Gas boiler coordinated electric boiler power regulation capability index prediction method
By defining the electric boiler power regulation capability index θGLP coordinated by gas boiler, measuring relevant parameters and performing time series analysis, the problem of failure to predict the electric boiler power regulation capability is solved, and the stable operation guarantee of the power grid and thermal grid is achieved.
Patent Information
- Application Number
- CN202510680712.0
- Authority / Receiving Office
- CN · China
- Patent Type
- Applications(China)
- Current Assignee / Owner
- Filing Date
- 2025-05-26
- Publication Date
- 2025-08-15
AI Technical Summary
The prior art fails to effectively evaluate and predict the power regulation capability of electric boilers, resulting in the inability to take timely and accurately regulate measures in an emergency, affecting the stable operation of the power grid and the thermal grid.
By defining the electric boiler power regulation capability index θGLP coordinated by gas boiler, measuring relevant parameters and establishing a time series, calculating the influencing factors and predicting values, and performing normalization, the heating power adjustment of the gas boiler and the electric boiler is finally predicted.
The prediction of the power regulation capability of the gas boiler coordinated electric boiler at the next moment is achieved, the heating capacity of the system is improved, and the safe and stable operation of the power grid and the thermal grid is ensured.
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Figure CN120494199A_ABST
Abstract
Description
Technical Field
[0001] The present invention relates to the technical field of power regulation, and in particular to a method for predicting the power regulation capability index of an electric boiler coordinated with a gas boiler. Background Art
[0002] Against the backdrop of an accelerating global energy transition, electric boilers, as a core provider of clean thermal energy, have become a key technology for supporting a high proportion of renewable energy consumption due to their flexible regulation and grid interaction. Compared to traditional gas-fired boilers, electric boilers offer advantages such as reduced carbon emissions and faster response times due to thermal-electrical decoupling. They are finding large-scale application in areas such as district heating and industrial steam generation. By coordinating the operation of gas and electric boilers, efficient energy utilization can be achieved, improving overall system efficiency and resilience.
[0003] Currently, electric boiler power regulation is suitable for balancing grid power over longer timescales. However, due to the uncertainty of renewable energy sources and loads in the power system, the power regulation requirements of the power system are also subject to uncertainty. Furthermore, existing regulation methods fail to comprehensively assess and predict the power regulation capabilities of electric boilers, making it difficult to implement timely and accurate regulation measures in emergency situations.
[0004] To address these issues, it is necessary to propose a method for predicting the power regulation capability index of electric boilers coordinated with gas boilers. When the output power of the electric boiler is insufficient, it can be predicted in advance and coordinated with the output power of the gas boiler to achieve a stable state and ensure the system load demand. Summary of the Invention
[0005] In order to overcome the above-mentioned deficiencies of the prior art, the present invention discloses a method for predicting the power regulation capability index of an electric boiler coordinated with a gas boiler.
[0006] The technical solution provided by the present invention is: a method for predicting the power regulation capability index of an electric boiler coordinated with a gas boiler, comprising the following steps:
[0007] Define the power regulation capability index θ of the electric boiler coordinated with the gas boiler GLP ;
[0008] Measure the index θ GLP and establish a time series of relevant parameters based on the obtained relevant parameter measurements;
[0009] Calculate the impact factor of the relevant parameters on the relevant parameters at the next moment
[0010] According to the time series and the impact factor Calculate t i+1 The predicted values of the relevant parameters at the time;
[0011] t i+1 The predicted values of the relevant parameters at the moment are normalized to obtain the normalized values of the predicted values;
[0012] Calculate t using the normalized value of the predicted value i+1 Prediction value of power regulation capability index of electric boiler coordinated by gas boiler at the moment Complete the prediction of the power regulation capability index of electric boilers coordinated with gas boilers.
