and clarity, and does not necessarily imply a relationship between the various embodiments and / or arrangements discussed. It should be noted that the components illustrated in the drawings are not necessarily drawn to scale. The present application omits the description of well-known components and processing techniques and processes to avoid unnecessarily limiting the present application.
[0055] As shown in Figure 1 A carbon emission reduction measurement method, comprising the following steps:
[0056] Step (1): Establish a basic database, including the level of business cargo transportation activities, energy consumption level, energy coal conversion factor, carbon emission factor;
[0057] Step (2): Convert different policy measures into quantitative parameters;
[0058] Step (3): Design a carbon emission reduction measurement model under different policy measures, which includes calculating carbon emissions using turnover method or stock method and calculating carbon emission reduction of business cargo transportation before and after the implementation of different policies;
[0059] Step (4): Output the carbon emission reduction under the implementation of a certain policy measure.
[0060] The level of business cargo transportation activities in step (1) includes: the turnover of goods of highway, railway, waterway and civil aviation, the number of vehicles using diesel, natural gas, electricity and hydrogen energy and their annual mileage, the number of ships using diesel, natural gas, fuel oil and electricity energy and their navigation mileage;
[0061] The energy consumption level in step (1) includes the energy consumption per unit turnover of highway freight, railway freight, waterway freight and civil aviation freight, the energy consumption per 100 kilometers of highway freight vehicles and the energy consumption per unit mileage of ships;
[0062] The energy coal conversion factor in step (1) includes the energy coal conversion factor of gasoline, diesel, natural gas, aviation kerosene, fuel oil, electricity, hydrogen, coal and biomass aviation kerosene, as shown in Table 1;
[0063] Table 1 Different energy coal conversion factors
[0064] Unit: kg of standard coal / kg
[0065] Energy type Coal conversion factor Energy type Coal conversion factor Gasoline 1.4714 Fuel oil 1.4286 Diesel 1.4571 Electricity 0.1229 kg of coal equivalent per kWh Natural gas 1.7572 Hydrogen / biomass jet fuel 0 Jet fuel 1.4714 Coal 0.7143
[0066] Further, the carbon emission factor in step (1) includes the carbon emission factors of gasoline, diesel, natural gas, aviation kerosene, fuel oil, electricity, hydrogen energy, coal, and biomass aviation kerosene energy, as shown in Table 2.
[0067] Table 2 Carbon emission factors of different energy sources
[0068] Unit: tons of carbon / tons of standard coal
[0069] Energy type Carbon emission factor Energy type Carbon emission factor Gasoline 1.73 Fuel oil 1.73 Diesel 1.73 Electricity 0.61 tons per MWh Natural gas 1.56 Hydrogen / biomass jet fuel 0 Jet fuel 1.73 Coal 2.66
[0070] Further, the different policy measures in steps (2) and (3) include transportation structure adjustment, new energy transportation vehicles, promotion of electric ships, electrification of railways, use of biomass aviation kerosene in civil aviation, and improvement of energy efficiency.
[0071] Further, the policy measures are converted into quantitative parameters, which parameterize the freight transport turnover of various transportation modes, vehicle mileage, energy consumption data of various types, and data parameters of freight vehicle ownership involved in the policy measures.
[0072] The various transportation modes include highways, railways, waterways, and civil aviation, and the various types of energy include gasoline, diesel, natural gas, aviation kerosene, fuel oil, electricity, hydrogen energy, coal, and biomass aviation kerosene.
[0073] Further, the turnover method for calculating the carbon emission amount in step (3) has the following formula:
[0074] C = Q × A × EF (1.1)
[0075] Wherein, C is the carbon emission amount, Q is the freight turnover, A is the energy consumption per unit of turnover, and EF is the carbon emission factor.
[0076] Further, the ownership method for calculating the carbon emission amount in step (3) has the following formula:
[0077] C = N × S × A × EF (1.2)
[0078] Wherein, C is the carbon emission amount, N is the vehicle ownership, S is the average annual mileage of the vehicle, A is the energy consumption per 100 kilometers, and EF is the carbon emission factor.
[0079] The business freight transport carbon emission reduction amount caused by transportation structure adjustment in step (3) refers to the carbon emission reduction amount caused by the conversion of highways to railways and highways to waterways, and has the following formula:
[0080]
[0081] Wherein, C1 is the business freight transport carbon emission reduction amount caused by transportation structure adjustment, tons of carbon.
