Statistical modeling method for measuring and calculating carbon emission scale

A modeling method and carbon emission technology, applied in prediction, calculation, complex mathematical operation, etc., can solve the problems of poor accuracy, low efficiency, difficult to adapt to the total carbon emission measurement, etc., and achieve the effect of strong practicability and high precision

Pending Publication Date: 2022-07-05
KUNMING UNIV OF SCI & TECH
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Problems solved by technology

This method is difficult to adapt to the calculation of total carbon emissions in multiple regions, with low efficiency and poor accuracy

Method used

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  • Statistical modeling method for measuring and calculating carbon emission scale
  • Statistical modeling method for measuring and calculating carbon emission scale
  • Statistical modeling method for measuring and calculating carbon emission scale

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Embodiment Construction

[0017] In order to make the technical means, creative features, goals and effects achieved by the present invention easy to understand, the following result examples and accompanying drawings describe the statistical modeling method for measuring the carbon emission scale of the present invention.

[0018]

[0019] figure 1 is the flow chart of the statistical modeling method for measuring the carbon emission scale in the embodiment of the present invention, figure 2 This is a schematic diagram of the mixed expert model when the mixed data is taken as 2 in the embodiment of the present invention.

[0020] Step 1. Collect carbon emission data from multiple regions.

[0021] In this embodiment, the carbon emission data of four provinces and cities in the southwest region are collected through collection, namely Yunnan, Sichuan, Guizhou, and Chongqing. Taking the carbon emission scale data of these four regions as a sample, the input amount is from 2005 to 2018. If the sele...

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Abstract

The invention provides a statistical modeling method for measuring and calculating a carbon emission scale, which is characterized in that the conditions that data is from a heterogeneous population and the data has deflection are considered, and which factor and the influence degree of carbon emission are researched. Comprising the following steps: step 1, collecting carbon emission data of a plurality of regions; 2, analyzing factors influencing the carbon emission scale, and searching related data about novel urbanization; 3, constructing a novel urbanization evaluation system to define the urbanization level; 4, estimating the carbon emission of the region by using an emission factor method; step 5, analyzing carbon emission data of each area by using a Tapio unhooking model, and finding out individual differences and generality; 6, studying factors influencing the carbon emission scale by adopting an STIRPAT model, and reducing the multicollinearity by using a principal component analysis method; and 7, measuring and calculating the carbon emission data by using a hybrid expert regression model.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to a statistical modeling method for measuring carbon emission scale. Background technique [0002] Most of the methods used to analyze and study the scale of carbon emissions are qualitative methods, such as the emission factor method, the STIRPAT model, etc. According to simple model settings, the factors affecting the scale of carbon emissions are qualitatively obtained. However, due to the low accuracy of such methods and the inability to meet the skewed carbon emission data, they cannot be applied in practical fields and are difficult to generalize. [0003] In the prior art, the STIRPAT model establishes a simple model based on the level of population urbanization, the proportion of industrial value-added, the proportion of tertiary industry value-added, per capita GDP, green coverage, etc., and calculates the total carbon emissions of a certain area. This method is difficult to adapt to the calculation of the total carbon ...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06F17/18G06Q10/04G06Q50/26
CPCG06F17/18G06Q10/04G06Q50/26Y02P90/84
Inventor 谭佳玲吴刘仓鲁钰曾鑫王格格王丹璐
Owner KUNMING UNIV OF SCI & TECH
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