[0013] Preferably, the power regulation capability index θ of the electric boiler coordinated by the gas boiler is GLP The formula is as follows:
[0014]
[0015] Among them, t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n is a fixed time interval of n moments, where n is a natural number, n∈1,2,..., i is the i-th moment, and i is a natural number, i∈{1,2,...,n}, t i Gas boiler provides heat at all times. t i The thermal output power of the electric boiler at each moment, t i The water temperature of the electric boiler at all times, t i The power consumption of electric boiler at every moment, t i The electric heat conversion efficiency of gas boiler at the moment, Q EC,max , Q EC,min are t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum and minimum heat supply of the gas boiler at the moment, P EF,max , P EF,min are t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum and minimum thermal output power of the electric boiler at time T EL,max , T EL,min are t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum and minimum values of the water temperature of the electric boiler at the time, P EH,max , P EH,min are t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum and minimum power consumption of the electric boiler at the moment, ηEH,max , η EH,min are t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum and minimum values of the gas boiler's electric heat conversion efficiency at the moment.
[0016] More preferably, the index θ GLP The specific process of measuring the relevant parameters is as follows:
[0017] The index θ GLP The relevant parameters include: gas boiler heat supply, electric boiler heat output power, electric boiler water temperature, electric boiler power consumption and gas boiler electric heat conversion efficiency;
[0018] Select n fixed time intervals t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n , the measured value of the heat supply of the gas boiler is obtained by measuring Measured value of thermal output power of electric boiler Measurement value of electric boiler water temperature Measurement of electric boiler power consumption Measurement value of gas boiler electric heat conversion efficiency
[0019] More preferably, the specific process of establishing the time series of relevant parameters is as follows:
[0020]
[0021] Among them, t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n is a fixed time interval of n moments, where n is a natural number, n∈1,2,..., i is the i-th moment, and i is a natural number, i∈{1,2,...,n}, t i Gas boiler provides heat at all times. t i The thermal output power of the electric boiler at each moment, t i The water temperature of the electric boiler at all times, t i The power consumption of electric boiler at every moment, t i The electric heat conversion efficiency of gas boiler at the moment, Q EC,max , Q EC,min are t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum and minimum heat supply of the gas boiler at the moment, P EF,max , PEF,min are t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum and minimum thermal output power of the electric boiler at time T EL,max , T EL,min are t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum and minimum values of the water temperature of the electric boiler at the moment; P EH,max , P EH,min are t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum and minimum power consumption of the electric boiler at the moment, η EH,max , η EH,min are t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum and minimum values of the gas boiler's electric heat conversion efficiency at the moment.
[0022] More preferably, the calculated impact factor The specific process is as follows:
[0023]
[0024] in, For the tth i The influence factor of the relevant parameters at one moment on the relevant parameters at the next moment; t i Gas boiler heat supply at all times, Q EC,min Supply heat to the gas boiler at t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The minimum value of the measured value at these n fixed time intervals, t i The thermal output power of the electric boiler at this moment, P EF,max is the heat output power of the electric boiler at t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum value of the measured value at these n fixed time intervals is t i Electric boiler power consumption at this moment, P EH,max The power consumption of the electric boiler at t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum value of the measured values at these n fixed time intervals.
[0025] More preferably, the t i+1 The calculation process of the predicted value of the relevant parameters at time is as follows:
[0026]
[0027] in, t i+1 The predicted value of the heat supply of the gas boiler at each moment, t i+1 The predicted value of the electric boiler's thermal output power at time t i+1 The predicted value of the electric boiler water temperature at the moment, t i+1 The predicted value of electric boiler power consumption at this moment, t i+1 Predicted value of gas boiler electric heat conversion efficiency at the moment.