[0082] Q gj 、Q ti 、Q sp are the freight turnover of the jth type of energy used by road transportation, the ith type of energy used by railway transportation, and the pth type of energy used by waterway transportation, respectively, ton-kilometers;
[0083] A gj 、A ti 、A sp are the energy consumption per unit of turnover of the jth type of energy used by road transportation, the ith type of energy used by railway transportation, and the pth type of energy used by waterway transportation, respectively, ton of standard coal / ton-kilometers;
[0084] EF gj 、EF ti 、EF sp are the carbon emission factors of the jth type of energy used by road transportation, the ith type of energy used by railway transportation, and the pth type of energy used by waterway transportation, respectively, ton of carbon / ton of standard coal;
[0085] Q' gj 、Q' ti 、Q' sp are the freight turnover of the jth type of energy used by road transportation, the ith type of energy used by railway transportation, and the pth type of energy used by waterway transportation after the adjustment of the transportation structure, respectively, ton-kilometers;
[0086] n has a value of 4, representing the four types of energy used by road transportation, j = 1 for diesel, j = 2 for natural gas, j = 3 for hydrogen energy, and j = 4 for electricity; m has a value of 5, representing the five types of energy used by railway transportation, i = 1 for diesel, i = 2 for natural gas, i = 3 for gasoline, i = 4 for electricity, and i = 5 for coal; z has a value of 3, representing the three types of energy used by waterway transportation, p = 1 for fuel oil, p = 2 for diesel, and p = 3 for natural gas.
[0087] The carbon emission reduction amount of business freight transportation brought about by the new energy of the transportation vehicle in step (3) refers to the carbon emission reduction amount of business freight transportation brought about by the promotion of the use of new energy tractor units, and the calculation formula is as follows:
[0088]
[0089] wherein C2 is the carbon emission reduction amount of business freight transportation brought about by the new energy of the transportation vehicle, ton of carbon; N j is the number of vehicles using the jth type of energy, vehicles; S j is the average annual mileage of vehicles using the jth type of energy, kilometers; A j is the energy consumption per 100 kilometers of vehicles using the jth type of energy, ton of standard coal / 100 kilometers; EF j , EFe are carbon emission factors of using the jth type of energy, new energy, ton of carbon / ton of standard coal; n is 2, representing the type of energy used by the transport vehicle, j = 1 for diesel, j = 2 for natural gas.
[0090] Further, the business cargo transportation carbon emission reduction amount brought by the popularization and use of the electric ship in step (3) is calculated according to the following formula:
[0091]
[0092] C3 = Q1 x A1 x (EF1 - EF2) (1.1) p is the number of ships using the pth type of energy, ships; S p is the annual navigation mileage of the ship using the pth type of energy, kilometers; A p is the specific energy consumption of the ship using the pth type of energy, ton of standard coal / ton of kilometer; EF p , EF e are carbon emission factors of using the pth type of energy, electricity, ton of carbon / ton of standard coal; z is 3, representing the type of energy used by the ship, p = 1 for fuel oil, p = 2 for diesel, and p = 3 for natural gas.
[0093] Further, the business cargo transportation carbon emission reduction amount brought by the electrification of the railway in step (3) is calculated according to the following formula:
[0094]
[0095] C4 = Q2 x A2 x (EF2 - EF3) (1.2) i is the freight turnover of using the ith type of energy, ton-kilometers; A i is the energy consumption per unit of freight turnover of using the ith type of energy by railway transportation, ton of standard coal / ton-kilometer; EF i , EF e are carbon emission factors of using the ith type of energy, electricity by railway transportation, ton of carbon / ton of standard coal; m is 4, representing the type of energy used by railway transportation, i = 1 for diesel, i = 2 for natural gas, i = 3 for gasoline, and i = 4 for coal.
[0096] Further, the business cargo transportation carbon emission reduction amount brought by the use of biomass aviation kerosene in step (3) is calculated according to the following formula:
[0097] C5 = Q3 x A3 x (EF3 - EF4) (1.3) q × A q × (EF q -EF l ) (1.7)
[0098] Wherein, C5 is the carbon emission reduction of commercial freight transportation caused by the use of biomass aviation kerosene, ton of carbon; Q q is the freight turnover of the qth type of energy, ton kilometers; A q is the energy consumption per unit of freight turnover of civil aviation transportation using aviation kerosene, ton of standard coal / ton kilometers; EF q , EF l are the carbon emission factors of civil aviation transportation using aviation kerosene and biomass aviation kerosene respectively, ton of carbon / ton of standard coal.
