Enterprise gateway load prediction method based on operation load characteristics

Abstract

The invention discloses an enterprise gateway load prediction method based on operation load characteristics. The method comprises steps that (1), the sample data required for load prediction is acquired; (2), the influence factor information required for load prediction is acquired; (3), load characteristic analysis on an operation load is carried out, and prediction operation loads are divided on the basis of types according to a result; (4), prediction model matching is carried out, and sample set selection is carried out; (5), whether the model and the sample both have prediction conditions is determined, if yes, gateway component load prediction is carried out, prediction error statistics is further carried out, and component prediction results are corrected continuously according to prediction errors; and (6), all the operation component prediction results are superposed, whether the set conditions are satisfied is determined, if yes, the final gateway prediction result is outputted. The method is advantaged in that the final enterprises gateway load prediction result is acquired, taking consideration of load characteristics of each enterprise operation and load change trend, enterprise load prediction precision can be effectively improved.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to an enterprise gateway load forecasting method based on process load characteristics, and belongs to the technical field of control of the production process of industrial enterprises. Background technique [0002] Power load involves various industries and fields in the national economy and people's lives. The management of power load is not only related to the safe and stable operation of the power grid, but also related to the immediate and long-term interests of power companies and users. Therefore, strengthening the management of power consumption has great significance. For large-scale power-consuming enterprises, their power consumption characteristics are significantly different from those of large-scale regions. The power consumption of enterprises is mainly determined by the production of enterprises. Affected by the generation conditions and production rhythm, it shows the characteristics of a large shock wave type, ...

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0005] At present, the method of enterprise gateway load forecasting mostly adopts the same forecasting method as that of the large power grid. This forecasting method is mainly based on the historical data of the gateway forecast point. The economic scheduling provides accurate parameter data, which cannot meet the requirements of enterprise power grid scheduling and operation mode formulation

Images