[0028] More preferably, the specific process of the calculation normalization processing is as follows:
[0029]
[0030] in, t i+1 Normalized value of the predicted heat supply value of the gas boiler at the moment, t i+1 The normalized value of the predicted thermal output power of the electric boiler at time t, t i+1 Normalized value of the electric boiler water temperature at time , t i+1 The normalized value of the predicted power consumption of the electric boiler at the moment, t i+1 Normalized value of the electric heat conversion efficiency of the gas boiler at time t, Q EC,min for t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The minimum value of the heat supply measured by the gas boiler during these n fixed time intervals, P EF,min for t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The minimum value of the thermal output power of the electric boiler measured at these n fixed time intervals, T EL,min for t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The minimum value of the boiler water temperature measurement value during these n fixed time intervals, P EH,min for t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum value of the electric boiler power consumption measured during these n fixed time intervals, η EH,min for t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,tn The minimum value of the gas boiler's electric heat conversion efficiency measured at these n fixed time intervals, Q EC,min for t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The minimum value of the heat supply measured by the gas boiler during these n fixed time intervals, P EF,min for t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The minimum value of the thermal output power of the electric boiler measured at these n fixed time intervals, T EL,min for t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The minimum value of the boiler water temperature measurement value during these n fixed time intervals, P EH,min for t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum value of the electric boiler power consumption measured during these n fixed time intervals, η EH,min for t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The minimum value of the gas boiler's electric heat conversion efficiency measured during these n fixed time intervals.
[0031] More preferably, the calculation t i+1 Prediction value of power regulation capability index of electric boiler coordinated by gas boiler at the moment The specific process is as follows:
[0032] Calculate t i+1 The predicted value of the power regulation capability index of the gas boiler coordinated with the electric boiler at the moment is shown in formula (6):
[0033]
[0034] If the predicted value of the power regulation capability index of the electric boiler coordinated by the gas boiler is greater than 0.6871, the heating power of the gas boiler needs to be increased immediately, and the heating power of the electric boiler needs to be reduced to avoid thermal power redundancy; if the predicted value of the power regulation capability index of the electric boiler coordinated by the gas boiler is less than or equal to 0.6871, the heating power of the electric boiler needs to be increased, and the heating power of the gas boiler needs to be reduced to meet the heat load demand.
[0035] The beneficial effects of the present invention are:
[0036] The method for predicting the power regulation capability index of the electric boiler coordinated by the gas boiler of the present invention can predict the power regulation capability of the electric boiler coordinated by the gas boiler at the next moment through historical data, and adjust the heating power of the gas boiler and the electric boiler at the next moment according to the prediction result, which helps to improve the coordinated heating capability of the gas boiler and the electric boiler, helps to meet the heating demand, and promotes the safe and stable operation of the power grid and the heat network. BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS
[0037] Figure 1 The present invention provides a flow chart of a method for predicting the power regulation capability index of an electric boiler coordinated with a gas boiler. DETAILED DESCRIPTION
[0038] In order to make the purpose, technical solutions and advantages of the present invention more clearly understood, the present invention is further described in detail below in conjunction with the embodiments. It should be understood that the specific embodiments described herein are only used to explain the present invention and are not intended to limit the present invention.
