一种联合惩罚似然建模的免疫治疗预后评估系统

By using joint penalized likelihood modeling, the problems of complex heterogeneity and multi-endpoint data correlation in TMB assessment methods are solved, enabling more accurate prognostic assessment of immunotherapy, improving the accuracy and adaptability of the model, and making it suitable for personalized treatment strategies in tumor immunotherapy.

CN120108718BActive Publication Date: 2026-07-17NANJING UNIV OF AERONAUTICS & ASTRONAUTICS

Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Patents(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
NANJING UNIV OF AERONAUTICS & ASTRONAUTICS
Filing Date
2025-02-06
Publication Date
2026-07-17

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

Existing TMB assessment methods based on the total number of cell mutations fail to fully capture the inherent complex heterogeneity of tumors, resulting in inaccurate prediction of immunotherapy efficacy. Furthermore, they face challenges such as neglecting the correlation of multi-endpoint data, collinearity of clonal features, and limited sample size, which affect the accuracy of treatment strategy formulation.

Method used

We adopted a joint penalized likelihood modeling strategy based on a generalized linear mixture model (GLMM). By introducing random effects to handle multi-endpoint data integration, we used a penalized term to address collinearity among clonal mutation features, screened key variables, controlled for coefficient differences between subgroups, and integrated observational data from different immunotherapy cohorts to construct a more flexible and accurate prognostic assessment system.

Benefits of technology

It improves the accuracy and interpretability of prognostic assessment of immunotherapy, can more comprehensively reflect multidimensional treatment effects, enhances statistical power and scalability under limited sample size conditions, and provides more accurate clinical decision support.

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Abstract

本发明涉及一种联合惩罚似然建模的免疫治疗预后评估系统,属于精准医学技术领域。基于广义线性混合模型,有效整合了多种类型的临床终点,如客观缓解率和无疾病进展生存期。通过引入随机效应,模型能够捕捉终点之间的潜在关联,增强了分析的统计效力。面对克隆性突变特征之间的共线性,通过惩罚似然的方法筛选关键变量,减少了多重共线性的影响,并提高了模型的解释性和预测准确性。为了克服样本量有限的挑战,引入了跨子组数据的融合似然建模,这一策略不仅保留了各子组的模型特异性,而且通过子组间的信息共享,提高了模型对小样本数据的适应能力和预测的准确性。
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