The present application relates to a kind of
tropical cyclone intensity prediction method and device based on meteorological big model, method includes following stage: first stage: with
satellite image and reanalysis atmospheric
field data as condition,
tropical cyclone intensity information is mapped to discrete vector hidden space by
encoder, compare the mapping result with all vectors of learnable discrete
codebook, take the closest vector and restore back original
tropical cyclone intensity information by decoder, and iteration training is carried out to
encoder, discrete
codebook and decoder;Second stage: historical meteorological data is input into trained
encoder and discrete
codebook, is converted into discrete hidden variable, and is carried out autoregressive iteration, obtains forecast hidden variable, and with wind-uw forecast
field data as physical constraint, tropical
cyclone intensity information is restored back by decoder, obtains tropical
cyclone intensity prediction result.Compared with prior art, the present application has the advantages of long-term prediction, good performance, reduced computing cost and the like.