[0039] Example:
[0040] The present invention provides a method for responding to low-carbon demand of power system based on carbon emission flow, referring to Figure 1 As shown, the following steps are included:
[0041] Define the power regulation capability index θ of the electric boiler coordinated with the gas boiler GLP ;
[0042] The power regulation capability index θ of the electric boiler coordinated by the gas boiler GLP As shown in formula (1):
[0043]
[0044] Among them, t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n is a fixed time interval of n moments, where n is a natural number, n∈1,2,..., i is the i-th moment, and i is a natural number, i∈{1,2,...,n}, t i Gas boiler provides heat at all times. t i The thermal output power of the electric boiler at each moment, t i The water temperature of the electric boiler at all times, t i The power consumption of electric boiler at every moment, t i The electric heat conversion efficiency of gas boiler at the moment, Q EC,max , Q EC,minare t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum and minimum heat supply of the gas boiler at the moment, P EF,max , P EF,min are t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum and minimum thermal output power of the electric boiler at time T EL,max , T EL,min are t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum and minimum values of the water temperature of the electric boiler at the time, P EH,max , P EH,min are t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum and minimum power consumption of the electric boiler at the moment, η EH,max , η EH,min are t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum and minimum values of the gas boiler's electric heat conversion efficiency at the moment;
[0045] Measure the index θ GLP and establish a time series of relevant parameters based on the obtained relevant parameter measurements;
[0046] Relevant parameters include: gas boiler heat supply, electric boiler heat output power, electric boiler water temperature, electric boiler power consumption and gas boiler electric heat conversion efficiency;
[0047] Among them, n fixed time intervals t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n , the measured value of the heat supply of the gas boiler is obtained by measuring Measured value of thermal output power of electric boiler Measurement value of electric boiler water temperature Measurement of electric boiler power consumption Measurement value of gas boiler electric heat conversion efficiency
[0048] The time series of relevant parameters is shown in formula (2):
[0049]
[0050] In this embodiment, the fixed time interval during the measurement process is set to 5 minutes, and 12 measurement moments are selected, namely t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t12 There are 12 fixed time intervals. At the fixed time intervals t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t 12 The measured value of the heat supply of the gas boiler is obtained by measuring At fixed time intervals t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t 12 The measured value of the electric boiler heat output power is obtained At fixed time intervals t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t 12 The measured value of the water temperature of the electric boiler At fixed time intervals t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t 12 Measuring the power consumption of electric boilers At fixed time intervals t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t 12 Measurement value of gas boiler electric heat conversion efficiency The time series of parameters related to the power regulation capability of the electric boiler coordinated with the gas boiler is established based on all the above measured values as follows:
[0051]
[0052] Calculate the impact factor of the relevant parameters on the relevant parameters at the next moment
[0053] Influencing factors of related parameters As shown in formula (3):
[0054]
[0055] in, For the tth i The factors affecting the parameters related to the power regulation capability of the electric boiler coordinated by the gas boiler at one moment on the parameters related to the power regulation capability of the electric boiler coordinated by the gas boiler at the next moment, t i Gas boiler heat supply at all times, Q EC,min Supply heat to the gas boiler at t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The minimum value of the measured value at these n fixed time intervals, t i The thermal output power of the electric boiler at this moment, P EF,max is the heat output power of the electric boiler at t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,tn The maximum value of the measured value at these n fixed time intervals is t i Electric boiler power consumption at this moment, P EH,max The power consumption of the electric boiler at t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum value of the measured value at these n fixed time intervals;
[0056] According to the time series and the impact factor Calculate t i+1 The predicted values of the relevant parameters at the time;
[0057] The predicted value is shown in formula (4):
[0058]
[0059] in, t i+1 Predicted value of heat supply of gas boiler at each moment; t i+1 The predicted value of the electric boiler's thermal output power at time t i+1 The predicted value of the electric boiler water temperature at the moment; t i+1 The predicted value of electric boiler power consumption at each moment; t i+1 Predicted value of gas boiler electric heat conversion efficiency at the moment;
[0060] In this embodiment, t is predicted according to formula (4). 13 The predicted values of the parameters related to the power regulation capability of the electric boiler coordinated with the gas boiler at all times are:
[0061]
[0062] in, t 13 Predicted value of heat supply of gas boiler at each moment; t 13 The predicted value of the thermal output power of the electric boiler at the moment; t 13 The predicted value of the electric boiler water temperature at the moment; t 13 The predicted value of electric boiler power consumption at each moment; t 13 Predicted value of gas boiler electric heat conversion efficiency at the moment;
