Optimal weight combination prediction model of tourism data

A technology of combined prediction and optimal weight, applied in the field of data processing, can solve the problems of lack of effective decision-making data support for the development of tourism-related industries in tourist attractions, the improvement of tourism environment optimization and development that affects the economic benefits of tourist attractions, and the lack of suitable tourism data.

Inactive Publication Date: 2016-03-16
SHANDONG UNIV OF SCI & TECH
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Problems solved by technology

[0004] The purpose of the present invention is to provide a tourism data optimal weight combination prediction model, which solves the problem that there is no suitable effective model for tourism data analysis and prediction, which leads to the lack of effective decision-making data support for the control of tourist attractions and the development of tourism-related industries, which in turn affects tourist attractions. Improvement of Economic Benefit and Optimum Development of Tourist Environment

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  • Optimal weight combination prediction model of tourism data
  • Optimal weight combination prediction model of tourism data
  • Optimal weight combination prediction model of tourism data

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Embodiment Construction

[0057] The present invention will be described in detail below in combination with specific embodiments.

[0058] Technical scheme step of the present invention is as follows:

[0059] Step 1: First analyze the influencing factors of tourism data, and classify the influencing factors of tourism data according to tourists, tourist destinations and external environment;

[0060] The present invention divides the influencing factors of tourism data into three aspects: personal factors of tourists: including disposable income, freely disposable time, self-preferences, consumption awareness, and fire-fighting behavior habits; tourist destination factors: including tourism characteristics, popularity, and tourism prices , tourism supporting services, transportation; external environmental factors: including the level of economic development, CPI, current political policies, and special events.

[0061] Tourist personal factors: Tourist personal factors generally refer to those factor...

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Abstract

The present invention discloses an optimal weight combination prediction model of tourism data. The method comprises: firstly, analyzing tourism data influential factors, and classifying the tourism data influential factors according to tourists, destinations and external environments; analyzing the tourism data influential factors that influence tourism revenues and international tourist arrivals by using a grey correlation; sequencing the correlation according to weight values, so as to obtain importance level distribution of the influential factors; then constructing an optimal weight combination prediction model based on a least squares criterion, wherein the model uses the least squares criterion, and an optimal weight value of each model is obtained under a condition of a minimum residual square-sum; and combining a GM(1,1) model and a support vector regression model by using an optimal weight; and finally, obtaining a final prediction value by using the optimal weight combination prediction model. The present invention has the advantageous effects of giving the optimal weight combination prediction model of tourism data and obtaining efficient prediction, so that scenic spot control and tourism-related industry development are supported by efficient decision data, thereby promoting economic benefit improvement in scenic spots and optimization of tourism environment.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the technical field of data processing, and relates to a tourism data optimal weight combination prediction model. Background technique [0002] Tourism is one of the components of my country's economy, and maintaining its healthy and rapid development can promote the growth of related industries, thereby promoting the overall development of China's economy. After the reform and opening up, the rapid development of social economy has greatly improved people's living standards. China's tourism industry has developed rapidly and has shown great advantages, becoming a service industry with good growth performance. The tourism industry is not only the main force to promote the development of the service industry, but also an industry with a large demand for laborers, which plays a great role in solving the country's employment problem. With the people's increasing demand for tourism consumption and the country's adjustment of the ...

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06Q50/14
CPCG06Q10/04G06Q50/14
Inventor 刘太安刘纪敏魏光村林晓霞安新军杨晓东
Owner SHANDONG UNIV OF SCI & TECH
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