[0099] Further, the carbon emission reduction of commercial freight transportation caused by the energy efficiency improvement of step (3) is calculated according to the following formula:
[0100]
[0101] Wherein, C6 is the carbon emission reduction of commercial freight transportation caused by the energy efficiency improvement, ton of carbon; Q ab is the freight turnover of the bth type of energy used by the ath type of transportation, ton kilometers; A ab is the energy consumption per unit of freight turnover of the bth type of energy used by the ath type of transportation, ton of standard coal / ton kilometers; w ab is the energy efficiency improvement ratio of the bth type of energy of the ath type of transportation; EF ab is the carbon emission factor of the bth type of energy of the ath type of transportation, ton of carbon / ton of standard coal. The value of h is 4, representing 4 types of transportation. k represents the type of energy used by the ath type of transportation, which is specifically represented by the following corresponding relationship: a=1 for highway freight, the value of k is 4, wherein b=1 for diesel, b=2 for natural gas, b=3 for hydrogen energy, and b=4 for electricity; a=2 for railway freight, the value of k is 5, wherein b=1 for diesel, b=2 for natural gas, b=3 for gasoline, b=4 for electricity, and b=5 for coal; a=3 for waterway transportation, the value of k is 3, wherein b=1 for fuel oil, b=2 for diesel, and b=3 for natural gas; a=4 for air transportation, the value of k is 1, wherein b=1 for aviation kerosene.
[0102] Although the specific embodiments of the application have been described in conjunction with the accompanying drawings, they are not intended to limit the scope of protection of the application. Various modifications or variations made by those skilled in the art without creative labor on the basis of the technical solutions of the application are still within the scope of protection of the application.
Claims
1. A method of measuring and calculating carbon reduction, characterized by, It comprises the following steps: Step (1): Establishing a basic database, including the level of commercial freight transport activities, energy consumption level, energy coal conversion factor, carbon emission factor; Step (2): Converting different policy measures into quantitative parameters; Step (3): Designing a carbon emission reduction calculation model under different policy measures, which includes calculating carbon emissions using turnover volume method or stock method and calculating the carbon emission reduction of commercial freight transport before and after the implementation of different policies; Step (4): Output the carbon emission reduction under the implementation of a certain policy measure; The level of commercial freight transport activities includes: the turnover volume of highway, railway, waterway and civil aviation freight, the number of vehicles using diesel, natural gas, electricity and hydrogen energy and their annual mileage, the number of ships using diesel, natural gas, fuel oil and electricity energy and their navigation mileage; The energy consumption level includes the energy consumption per unit turnover of highway freight, railway freight, waterway freight and civil aviation freight, and the energy consumption per 100 kilometers of highway freight vehicles and the energy consumption per unit mileage of ships; The energy coal conversion factor includes the energy coal conversion factor of gasoline, diesel, natural gas, aviation kerosene, fuel oil, electricity, hydrogen, coal and biomass aviation kerosene energy; The carbon emission factor includes the carbon emission factor of gasoline, diesel, natural gas, aviation kerosene, fuel oil, electricity, hydrogen, coal and biomass aviation kerosene energy; The different policy measures include transportation structure adjustment, new energy transportation vehicles, promotion of electric ships, railway electrification, use of biomass aviation kerosene in civil aviation, and improvement of energy efficiency; The new energy includes electricity and hydrogen; The conversion of policy measures into quantitative parameters includes parameterization of freight transport turnover volume, vehicle mileage, various energy consumption data and freight vehicle stock data of various modes of transport involved in the policy measures; The various modes of transport include highway, railway, waterway and civil aviation, and the various types of energy include gasoline, diesel, natural gas, aviation kerosene, fuel oil, electricity, hydrogen, coal and biomass aviation kerosene; The turnover volume method formula for calculating carbon emissions is: C=Q×A×EF(1.1) In formula (1.1), C is the carbon emission, Q is the freight turnover volume, A is the unit turnover energy consumption, and EF is the carbon emission factor; The stock method formula for calculating carbon emissions is: C=N×S×A×EF(1.2) In formula (1.2), C is the carbon emission, N is the vehicle stock, S is the annual average mileage of vehicles, A is the energy consumption per 100 kilometers, and EF is the carbon emission factor.
2. The method of claim 1, wherein, The carbon emission reduction of commercial freight transport caused by transportation structure adjustment is calculated by the following formula: In formula (1.3), C1 is the carbon emission reduction of commercial freight transport caused by transportation structure adjustment, ton of carbon; Q gj , Q ti , Q sp are the freight turnover of the jth type of energy used by road transportation, the ith type of energy used by railway transportation, and the pth type of energy used by waterway transportation, respectively, in ton-kilometers. A gj 、A ti 、A sp are respectively the energy consumption per unit turnover of the jth type of energy by road transport, the energy consumption per unit turnover of the ith type of energy by railway transport, and the energy consumption per unit turnover of the pth type of energy by waterway transport, tons of standard coal / ton-kilometer; EF gj , EF ti , EF sp are the carbon emission factors of the jth type of energy for road transportation, the ith type of energy for railway transportation, and the pth type of energy for waterway transportation, respectively, ton of carbon / ton of standard coal; Q' gj , Q' ti , Q' sp are the freight turnover of the jth type of energy used by road transportation, the ith type of energy used by railway transportation, and the pth type of energy used by waterway transportation, respectively, in ton-kilometers; n is 4, representing 4 types of energy used in road transportation, j=1 for diesel, j=2 for natural gas, j=3 for hydrogen energy, and j=4 for electricity; m is 5, representing 5 types of energy used in railway transportation, i=1 for diesel, i=2 for natural gas, i=3 for gasoline, i=4 for electricity, and i=5 for coal; z is 3, representing 3 types of energy used in waterway transportation, p=1 for fuel oil, p=2 for diesel, and p=3 for natural gas.