[0063] t i+1 The predicted values of the relevant parameters at the moment are normalized to obtain the normalized values of the predicted values;
[0064] The normalization process is shown in formula (5):
[0065]
[0066] in, t i+1 Normalized value of the predicted heat supply of the gas boiler at each moment; t i+1 The normalized value of the predicted thermal output power of the electric boiler at time t, t i+1 Normalized value of the electric boiler water temperature at time , t i+1 The normalized value of the predicted power consumption of the electric boiler at the moment, t i+1 Normalized value of the electric heat conversion efficiency of the gas boiler at time t, Q EC,min for t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The minimum value of the heat supply measured by the gas boiler during these n fixed time intervals, P EF,min for t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The minimum value of the thermal output power of the electric boiler measured at these n fixed time intervals, T EL,min for t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The minimum value of the boiler water temperature measurement value during these n fixed time intervals, P EH,min for t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum value of the electric boiler power consumption measured during these n fixed time intervals, η EH,min for t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The minimum value of the gas boiler's electric heat conversion efficiency measured at these n fixed time intervals, Q EC,min for t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The minimum value of the heat supply measured by the gas boiler during these n fixed time intervals, P EF,min for t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The minimum value of the thermal output power of the electric boiler measured at these n fixed time intervals, T EL,min for t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t nThe minimum value of the boiler water temperature measurement value during these n fixed time intervals, P EH,min for t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum value of the electric boiler power consumption measured during these n fixed time intervals, η EH,min for t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The minimum value of the gas boiler's electric heat conversion efficiency measured at these n fixed time intervals;
[0067] In this embodiment, t 13 The predicted values of the parameters related to the power regulation capability of the electric boiler coordinated with the gas boiler at each moment are normalized as follows:
[0068]
[0069] in, t 13 Normalized value of the predicted heat supply value of the gas boiler at the moment, t 13 The normalized value of the predicted thermal output power of the electric boiler at time t, t 13 Normalized value of the electric boiler water temperature at time , t 13 The normalized value of the predicted power consumption of the electric boiler at the moment, t 13 Normalized value of the electric heat conversion efficiency of the gas boiler at the moment;
[0070] Calculate t using the normalized value of the predicted value i+1 Prediction value of power regulation capability index of electric boiler coordinated by gas boiler at the moment Complete the prediction of the power regulation capability index of electric boilers coordinated with gas boilers;
[0071] Calculate t i+1 The method for predicting the power regulation capability index of the electric boiler coordinated by the gas boiler at the time is shown in formula (6):
[0072]
[0073] If the predicted value of the power regulation capability index of the electric boiler coordinated by the gas boiler is less than or equal to 0.6871, it is considered that the power regulation capability of the electric boiler coordinated by the gas boiler at the next moment is weak. If the thermal power output of the electric boiler at the next moment cannot meet the heat load demand, it means that the heat output needs to be increased at the next moment, and the heating power of the electric boiler needs to be increased to ensure the heating demand; if the output power of the electric boiler at the next moment exceeds the heat load demand, it means that the heat output needs to be reduced at the next moment, and the heating power of the electric boiler needs to be reduced; if the predicted value of the power regulation capability index of the electric boiler coordinated by the gas boiler is greater than 0.6871, it is considered that the power regulation capability of the electric boiler coordinated by the gas boiler at the next moment is strong, and it is only necessary to maintain the current working state at the next moment;
[0074] In this embodiment, t is calculated according to formula (6). 13 Prediction value of power regulation capability index of electric boiler coordinated with gas boiler at all times for:
[0075]
[0076] If the predicted value of the power regulation capability index of the electric boiler coordinated by the gas boiler is greater than 0.6871, it is considered that the power regulation capability of the electric boiler coordinated by the gas boiler at the next moment is strong, and the heating power of the gas boiler needs to be increased immediately, and the heating power of the electric boiler needs to be reduced to avoid thermal power redundancy; if the predicted value of the power regulation capability index of the electric boiler coordinated by the gas boiler is less than or equal to 0.6871, it is considered that the power regulation capability of the electric boiler coordinated by the gas boiler at the next moment is weak, and the heating power of the electric boiler needs to be increased, and the heating power of the gas boiler needs to be reduced to meet the heat load demand.
[0077] It should be understood that those skilled in the art, inspired by the technical concept of the present invention, can make various improvements and changes based on the above description without departing from the content of the present invention, which still fall within the scope of protection of the present invention.
