Method and device for predicting confirmed cases of infectious disease, and equipment and storage medium

A technology of infectious diseases and the number of people, applied in the field of infection prediction, can solve the problems of inaccurate number of confirmed diagnoses, increase of fluctuations in the number of people, etc., and achieve the effect of improving accuracy

CN111524610AActive Publication Date: 2020-08-11SOUTH UNIVERSITY OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY OF CHINA
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Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Applications(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
Publication Date
2020-08-11

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Abstract

Embodiments of the invention provide a method and device for predicting confirmed cases of an infectious disease, and equipment and a storage medium. The method for predicting the confirmed cases of the infectious disease comprises the following steps: acquiring historical confirmed cases corresponding to a plurality of historical times adjacent to to-be-predicted time; summing up the historical confirmed cases corresponding to the current historical times and previous target historical time, and determining historical cumulative confirmed cases corresponding to each current historical time; determining predicted cumulative cases corresponding to the to-be-predicted time according to the historical cumulative cases corresponding to each current historical time; and determining a number difference between the predicted cumulative cases in the to-be-predicted time and the historical cumulative cases corresponding to the target current historical time adjacent to the to-be-predicted time,and taking the number difference as predicted confirmed cases in the to-be-predicted time. According to the invention, the effect of improving the accuracy of predicting confirmed cases in the futureis achieved.
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Description

technical field

[0001] The embodiments of the present invention relate to the technical field of infection prediction, and in particular to a method, device, device and storage medium for predicting the number of confirmed cases of an infectious disease. Background technique

[0002] With the increasing frequency of infectious diseases, the scientific community and all walks of life have carried out prediction research on the development of the epidemic. It is of great and urgent significance to predict the future development trend of infectious diseases.

[0003] At present, the prediction of the number of confirmed cases of new coronavirus pneumonia is to determine the daily increase in the number of confirmed cases through historical data, and use the daily increase in the number of confirmed cases to predict the predicted increase in the future, thereby determining the future number of confirmed cases.

[0004] However, the increase in the number of confirmed cases every...

Examples

Embodiment 1

[0054] figure 1 The flow diagram of a method for predicting the number of confirmed cases of infectious diseases provided by Embodiment 1 of the present invention is applicable to the scene of predicting the number of confirmed cases of infectious diseases in the future. The method can be executed by a device for predicting the number of confirmed cases of infectious diseases. The device can be implemented in the form of software and / or hardware, and can be integrated on the device.

[0055] like figure 1 As shown, the method for predicting the number of confirmed cases of infectious diseases provided by Embodiment 1 of the present invention includes:

[0056] S110. Obtain the number of historical confirmed cases corresponding to multiple historical times close to the time to be predicted.

[0057] Wherein, the time to be predicted may be in units of hours, days, months, etc., which is not limited here. The historical time is the time adjacent to the time to be predicted, a...

Embodiment 2

[0067] figure 2 It is a schematic flowchart of a method for predicting the number of confirmed cases of an infectious disease provided by Embodiment 2 of the present invention. This embodiment is a further refinement of the above technical solution, and further refines the determination of the predicted cumulative number of people corresponding to the time to be predicted according to the historical cumulative number of people corresponding to each current historical time. The method can be implemented by a device for predicting the number of confirmed cases of infectious diseases, and the device can be implemented in the form of software and / or hardware, and can be integrated on the device.

[0068] like figure 2 As shown, the method for predicting the number of confirmed cases of infectious diseases provided by Embodiment 2 of the present invention includes:

[0069] S210. Obtain the number of historical confirmed cases corresponding to multiple historical times close to...

Embodiment 3

[0126] image 3 It is a schematic structural diagram of a device for predicting the number of confirmed cases of infectious diseases provided by Embodiment 3 of the present invention. This embodiment can be applied to the scene of predicting the number of confirmed cases of infectious diseases in the future. The device can be implemented in the form of software and / or hardware , and can be integrated on the device.

[0127] like image 3 As shown, the device for predicting the number of confirmed cases of infectious diseases provided in this embodiment may include a historical confirmed number determination module 310, a historical cumulative number determination module 320, a predicted cumulative number determination module 330, and a predicted confirmed number determination module 340, wherein:

[0128] The historical confirmed number determination module 310 is used to obtain the historical confirmed number corresponding to multiple historical times close to the time to be...