Space-time fusion photovoltaic power generation prediction method, system, equipment and medium

By employing a spatiotemporal fusion photovoltaic power generation prediction method, utilizing spatiotemporal attention layers and cluster representations, and dynamically weighted expert networks, the problem of insufficient accuracy in photovoltaic power generation prediction in existing technologies is solved, thereby achieving efficient dispatch and stable operation of the power system.

CN122026338AActive Publication Date: 2026-05-12STATE GRID ZHEJIANG ELECTRIC POWER CO LTD +1
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Patent Information

Application Number
CN202610484561.6
Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Applications(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
Filing Date
2026-04-14
Publication Date
2026-05-12
Estimated Expiration
2046-04-14

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

Existing photovoltaic power generation and load forecasting methods mainly rely on single time series modeling, resulting in insufficient accuracy of photovoltaic power generation forecasts, which affects the quality of power system dispatch and stable operation.

Method used

A spatiotemporal fusion prediction method is adopted. By performing spatiotemporal and temporal transformation on photovoltaic power generation data, a fused embedded representation is generated. Feature extraction is performed using a spatiotemporal attention layer. Combined with cluster representation and expert gating network, the prediction results are dynamically allocated and fused to generate the optimal power generation plan.

Benefits of technology

It significantly improves the accuracy and robustness of photovoltaic power generation forecasting, ensuring the safe operation and efficient dispatch of the power grid.

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Abstract

The invention discloses a space-time fusion photovoltaic power generation prediction method, system and device and a medium, and relates to the technical field of power systems, the method comprises the following steps: carrying out space-time and time conversion on obtained photovoltaic power generation data, generating a fusion embedding representation, and carrying out block processing to obtain a block embedding representation; inputting the block embedding representation into a space-time attention layer for transformation to obtain a target representation vector of each node, and outputting an initial power generation prediction result; calculating the Euclidean distance between each target node and each class cluster center represented by the fusion space-time embedding and carrying out dynamic tuning to determine the class cluster center corresponding to each target node; aggregating all nodes in each cluster center to obtain a class cluster time sequence representation; in cooperation with the class cluster time sequence representation and the time sequence representation vector, distributing weights for the prediction experts so as to output a target power generation prediction result; the optimal power generation plan of the target power system is determined according to the target power generation prediction result, and the scheduling reliability is improved.
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