[0078] Other embodiments of the present invention will readily occur to those skilled in the art after considering the specification and practicing the invention disclosed herein. This application is intended to cover any variations, uses, or adaptations of the present invention that follow the general principles of the invention and include common knowledge or customary techniques in the art not disclosed herein. The description and examples are to be considered as exemplary only, with the true scope and spirit of the invention being indicated by the claims.
[0079] It should be understood that the present invention is not limited to the precise construction shown in the above description and that various modifications and changes can be made without departing from the scope thereof. The scope of the present invention is limited only by the appended claims.
Claims
1. A method for predicting the power regulation capability index of an electric boiler coordinated with a gas boiler, characterized in that: The steps include: Define the power regulation capability index θ of the electric boiler coordinated with the gas boiler GLP ; Measure the index θ GLP and establish a time series of relevant parameters based on the obtained relevant parameter measurements; Calculate the impact factor of the relevant parameters on the relevant parameters at the next moment According to the time series and the impact factor Calculate t i+1 The predicted values of the relevant parameters at the time; t i+1 The predicted values of the relevant parameters at the moment are normalized to obtain the normalized values of the predicted values; Calculate t using the normalized value of the predicted value i+1 Prediction value of power regulation capability index of electric boiler coordinated by gas boiler at the moment Complete the prediction of the power regulation capability index of electric boilers coordinated with gas boilers.
2. The method for predicting the power regulation capability index of an electric boiler coordinated with a gas boiler according to claim 1, characterized in that: The power regulation capability index θ of the electric boiler coordinated by the gas boiler GLP The formula is as follows: Among them, t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n is a fixed time interval of n moments, where n is a natural number, n∈1,2,..., i is the i-th moment, and i is a natural number, i∈{1,2,...,n}, t i Gas boiler provides heat at all times. t i The thermal output power of the electric boiler at each moment, t i The water temperature of the electric boiler at all times, t i The power consumption of electric boiler at every moment, t i The electric heat conversion efficiency of gas boiler at the moment, Q EC,max , Q EC,min are t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum and minimum heat supply of the gas boiler at the moment, P EF,max , P EF,min are t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum and minimum thermal output power of the electric boiler at time T EL,max , T EL,min are t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum and minimum values of the water temperature of the electric boiler at the time, P EH,max , P EH,min are t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum and minimum power consumption of the electric boiler at the moment, η EH,max , η EH,min are t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum and minimum values of the gas boiler's electric heat conversion efficiency at the moment.
3. The method for predicting the power regulation capability index of an electric boiler coordinated with a gas boiler according to claim 1, characterized in that: The index θ GLP The specific process of measuring the relevant parameters is as follows: The index θ GLP The relevant parameters include: gas boiler heat supply, electric boiler heat output power, electric boiler water temperature, electric boiler power consumption and gas boiler electric heat conversion efficiency; Select n fixed time intervals t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n , the measured value of the heat supply of the gas boiler is obtained by measuring Measured value of thermal output power of electric boiler Measurement value of electric boiler water temperature Measurement of electric boiler power consumption Measurement value of gas boiler electric heat conversion efficiency 4. The method for predicting the power regulation capability index of an electric boiler coordinated with a gas boiler according to claim 1, characterized in that: The specific process of establishing the time series of relevant parameters is as follows: Among them, t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n is a fixed time interval of n moments, where n is a natural number, n∈1,2,..., i is the i-th moment, and i is a natural number, i∈{1,2,...,n}, t i Gas boiler provides heat at all times. t i The thermal output power of the electric boiler at each moment, t i The water temperature of the electric boiler at all times, t i The power consumption of electric boiler at every moment, t i The electric heat conversion efficiency of gas boiler at the moment, Q EC,max , Q EC,min are t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum and minimum heat supply of the gas boiler at the moment, P EF,max , P EF,min are t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum and minimum thermal output power of the electric boiler at time T EL,max , T EL,min are t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum and minimum values of the water temperature of the electric boiler at the moment; P EH,max , P EH,min are t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum and minimum power consumption of the electric boiler at the moment, η EH,max , η EH,min are t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum and minimum values of the gas boiler's electric heat conversion efficiency at the moment.