3. The carbon emission reduction calculation method as described in claim 1, characterized in that, The carbon emission reduction amount of the business cargo transportation brought by the new energy of the transportation vehicle is calculated according to the following formula: In formula (1.4), C2 is the carbon emission reduction of business cargo transportation brought by new energy of transportation vehicles, ton of carbon; N j is the number of vehicles using the jth type of energy, vehicles; S j is the annual average driving distance of vehicles using the jth type of energy, kilometers; A j is the energy consumption per 100 kilometers of vehicles using the jth type of energy, ton of standard coal per 100 kilometers; EF j , EF e are carbon emission factors of vehicles using the jth type of energy and new energy, ton of carbon per ton of standard coal; n is 2, representing the type of energy used by transportation vehicles, j=1 for diesel, and j=2 for natural gas.
4. The method of claim 1, wherein, The carbon emission reduction amount of the business cargo transportation brought by the popularization and use of the electric ship is calculated according to the following formula: In formula (1.5), C3 is the carbon emission reduction of commercial freight transportation brought by the popularization of electric ships, ton of carbon; N p is the number of ships using the pth type of energy, ship; S p is the annual navigation mileage of ships using the pth type of energy, kilometers; A p is the specific energy consumption of ships using the pth type of energy, ton of standard coal / ton-kilometer; EF p , EF e are carbon emission factors of the pth type of energy, electric power, respectively, ton of carbon / ton of standard coal; z takes a value of 3, representing the type of energy used by the ship, p=1 for fuel oil, p=2 for diesel oil, and p=3 for natural gas.
5. The method of claim 1, wherein, The carbon emission reduction amount of the business cargo transportation brought by the electrification of the railway is calculated according to the following formula: In formula (1.6), C4 is the carbon emission reduction of business freight transportation brought by railway electrification, ton of carbon; Q i is the freight turnover of using the i-th type of energy, ton-kilometer; A i is the energy consumption per unit of freight turnover of railway transportation using the i-th type of energy, ton of standard coal / ton-kilometer; EF i , EF e are respectively the carbon emission factor of railway transportation using the i-th type of energy, ton of carbon / ton of standard coal; the value of m is 4, representing the type of energy used by railway transportation, i=1 for diesel, i=2 for natural gas, i=3 for gasoline, and i=4 for coal.
6. The method of claim 1, wherein, The carbon emission reduction amount of the business cargo transportation brought by the use of the biomass aviation kerosene is calculated according to the following formula: C5 = Q q x A q x (EF q -EF l ) (1.7) In formula (1.7), C5 is the carbon emission reduction of commercial freight transportation caused by the use of biomass aviation kerosene, ton of carbon; Q q is the freight turnover of civil aviation transportation, ton-kilometers; A q is the energy consumption per unit of freight turnover of civil aviation transportation using aviation kerosene, ton of standard coal / ton-kilometers; EF q , EF l are the carbon emission factors of civil aviation transportation using aviation kerosene and biomass aviation kerosene respectively, ton of carbon / ton of standard coal.
7. The method of claim 1, wherein, The carbon emission reduction amount of the business cargo transportation brought by the improvement of the energy efficiency is calculated according to the following formula: C6 is the carbon emission reduction of business cargo transportation brought by energy efficiency improvement, ton of carbon; Q ab is the cargo turnover of the bth type of energy used by the ath type of transportation, ton kilometers; A ab is the energy consumption per unit of cargo turnover of the bth type of energy used by the ath type of transportation, ton of standard coal / ton kilometers; w ab is the energy efficiency improvement ratio of the bth type of energy used by the ath type of transportation; EF ab is the carbon emission factor of the bth type of energy used by the ath type of transportation, ton of carbon / ton of standard coal; h has a value of 4, representing 4 types of transportation; k represents the type of energy used by the ath type of transportation, and has the following corresponding relationship: a=1 for highway cargo transportation, k has a value of 4, wherein b=1 for diesel, b=2 for natural gas, b=3 for hydrogen energy, and b=4 for electricity; a=2 for railway cargo transportation, k has a value of 5, wherein b=1 for diesel, b=2 for natural gas, b=3 for gasoline, b=4 for electricity, and b=5 for coal; a=3 for waterway transportation, k has a value of 3, wherein b=1 for fuel oil, b=2 for diesel, and b=3 for natural gas; a=4 for air transportation, k has a value of 1, wherein b=1 for aviation kerosene.
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