Public bicycle station supply and demand prediction method based on Markov chain

A technology of public bicycles and forecasting methods, applied in forecasting, instruments, data processing applications, etc., can solve the problems of citizens having no car to borrow and nowhere to park, no way to guide specific site supply and demand forecasting, and importance differences, etc., to achieve good results The effect of industry application prospects

Inactive Publication Date: 2015-05-20
SOUTHWEST JIAOTONG UNIV
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  • Claims
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AI Technical Summary

Benefits of technology

Inventors have developed an improved process called predictive modelling (PM) which allows us to better match statistical models from different sources such as social media data and vehicle usage patterns. By combining these techniques into one framework we aimed towards improving the accuracy of estimating car needs during peak hours by providing guidelines on how much space should go around each location within the park when renting them without overloading other areas nearby. Overall, this technology helps optimize traffic management systems while ensuring fair allocation between available spaces.

Problems solved by technology

There exist technical problem addressed in this patented text relating to improving the allocation of public bike lanings (BLS) within urban areas like streets during peak hours when many passengers want their owners' vehicles instead waiting long distances before getting back into oneself homes. Current solutions involve either relying heavily upon previous estimates made about how well they were actually going up against new prices or requiring more frequent trips than necessary, leading to poorer utilities and increased cost. Additionally, current models require significant time investment and infrastructure resources, making them impracable targets for implementation.

Method used

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  • Public bicycle station supply and demand prediction method based on Markov chain
  • Public bicycle station supply and demand prediction method based on Markov chain
  • Public bicycle station supply and demand prediction method based on Markov chain

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Embodiment Construction

[0045] Based on the Markov chain algorithm, the forecast method of borrowing and returning demand for specific stations of public bicycles is provided, which can accurately estimate the actual demand for borrowing and returning bicycles at each station. The specific method includes the following steps:

[0046] The first step, collection of supply and demand information of public bicycle stations and database creation:

[0047] Use the terminal card swiping data of public bicycle stations to collect all types of card swiping data for specific stations. The collected data includes: lending station name, lending station number, car return station name, car return station number, car borrowing time, car returning time, car use time, card type and other related information.

[0048] The second step, data preprocessing:

[0049] 2.1 Site renumbering:

[0050] Input the collected data into the computer, renumber the stations, first sort the station IDs in ascending order, and the...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a public bicycle station supply and demand prediction method based on a Markov chain. A balance stable equation relevant to station importance is established by constructing a transfer probability matrix of borrowed and returned vehicle by using the bicycle lease data of a public bicycle lease station terminal in order to predict the daily borrowing and returning demands of a station. The method has the positive effects that the classical method of Markov chain on probability statistics is applied in combination with the practical problem of a public bicycle lease station, and a practicable vehicle borrowing and returning supply and demand prediction method is provided, so that theoretical guidance is provided for the specific pile construction problem and balance scheduling problem of the public bicycle station. The method has a good industrial application prospect.

Description

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Claims

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Application Information

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Owner SOUTHWEST JIAOTONG UNIV
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