5. The method for predicting the power regulation capability index of an electric boiler coordinated with a gas boiler according to claim 1, characterized in that: The calculated impact factor The specific process is as follows: in, For the tth i The influence factor of the relevant parameters at one moment on the relevant parameters at the next moment; t i Gas boiler heat supply at all times, Q EC,min Supply heat to the gas boiler at t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The minimum value of the measured value at these n fixed time intervals, t i The thermal output power of the electric boiler at this moment, P EF,max is the heat output power of the electric boiler at t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum value of the measured value at these n fixed time intervals is t i Electric boiler power consumption at this moment, P EH,max The power consumption of the electric boiler at t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum value of the measured values at these n fixed time intervals.
6. The method for predicting the power regulation capability index of an electric boiler coordinated with a gas boiler according to claim 1, characterized in that: The t i+1 The calculation process of the predicted value of the relevant parameters at time is as follows: in, t i+1 The predicted value of the heat supply of the gas boiler at each moment, t i+1 The predicted value of the electric boiler's thermal output power at time t i+1 The predicted value of the electric boiler water temperature at the moment, t i+1 The predicted value of electric boiler power consumption at this moment, t i+1 Predicted value of gas boiler electric heat conversion efficiency at the moment.
7. The method for predicting the power regulation capability index of an electric boiler coordinated with a gas boiler according to claim 1, characterized in that: The specific process of the calculation normalization process is as follows: in, t i+1 Normalized value of the predicted heat supply value of the gas boiler at the moment, t i+1 The normalized value of the predicted thermal output power of the electric boiler at time t, t i+1 Normalized value of the electric boiler water temperature at time , t i+1 The normalized value of the predicted power consumption of the electric boiler at the moment, t i+1 Normalized value of the electric heat conversion efficiency of the gas boiler at time t, Q EC,min for t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The minimum value of the heat supply measured by the gas boiler during these n fixed time intervals, P EF,min for t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The minimum value of the thermal output power of the electric boiler measured at these n fixed time intervals, T EL,min for t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The minimum value of the boiler water temperature measurement value during these n fixed time intervals, P EH,min for t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum value of the electric boiler power consumption measured during these n fixed time intervals, η EH,min for t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The minimum value of the gas boiler's electric heat conversion efficiency measured at these n fixed time intervals, Q EC,min for t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The minimum value of the heat supply measured by the gas boiler during these n fixed time intervals, P EF,min for t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The minimum value of the thermal output power of the electric boiler measured at these n fixed time intervals, T EL,min for t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The minimum value of the boiler water temperature measurement value during these n fixed time intervals, P EH,min for t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The maximum value of the electric boiler power consumption measured during these n fixed time intervals, η EH,min for t1, t2, ..., t i ,...,t n The minimum value of the gas boiler's electric heat conversion efficiency measured during these n fixed time intervals.
8. The method for predicting the power regulation capability index of an electric boiler coordinated with a gas boiler according to claim 1, characterized in that: The calculation t i+1 Prediction value of power regulation capability index of electric boiler coordinated by gas boiler at the moment The specific process is as follows: Calculate t i+1 The predicted value of the power regulation capability index of the gas boiler coordinated with the electric boiler at the moment is shown in formula (6): If the predicted value of the power regulation capability index of the electric boiler coordinated by the gas boiler is greater than 0.6871, the heating power of the gas boiler needs to be increased immediately, and the heating power of the electric boiler needs to be reduced to avoid thermal power redundancy; if the predicted value of the power regulation capability index of the electric boiler coordinated by the gas boiler is less than or equal to 0.6871, the heating power of the electric boiler needs to be increased, and the heating power of the gas boiler needs to be reduced to meet the heat load demand.